Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 November 2006 at 21:34:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    11   28  +21      93.19     7.15    76.53    88.93    97.47    99.78    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         11   25  +11      75.61     8.94    33.44     6.38    44.17    81.16    93.75     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          11   20   +1      57.59     9.34     2.45     0.04     2.00    13.74    34.38     0.36R    0.06  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      67.00     9.34    24.71     0.89    12.59    48.80    74.63     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   18  +10      71.65     9.90    34.42     3.04    29.55    67.64    85.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +5      59.44     9.54    11.69     0.19     3.17    19.64    43.48     0.22R    0.01  
Everton         11   17   +6      59.77     9.56    14.77     0.25     3.87    21.52    46.16     0.20R    0.03  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      57.46     9.76     7.63     0.11     2.15    14.66    36.23     0.68R    0.09  
Fulham          11   16   -3      50.72     9.65    -8.08     0.01     0.43     4.46    14.17     3.23R    0.32  
Tottenham       11   15   -3      48.85     9.42    -6.43     0.01     0.23     2.83    10.11     4.06R    0.51  
Wigan           10   14   +2      60.10     9.85    14.23     0.15     4.21    22.95    47.26     0.29R    0.01  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.41     9.39   -14.68     0.01     0.08     1.37     6.38     7.05R    1.14  
Blackburn       11   12   -5      42.67     9.13   -17.66     0.00     0.02     0.52     2.78    13.74R    2.64  
Manchester_C    11   12   -7      37.34     8.78   -24.19     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.98    30.44R    7.79  
West_Ham        11   11   -5      36.52     8.56   -26.36     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.62    33.41R    9.55  
Middlesbrough   11   11   -7      37.26     8.80   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.82    31.34R    8.91  
Watford         11    9   -4      40.71     9.20   -12.01     0.00     0.03     0.40     2.07    18.55R    4.21  
Sheffield_U     11    9   -9      29.35     7.54   -33.86     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03    68.02R   33.48  
Newcastle       11    8   -7      32.90     8.36   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15    49.09R   17.98  
Charlton        11    8   -8      35.34     9.11   -23.92     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.82    39.31R   13.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Plymouth vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          16   33  +14      90.89     9.28    43.42    42.45    63.67    93.53    71.90P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   32  +13      85.27     9.78    32.35    19.34    39.05    81.89    50.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          16   31  +12      82.43    10.01    28.41    13.52    28.18    73.14    40.28P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   30   +6      80.29     9.69    20.59     8.16    20.05    65.64    30.88P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    16   26  +10      79.74     9.90    30.92     7.90    20.16    65.25    32.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   26   -3      63.19     9.79    -7.38     0.17     0.69     9.36     2.35P    1.38R    0.03  
Plymouth         16   25   +5      72.94     9.89    16.04     2.07     6.25    37.25    13.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            16   25   +2      69.54    10.05     7.32     0.98     3.25    25.02     7.49P    0.29R    0.01  
Colchester       16   24   +6      73.95     9.86    20.30     2.46     7.52    41.34    16.27P    0.10R    0.01  
Southampton      16   23   +3      72.32     9.90    16.62     1.36     5.05    35.44    12.62P    0.19R    0.01  
Coventry         15   22   +1      63.57    10.20     1.19     0.29     1.06    11.07     3.60P    1.45R    0.07  
Luton            16   22   -5      60.06     9.83   -11.28     0.07     0.38     5.59     1.22P    3.39R    0.23  
Norwich          16   22   -5      57.96     9.74   -14.98     0.03     0.15     3.71     0.70P    5.33R    0.34  
Ipswich          16   21   +2      66.44    10.22     9.29     0.52     1.92    18.00     5.34P    0.85R    0.03  
Leicester        16   21   -1      59.14     9.86    -4.43     0.06     0.28     4.76     1.19P    3.56R    0.17  
Sheffield_W      16   20   -4      50.91     9.28   -20.52     0.01     0.04     0.83     0.17P   16.91R    1.49  
Sunderland       16   19   -3      57.77     9.87    -7.06     0.04     0.15     3.99     0.96P    5.17R    0.38  
Stoke            15   18   +6      67.07    10.09    16.80     0.56     2.04    19.90     7.28P    0.76R    0.03  
Queens_PR        16   18   -2      55.41    10.17    -9.88     0.01     0.09     2.77     0.62P    8.76R    0.73  
Crystal_Palace   16   18   -5      52.79     9.62   -15.99     0.01     0.03     1.12     0.28P   12.31R    1.21  
Barnsley         16   15  -10      48.43     9.74   -26.21     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   26.26R    4.12  
Hull             16   13   -9      42.56     9.20   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00    48.97R   10.71  
Leeds            16   13  -17      35.90     8.46   -51.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R   32.42  
Southend         16   10  -16      33.05     8.46   -49.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.53R   48.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.46     9.06    36.68    64.14    81.95    97.67    86.56P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.39     9.59    17.55     4.88    16.35    59.44    27.43P    0.12R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      81.13     9.33    30.58    12.11    33.68    77.86    47.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      76.15     9.76    16.53     4.93    15.96    57.77    26.55P    0.17R    0.01  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.01     9.63    18.20     4.10    13.62    54.30    25.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.07     9.76    15.07     2.67     8.87    42.16    16.38P    0.50R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      69.14     9.88     7.99     1.27     5.09    30.79    10.60P    0.98R    0.02  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.84     9.78    19.59     3.19    11.45    49.90    21.00P    0.30R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      63.74     9.53     2.11     0.29     1.42    13.99     4.34P    3.25R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      66.16     9.69     4.21     0.47     2.23    21.05     6.29P    2.25R    0.11  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.56     9.44    -8.20     0.12     0.65     8.29     1.92P    6.95R    0.29  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.59     9.61    -5.54     0.16     0.92    10.24     2.54P    5.53R    0.35  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.91     9.70    -5.15     0.24     0.96     9.17     2.35P    7.08R    0.35  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.51     9.84    -4.80     0.18     0.87    10.26     2.67P    6.37R    0.34  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.84     9.56    13.22     0.69     2.88    23.37     8.35P    1.79R    0.07  
