Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 November 2006 at 21:32:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.60     6.57    68.55    87.79    98.14    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.79     8.00    38.23     9.60    61.75    92.92    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      64.01     8.64    18.72     0.22     5.37    39.93    69.45     0.03R    0.01  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      71.56     8.90    35.31     2.02    25.86    73.58    90.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.28     8.46    16.48     0.24     4.01    34.62    66.61     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.62     8.44    -2.29     0.01     0.44     6.57    22.12     0.81R    0.08  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.67     8.60    11.05     0.07     1.50    15.46    40.44     0.28R    0.03  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.56     8.65    -5.98     0.00     0.24     5.58    19.64     1.51R    0.15  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.63     9.09    10.33     0.04     2.08    19.29    45.84     0.34R    0.04  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.10     8.79     2.36     0.02     0.47     7.90    25.39     1.00R    0.12  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.64     8.63   -10.80     0.00     0.12     2.35     9.91     4.33R    0.51  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.63     7.90   -17.46     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.88    15.39R    2.62  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.23     8.30   -10.19     0.00     0.01     1.09     5.62     6.49R    0.80  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.25     7.88   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.88    24.95R    5.60  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.27     8.30   -17.14     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.93    18.52R    4.22  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      35.47     8.01   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.41    41.81R   14.07  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      34.73     7.87   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29    44.37R   14.60  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      32.16     7.75   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    59.32R   27.41  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.72     8.48   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.85    31.95R    9.72  
Charlton        13    8  -11      34.04     8.12   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    48.89R   20.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      88.03     8.76    36.93    34.84    56.80    91.11    65.81P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      86.46     8.94    32.52    28.03    48.59    87.06    58.73P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.53     9.10    19.24     8.49    19.82    64.70    30.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      77.20     9.14    20.39     5.59    14.23    55.33    24.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.70     9.22    16.97     5.20    12.90    52.77    20.98P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      79.05     9.20    30.96     8.49    19.73    65.06    32.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      75.15     9.03    25.83     3.73    10.11    48.65    21.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      75.31     9.10    22.18     3.31     9.73    48.65    20.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      70.86     9.24    14.01     1.44     4.06    29.64    10.27P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      60.14     8.92   -11.53     0.04     0.32     4.25     1.04P    2.46R    0.10  
Coventry         18   25   +1      62.13     9.23     0.34     0.17     0.58     7.31     2.21P    1.66R    0.03  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.76     8.98   -10.63     0.07     0.26     4.87     0.99P    2.36R    0.12  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      62.47     9.26     1.52     0.09     0.54     8.30     2.04P    1.83R    0.09  
Colchester       18   24   +1      64.66     9.12     4.56     0.18     0.90    11.44     3.35P    0.83R    0.07  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.31     9.47     1.20     0.16     0.86     9.71     2.50P    1.54R    0.10  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.28     9.24    -1.33     0.10     0.41     6.30     1.67P    2.33R    0.08  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      54.11     8.66   -15.86     0.01     0.04     1.03     0.17P    9.25R    0.76  
Leicester        18   22   -2      57.06     8.98    -6.10     0.01     0.08     2.16     0.56P    5.45R    0.40  
Luton            18   22   -8      53.01     8.75   -22.23     0.01     0.03     0.76     0.15P   12.61R    1.47  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.11     8.85   -14.30     0.01     0.02     0.76     0.15P   11.77R    1.30  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.90     8.53   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    45.64R   10.31  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.90     7.96   -46.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   72.00R   26.48  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.13     8.80   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    46.24R   11.24  
Southend         18   12  -16      35.05     8.05   -42.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   47.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      92.17     8.62    35.30    57.55    76.75    97.11    82.68P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      81.75     8.91    30.11    13.56    32.91    78.05    46.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.62     9.37    18.32     6.07    17.71    61.27    27.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.91     9.36    20.88     6.83    18.95    62.88    31.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.45     9.12    16.54     3.73    12.07    52.45    22.36P    0.08R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.46     9.35    12.71     2.27     7.47    39.72    14.53P    0.20R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.74     9.38    23.40     5.34    15.97    59.12    27.66P    0.09R    0.01  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.24     9.29    15.88     2.11     7.38    40.08    14.63P    0.26R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.25     9.36     4.38     0.41     1.89    18.09     5.56P    1.22R    0.01  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.20     9.34     4.07     0.41     1.74    15.79     4.17P    1.75R    0.04  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.46     9.13    16.74     1.11     4.04    28.93    10.66P    0.48R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.06     9.43    -0.78     0.20     0.93    10.79     2.79P    3.52R    0.15  
