Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 November 2006 at 17:11:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.44     6.68    73.14    87.21    97.57    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      78.66     8.31    41.10     8.48    54.34    90.55    97.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      75.03     8.68    40.23     3.77    34.53    82.09    94.51     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.87     8.86    17.09     0.24     4.17    34.41    65.86     0.03R    0.01  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.45     8.88    -1.14     0.04     0.85     9.05    27.55     0.47R    0.01  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      63.72     8.94    19.87     0.15     4.37    35.24    65.31     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.86     9.02     9.61     0.05     0.83    10.26    31.63     0.54R    0.04  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.29     9.42    10.66     0.04     2.44    19.49    45.72     0.28R    0.04  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      54.98     9.20     2.92     0.01     0.54     9.00    27.61     0.89R    0.08  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.64     9.06    -5.56     0.00     0.22     4.25    16.20     1.99R    0.21  
Reading         12   16   -5      50.84     9.17    -8.50     0.01     0.14     3.83    15.10     2.64R    0.30  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      45.79     8.83   -11.51     0.00     0.01     1.00     5.64     7.43R    0.98  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.42     8.37   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.17    22.66R    4.75  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.91     8.07   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.65    31.20R    7.72  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.48     8.84   -15.81     0.00     0.01     0.36     2.67    14.43R    3.31  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.71     8.28   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.45    42.78R   14.79  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.88     7.74   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    62.27R   29.04  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      32.30     7.92   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15    53.94R   20.82  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.36     8.89   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.12    26.91R    7.87  
Charlton        12    8   -9      37.16     8.84   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.76    31.55R   10.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.83     9.06    44.34    54.22    74.35    96.70    80.33P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.87     9.27    30.30    14.55    35.37    82.09    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.77     9.34    22.01     9.87    26.18    75.03    38.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      81.13     9.43    27.15    10.28    25.43    73.15    38.63P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.33     9.89    12.05     2.23     7.20    42.09    14.12P    0.18R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      75.30     9.64    24.39     3.19    10.54    51.83    21.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      71.83     9.52    14.90     1.54     5.34    36.40    12.56P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      58.95     9.28   -13.71     0.05     0.27     4.57     0.98P    4.58R    0.24  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.74     9.31    -7.79     0.10     0.51     8.99     1.90P    2.17R    0.12  
Stoke            17   24   +8      71.87     9.49    21.18     1.66     5.70    37.16    15.05P    0.14R    0.01  
Colchester       17   24   +3      68.28     9.64    10.13     0.67     2.58    23.84     7.35P    0.68R    0.01  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.38     9.61    15.48     1.25     4.80    34.91    12.59P    0.28R    0.03  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      56.56     9.10   -11.33     0.03     0.13     2.60     0.64P    7.04R    0.56  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.37     9.51    -5.40     0.07     0.24     4.68     1.17P    5.63R    0.36  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.84     9.41    -3.71     0.02     0.23     4.83     1.28P    4.66R    0.25  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.66     9.36   -16.16     0.03     0.14     3.08     0.59P    8.00R    0.89  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.45     9.65    -1.20     0.10     0.46     7.34     1.88P    4.31R    0.38  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      59.00     9.75    -5.29     0.10     0.32     5.25     1.26P    5.66R    0.55  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      58.09     9.56    -5.90     0.06     0.21     4.25     1.04P    6.42R    0.53  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      50.90     9.33   -17.58     0.01     0.01     0.68     0.13P   21.91R    3.24  
Hull             17   16   -7      45.86     8.97   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   40.87R    8.14  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.64     8.53   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    62.49R   18.64  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      47.10     9.34   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   37.02R    8.38  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.05     8.21   -45.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.64R   57.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.08     9.05    36.16    63.30    80.63    97.39    85.51P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      77.26     9.69    18.74     6.36    19.74    62.48    31.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.97     9.30    30.47    12.15    32.93    77.50    47.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.81     9.73    16.00     4.53    15.34    56.54    25.17P    0.17R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      74.93     9.58    18.11     3.83    13.04    53.93    24.39P    0.12R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.09     9.81    15.17     2.79     9.10    42.59    16.39P    0.53R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.83     9.72     7.72     1.15     4.36    29.59     9.51P    0.96R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.55     9.83    19.20     3.08    11.13    48.96    21.26P    0.33R    0.00  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.44     9.71     3.13     0.44     1.80    16.16     5.20P    3.21R    0.12  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.77     9.81     3.60     0.49     2.54    19.88     5.95P    2.71R    0.12  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.35     9.49    -8.42     0.14     0.76     8.36     2.15P    6.99R    0.28  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.47     9.67    -5.74     0.14     0.71     9.64     2.28P    6.16R    0.28  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.34     9.71    -4.32     0.25     1.05     9.99     2.59P    6.57R    0.42  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.62     9.87    -4.61     0.16     0.88    10.49     2.82P    6.23R    0.34  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      67.00     9.66    13.47     0.69     3.21    24.14     9.16P    1.53R    0.05  
