Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 November 2006 at 21:32:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.40     6.68    68.25    86.98    97.94    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.82     8.04    38.06    10.19    61.53    92.52    98.39     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      63.79     8.63    18.39     0.19     5.24    37.58    67.76     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      71.78     8.70    35.78     2.15    25.41    74.52    91.09     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.89     8.59    17.44     0.35     5.08    37.70    68.59     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.94     8.33    -1.77     0.01     0.45     6.84    22.57     0.68R    0.02  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.93     8.59    11.61     0.05     1.42    15.87    41.55     0.19R    0.01  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.55     8.51    -5.98     0.00     0.28     5.17    19.14     1.30R    0.11  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.13     9.03     9.50     0.07     2.08    17.41    42.59     0.43R    0.03  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.37     8.94     2.75     0.01     0.43     8.60    26.93     0.94R    0.08  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.18     8.50   -11.48     0.00     0.10     1.92     8.84     4.45R    0.58  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.34     7.96   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.23     1.75    16.21R    2.93  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.14     8.57   -10.53     0.00     0.04     1.19     6.00     7.33R    0.99  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.57     7.94   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.07    23.77R    5.19  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.33     8.24   -17.03     0.00     0.01     0.27     1.93    17.55R    3.84  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      34.98     7.98   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36    43.94R   15.24  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      35.01     7.96   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28    42.96R   13.93  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      32.03     7.60   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    60.31R   27.27  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.81     8.52   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.79    31.11R    9.61  
Charlton        13    8  -11      34.08     8.42   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22    48.78R   20.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      87.90     8.82    36.51    34.79    55.99    90.72    65.06P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      86.12     9.25    31.97    27.41    47.38    85.92    57.38P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.87     8.89    19.76     8.95    20.52    66.89    31.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      77.15     9.27    20.37     5.80    14.62    55.03    24.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.87     9.26    17.36     5.45    13.64    53.94    21.94P    0.03R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      78.37     9.14    29.89     7.12    17.97    62.52    30.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      74.85     9.17    25.44     3.75    10.02    47.79    21.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      75.44     9.09    22.35     4.15    10.85    49.33    21.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      71.26     9.08    14.67     1.57     4.74    31.04    10.80P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      60.47     9.06   -11.16     0.09     0.36     4.84     1.21P    2.47R    0.12  
Coventry         18   25   +1      61.56     9.20    -0.49     0.14     0.60     6.59     2.02P    2.00R    0.09  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.49     8.85   -11.05     0.03     0.20     4.29     0.82P    2.60R    0.17  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      63.06     9.19     2.62     0.18     0.76     8.91     2.44P    1.36R    0.10  
Colchester       18   24   +1      64.57     9.04     4.31     0.26     0.98    11.09     3.12P    0.89R    0.06  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.24     9.24     1.06     0.19     0.74     9.28     2.29P    1.32R    0.06  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.42     9.09    -1.04     0.09     0.42     6.29     1.70P    1.82R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      54.40     8.91   -15.23     0.01     0.05     1.29     0.24P    9.13R    0.79  
Leicester        18   22   -2      57.27     8.97    -5.81     0.03     0.10     2.33     0.60P    5.08R    0.42  
Luton            18   22   -8      52.88     8.72   -22.56     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.15P   12.62R    1.35  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.13     8.89   -14.11     0.01     0.02     0.97     0.18P   11.61R    1.03  
Hull             18   16   -9      44.23     8.49   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.48R    9.09  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.79     7.94   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.67R   26.82  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.01     8.92   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   46.84R   12.29  
Southend         18   12  -16      34.90     7.87   -42.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   47.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      92.15     8.74    35.44    57.80    76.97    96.89    82.74P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      82.22     8.89    30.88    13.92    34.77    79.72    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.70     9.32    18.39     6.46    18.03    61.65    28.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.62     9.25    20.47     6.33    17.84    61.90    29.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.21     9.29    16.31     3.58    12.01    51.45    22.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.53     9.63    12.87     2.60     7.95    40.34    15.22P    0.23R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.37     9.24    22.90     4.74    14.25    57.81    26.23P    0.08R    0.00  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.04     9.37    15.61     1.93     7.10    38.96    13.96P    0.32R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.04     9.20     4.08     0.47     1.96    16.86     5.21P    1.15R    0.03  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.47     9.39     4.41     0.55     1.93    16.56     4.53P    1.63R    0.04  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.53     9.07    16.81     0.99     4.09    29.25    10.77P    0.46R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.75     9.14     0.30     0.20     0.83    11.54     2.77P    2.64R    0.07  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.79     9.39    -7.11     0.04     0.40     6.01     1.48P    6.08R    0.28  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.06     9.04   -10.46     0.06     0.27     4.76     1.00P    6.68R    0.28  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.02     9.23   -10.03     0.04     0.17     3.69     0.82P    8.95R    0.50  
