Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 November 2006 at 21:32:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.01     6.81    72.47    84.90    97.14    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      79.35     8.37    42.13    10.63    57.14    91.54    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      74.57     8.71    39.61     3.82    31.73    80.86    94.03     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.47     8.96    16.35     0.26     4.14    32.65    63.49     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.66     8.87    -0.58     0.03     0.74     8.96    28.21     0.41R    0.01  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      64.70     8.83    21.34     0.26     5.28    38.77    69.39     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.39     8.78     8.73     0.01     0.63     9.05    29.54     0.46R    0.04  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.41     9.32    10.94     0.09     2.18    19.42    45.77     0.31R    0.04  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      55.26     9.19     3.28     0.01     0.59     9.11    28.77     0.81R    0.06  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.81     9.14    -5.36     0.00     0.29     4.57    16.77     2.14R    0.25  
Reading         12   16   -5      50.64     9.10    -8.88     0.00     0.09     3.23    14.06     2.71R    0.30  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      45.85     8.93   -11.39     0.00     0.05     1.15     5.68     7.25R    1.15  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.26     8.38   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.19    22.62R    5.58  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.91     8.12   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.64    31.19R    7.67  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.25     8.70   -16.16     0.00     0.01     0.34     2.28    14.22R    3.02  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      35.10     8.18   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36    40.69R   13.54  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.92     7.51   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12    61.76R   28.16  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      31.88     7.93   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12    55.82R   22.38  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.18     8.80   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.96    27.39R    8.21  
Charlton        12    8   -9      37.07     8.75   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.70    32.17R    9.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.75     8.99    44.46    53.55    74.13    96.73    80.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.85     9.42    30.13    15.54    35.98    81.80    48.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.59     9.40    21.74    10.24    26.43    74.25    38.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      80.91     9.56    26.79     9.71    25.00    72.62    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.47     9.78    12.24     2.17     7.33    43.20    14.43P    0.20R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      74.89     9.57    23.79     2.85     9.71    50.26    20.85P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      71.80     9.76    14.86     1.75     5.91    36.55    13.16P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      59.39     9.29   -13.03     0.08     0.26     4.80     1.06P    4.30R    0.28  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.82     9.56    -7.72     0.18     0.60     9.65     2.10P    2.35R    0.14  
Stoke            17   24   +8      72.01     9.47    21.39     1.55     5.50    38.61    15.19P    0.18R    0.01  
Colchester       17   24   +3      67.57     9.62     9.00     0.64     2.56    21.64     6.89P    0.60R    0.03  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.55     9.53    15.72     1.38     4.84    35.97    12.93P    0.24R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      55.95     9.15   -12.37     0.03     0.10     2.38     0.46P    8.38R    0.72  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.84     9.51    -4.82     0.09     0.28     5.04     1.34P    5.29R    0.45  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.59     9.45    -4.07     0.06     0.28     4.72     1.39P    5.18R    0.34  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.98     9.52   -15.61     0.01     0.12     3.44     0.67P    8.24R    0.84  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.39     9.69    -1.27     0.09     0.46     7.22     1.86P    4.26R    0.38  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      58.87     9.71    -5.43     0.05     0.28     5.43     1.27P    5.89R    0.49  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      58.35     9.64    -5.45     0.03     0.19     4.41     1.08P    6.42R    0.56  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      50.94     9.29   -17.43     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.14P   21.95R    3.24  
Hull             17   16   -7      46.24     9.07   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   39.22R    8.38  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.63     8.59   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    62.51R   19.75  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      46.97     9.28   -28.08     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.03P   38.17R    8.41  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.45     8.35   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.30R   55.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.33     8.96    36.43    64.79    82.19    97.42    86.56P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.50     9.69    17.69     5.56    17.21    59.47    28.50P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      81.04     9.18    30.49    11.74    33.25    78.48    47.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.69     9.90    15.86     4.67    15.68    56.16    25.07P    0.18R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      74.33     9.74    17.42     3.53    12.72    51.58    23.42P    0.22R    0.01  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.56     9.66    16.01     2.85     9.65    44.49    17.34P    0.38R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      69.51     9.67     8.66     1.16     4.92    31.59    10.95P    0.79R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.45     9.80    19.09     2.92    10.96    48.77    21.09P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      63.90     9.68     2.37     0.28     1.55    15.20     4.95P    3.29R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.41     9.82     2.84     0.41     2.08    18.89     5.33P    2.77R    0.10  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.44     9.71    -8.44     0.13     0.71     8.48     2.06P    7.55R    0.36  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.92     9.49    -4.91     0.23     0.92    10.26     2.67P    5.07R    0.21  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.12     9.81    -4.78     0.23     0.93     9.93     2.42P    6.99R    0.36  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.74     9.88    -4.34     0.18     0.88    10.77     2.83P    6.05R    0.34  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.99     9.65    13.36     0.73     3.27    24.63     9.27P    1.61R    0.04  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.08     9.90     7.64     0.45     2.23    18.72     6.00P    3.13R    0.16  
