Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 November 2006 at 21:31:53 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    11   28  +21      93.66     7.03    77.44    90.25    97.94    99.84    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         11   25  +11      75.41     9.15    33.28     6.00    43.92    80.17    92.83     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          11   20   +1      57.41     9.40     1.88     0.06     2.06    13.21    33.84     0.36R    0.01  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      67.09     9.32    24.81     0.67    12.64    50.09    74.68     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal         10   18  +10      71.75     9.65    34.50     2.46    29.35    68.28    86.11     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     11   18   +5      59.28     9.59    11.35     0.14     2.95    19.52    43.37     0.17R    0.01  
Everton         11   17   +6      59.73     9.64    14.84     0.20     3.75    21.66    46.30     0.27R    0.01  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      57.34     9.77     7.40     0.06     2.12    14.72    35.80     0.58R    0.06  
Fulham          11   16   -3      50.79     9.63    -8.03     0.01     0.43     4.75    14.27     3.18R    0.32  
Tottenham       11   15   -3      49.02     9.53    -6.05     0.00     0.26     2.87    10.62     3.89R    0.40  
Wigan           10   14   +2      59.88     9.95    13.75     0.15     4.40    22.12    46.59     0.42R    0.04  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.46     9.47   -14.80     0.00     0.09     1.41     7.12     6.96R    1.22  
Blackburn       11   12   -5      42.94     9.24   -17.04     0.01     0.03     0.51     3.02    13.54R    2.40  
Manchester_C    11   12   -7      37.83     8.65   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.85    27.46R    6.43  
West_Ham        11   11   -5      36.67     8.59   -26.24     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.61    32.13R    9.46  
Middlesbrough   11   11   -7      37.23     8.83   -28.41     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.82    31.72R    8.38  
Watford         11    9   -4      41.04     9.22   -11.68     0.01     0.02     0.46     2.23    17.21R    3.86  
Sheffield_U     11    9   -9      29.07     7.47   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.65R   33.20  
Newcastle       11    8   -7      32.08     8.40   -25.25     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18    52.62R   20.69  
Charlton        11    8   -8      35.32     9.22   -24.18     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.76    39.80R   13.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Plymouth vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          16   33  +14      91.06     9.27    43.92    42.76    63.94    93.44    71.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   32  +13      85.24     9.54    32.19    18.42    37.78    81.98    48.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          16   31  +12      82.31     9.82    28.19    12.31    26.94    72.70    38.88P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   30   +6      80.41     9.96    20.88     9.12    20.71    65.44    31.49P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    16   26  +10      79.85     9.88    31.11     8.22    20.29    64.96    32.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   26   -3      62.89     9.63    -7.85     0.14     0.56     7.99     1.90P    1.37R    0.03  
Plymouth         16   25   +5      73.09     9.82    16.20     1.99     5.89    37.42    13.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Derby            16   25   +2      69.61     9.91     7.58     0.75     3.02    24.77     7.29P    0.25R    0.01  
Colchester       16   24   +6      74.29     9.79    20.73     2.50     8.06    42.53    16.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      16   23   +3      73.20     9.99    17.87     2.17     6.31    38.60    15.16P    0.10R    0.01  
Coventry         15   22   +1      63.21    10.58     0.68     0.27     1.20    11.35     3.85P    1.93R    0.07  
Luton            16   22   -5      59.70     9.81   -12.05     0.06     0.28     5.04     1.02P    3.29R    0.26  
Norwich          16   22   -5      58.57     9.56   -13.92     0.01     0.12     3.60     0.75P    4.32R    0.23  
Ipswich          16   21   +2      66.72    10.17     9.82     0.55     1.77    17.84     5.37P    0.87R    0.04  
Leicester        16   21   -1      58.58     9.75    -5.30     0.03     0.19     4.07     1.00P    3.96R    0.19  
Sheffield_W      16   20   -4      50.67     9.36   -20.79     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.16P   16.65R    1.60  
Sunderland       16   19   -3      57.69     9.84    -7.05     0.04     0.21     3.54     0.89P    5.27R    0.37  
Stoke            15   18   +6      67.18    10.29    17.05     0.61     2.52    20.07     7.69P    0.78R    0.02  
Queens_PR        16   18   -2      55.35    10.06    -9.96     0.04     0.14     2.29     0.59P    8.78R    0.85  
Crystal_Palace   16   18   -5      52.94     9.68   -15.85     0.00     0.04     1.25     0.24P   12.12R    1.24  
Barnsley         16   15  -10      47.87     9.63   -27.41     0.01     0.01     0.36     0.07P   27.65R    4.43  
Hull             16   13   -9      42.54     9.05   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.06R    9.96  
Leeds            16   13  -17      35.70     8.40   -51.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.25R   33.20  
Southend         16   10  -16      33.08     8.63   -49.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   85.20R   47.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      92.97     9.09    36.00    62.09    79.62    97.28    84.53P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.80     9.77    18.10     5.99    18.59    60.35    29.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.93     9.39    30.32    12.17    32.58    77.20    46.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      76.04     9.90    16.32     5.19    16.13    57.15    26.01P    0.20R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.36     9.77    18.70     4.70    14.77    55.26    26.46P    0.20R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      71.86     9.71    14.80     2.54     8.62    41.74    15.54P    0.51R    0.00  
Swansea         17   27   +4      69.22     9.91     8.22     1.30     5.10    30.86    10.79P    1.12R    0.01  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.58     9.89    19.32     3.21    11.11    48.54    21.25P    0.36R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      63.84     9.56     2.28     0.30     1.51    14.49     4.45P    3.27R    0.10  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.71     9.75     3.47     0.41     2.35    19.73     5.88P    2.75R    0.07  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.81     9.70    -7.79     0.18     0.88     9.29     2.40P    6.89R    0.33  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.88     9.60    -5.09     0.17     0.93    10.70     2.84P    5.22R    0.18  
