Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 November 2006 at 21:31:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    11   28  +21      92.69     7.15    75.71    88.72    97.22    99.81    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         11   25  +11      75.11     9.05    32.79     6.41    42.61    79.47    92.89     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          11   20   +1      57.17     9.45     1.67     0.07     2.10    12.99    32.30     0.42R    0.04  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      67.52     9.50    25.45     1.09    14.67    50.96    75.14     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   18  +10      71.65     9.33    34.51     3.01    28.82    67.79    86.41     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +5      59.89     9.49    12.34     0.20     3.22    20.82    45.71     0.25R    0.01  
Everton         11   17   +6      59.83     9.56    15.13     0.23     3.75    21.29    45.52     0.19R    0.01  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      57.09     9.68     6.93     0.07     2.02    13.53    34.01     0.54R    0.06  
Fulham          11   16   -3      50.80     9.47    -7.91     0.01     0.34     4.04    13.51     2.94R    0.30  
Tottenham       11   15   -3      49.15     9.55    -6.19     0.01     0.28     2.79    10.57     3.94R    0.53  
Wigan           10   14   +2      60.20    10.07    14.40     0.17     4.79    23.16    47.74     0.46R    0.10  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.48     9.70   -14.31     0.01     0.10     1.75     7.28     7.47R    1.17  
Blackburn       11   12   -5      43.15     9.15   -16.59     0.00     0.04     0.57     3.13    12.20R    2.26  
Manchester_C    11   12   -7      37.59     8.64   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.79    28.59R    6.72  
West_Ham        11   11   -5      36.61     8.90   -26.17     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.86    33.90R    9.69  
Middlesbrough   11   11   -7      37.39     8.93   -28.41     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.76    30.89R    8.03  
Watford         11    9   -4      40.97     9.50   -11.78     0.00     0.03     0.54     2.62    18.01R    4.14  
Sheffield_U     11    9   -9      29.06     7.69   -33.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    68.65R   34.17  
Newcastle       11    8   -7      32.51     8.42   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18    51.10R   18.41  
Charlton        11    8   -8      34.93     9.08   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.54    40.42R   14.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 November 2006, Stoke vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          16   33  +14      90.92     9.39    43.63    41.94    62.84    93.19    70.82P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   32  +13      85.15     9.87    32.14    19.12    37.96    81.27    49.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          16   31  +12      82.75     9.88    28.90    13.91    29.27    74.22    41.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   30   +6      80.29     9.56    20.72     7.78    19.97    65.19    30.91P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    16   26  +10      79.75     9.70    30.99     7.79    19.45    65.48    31.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   26   -3      62.61     9.76    -8.15     0.15     0.60     8.03     1.88P    1.76R    0.05  
Plymouth         16   25   +5      72.56     9.97    15.40     2.08     5.96    34.98    12.86P    0.10R    0.00  
Derby            16   25   +2      69.35    10.08     7.08     1.02     3.18    24.30     7.39P    0.30R    0.01  
Colchester       16   24   +6      74.42     9.75    20.91     2.54     7.82    43.37    16.90P    0.07R    0.01  
Southampton      16   23   +3      72.87    10.15    17.40     1.95     6.28    37.37    14.29P    0.17R    0.01  
Coventry         16   22   +0      61.46     9.95    -0.77     0.12     0.57     7.40     2.31P    2.00R    0.08  
Luton            16   22   -5      60.05     9.79   -11.38     0.04     0.29     5.40     1.02P    3.31R    0.24  
Norwich          16   22   -5      58.68     9.58   -13.71     0.03     0.15     3.85     0.69P    4.53R    0.36  
Stoke            16   21   +7      69.03    10.10    18.36     0.85     3.16    25.03     9.84P    0.37R    0.01  
Ipswich          16   21   +2      66.49    10.19     9.28     0.56     1.82    17.70     5.25P    0.94R    0.04  
Leicester        16   21   -1      59.05     9.87    -4.68     0.08     0.30     4.84     1.42P    3.62R    0.18  
Sheffield_W      16   20   -4      50.71     9.14   -21.06     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.09P   16.50R    1.66  
Sunderland       16   19   -3      57.99     9.89    -6.72     0.04     0.19     4.05     1.01P    4.74R    0.36  
Queens_PR        16   18   -2      55.28    10.07   -10.02     0.01     0.10     2.15     0.49P    9.04R    0.83  
Crystal_Palace   16   18   -5      52.65     9.63   -16.40     0.01     0.04     1.14     0.26P   12.84R    1.28  
Barnsley         16   15  -10      48.02     9.75   -27.14     0.00     0.04     0.47     0.14P   27.64R    4.59  
Hull             16   13   -9      42.57     9.30   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.12R   10.50  
Leeds            16   13  -17      36.22     8.52   -50.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.30R   31.78  
Southend         16   10  -16      33.06     8.44   -49.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.62R   47.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.12     9.38    36.35    63.15    79.75    97.02    84.69P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.84     9.78    18.19     5.74    18.70    60.41    29.59P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.89     9.32    30.27    11.71    32.77    76.81    46.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.77     9.61    16.00     4.55    14.82    56.29    24.35P    0.14R    0.01  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.39     9.60    18.77     4.29    14.44    55.66    25.95P    0.15R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.03     9.83    15.06     3.12     9.48    41.97    16.71P    0.45R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      69.18     9.76     8.16     1.31     4.84    30.75    10.46P    0.93R    0.04  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.97     9.81    19.86     3.52    12.09    51.12    22.70P    0.29R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.05     9.61     2.51     0.30     1.34    14.93     4.69P    3.48R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.56     9.84     3.21     0.45     2.15    19.50     5.58P    2.90R    0.12  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.46     9.61    -8.35     0.14     0.74     8.62     2.04P    7.16R    0.36  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.41     9.66    -5.88     0.16     0.88     9.90     2.49P    5.99R    0.30  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.70     9.81    -5.53     0.18     0.85     9.34     2.33P    7.50R    0.43  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.47     9.75    -4.80     0.17     0.88     9.96     2.56P    6.29R    0.34  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.77     9.62    13.13     0.66     3.09    23.73     8.61P    1.79R    0.10  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.03     9.70     7.55     0.38     2.06    18.16     5.83P    2.98R    0.14  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.30     9.42    -5.21     0.06     0.38     5.07     1.44P    9.96R    0.56  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.76     9.23    -2.92     0.02     0.18     3.40     1.00P   12.27R    0.72  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.28     9.92    -2.80     0.09     0.54     6.46     1.85P   10.79R    0.93  
