Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 November 2006 at 21:31:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 November 2006, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.41     6.59    72.59    86.86    97.58    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      79.03     8.18    41.54     8.55    54.33    91.74    98.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         11   21  +13      75.36     8.83    40.83     3.96    35.27    82.69    94.57     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      64.01     8.91    17.21     0.29     4.38    35.50    66.06     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          12   21   +1      55.69     8.91    -0.71     0.01     0.70     9.38    28.95     0.55R    0.06  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      63.76     8.87    19.95     0.23     4.27    34.77    66.22     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.21     8.85     8.42     0.01     0.53     8.79    29.28     0.68R    0.07  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.24     9.42    10.54     0.07     2.22    19.26    46.13     0.32R    0.04  
Liverpool       12   17   -1      54.96     9.19     2.91     0.01     0.43     8.75    28.07     0.79R    0.07  
Fulham          12   17   -3      51.27     9.13    -6.15     0.00     0.12     3.76    15.47     2.44R    0.25  
Reading         12   16   -5      50.84     8.98    -8.61     0.00     0.14     3.35    14.35     2.63R    0.37  
Tottenham       12   15   -5      46.18     8.76   -11.07     0.00     0.04     1.16     5.59     6.74R    0.99  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      39.83     8.39   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.42    20.79R    4.40  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.98     8.12   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.67    31.43R    7.56  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.35     8.76   -15.82     0.00     0.01     0.44     2.63    13.95R    2.65  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.79     8.38   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.41    42.70R   14.62  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.55     7.52   -33.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08    63.71R   30.18  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      32.11     7.77   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    54.12R   20.57  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.37     8.67   -17.62     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.12    26.46R    7.58  
Charlton        12    8   -9      36.96     8.85   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.75    32.66R   10.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      92.84     8.95    44.41    55.14    75.23    96.72    80.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.43     9.51    29.65    14.49    34.62    80.94    46.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.53     9.36    21.62     9.81    26.27    74.67    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      80.93     9.34    26.76     9.25    25.00    72.83    38.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.31     9.69    12.02     2.15     7.03    41.79    13.86P    0.15R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      75.10     9.58    24.12     3.23    10.53    51.70    21.77P    0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      72.24     9.76    15.54     1.66     6.07    38.53    13.60P    0.24R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      58.71     9.10   -14.06     0.04     0.17     3.98     0.75P    4.69R    0.30  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.69     9.45    -7.82     0.19     0.65     9.62     2.10P    2.22R    0.14  
Stoke            17   24   +8      71.83     9.58    21.09     1.60     5.58    38.35    15.65P    0.20R    0.00  
Colchester       17   24   +3      67.82     9.39     9.42     0.48     2.08    22.14     6.79P    0.60R    0.04  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.48     9.68    15.56     1.62     5.13    35.59    12.81P    0.26R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      56.21     9.34   -11.87     0.03     0.10     2.73     0.59P    8.63R    0.72  
Leicester        17   22   -1      59.14     9.61    -4.25     0.06     0.30     5.23     1.46P    5.37R    0.57  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.62     9.37    -3.99     0.05     0.26     4.26     1.33P    5.07R    0.42  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.49     9.13   -16.67     0.03     0.08     2.75     0.55P    8.48R    0.68  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      60.59     9.58    -0.89     0.12     0.43     7.16     1.77P    3.84R    0.35  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      59.27     9.59    -4.71     0.03     0.22     5.38     1.15P    5.41R    0.48  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      58.02     9.52    -6.02     0.01     0.19     4.03     1.05P    6.67R    0.56  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      51.21     9.38   -17.00     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.23P   21.31R    3.04  
Hull             17   16   -7      46.41     9.06   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   38.31R    7.38  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.61     8.72   -40.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.26R   19.14  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      46.97     9.32   -28.04     0.01     0.02     0.34     0.09P   37.88R    8.72  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.15     8.29   -45.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.25R   57.42  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      92.86     9.19    35.98    62.59    79.82    97.02    84.94P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      77.04     9.81    18.46     6.53    19.46    61.41    30.39P    0.11R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.53     9.21    29.79    11.09    30.66    76.26    44.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      76.31     9.68    16.75     5.33    16.84    58.27    26.91P    0.14R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.16     9.58    18.48     4.05    13.79    54.89    25.27P    0.15R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.30     9.77    15.55     2.93     9.64    42.76    17.00P    0.43R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.79     9.89     7.48     0.98     4.54    29.56     9.90P    1.16R    0.04  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.43     9.97    19.03     3.56    11.46    48.17    21.29P    0.35R    0.00  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.06     9.54     2.61     0.31     1.46    14.38     4.56P    3.04R    0.13  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.68     9.75     3.48     0.51     2.37    19.68     5.88P    2.37R    0.11  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.67     9.69    -7.97     0.15     0.86     9.00     2.38P    7.29R    0.38  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.76     9.49    -5.26     0.15     0.91    10.19     2.71P    5.07R    0.26  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.98     9.85    -4.96     0.27     0.94     9.59     2.40P    7.16R    0.43  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.19     9.84    -5.27     0.17     0.83     9.69     2.47P    6.75R    0.36  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      67.16     9.58    13.58     0.83     3.42    24.88     9.36P    1.41R    0.05  