Bradford        18   22   +0      63.17     9.46     4.63     0.19     0.90    11.77     3.27P    3.12R    0.10  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      59.15     9.33    -3.06     0.04     0.32     5.76     1.45P    6.62R    0.27  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.10     8.97    -5.96     0.04     0.15     2.77     0.76P    8.98R    0.41  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.91     8.64    -2.73     0.02     0.07     2.17     0.56P    8.35R    0.34  
Millwall        18   17  -11      41.97     8.34   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    67.87R   16.45  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.24     8.34   -31.14     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.01P   61.69R   13.86  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.78     8.54   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   58.34R   11.89  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.14     8.36   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.86R   28.40  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.31     8.31   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.80R   27.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.56     7.78    56.65    79.03    97.56    99.95    98.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      90.10     8.75    45.97    12.85    73.36    96.99    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.38     9.04    24.90     3.17    37.02    85.36    51.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.70     9.26    25.37     3.02    38.98    85.38    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.52     9.29    14.91     0.69    16.95    65.03    26.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.51     9.15    14.54     0.56    11.16    57.81    22.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.58     9.30     6.30     0.22     6.83    43.78    14.06P    0.02R    0.01  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.59     9.25     6.81     0.04     3.30    28.66     8.92P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             18   26   +0      62.37     9.18    -2.61     0.01     0.92    13.06     3.44P    0.34R    0.01  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.03     9.26    -0.26     0.01     1.42    17.73     4.68P    0.24R    0.03  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.97     9.27    -0.14     0.01     1.07    15.07     4.39P    0.33R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.66     9.00   -12.43     0.01     0.23     4.34     1.07P    1.55R    0.15  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      60.70     9.09    -0.31     0.01     0.55    10.21     2.68P    0.63R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      72.77     9.74    24.31     0.35     9.74    52.92    23.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.58     9.17    -6.52     0.00     0.17     3.71     0.94P    2.48R    0.30  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      56.15     9.16    -9.70     0.00     0.14     4.07     0.94P    2.46R    0.32  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.06     9.05   -14.49     0.00     0.07     3.52     0.73P    3.29R    0.48  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.47     9.59    -0.81     0.00     0.47     9.41     2.50P    1.64R    0.30  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.74     8.65   -33.51     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   23.62R    5.33  
Torquay          18   18   -6      50.83     8.97   -12.38     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.31P    7.74R    1.36  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      49.96     9.25   -15.50     0.00     0.04     1.31     0.32P    9.44R    2.02  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.13     8.37   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.88R   10.59  
Boston           18   16  -10      46.29     8.67   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   17.36R    3.81  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      28.22     8.09   -46.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R   75.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.69     7.40    63.49    75.19    99.94    87.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      97.76     8.19    57.87    24.25    99.15    54.32P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.29     8.78    10.14     0.09    42.44     7.88P    0.04R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      70.49     9.14     0.03     0.04    27.06     3.81P    0.15R    0.03  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.50     8.72     9.82     0.03    31.30     5.16P    0.10R    0.00  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      74.64     9.20    11.70     0.12    44.76     8.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      71.22     9.17     7.20     0.05    30.54     5.75P    0.12R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      73.03     9.13    18.01     0.10    39.40     9.06P    0.12R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      73.37     8.82    28.44     0.12    42.17    11.59P    0.07R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      65.94     9.20     7.27     0.01    15.12     2.58P    1.00R    0.09  
Crawley            19   26   +0      64.01     9.04     1.40     0.00    10.56     1.67P    1.36R    0.14  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.63     8.74   -16.06     0.00     2.35     0.28P    6.55R    1.19  
Woking             19   25   +1      62.06     8.73     1.00     0.00     6.46     1.08P    2.16R    0.28  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.40     8.92   -16.23     0.00     2.53     0.24P    7.39R    1.38  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.67     8.96    -7.87     0.00     2.08     0.33P    8.30R    1.77  
Halifax            19   22   -3      56.72     9.03    -6.99     0.00     2.40     0.41P    7.92R    1.64  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.31     8.32   -17.34     0.00     0.26     0.03P   23.52R    5.93  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      52.19     8.82   -14.86     0.00     0.68     0.07P   18.54R    4.59  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.26     8.57   -22.41     0.00     0.28     0.04P   28.86R    8.45  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      50.07     8.46   -16.19     0.00     0.20     0.03P   24.90R    7.26  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.13     8.18   -30.16     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.70R   15.70  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.53     8.48   -25.36     0.00     0.12     0.01P   35.98R   12.23  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      47.42     8.61   -17.20     0.00     0.14     0.02P   34.97R   12.12  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.24     8.68   -25.70     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.16R   27.17