Bradford        17   22   +2      64.85     9.77     7.18     0.41     2.04    18.25     5.90P    3.13R    0.18  
Northampton     17   22   -2      57.41     9.49    -6.33     0.04     0.39     4.74     1.47P   11.66R    0.79  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.72     9.30    -2.88     0.03     0.20     3.65     1.05P   12.55R    0.80  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.37     9.84    -2.83     0.09     0.45     6.23     1.60P   10.54R    0.81  
Brentford       17   17   -9      47.82     9.12   -21.88     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P   44.87R    7.25  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.57     9.31   -23.94     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   54.70R   10.95  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.01     8.57   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   71.08R   19.36  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.26     8.49   -35.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.95R   26.84  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.62     8.91   -40.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    79.12R   31.32  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Shrewsbury vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     100.92     8.28    56.03    60.50    95.14    99.89    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.47     8.79    55.53    29.31    86.08    99.09    90.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.20     9.46    30.18     6.22    49.49    91.97    61.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.29     9.33    23.28     1.78    24.10    79.67    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      73.03     9.72     9.68     0.36     8.38    51.08    16.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.29     9.54    15.61     0.47     9.53    57.49    20.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.70     9.59     0.29     0.12     2.77    29.21     7.39P    0.09R    0.03  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.19     9.29     0.19     0.04     1.35    21.41     5.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.88     9.67    -1.82     0.01     1.03    14.04     3.90P    0.53R    0.07  
Stockport        17   24   +0      62.78     9.59    -1.00     0.04     0.96    15.54     3.90P    0.50R    0.08  
Bury             16   23   +1      65.43    10.09     3.18     0.06     2.19    23.88     7.00P    0.26R    0.05  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.97    10.03    31.14     1.04    16.98    69.08    34.66P    0.01R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.06     8.95   -20.39     0.00     0.03     1.35     0.25P    5.82R    1.19  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.50     9.80    -4.73     0.01     0.40    10.11     2.33P    1.20R    0.17  
Accrington       17   20   -1      63.08     9.72     3.82     0.01     1.01    17.80     4.59P    0.51R    0.12  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.31     9.53    -7.57     0.00     0.14     4.29     1.07P    2.87R    0.53  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.80     9.55    -8.82     0.00     0.21     4.88     1.23P    2.40R    0.45  
Wrexham          15   19   -6      48.53     9.52   -29.03     0.00     0.02     1.03     0.17P   12.88R    3.38  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.38     9.45    -9.93     0.00     0.06     2.85     0.66P    4.55R    0.82  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.62     9.49   -15.53     0.00     0.09     3.02     0.67P    4.38R    0.89  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.78     9.71   -13.77     0.00     0.04     2.12     0.49P    7.04R    1.75  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      39.05     8.16   -45.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.59R   17.11  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.67     9.03   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   25.93R    8.80  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      30.11     8.40   -43.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.25R   64.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, York vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.18     7.50    68.91    87.45    99.98    93.34P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.16     8.71    52.89    11.81    97.34    42.06P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.07     9.27    13.14     0.19    50.05    10.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      73.87     9.41    11.83     0.12    36.69     8.18P    0.04R    0.01  
York               18   31   +0      67.62     9.37    -2.90     0.02    15.85     2.29P    0.35R    0.04  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.38     9.19    19.56     0.09    40.37     9.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Gravesend          18   29   +6      72.08     9.31    13.14     0.06    30.85     5.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.31     9.29     7.08     0.04    26.81     4.71P    0.12R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.30     9.21    32.54     0.17    50.53    14.24P    0.04R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.65     9.02   -11.31     0.01     3.83     0.48P    2.52R    0.29  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.81     9.56     9.63     0.02    18.07     3.54P    0.49R    0.06  
Woking             18   25   +3      66.15     9.09     7.27     0.01    12.39     2.48P    0.54R    0.05  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.03     9.41     2.37     0.00    10.50     1.68P    0.86R    0.11  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.36     9.21   -14.39     0.00     3.33     0.42P    3.81R    0.55  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.14     8.90   -17.09     0.00     0.47     0.10P   16.95R    3.75  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      49.21     8.74   -23.35     0.00     0.26     0.03P   23.41R    6.12  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.37     9.19   -12.70     0.00     0.96     0.15P   12.71R    2.85  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.77     9.23   -11.02     0.00     0.89     0.10P   11.03R    2.40  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.72     8.96   -15.98     0.00     0.24     0.04P   24.97R    7.00  
Forest_Green       18   17   -8      49.01     9.11   -18.26     0.00     0.29     0.04P   24.42R    7.04  
Cambridge_U        18   17   -9      47.11     8.81   -20.60     0.00     0.14     0.02P   31.22R    9.59  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      42.19     8.38   -36.24     0.00     0.02     0.01P   55.58R   23.82  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.49     8.66   -27.24     0.00     0.03     0.00    51.98R   22.34  
St_Albans          18   15  -12      45.65     9.20   -27.28     0.00     0.09     0.01P   38.84R   13.96