Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 November 2006 at 21:32:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Middlesbrough vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    13   34  +23      92.03     6.76    67.46    85.08    97.83    99.88    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   31  +16      78.86     8.20    38.14    11.32    61.12    92.24    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23   +8      63.91     8.56    18.58     0.26     5.20    36.94    67.94     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal         12   22  +13      71.52     8.81    35.33     2.63    25.13    72.60    89.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.60     9.06    16.52     0.46     4.92    36.03    65.34     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          13   21   +0      53.66     8.37    -2.36     0.01     0.41     6.43    21.14     0.73R    0.04  
Everton         13   20   +6      57.74     8.54    11.12     0.06     1.40    14.93    39.85     0.28R    0.01  
Reading         13   19   -3      52.92     8.58    -5.22     0.01     0.29     5.32    19.68     1.33R    0.15  
Liverpool       13   18   -1      54.35     9.05     2.59     0.03     0.62     8.30    26.65     1.12R    0.14  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.51     9.46    11.00     0.12     2.91    23.00    48.65     0.41R    0.07  
Fulham          13   17   -5      48.81     8.55   -10.42     0.00     0.09     2.10     9.27     3.96R    0.45  
Manchester_C    13   16   -5      41.41     8.00   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.67    16.15R    2.85  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      45.90     8.89   -11.38     0.01     0.10     1.31     6.05     8.36R    1.52  
Middlesbrough   13   15   -6      39.50     7.91   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.11    23.53R    5.14  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.31     8.87   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.42     2.82    16.70R    3.94  
West_Ham        13   11   -7      34.93     7.98   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43    44.66R   15.10  
Newcastle       13   10   -7      34.89     7.93   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32    43.80R   14.38  
Sheffield_U     13   10  -10      31.86     7.69   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    60.74R   28.14  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.84     8.45   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.77    30.67R    9.31  
Charlton        13    8  -11      34.28     8.33   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    47.49R   18.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Luton vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   36  +14      88.33     8.74    37.31    36.76    58.22    91.62    67.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          18   36  +14      85.88     9.04    31.58    25.64    46.22    85.79    57.02P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       18   34   +8      79.80     9.00    19.75     8.85    20.18    66.03    31.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          18   31   +8      77.30     9.10    20.48     5.46    14.05    56.38    24.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            18   31   +5      76.87     9.16    17.31     5.01    13.05    53.56    21.22P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    18   29  +12      79.13     9.14    31.10     8.49    20.39    65.41    32.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            18   27  +10      75.31     9.16    26.09     4.15    10.70    49.65    22.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +6      74.93     9.05    21.57     3.42     9.30    46.65    19.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         18   27   +5      70.42     8.90    13.25     1.24     3.60    27.14     9.01P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   27   -5      59.86     8.98   -11.93     0.07     0.27     4.12     0.89P    2.59R    0.14  
Coventry         18   25   +1      61.67     8.95    -0.26     0.09     0.45     6.18     1.78P    1.62R    0.06  
Norwich          17   25   -4      63.54     9.55    -6.31     0.23     0.98     9.80     2.41P    1.56R    0.03  
Colchester       18   24   +1      64.71     8.97     4.66     0.17     0.83    11.19     2.98P    0.86R    0.03  
Queens_PR        18   24   +0      63.21     9.37     1.02     0.18     0.64     9.03     2.29P    1.53R    0.08  
Sunderland       18   23   -1      61.43     9.15    -0.98     0.08     0.34     6.33     1.51P    2.07R    0.08  
Sheffield_W      18   23   -4      53.43     8.69   -16.97     0.01     0.01     0.96     0.20P   10.53R    1.00  
Leicester        18   22   -2      57.12     9.14    -6.08     0.03     0.20     2.54     0.81P    5.62R    0.40  