Northampton     17   22   -2      57.87     9.27    -5.82     0.03     0.25     4.57     1.22P   10.07R    0.70  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      57.05     9.18    -2.48     0.07     0.23     3.62     1.10P   11.54R    0.63  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.40     9.78    -2.76     0.04     0.38     6.38     1.63P   10.51R    0.58  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.02     9.11   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   44.05R    6.81  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.51     8.89   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   55.03R   10.26  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.03     8.54   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.37R   18.86  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      39.95     8.50   -36.13     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   78.44R   27.52  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.09     8.71   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.53R   32.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.12     8.15    56.36    61.36    95.53    99.91    97.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.50     8.72    55.66    29.27    86.77    99.14    90.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.09     9.43    30.04     5.67    49.98    91.57    62.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      79.53     9.34    22.20     1.54    21.70    77.22    37.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.86     9.52     9.27     0.38     7.84    50.04    15.45P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.94     9.44    16.75     0.56    10.31    60.10    22.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.34     9.61    -0.38     0.02     2.29    28.06     6.64P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.36     9.45     3.24     0.06     1.81    25.18     6.72P    0.08R    0.02  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.15     9.58     0.12     0.06     1.63    21.51     5.79P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.82     9.63    -1.88     0.03     0.86    13.72     3.63P    0.47R    0.06  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.46     9.54     0.03     0.03     1.20    17.11     4.73P    0.28R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      77.61     9.89    32.27     1.02    18.23    71.34    36.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.33     8.92   -20.02     0.00     0.03     1.47     0.26P    5.18R    0.87  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.56     9.46    -4.58     0.01     0.39     8.99     2.05P    0.91R    0.14  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.56     9.84     2.99     0.01     0.87    15.88     3.81P    0.66R    0.10  
Hartlepool       17   20   -1      57.45     9.61    -3.91     0.00     0.27     6.88     1.80P    1.65R    0.26  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.28     9.34    -7.54     0.00     0.10     3.92     0.95P    2.45R    0.46  
Wrexham          16   19   -9      44.79     8.93   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   21.32R    5.65  
Torquay          17   18   -5      54.23     9.44    -8.79     0.00     0.07     3.10     0.76P    3.88R    0.88  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.44     9.31   -15.89     0.00     0.09     2.37     0.48P    4.30R    0.80  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.86     9.51   -13.63     0.00     0.04     2.00     0.45P    6.02R    1.36  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.99     8.22   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.58R   16.55  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.82     8.85   -27.19     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.01P   23.52R    7.93  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.82     8.47   -44.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   82.46R   64.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.65     7.53    69.91    88.52    99.97    94.15P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      94.97     8.70    52.47    10.82    97.47    41.97P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      76.95     9.41    13.00     0.17    51.28    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      73.72     9.33    11.59     0.14    37.96     8.23P    0.04R    0.00  
York               18   31   +0      67.45     9.29    -3.14     0.00    16.05     2.29P    0.41R    0.04  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.62     9.26    19.83     0.14    42.85    10.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      67.94     9.04     5.66     0.01    17.61     2.97P    0.25R    0.01  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.71     9.40     7.82     0.03    30.08     5.50P    0.14R    0.03  
Grays              18   26  +13      75.82     9.14    31.81     0.18    49.84    13.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.37     9.17   -11.73     0.00     4.29     0.51P    3.29R    0.39  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      68.02     9.53    10.04     0.00    19.68     3.65P    0.52R    0.05  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.71     9.11     6.67     0.00    12.63     2.56P    0.68R    0.12  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.29     9.37     2.73     0.00    11.89     1.99P    0.91R    0.10  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.95     9.28   -13.36     0.00     4.39     0.49P    3.81R    0.50  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.05     8.78   -12.91     0.00     0.58     0.10P   14.38R    2.96  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      50.99     9.15   -17.26     0.00     0.49     0.12P   18.95R    4.63  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      49.13     8.78   -23.33     0.00     0.27     0.02P   24.82R    6.17  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.80     9.18   -12.04     0.00     1.04     0.12P   12.07R    2.69  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.93     9.24   -10.68     0.00     1.13     0.17P   11.53R    2.50  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      48.50     8.75   -18.61     0.00     0.17     0.02P   26.11R    7.01  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.50     8.96   -16.36     0.00     0.19     0.03P   26.75R    7.41  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.75     8.36   -36.98     0.00     0.02     0.01P   58.96R   26.62  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.41     8.74   -27.20     0.00     0.07     0.00    40.47R   13.91  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.06     8.63   -27.92     0.00     0.02     0.01P   55.84R   24.84