Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 November 2006 at 21:31:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.23     6.73    72.37    85.84    97.34    99.89    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      78.84     8.29    41.39     9.23    53.91    90.25    97.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      75.25     8.85    40.94     4.38    35.72    82.04    94.12     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.96     9.07    17.17     0.27     4.05    34.77    65.12     0.05R    0.01  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.19     8.92    -1.43     0.01     0.78     8.46    26.59     0.45R    0.02  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      64.18     8.73    20.51     0.15     4.33    35.90    67.19     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      56.03     9.03     9.89     0.04     0.79    10.41    32.12     0.57R    0.06  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.61     9.30    11.04     0.05     2.29    19.93    46.94     0.20R    0.02  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      54.78     9.35     2.60     0.01     0.56     8.89    27.07     0.87R    0.09  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.67     9.06    -5.65     0.01     0.10     4.13    16.48     2.04R    0.18  
Reading         12   16   -5      50.94     9.02    -8.41     0.00     0.11     3.50    14.44     2.29R    0.24  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      46.11     8.66   -11.28     0.00     0.01     0.88     5.35     6.21R    0.83  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.23     8.36   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.32    22.68R    5.18  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.94     8.15   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.70    31.66R    7.65  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.44     8.70   -15.83     0.00     0.01     0.43     2.50    13.55R    2.67  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.81     8.14   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33    41.66R   14.23  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.58     7.50   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    63.60R   29.18  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      32.15     7.82   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    53.53R   21.12  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.25     8.75   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.04    26.75R    7.67  
Charlton        12    8   -9      36.74     8.96   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.77    33.86R   10.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.57     9.03    43.94    53.12    73.73    96.46    79.93P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.62     9.43    29.90    15.06    35.10    80.88    47.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.88     9.33    22.05    11.20    27.16    75.29    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      81.23     9.40    27.28     9.96    25.89    74.19    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.15     9.65    11.71     1.97     6.77    41.34    13.36P    0.18R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      74.47     9.77    23.21     2.90     9.64    48.82    20.17P    0.13R    0.01  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      72.21     9.55    15.56     1.68     5.93    38.16    13.26P    0.27R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      59.56     9.28   -12.78     0.09     0.32     4.88     1.16P    4.33R    0.26  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.98     9.53    -7.42     0.14     0.65     9.99     2.15P    2.25R    0.13  
Stoke            17   24   +8      71.99     9.29    21.40     1.56     5.51    37.94    15.46P    0.10R    0.00  
Colchester       17   24   +3      68.01     9.50     9.65     0.56     2.45    22.87     6.82P    0.57R    0.05  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.79     9.63    16.21     1.49     5.25    36.76    13.71P    0.21R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      55.95     9.05   -12.49     0.02     0.11     2.40     0.57P    8.63R    0.65  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.37     9.55    -5.54     0.06     0.24     4.62     1.34P    5.91R    0.52  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.71     9.33    -3.80     0.03     0.21     4.49     1.14P    4.87R    0.38  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.67     9.26   -16.29     0.01     0.09     2.76     0.47P    8.53R    0.90  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.31     9.71    -1.48     0.06     0.49     7.02     1.80P    4.45R    0.32  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      59.10     9.68    -4.97     0.07     0.28     5.62     1.34P    5.35R    0.42  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      57.78     9.53    -6.41     0.03     0.15     4.17     0.96P    6.86R    0.52  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      51.36     9.17   -16.77     0.01     0.01     0.83     0.20P   20.57R    2.67  
Hull             17   16   -7      46.05     8.99   -19.81     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   40.24R    7.97  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.75     8.56   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.60R   18.20  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      47.41     9.51   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   36.15R    8.16  
Southend         17   11  -16      33.88     8.28   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.80R   58.83  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.45     8.90    36.69    63.71    81.70    97.95    86.57P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      77.21     9.56    18.66     5.93    18.73    62.81    30.43P    0.08R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.72     9.35    30.08    10.97    31.24    76.66    45.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.93     9.76    16.26     4.97    15.47    56.95    25.48P    0.14R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.54     9.77    19.01     4.61    15.05    56.10    26.36P    0.18R    0.01  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.25     9.71    15.48     2.69     8.96    43.19    16.51P    0.43R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.71     9.89     7.43     1.16     4.70    29.41     9.96P    1.14R    0.03  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.64    10.06    19.36     3.40    11.64    49.25    21.32P    0.37R    0.00  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.01     9.59     2.50     0.28     1.53    14.89     4.50P    3.21R    0.14  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.72     9.69     3.46     0.45     2.10    19.45     5.53P    2.77R    0.10  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      59.96     9.60    -9.23     0.10     0.65     7.56     1.69P    8.08R    0.43  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.64     9.60    -5.41     0.13     0.80    10.21     2.50P    5.55R    0.24  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.04     9.78    -4.87     0.20     0.88     9.99     2.60P    6.67R    0.38  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.02     9.84    -5.55     0.21     0.87     9.55     2.64P    7.13R    0.34  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.61     9.52    12.84     0.62     2.88    22.82     8.18P    1.68R    0.05  
