Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 November 2006 at 21:32:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Manchester_U vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    14   35  +23      90.21     6.54    64.17    81.39    98.25    99.92    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   32  +16      80.80     7.66    41.94    17.02    79.72    96.85    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   24   +2      58.26     8.08     3.74     0.03     1.34    18.79    43.80     0.17R    0.01  
Portsmouth      14   23   +7      61.56     8.17    15.91     0.14     2.75    34.40    61.45     0.05R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6      60.89     8.16    13.61     0.10     2.36    30.52    58.16     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal         13   22  +11      67.30     8.55    29.37     1.16    12.56    63.26    82.62     0.01R    0.01  
Reading         14   22   -2      54.90     8.03    -3.32     0.01     0.41     9.89    27.78     0.53R    0.02  
Everton         14   21   +6      56.39     8.01     9.74     0.09     0.90    14.54    36.65     0.31R    0.03  
Liverpool       14   21   +0      55.71     8.55     3.40     0.05     0.82    13.30    33.38     0.71R    0.07  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.77     8.17    -4.54     0.00     0.15     4.27    14.49     2.44R    0.22  
Wigan           13   18   +1      55.03     8.54     4.15     0.03     0.71    12.29    30.82     0.81R    0.09  
Fulham          14   17   -6      45.19     8.00   -14.85     0.00     0.01     0.92     4.56     9.01R    1.30  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.61     7.65   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.27     1.53    17.09R    3.27  
Manchester_C    14   16   -6      40.19     7.50   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.02    21.91R    3.95  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.25     7.61   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.46    35.77R    9.35  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.57     8.35   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.39     2.27    20.12R    4.24  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      37.82     7.64   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.51    32.19R    7.88  
Sheffield_U     14   10  -11      30.61     7.10   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    70.62R   36.67  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.85     8.45   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.00    33.63R   10.66  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.53     7.78   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20    54.57R   22.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Colchester vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   37  +14      86.84     8.36    35.01    33.22    54.25    90.64    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +14      84.08     8.78    29.26    21.79    40.17    83.61    51.93P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   37   +9      82.95     8.68    22.95    17.41    34.28    79.75    45.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            19   34   +6      77.79     9.04    17.09     6.75    16.35    59.79    25.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   31   +7      74.01     8.93    16.55     3.15     8.49    44.02    16.81P    0.09R    0.01  
Stoke            19   30  +11      76.91     8.60    26.89     5.69    14.24    58.74    27.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      19   30   +7      75.66     8.77    20.91     4.14    11.38    52.09    21.83P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    19   29  +11      77.05     8.86    28.61     6.39    15.24    59.16    27.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         19   28   +2      64.97     8.73     3.15     0.22     0.96    11.87     3.67P    0.81R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    19   28   -5      59.60     8.71   -11.73     0.08     0.23     3.94     0.92P    3.50R    0.17  
Colchester       19   27   +4      67.04     8.73     8.70     0.49     1.84    17.69     5.30P    0.47R    0.02  
Plymouth         19   27   +4      65.73     8.88     6.84     0.38     1.34    14.31     4.14P    0.85R    0.04  
Norwich          19   26   -6      59.06     8.70   -12.73     0.02     0.15     3.44     0.62P    4.61R    0.27  
Ipswich          19   24   +1      60.24     8.86    -0.58     0.06     0.29     5.38     1.43P    3.48R    0.18  
Queens_PR        19   24   -1      59.94     8.95    -3.13     0.11     0.28     4.65     1.09P    3.90R    0.17  
Sunderland       19   24   -1      61.29     8.99    -0.69     0.11     0.38     6.10     1.62P    2.67R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      19   24   -4      54.40     8.40   -14.17     0.00     0.04     1.13     0.18P   10.95R    0.84  
Leicester        19   22   -3      55.48     8.64    -7.19     0.00     0.01     1.42     0.36P    8.97R    0.65  
Crystal_Palace   19   22   -4      54.65     8.56   -10.71     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.25P   10.54R    0.81  
Luton            19   22   -9      53.18     8.59   -20.41     0.00     0.04     0.79     0.17P   15.09R    1.59  
Leeds            19   19  -16      43.69     8.04   -39.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.41R   12.29  
Barnsley         19   18  -13      46.96     8.45   -28.29     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.01P   38.77R    7.25  
Hull             19   17   -9      45.05     8.33   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.16R    8.89  
Southend         19   12  -19      33.22     7.61   -46.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.68R   66.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.36     8.39    35.45    52.43    75.01    97.69    81.24P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.68     8.42    35.60    20.70    45.82    90.20    59.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.78     8.76    24.59     8.89    23.57    75.91    38.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.64     8.92    18.74     4.57    13.69    62.51    25.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.72     8.83    30.13     9.02    23.93    76.19    39.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.25     9.02    12.99     1.43     5.20    39.52    12.60P    0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      71.64     8.77    11.09     1.19     4.25    35.73    11.61P    0.09R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.24     8.71     5.72     0.40     1.98    22.47     5.92P    0.47R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.93     8.78    13.14     0.76     3.08    30.50     8.87P    0.30R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.32     8.88     1.04     0.10     0.56    10.85     2.21P    2.32R    0.10  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.73     8.73    -7.15     0.06     0.41     7.44     1.43P    3.29R    0.07  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.62     8.77    12.39     0.25     1.33    19.56     5.96P    0.76R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.05     8.57    -0.95     0.01     0.16     4.08     1.20P    5.04R    0.16  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.35     8.88    -9.99     0.01     0.08     3.21     0.67P    9.34R    0.54  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      60.27     8.98    -6.32     0.03     0.21     5.54     1.11P    5.26R    0.34  
