Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 November 2006 at 21:31:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.51     6.68    72.92    86.67    97.56    99.89    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      78.96     8.31    41.35     8.95    54.48    91.02    98.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      74.94     8.90    40.52     3.81    34.04    81.39    93.88     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.57     9.00    16.62     0.17     3.93    33.99    64.14     0.01R    0.01  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.47     8.92    -1.04     0.01     0.81     9.28    27.70     0.41R    0.04  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      63.89     8.90    20.11     0.21     5.00    35.41    66.28     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.73     8.87     9.35     0.01     0.67    10.14    30.84     0.51R    0.01  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.41     9.42    10.86     0.12     2.45    19.84    46.13     0.28R    0.03  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      55.05     9.27     2.99     0.04     0.54     9.06    28.61     0.74R    0.04  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.65     9.17    -5.59     0.01     0.29     4.28    16.39     2.16R    0.21  
Reading         12   16   -5      51.11     9.08    -8.18     0.00     0.20     3.71    15.32     2.37R    0.24  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      46.12     8.72   -11.19     0.00     0.03     0.90     5.64     6.39R    0.86  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.59     8.32   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.21    21.55R    4.75  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.90     8.10   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.59    31.50R    7.91  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.48     8.88   -15.96     0.00     0.01     0.46     2.75    13.96R    2.88  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.55     8.13   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33    43.16R   14.48  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.79     7.54   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    62.12R   28.73  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      32.01     7.85   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    54.70R   21.39  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.75     8.97   -17.14     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.29    25.51R    7.16  
Charlton        12    8   -9      36.49     8.88   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.70    34.62R   11.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.38     8.97    43.72    52.48    73.56    96.44    79.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.71     9.48    30.03    15.46    35.55    80.92    47.42P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.81     9.28    21.97    10.81    26.67    75.14    39.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      81.17     9.50    27.31    10.31    26.23    73.78    39.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.13     9.69    11.73     2.24     7.08    40.99    13.62P    0.09R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      75.01     9.56    24.03     3.19    10.16    51.13    21.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      71.93     9.67    14.99     1.78     5.80    37.32    13.05P    0.29R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      58.91     9.33   -13.69     0.06     0.23     4.62     1.06P    4.97R    0.29  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.98     9.40    -7.43     0.11     0.55     9.40     1.89P    2.31R    0.14  
Stoke            17   24   +8      72.26     9.37    21.68     1.56     5.88    39.65    16.05P    0.12R    0.01  
Colchester       17   24   +3      67.79     9.64     9.32     0.49     2.15    23.09     6.96P    0.71R    0.07  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.11     9.60    15.06     1.16     4.53    34.35    12.21P    0.30R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      56.14     9.14   -12.14     0.01     0.10     2.59     0.58P    8.30R    0.70  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.83     9.47    -4.77     0.06     0.18     4.74     1.23P    4.97R    0.41  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.69     9.52    -3.83     0.07     0.29     4.93     1.47P    5.09R    0.33  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.71     9.42   -16.15     0.03     0.11     3.22     0.56P    8.56R    1.12  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.29     9.76    -1.46     0.07     0.46     7.29     1.86P    4.74R    0.41  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      58.70     9.62    -5.68     0.06     0.29     4.99     1.14P    6.10R    0.58  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      58.03     9.55    -5.89     0.03     0.15     4.08     0.94P    6.55R    0.61  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      51.37     9.30   -16.81     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.16P   21.03R    3.00  
Hull             17   16   -7      46.30     9.09   -19.49     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.06P   39.02R    7.99  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.78     8.70   -40.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.06R   19.21  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      46.95     9.47   -28.08     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   38.40R    9.73  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.65     8.35   -44.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.28R   55.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.15     9.15    36.34    62.98    80.62    97.42    85.36P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.60     9.55    17.84     5.16    16.75    59.64    27.69P    0.12R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      81.13     9.22    30.56    11.76    32.92    77.99    46.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      76.48     9.83    17.08     5.59    17.02    58.90    27.32P    0.16R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.18     9.55    18.47     3.93    13.39    54.82    25.18P    0.17R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.36     9.77    15.65     3.02     9.82    43.28    17.18P    0.43R    0.00  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.67     9.87     7.40     1.06     4.55    29.14     9.68P    1.07R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.76    10.00    19.57     3.76    11.74    49.33    22.05P    0.33R    0.00  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      63.63     9.55     1.96     0.34     1.42    13.89     4.17P    3.53R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.52     9.68     3.16     0.48     2.02    18.67     5.45P    2.71R    0.12  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.35     9.58    -8.60     0.15     0.77     8.37     2.11P    7.11R    0.36  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.56     9.56    -5.61     0.12     0.86     9.62     2.31P    5.63R    0.28  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.03     9.74    -4.94     0.23     0.90     9.46     2.53P    6.71R    0.35  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.67     9.86    -4.59     0.19     0.89    10.59     2.75P    6.33R    0.28  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      67.17     9.79    13.58     0.66     3.33    25.12     9.34P    1.76R    0.07  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.23     9.64     7.84     0.46     2.09    18.43     5.80P    2.69R    0.16  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.19     9.61    -5.38     0.05     0.35     5.33     1.49P   10.57R    0.68  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.22     9.29    -3.60     0.02     0.14     3.41     0.97P   13.71R    0.76  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.13     9.74    -3.09     0.05     0.39     5.68     1.45P   11.02R    0.73  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.48     9.36   -20.97     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.15P   41.80R    6.49  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.43     9.10   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   54.91R   10.68  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.06     8.48   -31.31     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   71.12R   18.71  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.00     8.80   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   77.50R   28.26  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.18     8.78   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.59R   31.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.33     8.12    56.73    61.76    95.53    99.88    97.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.62     8.64    56.12    29.23    86.44    99.27    90.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.36     9.35    30.45     5.74    51.15    92.06    63.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      79.38     9.30    21.92     1.31    20.99    76.95    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.90     9.81     9.44     0.31     8.38    50.31    16.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.64     9.67    16.18     0.52    10.26    59.31    22.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.20     9.57    -0.56     0.08     2.54    27.59     6.84P    0.14R    0.02  
Bury             17   26   +2      67.19     9.45     4.56     0.07     2.25    28.20     8.03P    0.08R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.36     9.47     0.46     0.04     1.62    22.03     6.02P    0.15R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.85     9.62    -1.87     0.01     0.84    13.76     3.38P    0.44R    0.05  
Stockport        17   24   +0      62.93     9.43    -0.86     0.01     0.76    15.68     3.69P    0.34R    0.05  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      77.19     9.87    31.48     0.89    17.26    70.19    34.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.64     8.94   -19.37     0.00     0.03     1.72     0.36P    4.90R    0.84  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.34     9.75    -5.07     0.01     0.45     9.54     2.16P    1.19R    0.14  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.91     9.77     3.59     0.02     1.12    16.88     4.41P    0.53R    0.09  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.40     9.53    -7.37     0.00     0.10     4.34     1.01P    2.58R    0.48  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.01     9.26   -10.07     0.00     0.08     3.73     0.80P    2.64R    0.45  
Wrexham          16   19   -7      46.98     9.17   -29.93     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.14P   15.26R    4.14  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.65     9.47    -9.57     0.00     0.09     2.98     0.84P    4.33R    0.83  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.28     9.33   -16.12     0.01     0.07     2.36     0.53P    5.03R    1.10  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      52.36     9.60   -13.00     0.00     0.04     2.37     0.49P    5.70R    1.31  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.76     8.27   -45.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.48R   17.86  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.71     9.10   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   24.75R    8.82  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      30.02     8.47   -43.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.44R   63.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     108.82     7.56    68.35    87.30    99.97    93.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.13     8.55    52.88    11.88    97.73    41.90P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      76.71     9.36    12.68     0.21    49.17     9.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.25     9.44    12.39     0.16    40.02     9.23P    0.04R    0.00  
York               18   31   +0      67.51     9.28    -2.96     0.02    15.56     2.27P    0.41R    0.07  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.72     9.24    20.02     0.14    43.15    10.37P    0.02R    0.01  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      67.61     9.21     5.09     0.02    16.72     3.11P    0.36R    0.07  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.53     9.59     7.45     0.07    29.20     5.39P    0.20R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.44     9.21    32.79     0.18    52.34    14.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      59.94     9.32   -12.25     0.00     3.93     0.55P    3.37R    0.47  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      68.05     9.33    10.08     0.02    18.70     3.60P    0.40R    0.06  
Woking             18   25   +3      66.11     9.10     7.27     0.02    12.79     2.64P    0.54R    0.04  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.43     9.42     2.99     0.00    12.24     2.08P    0.84R    0.09  
Northwich          18   25   -7      60.12     9.32   -13.07     0.00     4.37     0.46P    3.40R    0.51  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.27     8.71   -12.53     0.00     0.53     0.09P   13.78R    2.75  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.09     9.10   -17.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P   18.74R    4.25  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.88     8.71   -23.76     0.00     0.13     0.00    25.90R    6.86  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.20     9.27   -12.99     0.00     1.06     0.14P   13.40R    3.11  
Halifax            18   19   -5      54.17     9.37   -10.25     0.00     1.34     0.23P   11.28R    2.25  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      47.98     8.54   -19.52     0.00     0.10     0.03P   27.37R    7.38  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.73     9.17   -16.01     0.00     0.27     0.06P   26.46R    7.62  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.84     8.48   -36.90     0.00     0.03     0.01P   58.50R   26.45  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.54     8.84   -26.89     0.00     0.12     0.01P   39.57R   13.38  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.07     8.58   -27.85     0.00     0.02     0.01P   55.39R   24.63