Luton            18   22   -8      53.01     8.80   -22.38     0.00     0.03     0.71     0.10P   12.66R    1.34  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.37     9.54    -1.32     0.10     0.48     5.77     1.52P    3.42R    0.29  
Crystal_Palace   18   21   -4      53.40     8.94   -13.72     0.01     0.06     1.02     0.26P   11.07R    1.30  
Hull             18   16   -9      43.85     8.62   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.01P   46.25R   10.91  
Leeds            18   16  -17      38.88     7.99   -46.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.86R   26.86  
Barnsley         18   15  -14      44.18     8.85   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   45.62R   11.72  
Southend         18   12  -16      35.28     8.10   -42.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.53R   45.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Millwall vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      18   38  +12      91.87     8.87    34.92    57.22    75.88    96.44    81.94P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      18   32  +13      81.80     9.03    30.24    13.89    33.72    78.09    47.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    18   32   +7      77.54     9.32    18.14     6.13    17.46    60.88    27.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Tranmere        18   31   +8      77.44     9.25    20.27     6.11    17.48    60.99    29.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          18   31   +7      75.10     9.34    16.10     3.91    12.21    50.70    22.41P    0.07R    0.00  
Swansea         18   30   +6      72.37     9.40    12.62     2.33     7.47    40.06    14.39P    0.23R    0.00  
Oldham          18   29   +9      76.51     9.24    23.10     5.23    15.82    58.02    27.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham       18   28   +6      72.24     9.29    15.93     2.23     7.58    39.69    14.41P    0.22R    0.01  
Carlisle        18   27   +2      66.31     9.44     4.46     0.51     2.25    18.36     5.88P    1.25R    0.03  
Crewe           18   26   +3      65.47     9.38     4.46     0.51     1.98    16.73     4.69P    1.59R    0.05  
Blackpool       18   25   +7      69.91     9.14    17.42     1.25     4.44    31.12    12.04P    0.36R    0.01  
Huddersfield    18   24   -2      63.47     9.39    -0.11     0.24     1.09    11.45     2.98P    3.02R    0.14  
Brighton        18   24   -3      59.44     9.26    -7.76     0.07     0.42     5.40     1.35P    6.22R    0.28  
Gillingham      18   24   -4      59.03     9.18   -10.42     0.06     0.32     4.84     1.01P    7.41R    0.33  
Port_Vale       18   23   -5      58.53     9.42    -9.26     0.05     0.28     4.83     1.09P    8.10R    0.38  
Bradford        18   22   +0      63.24     9.51     4.87     0.18     1.02    11.87     3.54P    3.29R    0.16  
Chesterfield    18   22   -1      58.61     9.36    -3.98     0.04     0.32     4.86     1.20P    7.66R    0.36  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.23     9.02    -5.78     0.03     0.14     2.85     0.78P    8.84R    0.52  
Doncaster       18   21   -1      56.71     8.92    -2.83     0.01     0.10     2.62     0.79P    9.41R    0.46  
Millwall        18   17  -11      42.50     8.33   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   65.55R   15.24  
Brentford       18   17  -13      43.59     8.33   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   61.02R   12.79  
Bournemouth     18   16   -9      43.76     8.59   -25.37     0.01     0.01     0.08     0.02P   58.78R   12.14  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.28     8.35   -39.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.97R   28.52  
Cheltenham      18   15  -14      39.14     8.13   -35.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.89R   28.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Milton_Keynes vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          18   41  +22     102.52     7.80    56.63    78.91    97.58    99.97    98.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        18   35  +16      89.78     8.80    45.06    12.46    72.56    96.67    79.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     18   34  +10      82.37     9.13    24.92     3.38    37.02    85.45    50.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          18   34  +10      82.58     9.21    25.14     3.20    38.61    85.45    52.48P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    18   33   +6      76.40     9.32    14.69     0.83    16.77    65.04    26.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     18   31   +6      74.77     9.26    14.85     0.68    12.26    58.49    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     18   31   +3      71.49     9.43     6.09     0.15     6.87    44.13    13.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       18   27   +3      67.63     9.38     6.91     0.04     3.56    29.81     9.64P    0.10R    0.01  
