Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 November 2006 at 21:32:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.10     6.65    67.67    86.35    97.73    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.84     8.00    38.10    10.65    61.85    93.00    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      63.58     8.40    18.00     0.17     4.41    36.62    67.69     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      72.08     8.64    36.28     2.44    26.46    76.05    91.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.99     8.52    17.40     0.21     4.92    38.31    69.68     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.61     8.33    -2.12     0.00     0.43     6.59    21.95     0.69R    0.02  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.61     8.55    11.12     0.07     1.42    14.86    40.12     0.30R    0.01  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.37     8.61    -6.25     0.01     0.20     4.96    19.02     1.58R    0.20  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.19     8.90     9.60     0.08     1.95    17.20    43.13     0.29R    0.04  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.33     8.78     2.61     0.01     0.49     8.43    26.67     0.98R    0.08  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.66     8.63   -10.63     0.01     0.07     2.31    10.07     4.29R    0.57  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.50     7.79   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.51    15.52R    2.71  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.20     8.37   -10.33     0.00     0.04     1.07     5.58     6.62R    0.85  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.25     7.79   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.81    24.54R    5.41  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.43     8.32   -16.85     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.77    18.29R    4.28  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      35.54     8.20   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.49    41.97R   14.14  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      35.36     7.96   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    41.33R   13.76  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      32.12     7.65   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    59.60R   27.11  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.53     8.47   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.82    32.71R    9.90  
Charlton        13    8  -11      33.57     8.08   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    51.26R   20.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      87.93     8.74    36.74    34.37    55.92    90.95    64.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      86.63     9.06    32.86    28.74    49.55    87.42    59.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.92     9.15    19.85     9.52    21.16    66.30    32.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      76.72     9.27    19.70     5.24    13.21    53.31    23.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.96     9.24    17.36     5.15    13.40    54.20    21.79P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      78.77     9.02    30.47     7.45    18.80    63.98    31.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      74.68     9.09    25.02     3.54     9.65    46.10    20.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      75.25     9.08    22.08     3.70    10.04    48.85    20.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      70.86     9.18    13.90     1.46     4.42    29.54    10.65P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      60.35     8.99   -11.30     0.05     0.23     4.50     1.04P    2.48R    0.12  
Coventry         18   25   +1      61.55     9.14    -0.54     0.08     0.42     6.55     1.90P    1.69R    0.07  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.99     9.06   -10.39     0.04     0.20     5.46     1.06P    2.29R    0.15  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      63.02     9.26     2.54     0.17     0.64     8.89     2.40P    1.46R    0.12  
Colchester       18   24   +1      65.15     8.98     5.26     0.20     0.96    12.09     3.44P    0.74R    0.05  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.54     9.35     1.59     0.20     0.77     9.72     2.52P    1.38R    0.07  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.53     9.40    -0.91     0.09     0.46     6.96     1.63P    2.25R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      53.79     8.78   -16.26     0.01     0.04     1.05     0.23P    9.87R    0.82  
Leicester        18   22   -2      56.85     9.10    -6.43     0.03     0.12     2.25     0.57P    5.72R    0.43  
Luton            18   22   -8      53.33     8.84   -21.88     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.16P   11.71R    1.27  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.10     8.92   -14.26     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.17P   11.88R    1.18  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.64     8.71   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.84R   11.07  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.85     8.03   -46.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.11R   26.43  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.16     8.73   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    45.85R   10.94  
Southend         18   12  -16      34.95     7.93   -42.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.50R   47.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      91.70     8.83    34.70    56.27    75.48    96.28    81.66P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      81.91     8.91    30.41    13.88    33.11    78.92    47.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.96     9.22    18.75     6.41    18.16    62.46    28.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.37     9.37    20.09     6.17    17.82    61.00    30.29P    0.07R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.26     9.25    16.36     3.96    12.09    51.28    22.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.46     9.43    12.84     2.44     7.95    39.98    14.92P    0.21R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.68     9.39    23.44     5.79    16.09    59.12    27.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      71.94     9.53    15.57     2.19     7.47    38.74    14.40P    0.30R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.30     9.25     4.39     0.48     2.03    17.70     5.67P    1.15R    0.04  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.42     9.31     4.40     0.56     1.93    16.16     4.49P    1.75R    0.06  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.74     9.11    17.12     1.17     4.39    29.86    10.99P    0.41R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.53     9.30    -0.06     0.21     1.04    11.34     3.00P    2.70R    0.08  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.88     9.18    -7.11     0.07     0.33     5.54     1.30P    5.56R    0.17  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.03     9.38   -10.48     0.07     0.32     5.27     1.15P    7.61R    0.45  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.53     9.30    -9.24     0.04     0.23     4.25     1.04P    8.16R    0.31  