Bradford        17   22   +2      64.92     9.81     7.31     0.46     2.02    18.25     5.67P    3.23R    0.10  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.47     9.43    -5.07     0.03     0.39     5.46     1.51P    9.63R    0.55  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.27     9.29    -3.52     0.03     0.14     3.25     0.88P   13.64R    0.92  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.40     9.87    -2.78     0.05     0.43     6.46     1.71P   10.59R    0.72  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.23     9.25   -21.45     0.00     0.03     0.56     0.10P   42.81R    6.79  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.40     9.10   -24.30     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   55.76R   10.71  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.30     8.61   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    69.67R   18.33  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      39.86     8.56   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    78.58R   28.70  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.32     8.70   -40.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    80.64R   31.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.02     8.20    55.98    61.05    95.14    99.84    96.97P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.14     8.77    55.04    27.94    85.38    99.06    89.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      87.11     9.44    31.56     7.14    53.79    92.64    65.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.04     9.30    22.94     1.91    22.52    78.61    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      73.10     9.65     9.70     0.36     7.62    51.56    15.79P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.78     9.57    16.50     0.46    10.30    59.62    22.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.59     9.62     0.05     0.07     2.48    28.86     7.10P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.78     9.57     3.94     0.10     2.12    26.97     7.21P    0.10R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      64.82     9.62    -0.33     0.04     1.32    20.68     5.14P    0.25R    0.03  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.66     9.53    -2.29     0.00     0.71    13.09     3.27P    0.47R    0.08  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.23     9.54    -0.33     0.01     0.92    16.75     4.20P    0.27R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.82     9.91    31.06     0.91    15.98    68.56    33.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.70     9.12   -19.45     0.00     0.02     1.69     0.35P    5.24R    0.88  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.09     9.62    -5.32     0.01     0.34     8.71     2.00P    1.22R    0.15  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.87     9.65     3.58     0.01     0.91    16.33     3.98P    0.49R    0.13  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.59     9.52    -7.04     0.00     0.14     4.70     1.11P    2.44R    0.38  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      54.97     9.37   -10.06     0.00     0.13     3.73     0.94P    2.74R    0.43  
Wrexham          16   19   -7      47.48     9.17   -28.96     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.17P   13.76R    3.28  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.66     9.53    -9.65     0.00     0.06     3.08     0.81P    4.42R    0.64  
Barnet           17   18   -7      52.88     9.41   -16.80     0.00     0.05     2.29     0.49P    5.46R    1.20  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      52.31     9.58   -12.86     0.00     0.04     2.31     0.45P    5.96R    1.50  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.74     8.23   -46.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.87R   16.98  
Boston           17   13  -11      44.09     9.08   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   23.45R    7.75  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.57     8.41   -44.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.79R   66.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.13     7.56    69.03    87.69    99.97    93.66P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.12     8.52    52.80    11.62    97.62    41.25P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.23     9.39    13.39     0.23    52.24    10.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.12     9.36    12.18     0.09    39.40     8.99P    0.04R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.76     9.37    -2.64     0.02    16.75     2.50P    0.43R    0.02  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.94     9.35    20.31     0.12    44.37    11.41P    0.04R    0.01  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      68.04     9.08     5.76     0.02    17.47     2.84P    0.27R    0.03  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.50     9.26     7.32     0.03    28.17     5.05P    0.10R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.26     9.24    32.61     0.17    51.30    14.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.11     9.05   -12.02     0.01     3.91     0.52P    2.95R    0.38  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.37     9.28     9.03     0.00    16.99     3.04P    0.37R    0.04  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.78     9.22     6.74     0.01    12.57     2.44P    0.77R    0.07  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.24     9.42     2.69     0.01    11.81     1.89P    0.94R    0.12  
Northwich          18   25   -7      60.01     9.34   -13.26     0.00     3.92     0.39P    3.73R    0.57  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.36     8.73   -12.37     0.00     0.45     0.07P   13.96R    3.03  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      50.85     9.07   -17.49     0.00     0.45     0.10P   19.74R    4.89  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      49.02     8.68   -23.64     0.00     0.26     0.03P   24.95R    6.23  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.41     9.13   -12.80     0.00     0.93     0.12P   12.50R    2.88  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.81     9.21   -10.75     0.00     0.98     0.10P   11.62R    2.22  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      48.01     8.69   -19.37     0.00     0.16     0.03P   28.11R    7.66  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.23     8.87   -16.75     0.00     0.17     0.02P   27.34R    7.75  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.82     8.32   -36.89     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.48R   26.61  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.98     8.76   -25.97     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.79R   12.68  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.01     8.56   -27.89     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.86R   24.79