Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 November 2006 at 21:32:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Bolton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.53     6.59    67.23    88.24    98.83    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.92     8.28    38.19    10.66    70.00    93.27    98.14     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   24   +2      58.44     8.06     4.21     0.03     1.60    17.48    41.48     0.10R    0.01  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      65.12     8.61    20.28     0.29     8.62    47.87    72.92     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6      60.45     8.16    12.92     0.10     2.40    25.59    53.55     0.04R    0.01  
Arsenal         13   22  +11      66.72     8.53    28.40     0.63    13.32    56.91    79.67     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         14   22   -2      55.18     8.26    -3.04     0.01     0.56     9.50    27.43     0.61R    0.06  
Everton         14   21   +6      56.50     8.11     9.78     0.01     1.19    13.09    34.92     0.17R    0.01  
Liverpool       14   21   +0      55.47     8.33     2.95     0.01     0.74    10.65    29.66     0.46R    0.07  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.95     8.94    10.80     0.03     2.67    22.55    46.63     0.28R    0.02  
Fulham          14   17   -6      45.06     8.06   -15.19     0.00     0.02     0.86     4.02     8.77R    1.23  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.10     8.31   -10.61     0.00     0.02     1.32     5.38     6.88R    1.01  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.39     7.77   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.40    16.62R    2.87  
Manchester_C    14   16   -6      40.30     7.59   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.01    19.56R    3.51  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      36.99     7.57   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    34.56R    8.67  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.68     8.37   -16.57     0.00     0.02     0.45     2.05    18.03R    3.92  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      35.04     7.99   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.29    44.57R   14.76  
Sheffield_U     14   10  -11      30.53     7.29   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    68.77R   35.68  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.98     8.47   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.82    31.45R    9.55  
Charlton        14    9  -11      34.11     7.67   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18    49.13R   18.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Colchester vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   37  +14      86.90     8.56    34.94    34.14    54.76    90.43    64.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +14      83.88     8.63    29.04    21.43    39.51    83.00    50.97P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   37   +9      82.77     8.67    22.72    17.17    33.84    79.03    44.41P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            19   34   +6      77.63     9.06    16.79     6.71    16.30    59.30    25.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   31   +7      73.98     8.89    16.55     3.21     8.63    43.16    17.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            19   30  +11      76.88     8.55    26.79     5.72    14.39    58.87    27.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      19   30   +7      75.35     8.74    20.50     3.81    10.66    50.39    21.05P    0.02R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    19   29  +11      77.08     8.89    28.64     6.13    15.72    59.96    28.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         19   28   +2      65.24     8.66     3.53     0.29     1.06    11.95     3.53P    0.68R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    19   28   -5      59.80     8.67   -11.48     0.04     0.20     3.90     0.79P    3.31R    0.14  
Colchester       19   27   +4      67.23     8.93     9.01     0.62     1.95    18.66     5.85P    0.50R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   27   +4      66.21     8.87     7.55     0.41     1.56    15.43     4.67P    0.63R    0.03  
Norwich          19   26   -6      59.66     8.81   -11.66     0.05     0.28     4.10     0.88P    3.88R    0.18  
Ipswich          19   24   +1      60.17     8.82    -0.83     0.05     0.25     5.26     1.35P    3.40R    0.20  
Queens_PR        19   24   -1      60.29     8.96    -2.61     0.07     0.28     5.12     1.23P    3.52R    0.17  
Sunderland       19   24   -1      61.39     8.95    -0.52     0.07     0.42     6.34     1.59P    2.62R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      19   24   -4      54.61     8.61   -13.76     0.01     0.07     1.41     0.31P   10.16R    0.81  
Leicester        19   22   -3      55.71     8.70    -6.81     0.01     0.04     1.57     0.40P    8.70R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace   19   22   -4      54.39     8.74   -11.04     0.03     0.06     1.26     0.35P   11.14R    0.78  
Luton            19   22   -9      53.05     8.60   -20.46     0.01     0.02     0.68     0.13P   14.85R    1.73  
Leeds            19   19  -16      43.32     7.99   -39.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   56.74R   12.72  
Barnsley         19   18  -13      46.44     8.50   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   40.63R    7.79  
Hull             19   17   -9      44.64     8.34   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   47.71R    9.21  
Southend         19   12  -19      33.24     7.62   -46.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.40R   65.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Nottingham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.79     8.45    36.11    54.65    75.70    97.67    82.25P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.73     8.50    35.58    19.93    45.71    90.01    60.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      79.98     8.74    23.43     6.96    20.53    72.89    35.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.71     8.87    30.02     8.38    23.50    76.08    38.