Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 November 2006 at 21:32:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.31     6.72    73.05    85.81    97.36    99.91    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      79.15     8.15    41.72     9.27    53.71    91.66    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      75.63     8.80    41.25     4.25    36.45    83.00    94.53     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.67     8.79    16.71     0.31     3.87    32.77    64.22     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.66     9.06    -0.73     0.01     0.68     9.23    28.77     0.52R    0.04  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      64.31     8.84    20.72     0.20     4.52    36.53    67.48     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.44     8.99     8.80     0.03     0.57     9.35    29.70     0.49R    0.03  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.54     9.36    11.03     0.10     2.06    19.45    46.71     0.26R    0.03  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      54.93     9.11     2.82     0.02     0.46     8.19    26.90     0.81R    0.10  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.88     9.02    -5.27     0.01     0.16     4.27    16.54     1.70R    0.10  
Reading         12   16   -5      51.24     9.21    -7.90     0.00     0.13     3.94    15.76     2.50R    0.21  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      46.18     8.60   -10.83     0.00     0.04     0.96     5.24     5.84R    0.68  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.39     8.25   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.24    21.52R    4.35  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.46     7.82   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.45    32.38R    7.60  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.13     8.65   -16.39     0.00     0.01     0.29     2.40    13.95R    2.94  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.53     7.89   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    41.97R   13.91  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.35     7.67   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    63.98R   31.07  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      31.86     7.71   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    54.67R   21.43  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.17     8.78   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.96    26.93R    7.41  
Charlton        12    8   -9      36.91     8.83   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.70    32.47R   10.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.72     8.99    44.30    53.69    74.11    96.58    80.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.92     9.44    30.30    15.41    36.07    82.05    48.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.58     9.43    21.68    10.10    26.08    74.48    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      81.50     9.41    27.62    10.55    26.39    74.39    39.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.06     9.77    11.59     2.00     6.96    41.06    13.51P    0.18R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      74.17     9.61    22.61     2.42     8.54    47.20    18.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      72.31     9.51    15.56     1.50     5.92    38.80    13.91P    0.17R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      59.34     9.16   -13.23     0.06     0.20     4.53     1.04P    4.03R    0.23  
Norwich          17   25   -4      63.49     9.47    -6.43     0.13     0.66    10.57     2.29P    1.85R    0.09  
Stoke            17   24   +8      72.25     9.59    21.71     1.84     6.20    39.76    16.66P    0.14R    0.00  
Colchester       17   24   +3      67.66     9.62     9.15     0.58     2.27    21.95     6.60P    0.69R    0.03  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.61     9.50    15.87     1.38     5.03    35.98    13.12P    0.24R    0.03  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      56.20     9.36   -12.11     0.03     0.14     2.81     0.63P    8.35R    0.82  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.76     9.48    -4.80     0.04     0.18     4.58     1.11P    5.29R    0.43  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.36     9.53    -4.38     0.04     0.18     4.58     1.34P    5.72R    0.49  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.60     9.28   -16.39     0.00     0.12     2.91     0.46P    8.16R    0.82  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.27     9.75    -1.55     0.13     0.43     6.89     1.78P    4.46R    0.45  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      58.72     9.63    -5.68     0.08     0.34     5.16     1.22P    5.80R    0.51  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      58.13     9.59    -5.76     0.03     0.16     4.36     1.01P    6.36R    0.53  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      51.26     9.31   -16.81     0.01     0.02     0.86     0.10P   21.13R    2.87  
Hull             17   16   -7      45.97     9.02   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   40.33R    8.14  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.70     8.52   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    62.44R   18.77  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      46.98     9.41   -27.89     0.01     0.01     0.26     0.04P   37.69R    8.73  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.26     8.32   -44.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.85R   57.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      92.76     9.16    35.81    61.77    79.53    97.13    84.73P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.53     9.73    17.73     5.90    17.91    59.47    28.58P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.89     9.33    30.21    12.43    32.75    77.08    46.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.81     9.90    16.03     5.01    15.51    56.46    24.80P    0.14R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      74.73     9.55    17.85     4.10    13.07    52.97    24.11P    0.18R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.55     9.79    16.06     3.16    10.18    44.94    18.09P    0.44R    0.00  
Swansea         17   27   +4      69.16     9.72     8.17     1.16     5.12    30.55    10.71P    0.82R    0.03  
Oldham          17   26   +7      74.03     9.87    19.98     3.77    12.31    50.94    22.96P    0.29R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      63.67     9.64     2.02     0.24     1.55    14.10     4.58P    3.62R    0.09  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.66     9.72     3.38     0.52     2.31    19.01     5.66P    2.62R    0.13  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.76     9.74    -7.86     0.14     0.87     9.37     2.29P    7.17R    0.41  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.70     9.56    -5.48     0.16     0.97    10.29     2.71P    5.43R    0.30  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.96     9.71    -5.18     0.20     0.94     9.43     2.48P    7.03R    0.46  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.42     9.80    -4.96     0.14     0.70    10.29     2.58P    6.80R    0.35  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.84     9.57    13.13     0.63     2.99    23.86     8.35P    1.84R    0.07  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.09     9.85     7.56     0.46     2.26    18.92     6.29P    3.15R    0.14  
