Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 November 2006 at 21:32:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Manchester_U vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    14   35  +23      90.28     6.60    64.11    82.66    98.28    99.86    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   32  +16      80.46     7.67    41.28    15.90    78.90    96.61    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   24   +2      58.53     8.04     4.40     0.04     1.51    19.71    44.67     0.14R    0.00  
Portsmouth      14   23   +7      61.44     8.25    15.72     0.14     3.19    33.55    60.60     0.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6      61.03     7.99    13.81     0.14     2.34    30.70    58.90     0.04R    0.01  
Arsenal         13   22  +11      67.16     8.41    29.02     1.04    12.59    63.09    82.51     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         14   22   -2      55.27     8.08    -2.88     0.02     0.48    10.74    29.43     0.50R    0.04  
Everton         14   21   +6      56.41     8.14     9.75     0.02     1.01    15.11    36.83     0.30R    0.01  
Liverpool       14   21   +0      55.53     8.36     3.15     0.01     0.59    12.38    32.08     0.76R    0.06  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.26     8.17    -5.33     0.00     0.13     3.94    13.37     2.68R    0.25  
Wigan           13   18   +1      54.87     8.64     3.98     0.01     0.89    11.97    30.36     0.94R    0.08  
Fulham          14   17   -6      44.97     8.07   -15.19     0.00     0.04     0.90     4.29    10.13R    1.53  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.96     7.88   -17.77     0.00     0.01     0.34     1.93    17.00R    2.94  
Manchester_C    14   16   -6      40.00     7.38   -18.35     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.88    22.27R    4.19  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.67     7.64   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.58    34.12R    8.40  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.57     8.53   -16.61     0.00     0.04     0.60     2.58    20.30R    4.76  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      37.91     7.71   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.60    32.09R    7.51  
Sheffield_U     14   10  -11      30.65     7.25   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    70.59R   37.23  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.80     8.48   -17.33     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.94    34.14R   10.87  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.71     7.84   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    53.88R   22.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Colchester vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   37  +14      86.85     8.43    34.96    33.02    54.08    90.57    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +14      84.04     8.77    29.15    21.23    39.91    83.33    51.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   37   +9      83.12     8.71    23.11    18.03    34.99    80.17    46.18P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            19   34   +6      77.68     9.03    16.86     7.25    16.26    59.45    25.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   31   +7      74.23     8.96    16.95     3.06     8.69    45.16    17.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            19   30  +11      76.87     8.67    26.75     5.67    14.46    57.93    27.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      19   30   +7      75.59     8.70    20.80     4.08    11.00    52.06    21.48P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    19   29  +11      76.93     8.97    28.43     5.97    14.82    59.13    26.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         19   28   +2      65.28     8.73     3.60     0.30     1.11    12.63     4.01P    0.72R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    19   28   -5      60.21     8.68   -10.86     0.06     0.20     4.18     0.87P    2.98R    0.10  
Colchester       19   27   +4      66.80     8.81     8.45     0.61     1.86    16.66     5.09P    0.46R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   27   +4      65.86     8.88     7.02     0.38     1.33    14.77     4.50P    0.76R    0.02  
Norwich          19   26   -6      59.30     8.62   -12.46     0.04     0.13     3.47     0.58P    4.04R    0.13  
Ipswich          19   24   +1      60.14     8.71    -0.73     0.07     0.30     4.64     1.07P    3.13R    0.19  
Queens_PR        19   24   -1      60.16     9.07    -2.77     0.03     0.28     4.97     1.17P    4.04R    0.21  
Sunderland       19   24   -1      61.24     9.01    -0.75     0.14     0.40     6.29     1.62P    2.88R    0.15  
Sheffield_W      19   24   -4      54.63     8.59   -13.87     0.01     0.03     1.24     0.21P   10.43R    0.73  
Leicester        19   22   -3      55.35     8.72    -7.31     0.02     0.07     1.33     0.38P    8.99R    0.62  
Crystal_Palace   19   22   -4      54.63     8.71   -10.59     0.00     0.04     1.17     0.27P   10.57R    0.82  
Luton            19   22   -9      53.11     8.55   -20.50     0.01     0.03     0.73     0.14P   14.92R    1.72  
Leeds            19   19  -16      43.47     8.10   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.91R   12.35  
Barnsley         19   18  -13      46.74     8.43   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    39.65R    7.21  
Hull             19   17   -9      44.69     8.33   -21.31     0.01     0.01     0.06     0.01P   47.80R    9.12  
Southend         19   12  -19      32.98     7.59   -46.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.62R   66.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      93.01     8.32    36.53    56.17    77.03    98.08    82.97P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.51     8.50    35.28    19.56    45.37    89.78    59.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.39     8.86    24.02     7.78    22.37    74.37    36.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.56     8.84    18.63     3.98    12.85    62.87    24.80P    0.02R    0.01  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.91     8.68    30.32     8.24    24.20    77.42    39.