Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 November 2006 at 21:31:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Blackburn vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    12   31  +22      93.72     6.53    74.04    88.14    98.33    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         12   28  +15      79.12     8.41    41.79     9.27    60.22    91.19    97.82     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +6      63.79     8.92    17.01     0.17     4.75    34.74    64.42     0.05R    0.01  
Bolton          12   21   +1      56.18     8.70     0.21     0.01     0.90    10.04    29.01     0.28R    0.02  
Portsmouth      12   20   +7      64.24     8.90    20.60     0.17     5.46    37.53    66.49     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   18  +10      71.42     9.67    33.80     2.04    23.89    68.15    86.39     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         12   17   +5      55.79     9.10     9.29     0.04     1.07    10.84    30.68     0.56R    0.04  
Wigan           11   17   +3      59.33     9.53    10.85     0.08     2.83    20.60    45.09     0.35R    0.01  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      57.49     9.86     7.78     0.07     1.75    16.01    37.52     0.55R    0.04  
Fulham          12   17   -3      52.21     9.20    -4.50     0.00     0.49     5.21    17.09     1.64R    0.17  
Tottenham       11   15   -3      48.81     9.35    -6.41     0.00     0.21     2.83    10.28     3.98R    0.59  
Middlesbrough   12   14   -6      38.61     8.35   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.08    24.39R    6.14  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.97     9.54   -13.59     0.00     0.06     2.02     8.52     6.53R    1.07  
Manchester_C    12   13   -7      36.29     8.02   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.59    33.73R    8.35  
Blackburn       12   12   -6      42.52     8.82   -15.35     0.00     0.01     0.40     2.69    13.26R    2.87  
West_Ham        12   11   -6      34.51     8.20   -28.11     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    42.80R   14.85  
Sheffield_U     12   10   -9      30.57     7.55   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    62.81R   29.55  
Newcastle       12    9   -7      32.53     7.83   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    51.10R   18.70  
Watford         12    9   -8      38.47     8.71   -17.56     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.00    25.34R    6.83  
Charlton        12    8   -9      36.84     8.91   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.81    32.63R   10.76  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Birmingham vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          17   36  +15      93.03     8.94    44.77    54.56    75.17    96.91    81.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          17   33  +13      83.59     9.48    29.85    14.49    34.40    81.42    46.86P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       17   33   +8      81.59     9.65    21.74    10.47    26.50    74.09    38.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          17   31  +11      81.46     9.44    27.63    10.21    26.13    75.00    39.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            17   28   +3      73.27     9.91    11.95     2.13     7.47    41.88    14.50P    0.15R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    17   26   +9      74.66     9.68    23.45     2.96     9.78    49.31    20.17P    0.09R    0.01  
Plymouth         17   26   +5      72.38     9.45    15.73     1.58     5.79    38.80    13.80P    0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   26   -5      59.41     9.24   -13.18     0.07     0.22     4.97     1.03P    4.36R    0.28  
Norwich          17   25   -4      62.76     9.67    -7.80     0.12     0.64    10.10     2.23P    2.40R    0.09  
Stoke            17   24   +8      71.74     9.68    20.91     1.54     5.66    37.61    15.48P    0.25R    0.01  
Colchester       17   24   +3      68.25     9.52    10.02     0.53     2.31    23.84     7.45P    0.45R    0.01  
Southampton      17   24   +3      71.04     9.67    14.98     1.09     4.49    33.58    11.95P    0.29R    0.02  
Sheffield_W      17   23   -2      56.00     9.15   -12.43     0.01     0.08     2.44     0.48P    8.38R    0.74  
Leicester        17   22   -1      58.88     9.46    -4.71     0.05     0.29     4.79     1.25P    5.28R    0.41  
Coventry         17   22   -1      58.63     9.41    -4.03     0.03     0.17     4.62     1.22P    5.13R    0.35  
Luton            17   22   -6      56.81     9.25   -16.04     0.01     0.10     3.07     0.62P    7.71R    0.79  
Ipswich          17   21   +0      59.98     9.82    -1.99     0.06     0.38     6.87     1.62P    4.84R    0.47  
Queens_PR        17   21   -1      58.91     9.57    -5.33     0.05     0.28     5.13     1.18P    5.88R    0.52  
Sunderland       17   20   -3      57.87     9.55    -6.38     0.01     0.15     4.07     1.02P    6.82R    0.58  
Crystal_Palace   17   18   -6      51.54     9.44   -16.62     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.21P   20.62R    2.91  
Hull             17   16   -7      46.16     8.96   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   39.49R    7.93  
Leeds            17   16  -14      41.59     8.55   -40.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.46R   19.66  
Barnsley         17   15  -12      46.99     9.67   -27.87     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   38.70R    9.32  
Southend         17   11  -16      34.44     8.59   -44.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.59R   55.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      92.56     9.29    35.40    60.45    78.73    96.61    83.73P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      77.34     9.78    18.84     6.68    20.04    62.55    31.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.85     9.33    30.14    11.87    32.70    77.09    46.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.56     9.59    15.61     4.67    14.13    55.75    23.98P    0.12R    0.01  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.35     9.90    18.76     5.08    15.10    55.46    26.89P    0.22R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.53     9.67    15.88     3.17     9.64    44.09    17.61P    0.36R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.30     9.65     6.77     1.02     4.05    27.12     8.77P    1.14R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.58    10.04    19.37     3.77    11.90    48.88    21.50P    0.28R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.29     9.73     2.89     0.39     1.70    16.25     5.32P    3.38R    0.11  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.74     9.76     3.47     0.55     2.29    19.80     6.01P    2.69R    0.13  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.32     9.66    -8.63     0.14     0.76     8.38     2.15P    7.58R    0.39  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.98     9.57    -4.89     0.12     0.93    10.45     2.52P    5.41R    0.23  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.63     9.83    -5.59     0.24     0.86     9.16     2.25P    7.67R    