Bradford        19   23   +0      60.79     8.93     1.61     0.07     0.27     6.70     1.55P    4.07R    0.18  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.52     9.04    -1.68     0.06     0.29     5.38     1.19P    5.72R    0.24  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.30     9.09   -10.41     0.01     0.07     3.30     0.69P    9.71R    0.53  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.90     9.09    -6.25     0.03     0.10     3.07     0.69P    9.80R    0.53  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.76     8.13   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   65.28R   15.26  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.01     8.40   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    57.52R   12.09  
Millwall        19   17  -13      42.02     8.17   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   68.36R   18.28  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.26     7.72   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.13R   24.39  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.93     8.43   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    76.31R   27.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.24     7.70    55.01    85.03    98.24    99.93    98.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.15     8.70    24.65     4.01    45.38    87.50    57.15P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.51     8.67    38.62     6.87    58.98    92.37    68.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.99     8.94    19.95     1.60    27.80    75.29    41.26P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      75.11     9.00    12.28     0.61    15.29    58.95    24.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.11     8.97    13.78     0.65    15.20    59.80    24.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      73.75     8.89    14.36     0.45    11.79    53.94    21.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.32     8.88     9.45     0.14     6.13    38.84    13.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.43     8.68    -7.29     0.00     0.45     8.03     2.08P    0.68R    0.05  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.60     8.94    -0.53     0.01     1.48    15.49     4.58P    0.33R    0.04  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.78     8.89     5.12     0.01     1.67    19.31     5.78P    0.22R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.90     8.76    -2.73     0.00     0.64     9.46     2.68P    0.62R    0.06  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.06     8.85    -3.63     0.01     0.65     9.47     2.48P    0.80R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.72     9.28    25.88     0.62    15.90    60.20    30.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.30     8.66   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P   14.39R    2.61  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.40     8.92    -7.35     0.00     0.13     2.48     0.61P    4.51R    0.62  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.18     8.58   -14.34     0.00     0.09     1.57     0.41P    5.55R    0.81  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.55     8.80   -18.70     0.00     0.04     1.45     0.23P    7.37R    1.11  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.20     8.81    -7.76     0.00     0.12     2.96     0.78P    3.75R    0.73  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.77     8.78   -11.49     0.00     0.04     1.57     0.40P    6.14R    1.18  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.41     8.17   -32.52     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   25.86R    5.51  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.31     8.73   -17.99     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P   16.45R    3.53  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.98     8.40   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   23.32R    5.29  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.28     7.95   -43.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.89R   78.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Woking vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     105.06     7.37    60.29    69.18    99.97    84.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      99.18     7.95    58.95    30.50    99.64    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      74.13     8.42    12.33     0.04    44.09     7.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.50     8.67     1.09     0.03    24.14     3.85P    0.15R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.09     8.57     0.47     0.01    25.80     3.43P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.57     8.74    10.56     0.07    41.21     7.37P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.37     8.96     5.97     0.04    28.23     5.27P    0.20R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      73.36     8.88    18.41     0.10    42.59     9.74P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.01     8.54     8.97     0.00    20.38     3.62P    0.21R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.29     8.80     4.49     0.00    15.91     2.93P    0.58R    0.03  
Woking             20   28   +5      66.70     8.63     9.63     0.01    16.38     3.50P    0.44R    0.03  
Grays              20   27  +12      70.84     8.60    24.92     0.04    32.38     8.24P    0.09R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.96     8.34   -16.78     0.00     2.00     0.23P    6.56R    0.86  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.41     8.59    -6.65     0.00     3.06     0.34P    5.14R    0.81  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.57     8.51   -18.04     0.00     1.45     0.20P    9.93R    1.97  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.49     8.13   -14.13     0.00     0.50     0.07P   15.47R    3.04  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.07     8.67   -11.01     0.00     1.06     0.14P   12.73R    2.70  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      51.03     8.10   -15.64     0.00     0.29     0.03P   20.24R    4.95  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.89     8.38   -19.05     0.00     0.40     0.06P   22.16R    5.43  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      49.85     8.26   -17.24     0.00     0.28     0.07P   24.77R    6.38  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.92     8.12   -24.11     0.00     0.10     0.01P   33.90R    9.93  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.35     8.26   -26.12     0.00     0.08     0.01P   36.83R   11.61  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.37     8.15   -18.82     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.23R   15.90  
Southport          20   16  -11      41.01     8.10   -28.47     0.00     0.01     0.01P   66.09R   36.33