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.90     9.33    18.77     5.36    15.46    63.08    25.97P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      72.16     9.01    11.85     1.20     4.54    38.91    12.93P    0.17R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.53     9.33    12.82     1.72     6.21    41.25    13.60P    0.21R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.21     8.82     5.56     0.46     1.94    22.75     6.17P    0.47R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.81     8.90    12.90     0.61     2.95    30.39     8.98P    0.35R    0.01  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.74     8.93     1.88     0.22     0.83    11.98     2.77P    2.08R    0.08  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.52     8.86    -7.67     0.07     0.34     7.31     1.55P    3.59R    0.09  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.11     8.83    11.58     0.27     1.19    17.27     4.79P    1.02R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      58.72     8.46    -1.34     0.01     0.07     3.42     1.00P    5.53R    0.20  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.52     8.89    -9.72     0.02     0.12     3.12     0.61P    9.22R    0.41  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      60.22     8.96    -6.42     0.03     0.20     5.52     1.05P    5.51R    0.22  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.14     8.94     2.03     0.04     0.30     7.08     1.79P    4.16R    0.24  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.21     9.07    -2.21     0.04     0.21     5.22     1.21P    6.24R    0.28  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.38     8.93   -10.22     0.01     0.09     3.01     0.55P    9.68R    0.60  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.08     8.99    -6.01     0.01     0.11     2.88     0.71P    9.41R    0.65  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.44     8.06   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    66.91R   17.14  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.61     8.30   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   55.01R   10.44  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.99     8.15   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    68.74R   18.43  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.55     7.75   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.84R   23.57  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      40.07     8.43   -37.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    75.81R   27.62  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Hartlepool vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     103.13     7.57    56.31    87.53    98.67    99.96    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.49     8.71    25.15     3.74    46.51    88.66    58.24P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.53     8.54    38.56     5.49    59.25    92.50    68.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.57     8.85    19.37     1.14    25.33    74.35    38.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.95     9.22    11.98     0.55    15.14    58.67    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.54     8.87    14.40     0.56    15.70    61.99    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      73.98     9.14    14.63     0.36    12.79    55.01    23.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.04     9.01     9.11     0.09     6.34    38.22    13.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.44     8.85    -0.72     0.03     1.19    15.34     4.50P    0.38R    0.05  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.66     8.98     4.90     0.03     1.74    18.70     5.99P    0.29R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.83     8.86    -2.83     0.01     0.79     9.74     2.84P    0.64R    0.06  
Bury             19   26   -1      60.96     8.81    -3.82     0.01     0.66     9.35     2.57P    0.74R    0.09  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.41     9.35    25.35     0.47    15.16    59.02    29.13P    0.04R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.47     9.07   -12.62     0.00     0.20     4.17     0.99P    2.71R    0.37  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.44     8.47   -26.91     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.15P   13.39R    2.29  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.69     8.89    -7.05     0.00     0.09     2.85     0.74P    4.07R    0.62  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.23     9.01   -14.30     0.01     0.14     3.37     0.69P    4.25R    0.59  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.15     8.75   -14.41     0.00     0.10     1.73     0.46P    6.09R    0.89  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.39     8.87    -7.54     0.00     0.14     3.10     0.80P    3.90R    0.57  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.89     8.93   -11.32     0.00     0.06     1.87     0.48P    6.71R    1.36  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.68     8.28   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   26.09R    5.59  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.08     8.71   -18.32     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.10P   17.36R    3.32  
Boston           19   17  -10      46.10     8.27   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   22.88R    4.98  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.20     7.96   -43.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    90.41R   79.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Woking vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.95     7.31    60.21    70.53    99.97    85.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      98.77     7.86    57.95    29.09    99.52    56.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      73.66     8.37    11.52     0.07    41.88     7.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.34     8.67     0.90     0.03    23.52     3.80P    0.18R    0.02  
York               20   34   +0      70.04     8.69     0.46     0.01    25.82     3.23P    0.18R    0.04  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.61     8.65    10.60     0.10    41.51     8.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.14     8.94     5.65     0.04    27.57     4.98P    0.12R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      73.39     8.95    18.45     0.07    42.21     9.66P    0.06R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.13     8.67     9.20     0.01    21.27     3.92P    0.28R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.59     8.64     4.91     0.01    15.88     2.85P    0.48R    0.02  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.26     8.42    10.52     0.01    17.53     3.40P    0.30R    0.02  
Grays              20   27  +12      71.41     8.57    25.77     0.03    34.55     9.48P    0.09R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.87     8.39   -16.89     0.00     1.80     0.21P    7.06R    1.03  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.84     8.53    -5.73     0.00     3.03     0.40P    4.28R    0.76  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.95     8.53   -17.46     0.00     1.46     0.14P    9.09R    1.79  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.52     8.21   -14.15     0.00     0.46     0.07P   15.64R    3.43  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.00     8.59   -11.25     0.00     1.01     0.19P   12.52R    2.60  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      50.55     7.97   -16.31     0.00     0.22     0.04P   21.21R    5.16  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.35     8.14   -19.91     0.00     0.22     0.03P   23.07R    5.57  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      50.11     8.31   -16.81     0.00     0.33     0.05P   23.77R    5.96  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.89     8.10   -24.12     0.00     0.07     0.01P   33.50R   10.05  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.28     8.29   -26.22     0.00     0.12     0.03P   37.24R   12.17  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.12     8.15   -19.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.31R   17.04  
Southport          20   16  -11      41.20     8.00   -28.06     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.58R   34.30