Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 November 2006 at 21:32:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.13     6.71    67.45    86.46    97.79    99.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.61     8.02    37.94    10.06    60.27    92.17    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      64.24     8.58    19.11     0.22     5.71    39.85    69.68     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      71.96     8.82    36.01     2.74    27.19    75.02    90.86     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.98     8.49    17.44     0.38     4.57    37.74    69.64     0.04R    0.01  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.45     8.21    -2.40     0.01     0.45     6.08    20.75     0.67R    0.06  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.74     8.52    11.32     0.06     1.43    15.15    40.77     0.24R    0.01  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.46     8.79    -6.23     0.01     0.33     5.26    19.29     1.84R    0.20  
Wigan           12   18   +3      57.92     8.91     9.15     0.06     1.61    16.29    41.61     0.34R    0.04  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.36     8.85     2.64     0.01     0.51     8.20    26.36     1.02R    0.07  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.75     8.67   -10.44     0.00     0.10     2.19    10.12     4.25R    0.53  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.18     7.80   -18.14     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.50    16.84R    3.06  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.57     8.38   -10.02     0.00     0.04     1.25     6.22     5.96R    0.76  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.40     7.73   -22.69     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.94    23.45R    4.64  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.47     8.40   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.36     2.04    18.00R    4.07  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      35.56     8.02   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.48    40.97R   13.49  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      34.52     7.92   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    45.64R   15.46  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      31.91     7.50   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    60.02R   27.39  
Watford         13    9   -9      38.01     8.49   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.78    30.21R    9.06  
Charlton        13    8  -11      33.78     8.44   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    50.48R   21.16  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      88.26     8.71    37.31    36.20    57.89    91.69    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      86.28     9.06    32.28    26.93    47.88    86.92    58.26P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.95     9.07    19.87     9.22    21.30    66.37    32.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      77.11     9.16    20.34     5.54    13.85    54.92    24.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.74     9.10    17.15     4.67    12.29    53.08    20.68P    0.03R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      79.20     9.01    31.09     8.32    20.01    65.93    33.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      74.43     9.04    24.75     3.22     8.99    45.41    19.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      75.22     8.96    21.92     3.39     9.62    48.27    20.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      70.87     9.06    14.04     1.54     4.35    29.39    10.28P    0.10R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      59.97     9.09   -11.83     0.03     0.20     4.29     0.93P    2.71R    0.17  
Coventry         18   25   +1      61.91     9.13     0.03     0.15     0.41     6.92     2.02P    1.57R    0.05  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.85     8.98   -10.53     0.03     0.23     4.83     0.94P    2.27R    0.11  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      62.89     9.30     2.23     0.14     0.70     8.83     2.33P    1.75R    0.14  
Colchester       18   24   +1      65.12     9.01     5.33     0.24     0.94    12.22     3.46P    0.65R    0.04  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.21     9.41     1.00     0.23     0.71     9.43     2.35P    1.49R    0.10  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.60     9.15    -0.84     0.11     0.42     6.42     1.54P    1.99R    0.09  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      53.98     8.82   -15.98     0.01     0.04     1.11     0.23P    9.83R    0.82  
Leicester        18   22   -2      57.02     9.02    -6.26     0.02     0.10     2.27     0.47P    5.61R    0.43  
Luton            18   22   -8      52.98     8.94   -22.43     0.01     0.01     0.86     0.15P   13.19R    1.54  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.28     8.73   -14.08     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.17P   10.81R    0.92  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.98     8.49   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.84R    9.77  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.83     8.04   -46.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.36R   26.53  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      43.91     8.75   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.81R   11.58  
Southend         18   12  -16      34.85     8.10   -43.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.92R   47.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      91.90     8.78    34.91    56.44    75.60    96.51    81.25P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      82.57     8.89    31.28    15.13    36.50    80.90    50.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.59     9.31    18.30     6.38    17.70    61.30    27.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.34     9.27    20.15     5.80    17.00    60.59    29.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      74.96     9.22    15.91     3.86    11.50    50.20    21.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.52     9.52    12.82     2.44     7.84    40.29    15.17P    0.18R    0.01  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.51     9.44    23.19     5.37    15.71    58.15    27.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.07     9.26    15.54     1.99     6.95    38.86    13.42P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.34     9.12     4.45     0.40     1.92    17.57     5.36P    1.05R    0.01  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.76     9.39     5.02     0.59     2.04    17.73     4.91P    1.61R    0.06  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.53     9.16    16.83     0.97     4.10    29.84    10.93P    0.51R    0.00  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.25     9.31    -0.49     0.15     0.89    11.15     2.90P    3.13R    0.11  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.65     9.16    -7.50     0.06     0.28     5.53     1.25P    6.13R    0.27  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.56     9.21    -9.51     0.06     0.30     5.51     1.11P    6.50R    0.36  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      57.98     9.13   -10.13     0.03     0.17     3.65     0.75P    8.68R    0.45  