Bradford        18   22   +0      63.14     9.32     4.57     0.14     0.89    11.15     3.09P    3.17R    0.13  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      58.74     9.30    -3.79     0.05     0.34     4.92     1.26P    7.00R    0.29  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.15     9.16    -5.96     0.04     0.22     3.31     0.91P    9.19R    0.34  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.52     9.00    -3.19     0.04     0.11     2.58     0.76P   10.01R    0.43  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.74     8.44   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   64.44R   14.44  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.31     8.21   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   62.16R   13.26  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.54     8.58   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   59.69R   12.38  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.38     8.52   -39.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    77.60R   28.55  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.01     8.25   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.70R   29.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.20     7.85    55.98    78.56    97.67    99.94    98.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      89.74     8.69    44.97    12.73    72.21    96.96    78.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.01     9.10    24.50     3.00    35.97    83.97    49.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.25     9.42    24.84     3.27    37.23    83.61    50.45P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.75     9.47    15.39     1.05    17.64    65.83    27.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.90     9.16    15.14     0.54    12.44    58.96    23.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      72.41     9.39     7.62     0.31     8.51    46.91    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.57     9.29     6.77     0.10     3.31    28.80     9.07P    0.04R    0.01  
Bury             18   26   +0      61.95     9.10    -3.27     0.03     0.81    11.79     3.03P    0.39R    0.04  
Hereford         18   26   +0      63.85     9.18    -0.64     0.01     1.09    16.86     4.36P    0.23R    0.04  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.86     9.26    -0.28     0.01     1.02    14.63     3.99P    0.34R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.51     9.08   -12.78     0.00     0.17     4.21     1.00P    1.90R    0.22  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      61.17     9.17     0.37     0.01     0.67    10.78     2.98P    0.57R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      73.15     9.68    24.92     0.35    10.43    53.82    24.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.64     9.28    -6.27     0.00     0.19     4.09     1.16P    2.31R    0.25  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      55.99     9.14    -9.94     0.00     0.12     3.89     0.92P    2.23R    0.27  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.38     9.12   -14.01     0.00     0.14     3.44     0.79P    2.83R    0.37  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.48     9.46    -0.83     0.01     0.35     8.80     2.23P    1.27R    0.23  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.68     8.62   -33.38     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   23.91R    5.11  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.15     9.13   -12.04     0.00     0.03     1.22     0.28P    7.46R    1.17  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      49.68     9.23   -16.02     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.23P    9.72R    2.08  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.03     8.32   -40.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.20R   10.65  
Boston           18   16  -10      46.29     8.65   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   17.23R    3.75  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      28.23     8.10   -46.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.33R   75.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.40     7.52    63.00    73.70    99.94    86.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      97.72     8.28    57.99    25.61    99.14    54.23P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.80     9.04    10.87     0.17    45.32     9.21P    0.04R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      71.19     9.09     1.00     0.10    29.05     4.18P    0.15R    0.01  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.56     8.81     9.90     0.04    31.54     5.62P    0.10R    0.01  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      74.85     9.01    11.97     0.14    45.62     8.74P    0.07R    0.01  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.56     8.71     6.22     0.03    27.07     4.85P    0.12R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.91     8.90    17.79     0.11    38.39     8.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      72.89     8.91    27.68     0.10    39.62    10.71P    0.09R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      66.42     8.92     7.99     0.01    15.82     2.56P    0.76R    0.12  
Crawley            19   26   +0      64.03     9.10     1.41     0.01    10.71     1.73P    1.48R    0.14  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.36     8.64   -16.51     0.00     2.12     0.28P    6.91R    1.13  
Woking             19   25   +1      61.79     8.95     0.64     0.01     6.65     1.13P    2.53R    0.39  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.35     8.88   -16.24     0.00     2.73     0.34P    7.31R    1.23  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.48     8.89    -8.18     0.00     2.10     0.29P    8.80R    1.79  
Halifax            19   22   -3      56.56     9.03    -7.30     0.00     2.37     0.43P    8.43R    1.78  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.09     8.35   -17.62     0.00     0.34     0.03P   23.95R    6.48  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      52.12     8.76   -14.81     0.00     0.70     0.12P   18.38R    4.68  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.10     8.44   -22.73     0.00     0.23     0.04P   29.58R    8.66  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      50.30     8.41   -15.84     0.00     0.24     0.01P   23.35R    6.84  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.77     8.36   -28.92     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.58R   14.85  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.73     8.42   -25.06     0.00     0.07     0.00    35.49R   12.02  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      47.19     8.49   -17.39     0.00     0.13     0.03P   36.11R   13.09  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.19     8.29   -25.84     0.00     0.03     0.00    55.73R   26.75