Bradford        17   22   +2      64.68     9.70     6.87     0.36     1.96    16.98     5.29P    3.27R    0.24  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.35     9.38    -5.21     0.02     0.31     5.16     1.43P    9.50R    0.57  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      55.97     9.18    -3.98     0.04     0.09     3.13     0.83P   14.23R    0.84  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.39     9.73    -2.76     0.07     0.38     6.13     1.65P   10.62R    0.75  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.34     9.12   -21.22     0.01     0.04     0.56     0.12P   42.48R    5.76  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.71     9.12   -23.52     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   54.38R    9.85  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.06     8.66   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   71.39R   19.02  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.27     8.76   -35.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.89R   26.96  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      38.85     8.77   -41.76     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.01P   81.65R   34.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     100.98     8.22    56.12    61.06    94.98    99.78    96.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.37     8.65    55.68    28.23    85.66    99.15    89.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.59     9.32    30.83     6.58    51.38    92.30    63.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.23     9.51    23.20     1.94    22.80    79.48    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.94     9.84     9.54     0.41     8.53    50.17    16.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.61     9.43    16.12     0.54     9.43    58.60    21.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.62     9.92     0.09     0.10     3.02    29.14     7.58P    0.10R    0.00  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.41     9.37     3.31     0.04     1.62    24.71     6.50P    0.10R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.15     9.43     0.15     0.04     1.45    21.15     5.41P    0.12R    0.03  
Darlington       17   24   +1      62.04     9.54    -1.64     0.02     0.80    13.70     3.37P    0.46R    0.05  
Stockport        17   24   +0      62.93     9.49    -0.80     0.00     0.83    15.71     3.81P    0.34R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      77.49     9.90    31.97     0.99    17.68    70.75    36.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.39     9.01   -20.00     0.01     0.04     1.44     0.29P    5.54R    1.10  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.44     9.62    -4.93     0.01     0.46     9.32     2.23P    0.95R    0.21  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.38     9.77     2.65     0.01     0.80    15.64     3.98P    0.59R    0.12  
Hartlepool       17   20   -1      57.64     9.50    -3.62     0.01     0.25     6.57     1.69P    1.38R    0.19  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.42     9.37    -7.39     0.01     0.10     3.81     0.96P    2.39R    0.41  
Wrexham          16   19   -9      45.01     8.98   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P   20.38R    5.32  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.50     9.63    -9.69     0.00     0.06     2.88     0.71P    4.32R    0.89  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.31     9.55   -16.15     0.00     0.08     2.76     0.59P    4.54R    0.89  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.91     9.86   -13.55     0.00     0.05     2.44     0.60P    6.14R    1.62  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      39.05     8.19   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    46.53R   16.68  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.67     8.84   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   24.00R    8.15  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.91     8.35   -43.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.11R   64.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.21     7.64    69.30    87.16    99.95    93.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.18     8.80    52.90    12.16    97.49    42.83P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.17     9.19    13.34     0.14    51.48    10.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.39     9.34    12.60     0.10    40.37     8.87P    0.07R    0.00  
York               18   31   +0      67.81     9.44    -2.67     0.02    17.18     2.40P    0.36R    0.02  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.27     9.20    19.33     0.12    41.24     9.44P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      68.22     9.27     6.21     0.02    18.55     3.38P    0.30R    0.03  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.69     9.27     7.69     0.04    29.00     5.31P    0.12R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.14     9.38    32.26     0.20    50.78    14.80P    0.06R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.00     9.09   -12.24     0.00     3.67     0.39P    3.35R    0.41  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.97     9.50     9.92     0.03    19.18     3.54P    0.51R    0.05  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.61     9.10     6.64     0.02    12.02     2.44P    0.64R    0.06  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.27     9.55     2.73     0.00    12.08     2.12P    1.09R    0.10  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.52     9.33   -14.22     0.01     3.46     0.46P    4.25R    0.58  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.52     8.79   -12.31     0.00     0.57     0.10P   13.27R    2.90  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.31     9.01   -16.76     0.00     0.48     0.06P   17.57R    4.20  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.82     8.75   -23.91     0.00     0.23     0.02P   25.98R    6.80  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.36     9.17   -12.81     0.00     0.88     0.10P   12.94R    2.68  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.63     9.36   -11.05     0.00     1.01     0.11P   12.46R    2.83  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      48.01     8.57   -19.48     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.48R    7.54  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.52     8.90   -16.28     0.00     0.19     0.03P   26.54R    7.47  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.68     8.19   -37.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.77R   25.98  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.84     8.78   -26.29     0.00     0.09     0.02P   38.59R   13.38  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.07     8.65   -27.86     0.00     0.01     0.01P   55.58R   24.95