Brighton        18   24   -3      60.10     9.16    -6.69     0.05     0.32     5.96     1.40P    5.43R    0.25  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.09     9.20   -10.32     0.06     0.28     5.01     1.02P    7.35R    0.35  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.77     9.22    -8.89     0.05     0.23     4.26     0.93P    7.76R    0.42  
Bradford        18   22   +0      62.66     9.35     3.93     0.12     0.81    10.29     2.84P    3.40R    0.17  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      58.95     9.30    -3.48     0.07     0.34     4.98     1.25P    7.09R    0.28  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.11     9.00    -6.02     0.03     0.10     2.85     0.81P    9.21R    0.51  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.30     8.81    -3.45     0.04     0.12     2.23     0.62P    9.80R    0.39  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.26     8.31   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.88R   15.62  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.17     8.29   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    62.69R   14.48  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      44.12     8.61   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.65R   10.78  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.36     8.28   -39.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   77.73R   27.36  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.05     8.39   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   78.36R   29.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.35     7.86    56.44    78.44    97.58    99.95    98.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      89.74     8.84    45.08    12.62    72.19    96.56    78.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      81.99     9.23    24.41     3.22    35.45    83.86    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.87     9.09    25.55     3.46    39.97    85.98    53.67P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.64     9.34    15.18     0.92    17.33    65.25    26.73P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.45     9.07    14.41     0.51    11.21    57.30    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.90     9.23     6.76     0.26     7.20    44.98    14.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.82     9.36     7.13     0.10     3.71    30.26     9.72P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             18   26   +0      61.77     9.14    -3.48     0.01     0.71    11.54     3.03P    0.54R    0.04  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.07     9.15    -0.21     0.04     1.47    17.23     4.69P    0.22R    0.03  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.44     9.11    -0.77     0.01     1.02    13.26     4.00P    0.33R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.73     8.82   -12.44     0.00     0.14     3.98     0.93P    1.48R    0.14  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      61.04     9.33     0.16     0.01     0.74    11.43     3.24P    0.60R    0.09  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      73.11     9.66    24.85     0.40    10.31    54.30    24.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.39     9.30    -6.78     0.00     0.14     3.73     0.98P    2.55R    0.26  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      56.14     9.18    -9.72     0.00     0.14     4.34     0.96P    2.15R    0.28  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.40     9.08   -13.92     0.00     0.10     3.41     0.75P    2.73R    0.37  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.64     9.43    -0.57     0.01     0.54     9.35     2.70P    1.15R    0.20  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.61     8.67   -33.74     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   24.00R    5.67  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.56     9.22   -11.50     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.42P    7.08R    1.19  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      49.85     9.34   -15.80     0.00     0.03     1.17     0.30P    9.99R    2.33  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      40.94     8.33   -40.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    40.88R   11.51  
Boston           18   16  -10      45.93     8.69   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P   18.07R    4.41  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      28.63     8.09   -45.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.09R   73.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.89     7.39    63.90    74.77    99.97    87.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      97.92     8.28    58.19    24.56    99.16    54.36P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.20     9.11    10.02     0.15    42.12     8.15P    0.04R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      70.64     8.96     0.26     0.07    26.97     3.83P    0.17R    0.01  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      72.26     8.70    10.90     0.07    34.35     5.94P    0.07R    0.01  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      75.13     9.22    12.40     0.17    47.19     8.86P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             19   31   +2      71.33     9.07     7.17     0.04    31.05     5.80P    0.14R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.59     8.89    17.32     0.07    37.34     8.45P    0.07R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      72.65     8.85    27.26     0.09    39.23    10.31P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      65.96     9.03     7.32     0.01    14.95     2.46P    0.88R    0.10  
Crawley            19   26   +0      63.93     8.85     1.30     0.00     9.93     1.48P    1.21R    0.12  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.64     8.86   -16.07     0.00     2.69     0.38P    6.74R    1.21  
Woking             19   25   +1      61.80     8.82     0.63     0.01     6.40     1.06P    2.17R    0.32  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.43     8.97   -16.20     0.00     2.63     0.28P    7.29R    1.47  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.17     8.92    -8.85     0.00     1.86     0.20P    9.44R    2.00  
Halifax            19   22   -3      56.99     8.97    -6.54     0.00     2.40     0.43P    7.42R    1.52  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.08     8.34   -17.76     0.00     0.28     0.04P   24.35R    6.65  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      52.04     8.70   -15.01     0.00     0.69     0.10P   18.50R    4.43  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.19     8.46   -22.54     0.00     0.24     0.01P   28.75R    8.48  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      50.26     8.33   -15.88     0.00     0.20     0.01P   23.66R    6.67  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.34     8.46   -29.69     0.00     0.10     0.03P   42.48R   16.07  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.62     8.43   -25.21     0.00     0.09     0.01P   35.44R   12.19  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      47.13     8.58   -17.56     0.00     0.13     0.02P   36.77R   12.72  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.52     8.51   -25.36     0.00     0.02     0.00    54.30R   25.98