Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 November 2006 at 21:32:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.44     6.61    68.41    87.58    97.95    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.40     8.16    37.57     9.46    60.10    91.36    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      64.45     8.57    19.28     0.26     6.02    41.33    70.75     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      71.91     8.69    36.03     2.37    26.21    74.84    91.54     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.69     8.43    17.00     0.23     4.66    35.98    68.25     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.69     8.42    -2.13     0.00     0.51     6.70    22.34     0.70R    0.05  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.60     8.69    11.09     0.05     1.60    14.94    39.91     0.29R    0.04  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.43     8.71    -6.21     0.00     0.30     5.30    19.09     1.44R    0.14  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.27     9.03     9.57     0.06     2.09    17.73    43.59     0.43R    0.04  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      53.79     8.94     1.80     0.00     0.42     7.73    24.74     1.14R    0.10  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.74     8.48   -10.46     0.00     0.09     2.23     9.69     4.00R    0.49  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.72     7.97   -17.41     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.81    15.99R    2.70  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.17     8.44   -10.41     0.00     0.03     1.17     5.72     7.19R    1.00  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      38.97     7.84   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.80    25.57R    5.98  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.36     8.30   -17.04     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.92    18.05R    4.02  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      35.93     7.93   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32    39.16R   12.74  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      34.69     7.84   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    44.85R   14.88  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      31.87     7.52   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    61.33R   28.46  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.94     8.55   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.01    30.75R    9.39  
Charlton        13    8  -11      34.06     8.26   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23    49.09R   19.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      88.33     8.93    37.33    36.60    57.70    90.86    66.33P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      85.97     9.08    31.85    26.00    46.03    86.02    57.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.73     9.06    19.53     8.66    20.27    65.86    31.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      77.21     9.15    20.40     5.49    14.24    55.96    24.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.58     9.29    16.79     4.80    12.39    52.83    20.36P    0.04R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      78.91     9.16    30.75     7.92    19.42    64.45    32.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      75.09     9.16    25.73     3.93    10.60    48.57    22.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      75.38     9.19    22.15     3.94    10.87    48.95    21.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      70.55     9.24    13.54     1.46     4.30    28.29    10.12P    0.17R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      59.90     9.20   -11.90     0.06     0.25     4.46     0.94P    3.23R    0.21  
Coventry         18   25   +1      61.76     9.20    -0.17     0.17     0.63     6.83     2.15P    1.70R    0.06  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.81     9.08   -10.56     0.06     0.25     5.16     0.99P    2.63R    0.18  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      62.48     9.27     1.50     0.20     0.64     8.37     2.17P    2.00R    0.09  
Colchester       18   24   +1      64.94     9.29     5.06     0.33     1.19    12.19     3.52P    0.94R    0.07  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      62.95     9.35     0.53     0.20     0.61     8.91     2.08P    1.70R    0.10  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.88     9.14    -0.40     0.12     0.41     6.94     1.81P    1.81R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      53.84     8.79   -16.20     0.01     0.03     1.05     0.19P   10.24R    0.86  
Leicester        18   22   -2      57.02     9.01    -6.15     0.03     0.10     2.40     0.62P    5.29R    0.39  
Luton            18   22   -8      53.12     8.77   -22.22     0.02     0.04     0.92     0.16P   12.56R    1.37  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.16     8.89   -14.22     0.00     0.04     0.81     0.17P   11.72R    1.27  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.93     8.62   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   46.58R   10.30  
Leeds            18   16  -17      39.25     8.18   -45.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.37R   25.71  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.38     8.97   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   45.91R   11.86  
Southend         18   12  -16      35.10     8.13   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.02R   47.42  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      92.31     8.87    35.56    58.80    77.26    96.78    82.98P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      81.58     8.91    29.88    12.65    32.55    77.88    46.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.56     9.39    18.22     6.07    17.69    61.32    28.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.72     9.32    20.64     6.22    18.28    62.28    30.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.38     9.21    16.48     4.04    12.24    52.08    22.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.13     9.42    12.29     1.95     7.20    38.83    14.07P    0.20R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.76     9.39    23.60     5.39    16.37    59.34    27.84P    0.08R    0.01  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.24     9.29    15.91     2.25     7.39    40.09    14.51P    0.20R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.68     9.10     5.03     0.35     1.98    18.34     5.68P    1.00R    0.01  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.27     9.49     4.07     0.53     1.88    16.30     4.62P    1.86R    0.06  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.42     9.25    16.67     1.14     4.12    29.11    10.64P    0.48R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.37     9.33    -0.29     0.23     0.96    11.35     2.88P    3.09R    0.11  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.60     9.21    -7.56     0.07     0.34     5.46     1.30P    6.36R    0.18  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.46     9.29    -9.88     0.06     0.35     5.62     1.20P    6.53R    0.30  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.65     9.35    -9.11     0.04     0.18     4.54     1.09P    8.30R    0.45  
