Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 November 2006 at 21:32:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Blackburn vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.41     6.59    68.15    88.09    98.08    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.27     7.99    37.33     8.99    59.22    91.85    98.19     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      63.66     8.58    18.25     0.24     5.33    37.31    67.47     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      72.01     8.83    36.19     2.27    27.62    75.09    90.69     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   22   +6      63.87     8.59    17.30     0.20     4.92    38.07    68.68     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.46     8.32    -2.37     0.01     0.43     6.10    21.35     0.78R    0.07  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.93     8.55    11.68     0.09     1.57    15.93    41.60     0.27R    0.03  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.52     8.59    -6.15     0.01     0.24     5.14    18.93     1.59R    0.17  
Wigan           12   18   +3      58.65     8.83    10.33     0.07     1.93    18.10    45.08     0.28R    0.04  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.24     8.75     2.48     0.03     0.51     8.26    26.20     0.79R    0.06  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.45     8.64   -11.06     0.00     0.09     2.27     9.45     4.70R    0.64  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.47     7.98   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.66    16.44R    2.79  
Tottenham       13   16   -5      46.13     8.39   -10.46     0.00     0.03     1.08     5.59     6.92R    0.93  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.28     8.03   -22.86     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.08    24.80R    5.84  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.50     8.50   -16.80     0.00     0.01     0.32     2.08    18.45R    4.16  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      35.69     7.98   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.43    40.26R   13.36  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      34.58     7.91   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28    45.20R   15.41  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      31.81     7.58   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    61.31R   28.17  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.73     8.56   -17.62     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.86    31.95R   10.11  
Charlton        13    8  -11      34.45     8.23   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28    46.24R   18.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 November 2006, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      88.30     8.68    37.15    36.87    58.69    91.66    67.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      85.95     9.09    31.70    26.86    46.63    86.20    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.33     9.05    19.02     8.54    19.85    64.03    30.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      76.90     9.22    20.00     5.42    13.68    54.77    24.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.90     9.28    17.36     5.51    13.81    54.38    22.09P    0.04R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      78.59     9.07    30.14     7.45    18.75    63.64    31.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      74.76     9.01    25.26     3.25     9.53    47.17    21.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      74.98     9.10    21.61     3.51     9.89    47.41    19.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      71.07     9.10    14.29     1.35     4.62    30.48    10.88P    0.15R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      59.93     9.05   -11.87     0.07     0.23     4.24     0.93P    2.73R    0.10  
Coventry         18   25   +1      62.13     9.22     0.18     0.15     0.57     7.53     2.29P    1.57R    0.07  
Norwich          18   25   -6      60.92     9.05   -10.47     0.08     0.41     5.42     1.18P    2.40R    0.14  
Ipswich          18   24   +2      62.81     9.26     2.25     0.23     0.81     9.02     2.47P    1.45R    0.11  
Colchester       18   24   +1      65.00     9.05     5.01     0.27     1.05    12.14     3.50P    0.72R    0.04  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.67     9.31     1.71     0.24     0.85    10.20     2.72P    1.28R    0.07  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.60     9.26    -0.81     0.14     0.42     6.78     1.80P    2.23R    0.11  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      54.05     8.79   -15.79     0.01     0.06     1.02     0.19P    9.98R    0.89  
Leicester        18   22   -2      56.85     9.03    -6.41     0.03     0.07     2.29     0.56P    5.75R    0.39  
Luton            18   22   -8      52.99     8.58   -22.46     0.01     0.01     0.58     0.09P   12.50R    1.38  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.55     8.89   -13.54     0.01     0.03     0.94     0.18P   10.87R    0.94  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.80     8.68   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.67R   10.85  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.87     8.04   -46.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.13R   26.76  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.17     8.95   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    46.08R   12.21  
Southend         18   12  -16      35.20     8.09   -42.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.31R   45.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      91.88     8.83    34.96    57.23    76.14    96.47    81.98P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      81.69     8.89    30.04    13.28    33.16    78.45    47.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.46     9.23    18.03     6.14    16.94    60.86    26.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.51     9.35    20.35     6.64    18.40    61.70    30.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.45     9.16    16.60     3.75    12.21    52.55    23.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.39     9.41    12.64     2.43     7.83    39.63    14.97P    0.17R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.23     9.50    22.72     5.27    15.63    57.12    27.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.33     9.51    16.00     2.58     8.06    40.87    15.62P    0.26R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.96     9.13     5.31     0.52     2.38    19.50     6.31P    0.87R    0.01  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.58     9.40     4.51     0.57     1.96    16.79     4.67P    1.74R    0.07  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.25     9.16    16.41     1.04     4.06    28.72    10.58P    0.56R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.42     9.22    -0.17     0.20     0.98    11.18     2.88P    2.78R    0.09  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.56     9.18    -7.47     0.07     0.36     5.34     1.17P    6.25R    0.27  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      58.82     9.25   -10.80     0.03     0.24     4.80     0.95P    7.58R    0.41  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.61     9.26    -9.11     0.04     0.26     4.37     0.98P    7.83R    0.40  