Brentford       17   17   -9      47.87     9.09   -21.92     0.01     0.01     0.48     0.10P   44.45R    6.99  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.62     9.02   -23.83     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   54.69R   10.23  
Millwall        17   16  -11      41.92     8.71   -31.42     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.02P   71.09R   19.68  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.17     8.57   -35.87     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   77.19R   27.87  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.49     8.79   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   79.42R   31.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Shrewsbury vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.08     8.22    56.20    61.17    95.14    99.87    96.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.13     8.88    55.20    27.93    84.65    98.89    88.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      87.10     9.40    31.51     7.17    53.66    93.22    65.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.46     9.23    23.49     1.98    23.94    80.73    40.56P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.72     9.74     9.19     0.24     7.41    50.09    15.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.50     9.60    15.96     0.47     9.71    58.63    21.40P    0.01R    0.01  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.52    10.00    -0.01     0.10     3.00    29.63     7.83P    0.09R    0.01  
Hereford         17   26   +1      64.85     9.48    -0.27     0.04     1.36    20.80     5.04P    0.22R    0.05  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.78     9.73    -2.00     0.03     0.86    14.16     3.58P    0.47R    0.06  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.28     9.63    -0.27     0.02     1.06    17.05     4.46P    0.30R    0.04  
Bury             16   23   +1      65.51    10.00     3.44     0.07     1.94    24.10     6.47P    0.30R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.53    10.11    30.40     0.77    15.46    67.81    32.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.49     9.00   -19.67     0.00     0.05     1.47     0.31P    5.72R    0.95  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.62     9.60    -4.48     0.00     0.42    10.10     2.35P    1.00R    0.15  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.96     9.53     3.56     0.02     0.94    16.25     3.96P    0.52R    0.07  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.54     9.54    -7.10     0.00     0.14     4.40     1.14P    2.61R    0.40  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      54.81     9.38   -10.29     0.00     0.07     3.83     0.82P    3.15R    0.55  
Wrexham          15   19   -6      48.72     9.57   -28.63     0.00     0.06     1.28     0.28P   12.11R    2.85  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.64     9.31    -9.58     0.00     0.05     2.76     0.66P    4.29R    0.80  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.06     9.49   -16.35     0.00     0.04     2.40     0.35P    5.31R    1.06  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      52.36     9.60   -12.75     0.00     0.05     2.29     0.57P    5.84R    1.53  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      39.00     8.46   -45.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.88R   17.28  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.58     8.85   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   25.63R    8.18  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.66     8.53   -44.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.51R   66.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, York vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     108.69     7.73    68.11    86.85    99.97    92.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      94.89     8.62    52.32    12.29    97.20    41.78P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      76.93     9.47    12.98     0.21    48.78    10.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.06     9.40    12.20     0.12    37.36     7.92P    0.03R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.47     9.31    -3.25     0.01    14.81     2.04P    0.34R    0.04  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.47     9.31    19.64     0.11    40.10     9.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          18   29   +6      72.44     9.44    13.71     0.12    31.46     6.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      72.36     9.38     8.60     0.06    29.95     5.88P    0.07R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.68     9.14    33.32     0.23    51.26    14.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.38     9.04   -11.65     0.00     3.43     0.51P    2.68R    0.28  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      68.06     9.34    10.07     0.01    17.38     3.32P    0.41R    0.04  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.96     9.22     6.98     0.00    11.91     2.29P    0.60R    0.04  
Crawley            18   25   +0      64.66     9.26     1.82     0.00     9.57     1.69P    0.96R    0.10  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.66     9.28   -13.97     0.00     3.58     0.41P    3.49R    0.51  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      50.93     9.17   -17.39     0.00     0.41     0.07P   18.18R    4.32  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      48.85     8.78   -23.92     0.00     0.20     0.03P   24.45R    6.57  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.37     9.27   -12.77     0.00     0.84     0.14P   12.35R    2.92  
Halifax            18   19   -5      54.01     9.39   -10.50     0.00     1.07     0.21P   11.03R    2.35  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      49.00     9.05   -15.51     0.00     0.24     0.04P   23.54R    6.66  
Forest_Green       18   17   -8      48.64     9.03   -18.84     0.00     0.20     0.02P   25.07R    7.25  
Cambridge_U        18   17   -9      46.96     8.82   -20.86     0.00     0.10     0.01P   31.32R    9.18  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.97     8.38   -36.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.52R   24.16  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.57     8.60   -26.92     0.00     0.02     0.01P   51.14R   21.30  
St_Albans          18   15  -12      45.48     9.12   -27.68     0.00     0.12     0.03P   38.72R   14.29