Northampton     17   22   -2      57.80     9.53    -5.88     0.09     0.36     4.98     1.50P   11.15R    0.81  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.66     9.24    -3.03     0.04     0.23     3.53     1.10P   12.53R    0.69  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.10     9.74    -3.21     0.08     0.41     5.63     1.50P   11.08R    0.68  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.45     9.17   -20.94     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P   42.16R    6.46  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.63     9.11   -23.68     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.04P   54.92R   10.63  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.22     8.55   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   71.25R   18.34  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.41     8.82   -35.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   76.72R   26.62  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.14     8.85   -41.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   80.50R   33.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.07     8.30    56.15    61.37    95.11    99.73    96.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.43     8.61    55.61    28.50    86.44    99.23    90.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.72     9.32    30.96     6.21    51.86    92.67    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.28     9.30    23.27     1.86    23.45    79.83    39.83P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.95     9.72     9.59     0.23     8.13    50.08    16.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.63     9.45    16.23     0.55     9.51    58.88    21.80P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.97     9.60     0.61     0.10     2.94    30.13     7.73P    0.08R    0.01  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.28     9.49     3.14     0.07     1.75    25.18     6.65P    0.12R    0.00  
Hereford         17   26   +1      64.74     9.37    -0.50     0.04     1.20    20.11     4.84P    0.20R    0.02  
Darlington       17   24   +1      62.14     9.66    -1.51     0.02     0.87    14.24     3.50P    0.47R    0.06  
Stockport        17   24   +0      62.91     9.39    -0.85     0.01     0.76    15.21     3.70P    0.34R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.89    10.04    31.02     0.99    16.23    68.50    33.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.50     8.81   -19.73     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.24P    4.79R    0.79  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.76     9.60    -4.29     0.01     0.44    10.04     2.17P    0.90R    0.09  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.74     9.71     3.26     0.01     0.84    16.61     4.00P    0.52R    0.12  
Hartlepool       17   20   -1      57.54     9.47    -3.91     0.00     0.16     6.21     1.51P    1.45R    0.17  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.41     9.36    -7.37     0.01     0.12     3.96     0.93P    2.25R    0.47  
Wrexham          16   19   -9      45.18     8.91   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P   19.97R    5.19  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.56     9.63    -9.78     0.00     0.07     3.19     0.79P    4.58R    0.95  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.24     9.24   -16.07     0.00     0.04     2.31     0.41P    4.53R    0.91  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.01     9.64   -15.02     0.00     0.05     1.92     0.46P    7.23R    1.86  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.98     8.21   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.49R   16.93  
Boston           17   13  -11      44.16     8.96   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   22.68R    7.50  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.80     8.51   -44.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.38R   64.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.19     7.56    69.04    87.53    99.97    93.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.05     8.76    52.83    11.66    97.21    42.38P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.12     9.51    13.25     0.17    51.58    11.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.04     9.40    12.10     0.15    38.47     8.40P    0.05R    0.00  
York               18   31   +0      68.30     9.14    -1.90     0.02    17.68     2.48P    0.21R    0.01  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.41     9.27    19.56     0.12    42.34     9.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      68.16     8.92     6.03     0.01    17.64     3.00P    0.24R    0.01  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.52     9.35     7.37     0.03    28.55     4.97P    0.12R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.07     9.31    32.34     0.27    50.52    14.39P    0.02R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.12     9.09   -12.07     0.00     3.77     0.49P    3.06R    0.36  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.91     9.45     9.88     0.03    18.66     3.67P    0.43R    0.04  
Woking             18   25   +3      66.13     9.21     7.31     0.01    13.47     2.51P    0.68R    0.04  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.47     9.39     2.95     0.00    12.19     2.00P    0.86R    0.09  
Northwich          18   25   -7      60.17     9.24   -12.94     0.01     4.29     0.48P    3.31R    0.48  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.07     8.66   -12.77     0.00     0.48     0.07P   14.18R    2.83  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.29     9.05   -16.84     0.00     0.48     0.10P   17.84R    3.96  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.86     8.83   -23.96     0.00     0.17     0.01P   25.68R    6.50  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.69     9.23   -12.25     0.00     1.08     0.17P   12.25R    2.48  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.51     9.21   -11.25     0.00     1.02     0.14P   12.10R    2.49  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      47.88     8.58   -19.58     0.00     0.14     0.03P   27.80R    7.26  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.32     8.98   -16.56     0.00     0.18     0.02P   27.07R    7.79  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.58     8.37   -37.34     0.00     0.02     0.01P   58.73R   26.66  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.21     8.77   -27.43     0.00     0.04     0.00    40.59R   14.40  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.09     8.66   -27.78     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.76R   24.55