Bradford        18   22   +0      62.49     9.38     3.57     0.08     0.68    10.16     2.81P    3.65R    0.20  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      59.03     9.37    -3.27     0.04     0.36     5.46     1.40P    6.57R    0.33  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.01     9.21    -6.08     0.04     0.22     3.29     0.90P    9.80R    0.59  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.61     8.96    -3.08     0.03     0.12     2.56     0.70P    9.92R    0.56  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.74     8.43   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   65.03R   14.90  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.40     8.27   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.00R   13.55  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.96     8.74   -25.10     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P   58.23R   12.09  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.43     8.35   -39.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.08R   28.17  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.24     8.16   -35.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.48R   28.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.22     7.93    56.21    77.52    97.24    99.87    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      89.86     8.86    45.38    13.08    72.03    96.69    78.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.58     9.01    25.24     3.27    37.06    85.83    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.98     9.26    25.74     3.71    39.82    85.78    53.55P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.71     9.42    15.30     1.01    17.32    65.40    27.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.59     9.20    14.58     0.52    11.46    57.64    22.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.61     9.52     6.35     0.30     7.29    43.74    14.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.73     9.29     7.05     0.06     3.17    29.60     9.18P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             18   26   +0      62.41     9.21    -2.57     0.03     0.88    13.29     3.46P    0.39R    0.06  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.30     9.23     0.04     0.01     1.49    18.30     5.00P    0.23R    0.01  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.73     9.21    -0.53     0.03     1.06    14.28     3.92P    0.30R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      55.95     8.89   -13.58     0.01     0.12     3.52     0.83P    2.15R    0.26  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      60.90     9.17     0.00     0.01     0.51    10.32     2.71P    0.66R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      72.96     9.70    24.66     0.43     9.75    53.11    23.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.40     9.28    -6.65     0.01     0.12     3.80     1.08P    2.69R    0.38  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      55.81     9.29   -10.27     0.01     0.09     4.08     0.89P    2.85R    0.39  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.43     9.06   -13.82     0.00     0.12     3.27     0.69P    2.92R    0.39  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.43     9.40    -1.02     0.01     0.40     8.79     2.17P    1.28R    0.23  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      45.15     8.60   -32.71     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   21.96R    4.55  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.12     9.10   -12.05     0.00     0.06     1.30     0.37P    7.47R    1.22  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      49.65     9.28   -16.25     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.21P   10.11R    2.56  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.28     8.28   -39.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.66R    9.82  
Boston           18   16  -10      46.15     8.60   -25.01     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   18.09R    3.69  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      28.02     8.03   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R   76.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.48     7.49    63.34    72.38    99.97    86.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      98.48     8.09    59.27    27.07    99.28    57.07P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.04     8.98     9.76     0.09    41.50     7.62P    0.03R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      71.07     9.05     0.87     0.06    29.07     4.03P    0.12R    0.03  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.72     8.94    10.07     0.06    32.52     5.46P    0.14R    0.00  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      74.70     9.04    11.70     0.13    44.82     7.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      71.08     9.03     7.01     0.04    29.67     5.46P    0.19R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.93     9.07    17.85     0.08    39.23     9.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Grays              19   26  +12      72.75     8.77    27.50     0.09    39.02    10.15P    0.09R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      66.44     9.04     8.01     0.02    16.16     2.85P    0.69R    0.07  
Crawley            19   26   +0      64.03     8.92     1.34     0.00    10.12     1.52P    1.36R    0.17  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.32     8.75   -16.59     0.00     2.31     0.27P    7.04R    1.15  
Woking             19   25   +1      62.21     8.92     1.29     0.00     7.19     1.18P    2.06R    0.30  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.47     9.09   -16.22     0.00     2.83     0.32P    8.10R    1.67  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.30     8.83    -8.63     0.00     1.79     0.23P    8.86R    1.82  
Halifax            19   22   -3      56.82     9.07    -6.91     0.00     2.58     0.40P    7.79R    1.65  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.06     8.37   -17.82     0.00     0.32     0.04P   23.85R    6.75  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      52.08     8.70   -14.98     0.00     0.67     0.08P   18.09R    4.42  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.23     8.53   -22.55     0.00     0.21     0.04P   28.65R    8.16  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      49.91     8.47   -16.50     0.00     0.24     0.04P   25.27R    7.28  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.36     8.34   -29.58     0.00     0.12     0.03P   41.91R   15.21  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.42     8.42   -25.53     0.00     0.14     0.02P   36.21R   12.61  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      47.38     8.74   -17.16     0.00     0.23     0.04P   35.05R   12.52  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.36     8.44   -25.54     0.00     0.02     0.01P   54.34R   26.20