Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 9 November 2006 at 21:31:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    11   28  +21      93.50     7.00    77.21    90.25    98.02    99.89    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         11   25  +11      74.83     9.05    32.15     5.17    41.12    79.34    92.56     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          11   20   +1      57.37     9.56     1.98     0.06     2.05    13.96    34.39     0.47R    0.03  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      66.95     9.47    24.44     0.76    12.96    48.78    74.12     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   18  +10      72.15     9.63    34.99     3.15    31.61    69.94    87.17     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +5      59.30     9.51    11.37     0.15     2.77    19.39    43.50     0.20R    0.01  
Everton         11   17   +6      59.79     9.27    14.99     0.24     3.62    20.70    45.73     0.20R    0.01  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      57.34     9.65     7.43     0.05     2.01    14.27    35.98     0.43R    0.07  
Fulham          11   16   -3      50.73     9.70    -7.87     0.01     0.57     4.80    14.59     3.17R    0.38  
Tottenham       11   15   -3      49.08     9.31    -6.18     0.00     0.23     2.61     9.79     3.83R    0.42  
Wigan           10   14   +2      59.85    10.11    13.69     0.17     4.88    23.23    46.66     0.46R    0.07  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.21     9.53   -14.98     0.00     0.09     1.56     6.54     8.00R    1.30  
Blackburn       11   12   -5      42.89     9.19   -17.19     0.00     0.06     0.62     3.07    13.60R    2.62  
Manchester_C    11   12   -7      37.55     8.70   -24.06     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.08    29.54R    7.07  
West_Ham        11   11   -5      36.84     8.84   -25.47     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.88    32.97R    9.78  
Middlesbrough   11   11   -7      37.12     8.82   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.99    32.07R    8.91  
Watford         11    9   -4      40.75     9.11   -12.11     0.00     0.01     0.37     1.95    18.33R    3.98  
Sheffield_U     11    9   -9      29.42     7.75   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    67.51R   33.62  
Newcastle       11    8   -7      32.58     8.38   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21    51.52R   18.41  
Charlton        11    8   -8      35.67     9.18   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73    37.66R   13.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 November 2006, Stoke vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          16   33  +14      90.99     9.29    43.67    42.20    63.84    93.53    71.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   32  +13      85.56     9.73    32.79    19.72    39.55    82.39    50.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          16   31  +12      82.37     9.83    28.20    12.92    27.02    73.10    39.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       16   30   +6      80.16     9.79    20.43     8.34    19.73    64.88    30.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    16   26  +10      80.01     9.77    31.40     7.84    20.45    66.38    33.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   26   -3      63.20     9.74    -7.35     0.15     0.59     8.94     2.12P    1.25R    0.04  
Plymouth         16   25   +5      72.61     9.95    15.47     1.99     5.87    35.75    13.16P    0.07R    0.01  
Derby            16   25   +2      69.31    10.05     6.95     0.79     3.12    24.18     7.23P    0.30R    0.01  
Colchester       16   24   +6      74.21     9.74    20.72     2.52     7.70    42.28    16.61P    0.08R    0.00  
Southampton      16   23   +3      72.55     9.97    16.97     1.72     5.76    36.27    13.56P    0.14R    0.00  
Coventry         16   22   +0      62.01     9.79    -0.05     0.05     0.48     7.82     2.28P    1.86R    0.05  
Luton            16   22   -5      60.26     9.83   -11.06     0.09     0.28     5.33     1.09P    3.48R    0.32  
Norwich          16   22   -5      58.16     9.62   -14.72     0.04     0.17     3.44     0.68P    4.58R    0.29  
Stoke            16   21   +7      68.96    10.04    18.34     1.03     3.08    24.83     9.66P    0.36R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   21   +2      66.41    10.24     9.19     0.47     1.80    17.29     5.22P    1.10R    0.04  
Leicester        16   21   -1      59.06     9.86    -4.61     0.06     0.29     4.80     1.40P    3.63R    0.27  
Sheffield_W      16   20   -4      50.64     9.43   -21.06     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.16P   17.52R    1.89  
Sunderland       16   19   -3      57.42     9.85    -7.68     0.04     0.12     3.60     0.73P    5.17R    0.30  
Queens_PR        16   18   -2      55.59    10.02    -9.52     0.03     0.07     2.54     0.46P    8.49R    0.69  
Crystal_Palace   16   18   -5      52.87     9.78   -15.89     0.01     0.04     1.33     0.23P   12.62R    1.30  
Barnsley         16   15  -10      48.16     9.80   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P   26.77R    4.42  
Hull             16   13   -9      42.66     9.21   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P   47.92R    9.71  
Leeds            16   13  -17      36.02     8.36   -51.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.24R   31.68  
Southend         16   10  -16      32.74     8.43   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.38R   48.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.59     9.13    36.76    65.17    82.11    97.64    86.69P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.92     9.56    18.29     5.29    17.98    61.03    29.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.87     9.03    30.26    11.15    32.09    77.64    46.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      76.08     9.59    16.38     4.67    15.67    57.60    25.46P    0.10R    0.01  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.13     9.75    18.36     4.08    13.99    54.43    25.48P    0.26R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.09     9.67    15.31     2.64     8.85    42.06    16.11P    0.43R    0.02  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.48     9.68     7.15     1.15     4.29    27.98     9.18P    1.00R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.27     9.78    18.80     2.91    10.79    47.51    20.36P    0.30R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.03     9.70     2.52     0.34     1.70    15.46     4.96P    3.21R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.62     9.66     3.26     0.46     2.02    18.91     5.38P    2.50R    0.10  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.60     9.70    -8.01     0.12     0.73     8.64     2.07P    7.10R    0.30  