Bradford        18   22   +0      63.06     9.45     4.53     0.20     0.92    11.35     3.38P    3.12R    0.18  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      58.97     9.38    -3.53     0.09     0.33     5.42     1.39P    7.06R    0.28  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.47     9.06    -6.86     0.01     0.13     2.62     0.67P   10.70R    0.56  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.71     8.97    -2.89     0.03     0.12     2.68     0.73P    9.36R    0.54  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.49     8.50   -30.82     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   65.42R   15.83  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.14     8.24   -31.42     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.01P   63.15R   14.27  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.80     8.40   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.21R   11.68  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.39     8.37   -39.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.53R   28.52  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.52     8.20   -35.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.32R   26.86  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.50     7.81    56.61    78.47    97.78    99.98    98.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      90.11     8.74    45.65    13.49    73.56    96.92    79.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.14     9.00    24.56     2.72    35.41    85.13    49.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.45     9.27    25.02     3.06    37.41    84.39    51.44P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      77.03     9.55    15.70     1.08    18.89    66.48    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.61     9.08    14.63     0.53    11.22    57.97    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.84     9.33     6.62     0.23     7.18    45.05    14.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.72     9.47     6.96     0.06     3.56    30.09     9.77P    0.11R    0.01  
Bury             18   26   +0      62.04     9.19    -3.11     0.01     0.77    12.12     3.17P    0.34R    0.01  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.12     9.23    -0.12     0.02     1.47    17.87     5.05P    0.22R    0.03  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.65     9.18    -0.53     0.02     0.88    13.87     3.78P    0.34R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.71     9.01   -12.59     0.00     0.19     4.54     1.07P    1.73R    0.20  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      60.60     9.12    -0.49     0.01     0.55     9.93     2.81P    0.58R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      72.92     9.61    24.64     0.28    10.23    53.12    23.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.64     9.16    -6.38     0.00     0.14     3.92     0.95P    2.32R    0.36  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      55.93     9.02   -10.13     0.00     0.11     3.76     0.72P    2.27R    0.26  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.30     9.18   -14.15     0.00     0.14     3.65     0.86P    3.10R    0.43  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.22     9.41    -1.30     0.01     0.42     8.23     2.21P    1.39R    0.21  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.74     8.62   -33.24     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.07P   23.82R    4.74  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.30     9.21   -11.74     0.00     0.06     1.35     0.33P    7.41R    1.11  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      50.08     9.03   -15.40     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.21P    8.78R    1.85  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.09     8.33   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    40.09R    9.96  
Boston           18   16  -10      46.38     8.75   -24.56     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.10P   17.64R    3.86  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      27.92     7.95   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.83R   76.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.54     7.45    63.36    74.13    99.97    86.45P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      97.75     8.21    57.74    25.25    99.11    54.47P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      73.99     9.06     9.72     0.10    41.59     7.91P    0.01R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      70.77     9.05     0.36     0.06    27.71     3.92P    0.18R    0.03  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.66     8.82    10.05     0.04    32.08     5.92P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      75.16     9.21    12.41     0.17    47.26     9.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.76     8.98     6.57     0.04    28.18     5.18P    0.14R    0.03  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.95     8.92    17.89     0.07    38.88     8.74P    0.06R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      73.09     8.90    28.05     0.11    40.76    10.87P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      66.12     9.12     7.50     0.03    15.18     2.54P    0.68R    0.06  
Crawley            19   26   +0      64.10     9.07     1.48     0.01    10.54     1.76P    1.42R    0.17  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.48     8.86   -16.36     0.00     2.52     0.36P    6.93R    1.18  
Woking             19   25   +1      62.29     8.79     1.40     0.00     7.10     1.20P    1.90R    0.23  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.54     8.94   -16.03     0.00     2.63     0.35P    7.40R    1.37  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.60     8.84    -7.95     0.00     2.17     0.27P    8.01R    1.79  
Halifax            19   22   -3      57.11     9.03    -6.35     0.00     2.70     0.51P    7.37R    1.27  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.35     8.27   -17.28     0.00     0.27     0.02P   22.95R    6.05  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      51.90     8.67   -15.25     0.00     0.71     0.10P   18.53R    4.54  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.20     8.48   -22.58     0.00     0.23     0.02P   29.22R    8.64  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      50.14     8.35   -16.18     0.00     0.16     0.02P   24.06R    6.90  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.29     8.36   -29.73     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.27R   15.61  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.45     8.44   -25.42     0.00     0.10     0.01P   36.20R   12.61  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      47.10     8.52   -17.60     0.00     0.10     0.01P   36.82R   13.03  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.21     8.37   -25.79     0.00     0.01     0.01P   55.63R   26.48