Bradford        18   22   +0      62.59     9.43     3.76     0.12     0.74    10.32     2.85P    3.71R    0.21  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      58.52     9.41    -4.12     0.04     0.24     5.01     1.14P    7.76R    0.36  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.70     9.04    -6.56     0.02     0.10     2.62     0.67P   10.34R    0.59  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.68     8.89    -3.01     0.04     0.10     2.51     0.71P    9.54R    0.53  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.92     8.38   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    63.66R   14.29  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.26     8.31   -31.10     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.01P   62.29R   13.73  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.90     8.72   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P   58.03R   11.94  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.73     8.48   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   76.64R   27.23  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      38.87     8.09   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.80R   30.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.48     7.72    56.48    78.50    97.91    99.97    98.74P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      90.06     8.70    45.62    13.27    73.05    97.09    79.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.06     9.00    24.50     2.79    34.76    84.78    49.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.93     9.17    25.74     3.29    39.81    85.95    53.57P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.57     9.32    14.97     0.77    16.79    65.00    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.69     9.18    14.79     0.66    11.88    58.14    22.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.77     9.43     6.57     0.26     7.52    44.40    14.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.65     9.36     6.96     0.06     3.29    29.49     9.37P    0.10R    0.01  
Bury             18   26   +0      61.80     9.10    -3.46     0.00     0.81    11.52     2.94P    0.41R    0.04  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.00     9.22    -0.43     0.01     1.25    17.40     4.87P    0.24R    0.04  
Stockport        18   25   +0      63.13     9.32     0.09     0.03     1.26    15.35     4.39P    0.36R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      55.99     8.96   -13.29     0.00     0.20     3.73     0.84P    1.82R    0.18  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      60.60     9.08    -0.46     0.00     0.50     9.47     2.65P    0.54R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      73.13     9.56    24.94     0.35    10.07    54.12    24.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.66     9.25    -6.33     0.00     0.12     3.92     0.99P    2.69R    0.39  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      56.25     9.26    -9.59     0.00     0.20     4.38     1.04P    2.19R    0.28  
Barnet           18   21   -6      54.92     9.14   -14.82     0.00     0.09     3.19     0.65P    3.33R    0.37  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.57     9.35    -0.59     0.01     0.41     8.80     2.26P    1.18R    0.20  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.99     8.74   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   22.83R    4.65  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.73     9.24   -11.27     0.00     0.04     1.67     0.36P    6.93R    0.98  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      50.33     9.29   -15.09     0.01     0.04     1.19     0.22P    8.77R    1.79  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.06     8.29   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.19R    9.79  
Boston           18   16  -10      45.84     8.47   -25.46     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   18.00R    3.60  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      27.76     7.89   -47.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.38R   77.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.63     7.49    63.41    73.74    99.92    86.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      98.17     8.12    58.54    25.67    99.42    54.84P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.51     8.94    10.53     0.10    43.60     8.44P    0.03R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      70.84     8.92     0.47     0.07    28.14     3.71P    0.16R    0.02  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.97     8.76    10.46     0.03    33.59     5.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      74.87     9.04    12.00     0.12    45.83     8.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.92     8.82     6.74     0.07    29.24     5.34P    0.12R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.88     8.90    17.78     0.07    38.89     8.85P    0.09R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      72.64     8.98    27.22     0.12    38.72    10.64P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      65.81     9.09     7.10     0.01    14.88     2.69P    0.84R    0.09  
Crawley            19   26   +0      63.80     9.14     1.09     0.00    10.10     1.56P    1.65R    0.21  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.52     8.78   -16.28     0.00     2.49     0.27P    6.78R    1.07  
Woking             19   25   +1      62.05     8.76     0.94     0.01     6.55     1.16P    1.98R    0.31  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.27     8.86   -16.55     0.00     2.25     0.18P    7.66R    1.57  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.50     8.84    -8.17     0.00     1.86     0.27P    8.50R    1.81  
Halifax            19   22   -3      57.16     8.95    -6.31     0.00     2.65     0.44P    7.33R    1.52  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.37     8.31   -17.16     0.00     0.32     0.02P   23.05R    6.08  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      51.87     8.72   -15.26     0.00     0.57     0.07P   19.23R    4.70  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.51     8.45   -22.02     0.00     0.28     0.04P   27.11R    7.88  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      50.20     8.45   -16.04     0.00     0.27     0.03P   24.32R    6.86  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.26     8.22   -29.72     0.00     0.12     0.00    42.70R   15.66  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.81     8.44   -24.76     0.00     0.18     0.01P   34.50R   11.48  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      46.94     8.47   -17.91     0.00     0.12     0.01P   37.08R   13.29  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.01     8.22   -26.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.69R   27.41