0.47  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.65     9.80    -4.47     0.17     0.87    10.48     2.71P    6.27R    0.27  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.98     9.74    13.33     0.95     3.26    24.48     9.07P    1.69R    0.07  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.12     9.86     7.68     0.55     2.27    18.89     6.04P    3.26R    0.14  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.17     9.32    -5.41     0.06     0.31     4.86     1.30P   10.09R    0.52  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      55.92     9.08    -3.94     0.04     0.15     2.75     0.88P   13.69R    0.81  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.33     9.73    -2.93     0.07     0.30     6.10     1.39P   10.55R    0.82  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.42     9.17   -20.96     0.01     0.01     0.47     0.09P   42.37R    6.34  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.79     9.15   -23.47     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   54.64R   10.18  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.34     8.59   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   70.43R   17.95  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.06     8.83   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   77.55R   28.86  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.22     8.85   -41.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   80.45R   32.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     100.67     8.29    55.62    59.40    94.86    99.81    96.77P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.52     8.70    55.61    30.30    86.06    99.08    89.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.50     9.27    30.59     6.24    50.63    92.33    63.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.44     9.42    23.51     2.08    24.68    79.34    40.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.72     9.76     9.19     0.29     7.88    49.28    15.77P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.68     9.35    16.26     0.49     9.55    59.13    21.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.87     9.75     0.51     0.16     2.96    29.95     7.78P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.92     9.56     4.08     0.07     2.27    27.20     7.46P    0.09R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.06     9.43    -0.01     0.02     1.39    20.74     5.21P    0.10R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      62.09     9.61    -1.49     0.00     0.81    13.85     3.49P    0.50R    0.06  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.13     9.41    -0.56     0.00     0.98    16.12     4.22P    0.21R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.86     9.89    31.00     0.94    16.24    68.66    33.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.20     9.08   -20.13     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.26P    6.00R    1.04  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.06     9.61    -5.44     0.00     0.33     8.84     1.90P    1.17R    0.25  
Accrington       17   20   -1      63.09     9.79     3.92     0.01     0.94    17.25     4.46P    0.56R    0.10  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.37     9.35    -7.23     0.00     0.07     3.99     1.00P    2.25R    0.29  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.60     9.46    -9.14     0.00     0.17     4.61     1.05P    2.35R    0.40  
Wrexham          16   19   -7      47.16     9.08   -29.36     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.12P   14.46R    3.74  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.56     9.37    -9.78     0.00     0.04     2.74     0.57P    4.11R    0.77  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.40     9.37   -15.70     0.00     0.08     2.63     0.56P    4.54R    0.98  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.94     9.66   -13.50     0.00     0.04     2.20     0.47P    5.99R    1.52  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.92     8.24   -45.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.59R   16.50  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.56     8.89   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00    24.96R    8.30  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.57     8.32   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.03R   65.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 November 2006, Forest_Green vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     108.94     7.59    68.55    87.00    99.98    93.19P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      94.99     8.64    52.61    12.22    97.47    41.90P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.60     9.54    13.99     0.33    53.24    11.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      73.79     9.21    11.87     0.07    37.87     8.04P    0.03R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.88     9.28    -2.46     0.03    16.84     2.57P    0.29R    0.03  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.11     9.30    19.15     0.07    40.88     9.96P    0.06R    0.01  
Gravesend          19   29   +3      67.89     9.06     5.58     0.01    17.41     3.06P    0.28R    0.01  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.53     9.42     7.38     0.07    28.73     5.26P    0.19R    0.00  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.05     9.16    32.25     0.17    50.56    14.30P    0.02R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.47     9.24   -11.54     0.00     4.55     0.73P    2.84R    0.27  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.80     9.42     9.70     0.02    18.25     3.25P    0.46R    0.03  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.87     9.19     7.05     0.01    12.91     2.46P    0.67R    0.06  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.96     9.41     3.76     0.01    13.31     2.31P    0.67R    0.05  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.94     9.43   -13.47     0.01     4.21     0.45P    4.08R    0.62  
Cambridge_U        19   20   -6      52.32     8.77   -12.45     0.00     0.46     0.08P   14.29R    3.10  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      50.89     9.01   -17.49     0.00     0.52     0.09P   19.06R    4.55  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.67     8.82   -24.34     0.00     0.29     0.03P   26.45R    7.12  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.55     9.18   -12.54     0.00     0.84     0.14P   12.60R    2.85  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.52     9.32   -11.14     0.00     1.03     0.20P   12.49R    2.80  
Forest_Green       19   18   -8      48.01     8.66   -19.39     0.00     0.21     0.04P   27.66R    7.68  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.57     8.99   -16.20     0.00     0.25     0.01P   26.41R    7.13  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.57     8.36   -37.21     0.00     0.03     0.00    59.24R   27.16  
St_Albans          19   16  -12      45.78     8.74   -26.40     0.00     0.08     0.00    38.56R   13.07  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.43     8.68   -27.26     0.00     0.06     0.00    53.62R   23.44