Bradford        17   22   +2      64.83     9.76     7.21     0.43     1.93    17.70     5.72P    3.31R    0.15  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.42     9.38    -4.91     0.06     0.35     5.36     1.58P    9.62R    0.49  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.48     9.20    -3.27     0.01     0.12     3.26     0.94P   13.07R    0.73  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.16     9.82    -3.18     0.07     0.42     6.04     1.68P   11.22R    0.69  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.27     9.18   -21.38     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.09P   43.19R    6.71  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.99     9.19   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   52.81R   10.02  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.20     8.52   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   70.97R   18.45  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.39     8.64   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   76.97R   26.27  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      38.90     8.83   -41.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    81.40R   34.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     100.85     8.25    55.97    60.37    95.07    99.89    96.96P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.57     8.65    56.05    30.14    86.50    99.27    90.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.49     9.33    30.52     5.96    51.42    92.33    64.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.10     9.30    23.04     1.70    22.93    79.16    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      73.30     9.61    10.08     0.38     8.38    52.36    16.94P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.64     9.50    16.22     0.55     9.86    58.44    21.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.32     9.70    -0.37     0.08     2.58    27.79     6.74P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.67     9.31     3.68     0.03     1.83    25.70     6.59P    0.07R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.04     9.39     0.04     0.04     1.46    20.84     5.37P    0.21R    0.03  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.80     9.76    -2.02     0.01     0.80    13.73     3.35P    0.61R    0.07  
Stockport        17   24   +0      62.89     9.46    -0.80     0.01     0.81    15.68     3.81P    0.17R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.90     9.88    31.00     0.72    16.38    68.47    33.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.00     8.73   -20.46     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.24P    5.18R    1.00  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.31     9.47    -5.07     0.00     0.43     8.88     2.02P    1.08R    0.12  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.64     9.65     3.12     0.01     0.90    15.89     4.10P    0.52R    0.07  
Hartlepool       17   20   -1      57.79     9.64    -3.35     0.01     0.28     6.96     1.80P    1.41R    0.18  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.87     9.61    -6.71     0.01     0.13     5.00     1.32P    2.15R    0.33  
Wrexham          16   19   -9      44.95     8.85   -34.71     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P   20.47R    5.56  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.77     9.50    -9.44     0.00     0.07     3.05     0.72P    3.99R    0.80  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.44     9.50   -15.89     0.00     0.06     2.76     0.60P    4.50R    0.98  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.87     9.66   -13.63     0.00     0.07     2.10     0.49P    6.16R    1.69  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.66     8.32   -46.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.74R   18.17  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.95     8.81   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   22.93R    7.43  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      30.06     8.38   -43.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.69R   63.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.38     7.45    69.38    88.03    99.98    94.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.10     8.64    52.70    11.26    97.41    41.53P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      76.90     9.49    12.94     0.17    50.87    10.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.49     9.44    12.78     0.16    41.66     9.34P    0.06R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.70     9.38    -2.82     0.03    16.61     2.31P    0.46R    0.04  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.34     9.33    19.43     0.10    41.39     9.63P    0.04R    0.01  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      67.51     8.94     5.01     0.00    15.85     2.80P    0.30R    0.03  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.47     9.33     7.35     0.04    28.66     5.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.88     9.10    33.58     0.19    54.05    15.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.32     9.21   -11.76     0.00     4.18     0.56P    3.12R    0.43  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.82     9.52     9.61     0.01    18.45     3.27P    0.41R    0.03  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.55     9.15     6.56     0.01    12.05     2.26P    0.70R    0.07  
Crawley            18   25   +0      64.80     9.54     2.07     0.01    11.12     1.85P    1.12R    0.17  
Northwich          18   25   -7      60.20     9.20   -12.98     0.00     4.08     0.41P    3.54R    0.52  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.06     8.75   -12.90     0.00     0.51     0.09P   14.65R    3.15  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.37     9.03   -16.70     0.00     0.62     0.07P   17.89R    4.12  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.82     8.67   -23.95     0.00     0.20     0.01P   25.79R    7.00  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.25     9.11   -13.03     0.00     0.86     0.10P   13.24R    3.04  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.82     9.24   -10.86     0.00     1.02     0.15P   11.86R    2.73  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      48.03     8.71   -19.38     0.00     0.15     0.01P   28.06R    7.78  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.38     8.86   -16.52     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.03R    7.61  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      42.34     8.37   -35.81     0.00     0.02     0.00    56.29R   24.03  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.49     8.78   -27.03     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.15R   14.47  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.13     8.58   -27.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.16R   24.77