Bury             18   26   +0      61.70     9.20    -3.62     0.01     0.70    12.10     2.96P    0.39R    0.02  
Hereford         18   26   +0      64.18     9.17    -0.09     0.01     1.43    18.01     5.08P    0.28R    0.03  
Stockport        18   25   +0      62.79     9.11    -0.28     0.01     1.04    14.62     4.18P    0.26R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   18   25   -4      56.83     9.02   -12.28     0.01     0.19     4.39     0.99P    1.71R    0.17  
Hartlepool       18   23   +0      60.87     9.17    -0.06     0.01     0.69    10.79     3.16P    0.61R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       17   22   +7      72.47     9.77    23.78     0.28     9.73    51.01    22.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Chester          18   21   -2      55.82     9.17    -6.12     0.01     0.16     4.11     1.14P    2.38R    0.30  
Mansfield        18   21   -4      55.93     9.09   -10.13     0.00     0.15     3.96     0.94P    2.44R    0.26  
Barnet           18   21   -6      55.43     9.03   -13.84     0.00     0.17     3.46     0.70P    3.06R    0.39  
Accrington       18   20   -2      59.48     9.44    -0.84     0.01     0.46     9.19     2.29P    1.30R    0.17  
Wrexham          17   19  -10      44.87     8.62   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   23.18R    5.09  
Torquay          18   18   -6      51.66     9.16   -11.30     0.00     0.04     1.62     0.43P    6.71R    1.01  
Rochdale         18   17   -7      50.03     9.36   -15.42     0.00     0.02     1.21     0.25P    9.52R    2.21  
Grimsby          18   17  -14      41.20     8.41   -39.59     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.03P   40.49R   10.56  
Boston           18   16  -10      46.06     8.68   -25.06     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   18.30R    3.81  
Macclesfield     18    6  -18      28.13     8.04   -46.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R   75.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 November 2006, Cambridge_U vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         19   44  +25     105.82     7.29    63.79    74.08    99.97    87.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   42  +25      98.24     8.09    58.73    25.52    99.19    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           19   34   +5      74.64     8.93    10.70     0.09    44.77     8.58P    0.02R    0.00  
York               19   34   +1      70.85     8.95     0.61     0.04    28.23     3.78P    0.10R    0.01  
Gravesend          20   32   +4      71.56     8.84     9.78     0.04    31.97     5.25P    0.09R    0.01  
Morecambe          19   32   +3      74.62     8.98    11.62     0.11    44.59     7.74P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             19   31   +2      70.83     9.01     6.64     0.03    28.76     5.21P    0.17R    0.01  
Exeter             19   30   +9      72.71     8.97    17.52     0.04    38.52     8.68P    0.06R    0.01  
Grays              19   26  +12      72.97     8.80    27.88     0.06    40.65    10.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          19   26   +3      66.06     9.09     7.36     0.00    15.11     2.59P    0.86R    0.06  
Crawley            19   26   +0      64.04     9.03     1.47     0.01    10.38     1.70P    1.36R    0.15  
Stafford_Rangers   19   26   -8      57.58     8.79   -16.16     0.01     2.45     0.28P    6.82R    1.21  
Woking             19   25   +1      62.06     8.74     1.04     0.00     6.72     1.17P    2.00R    0.28  
Northwich          19   25   -8      57.28     8.85   -16.51     0.00     2.30     0.22P    7.66R    1.45  
Stevenage          19   22   -2      56.59     8.73    -8.03     0.00     1.91     0.28P    7.83R    1.61  
Halifax            19   22   -3      57.05     9.02    -6.53     0.00     2.65     0.46P    7.69R    1.54  
Forest_Green       20   21   -7      50.00     8.26   -17.84     0.00     0.23     0.03P   24.41R    6.60  
Kidderminster      19   21   -7      52.06     8.80   -15.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P   18.61R    4.67  
Altrincham         19   21   -9      49.31     8.56   -22.47     0.00     0.28     0.04P   28.23R    8.31  
Cambridge_U        20   20   -8      49.87     8.38   -16.55     0.00     0.32     0.06P   24.84R    7.12  
Tamworth           19   20  -11      46.43     8.42   -29.44     0.00     0.14     0.03P   42.08R   15.21  
St_Albans          20   19  -11      47.87     8.56   -24.78     0.00     0.10     0.01P   34.48R   11.82  
Rushden_&_D        19   17   -6      46.90     8.43   -17.96     0.00     0.11     0.02P   36.81R   13.29  
Southport          19   16  -10      43.17     8.24   -25.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.79R   26.64