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.30     9.01    13.11     1.46     5.21    39.46    12.47P    0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      72.11     8.95    11.80     1.02     4.52    38.48    12.91P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.21     8.99     5.70     0.51     2.21    23.23     6.78P    0.55R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.68     8.86    12.81     0.66     2.96    29.74     8.47P    0.33R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.24     8.93     0.87     0.15     0.72    10.71     2.31P    2.29R    0.09  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.18     8.71    -8.18     0.04     0.28     6.48     1.20P    3.83R    0.15  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.72     8.85    12.57     0.32     1.37    19.66     5.75P    1.01R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      58.89     8.50    -1.22     0.01     0.10     3.72     0.99P    5.28R    0.20  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.21     8.82   -10.09     0.01     0.10     2.73     0.55P    9.35R    0.56  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.38     8.95    -7.87     0.00     0.10     4.50     0.78P    6.77R    0.42  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.19     9.01     2.26     0.04     0.27     7.40     1.71P    4.29R    0.23  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.57     8.85    -1.61     0.01     0.15     4.88     0.97P    5.58R    0.23  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.73     8.96    -9.54     0.03     0.13     3.29     0.79P    8.67R    0.53  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.98     9.08    -6.14     0.01     0.07     3.08     0.65P    9.69R    0.56  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.53     8.17   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    66.11R   16.61  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.51     8.20   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.73R   10.19  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.95     8.13   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.98R   18.13  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.53     7.83   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   75.86R   23.68  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      40.01     8.65   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.36R   28.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     103.36     7.50    56.79    88.15    98.78    99.95    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.36     8.75    25.06     3.39    46.52    87.95    58.12P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.51     8.73    38.67     5.43    59.10    92.39    68.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.48     8.88    19.27     1.04    25.48    73.74    38.36P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.53     9.09    11.43     0.51    13.94    56.57    22.20P    0.01R    0.01  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.13     8.78    13.75     0.51    14.93    60.08    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.17     8.93    14.93     0.30    12.95    56.62    23.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.19     8.98     9.41     0.14     6.12    38.80    14.00P    0.06R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.04     8.61    -7.87     0.00     0.60     7.24     1.99P    0.72R    0.04  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.52     8.80    -0.65     0.01     1.21    15.09     4.34P    0.34R    0.04  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.37     8.92     4.55     0.03     1.65    17.80     5.60P    0.23R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.87     9.07    -2.68     0.01     0.88    10.27     3.04P    0.79R    0.07  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.14     9.00    -3.65     0.01     0.69     9.93     2.44P    0.87R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.79     9.39    25.94     0.45    16.73    60.60    30.88P    0.02R    0.01  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.52     8.64   -26.92     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.17P   13.32R    2.35  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.69     8.78    -7.02     0.01     0.12     2.69     0.81P    3.98R    0.55  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.46     8.72   -13.97     0.00     0.09     1.74     0.41P    5.26R    0.73  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.66     8.82   -18.53     0.00     0.04     1.76     0.34P    7.29R    1.16  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.01     8.95    -8.02     0.00     0.12     3.25     0.81P    4.01R    0.72  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.71     8.74   -11.67     0.00     0.06     1.78     0.50P    6.22R    1.04  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.60     8.37   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   25.93R    5.17  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.58     8.73   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.14P   15.31R    2.67  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.71     8.40   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   24.67R    5.08  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      28.86     7.86   -43.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.94R   80.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Woking vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.70     7.53    59.77    68.33    99.95    83.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      99.06     7.91    58.66    31.23    99.53    58.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      73.79     8.41    11.76     0.09    42.18     7.45P    0.02R    0.01  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.57     8.63     1.26     0.01    24.09     3.46P    0.17R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.14     8.90     0.52     0.03    26.32     3.69P    0.15R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.59     8.66    10.60     0.07    40.95     7.63P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.58     8.94     6.25     0.06    28.57     5.32P    0.13R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      73.29     9.12    18.28     0.10    41.60    10.10P    0.06R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.31     8.61     9.46     0.01    21.30     3.92P    0.34R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.52     8.60     4.75     0.01    15.18     2.75P    0.50R    0.02  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.35     8.63    10.71     0.01    18.35     3.87P    0.32R    0.04  
Grays              20   27  +12      71.12     8.71    25.26     0.06    33.19     8.79P    0.10R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.76     8.29   -17.05     0.00     1.72     0.20P    6.71R    1.08  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.91     8.53    -5.66     0.00     3.31     0.40P    4.30R    0.60  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.51     8.40   -18.28     0.00     1.27     0.14P    9.42R    1.75  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.59     8.09   -13.98     0.00     0.37     0.07P   14.94R    3.25  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.28     8.64   -10.65     0.00     1.09     0.14P   12.29R    2.85  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      50.40     8.03   -16.53     0.00     0.28     0.04P   21.41R    5.06  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.61     8.07   -19.58     0.00     0.25     0.01P   21.55R    5.26  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      49.45     8.12   -17.69     0.00     0.21     0.04P   26.05R    6.76  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.83     8.11   -24.42     0.00     0.09     0.01P   33.99R   10.36  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.21     8.28   -26.51     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.55R   12.01  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.33     8.18   -18.74     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.40R   15.99  
Southport          20   16  -11      41.11     7.93   -28.17     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.56R   34.90