Brighton        17   24   -2      62.31     9.70    -4.32     0.18     1.09    11.46     2.85P    4.67R    0.21  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.08     9.71    -4.84     0.21     0.97     9.80     2.69P    6.42R    0.36  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.45     9.81    -4.88     0.18     0.94    10.07     2.81P    6.11R    0.32  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      67.15     9.60    13.68     0.79     3.42    24.59     9.46P    1.49R    0.09  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.67     9.87     8.48     0.52     2.46    20.46     6.62P    2.66R    0.12  
Northampton     17   22   -2      57.94     9.37    -5.79     0.06     0.33     4.66     1.35P   10.20R    0.67  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.02     9.03    -3.75     0.03     0.14     2.77     0.79P   13.04R    0.76  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.73     9.80    -2.15     0.06     0.45     6.59     1.73P    9.68R    0.68  
Brentford       17   17   -9      47.43     8.98   -22.55     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.06P   45.88R    7.22  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.33     9.02   -24.15     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   55.98R   10.52  
Millwall        17   16  -11      41.98     8.42   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.48R   18.94  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.16     8.71   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   77.05R   27.05  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.10     8.71   -41.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   80.38R   32.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 November 2006, Bury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.10     8.44    56.26    62.05    94.91    99.72    96.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.23     8.61    54.96    27.43    86.25    99.24    90.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.76     9.32    31.05     6.51    52.34    92.91    65.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      79.78     9.41    22.53     1.88    22.07    78.22    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      73.27     9.72    10.05     0.47     8.54    51.97    17.05P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      73.97     9.72    15.24     0.47     9.15    56.02    20.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.79     9.69     0.35     0.10     2.77    30.02     7.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Bury             17   26   +2      66.47     9.68     3.30     0.08     2.18    26.48     7.35P    0.13R    0.00  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.02     9.33    -0.10     0.01     1.39    20.93     5.12P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      62.04     9.44    -1.60     0.01     0.83    14.04     3.62P    0.38R    0.03  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.02     9.51    -0.63     0.01     0.80    15.85     3.84P    0.34R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      77.02    10.02    31.10     0.94    16.87    68.76    34.46P    0.01R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.29     9.06   -19.97     0.00     0.04     1.60     0.34P    5.72R    1.12  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      58.98     9.55    -5.57     0.01     0.28     8.86     1.79P    1.32R    0.19  
Accrington       17   20   -1      63.30     9.77     4.35     0.03     1.02    17.98     4.76P    0.46R    0.09  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.83     9.47    -6.78     0.00     0.18     4.79     1.19P    1.83R    0.34  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.45     9.43    -9.38     0.01     0.14     4.22     0.92P    2.61R    0.40  
Wrexham          16   19   -7      47.65     9.10   -28.65     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.12P   13.30R    3.12  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.49     9.33    -9.86     0.00     0.09     2.63     0.66P    4.12R    0.81  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.40     9.48   -15.75     0.00     0.09     2.81     0.67P    4.93R    0.95  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.84     9.56   -13.59     0.00     0.06     2.00     0.42P    6.41R    1.51  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.72     8.00   -45.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.76R   17.82  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.64     8.96   -27.57     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.06P   25.39R    8.46  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.94     8.44   -43.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.04R   65.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, York vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.17     7.36    69.07    87.31    99.98    93.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.40     8.59    53.32    11.96    97.43    42.26P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.33     9.34    13.52     0.17    50.62    10.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      73.56     9.37    11.38     0.09    35.03     7.37P    0.04R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.40     9.30    -3.33     0.01    14.70     2.07P    0.36R    0.01  
Exeter             18   29   +9      73.88     9.24    18.79     0.07    37.86     8.51P    0.02R    0.01  
Gravesend          18   29   +6      72.74     9.42    14.20     0.09    32.20     6.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.84     9.38     7.85     0.05    28.59     5.22P    0.15R    0.02  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.53     9.23    32.99     0.23    50.95    14.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.82     9.38   -11.07     0.00     4.47     0.65P    2.54R    0.28  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      68.40     9.40    10.49     0.03    18.77     3.54P    0.35R    0.04  
Woking             18   25   +3      66.04     9.08     7.09     0.01    12.06     2.17P    0.52R    0.03  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.04     9.40     2.30     0.01    10.52     1.78P    0.90R    0.09  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.73     9.31   -13.82     0.00     3.66     0.41P    3.48R    0.56  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.27     9.04   -16.90     0.00     0.56     0.10P   16.50R    3.65  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      49.10     8.83   -23.62     0.00     0.21     0.01P   23.56R    6.03  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      52.94     9.11   -13.56     0.00     0.77     0.10P   12.79R    2.65  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.96     9.33   -10.59     0.00     0.97     0.20P   10.62R    2.22  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.77     8.95   -15.87     0.00     0.19     0.03P   24.03R    6.50  
Forest_Green       18   17   -8      48.58     9.11   -19.05     0.00     0.23     0.03P   25.42R    7.42  
Cambridge_U        18   17   -9      47.02     8.64   -20.63     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.16R    9.06  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.75     8.18   -36.85     0.00     0.02     0.00    56.46R   24.43  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.07     8.66   -27.96     0.00     0.03     0.00    53.45R   23.20  
St_Albans          18   15  -12      45.42     9.09   -27.74     0.00     0.10     0.01P   38.56R   13.83