Crewe           17   23   -1      60.91     9.78    -5.27     0.21     0.94     9.49     2.38P    6.96R    0.41  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.43     9.78    -4.78     0.17     0.80    10.00     2.62P    6.24R    0.21  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      66.94     9.64    13.39     0.78     3.23    24.18     8.96P    1.65R    0.05  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.08     9.79     7.51     0.43     2.09    18.46     5.96P    3.08R    0.08  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.39     9.35    -5.19     0.03     0.23     5.09     1.24P    9.45R    0.46  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.06     9.32    -3.72     0.04     0.12     3.11     0.90P   14.37R    0.95  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.24     9.91    -2.98     0.06     0.38     6.21     1.71P   11.12R    0.78  
Brentford       17   17   -9      47.58     9.20   -22.20     0.01     0.03     0.49     0.13P   45.85R    7.38  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.89     8.96   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   53.03R    9.28  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.08     8.54   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00    70.79R   19.18  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      40.30     8.75   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   76.31R   27.70  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      39.16     8.79   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    80.50R   32.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Shrewsbury vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.44     8.12    56.97    62.38    95.97    99.89    97.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.58     8.59    55.86    28.56    86.62    99.20    90.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.38     9.32    30.38     5.77    50.87    92.19    63.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      80.02     9.49    22.82     1.53    23.70    78.38    39.55P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      73.29     9.56    10.05     0.32     8.12    52.05    16.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.24     9.36    15.49     0.38     8.78    57.23    20.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.86     9.77     0.49     0.09     2.69    30.36     7.62P    0.12R    0.02  
Hereford         17   26   +1      65.06     9.67    -0.00     0.07     1.55    21.85     5.84P    0.21R    0.01  
Darlington       17   24   +1      61.42     9.70    -2.65     0.01     0.77    13.18     3.50P    0.53R    0.07  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.48     9.41     0.03     0.01     0.97    16.82     4.25P    0.28R    0.06  
Bury             16   23   +1      65.59    10.18     3.51     0.09     2.19    24.75     6.86P    0.23R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      76.72     9.86    30.77     0.77    15.83    68.44    33.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.15     8.97   -20.27     0.00     0.04     1.56     0.33P    5.76R    1.03  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.80     9.58    -4.20     0.01     0.45    10.04     2.38P    0.87R    0.10  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.58     9.81     3.04     0.03     0.94    16.30     4.18P    0.68R    0.13  
Chester          17   20   -2      55.25     9.53    -7.41     0.00     0.12     4.38     1.00P    2.66R    0.42  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.54     9.37    -9.18     0.00     0.14     4.36     1.02P    2.38R    0.37  
Wrexham          15   19   -6      48.82     9.64   -28.70     0.01     0.04     1.25     0.24P   12.22R    3.04  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.45     9.36    -9.90     0.00     0.07     2.57     0.64P    4.28R    0.72  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.55     9.51   -15.52     0.00     0.10     2.85     0.53P    4.76R    0.99  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.72     9.63   -13.87     0.00     0.04     2.11     0.46P    6.62R    1.69  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.79     8.36   -45.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.73R   17.06  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.70     9.07   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   25.20R    8.60  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      29.65     8.33   -44.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R   65.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 November 2006, York vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     108.92     7.66    68.44    87.21    99.92    93.15P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.04     8.61    52.65    11.95    97.11    41.51P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.49     9.34    13.79     0.27    50.84    10.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      73.98     9.19    11.98     0.10    36.23     7.71P    0.04R    0.00  
York               18   31   +0      67.51     9.22    -3.02     0.01    14.54     2.17P    0.29R    0.01  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.26     9.24    19.37     0.09    38.98     9.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          18   29   +6      72.86     9.49    14.36     0.07    33.05     7.12P    0.07R    0.01  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.79     9.48     7.69     0.07    28.00     5.37P    0.10R    0.01  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.67     9.04    33.19     0.20    51.14    14.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.50     9.17   -11.49     0.00     3.79     0.64P    2.62R    0.32  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      68.00     9.42     9.94     0.01    17.39     3.23P    0.35R    0.03  
Woking             18   25   +3      66.08     9.31     7.23     0.03    12.38     2.66P    0.53R    0.06  
Crawley            18   25   +0      64.85     9.51     2.10     0.01    10.38     1.72P    1.10R    0.14  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.28     9.18   -14.68     0.01     3.17     0.34P    3.50R    0.53  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      50.86     9.08   -17.49     0.00     0.42     0.09P   18.12R    4.28  
Altrincham         18   20   -9      49.17     8.89   -23.43     0.00     0.24     0.03P   23.35R    6.01  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.10     9.23   -13.40     0.00     0.73     0.10P   12.88R    2.98  
Halifax            18   19   -5      53.80     9.38   -10.92     0.00     0.88     0.14P   10.98R    2.31  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.98     9.07   -15.51     0.00     0.24     0.03P   23.50R    6.74  
Forest_Green       18   17   -8      48.56     9.22   -18.99     0.00     0.29     0.03P   25.72R    7.77  
Cambridge_U        18   17   -9      47.12     8.79   -20.54     0.00     0.16     0.03P   30.54R    9.03  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      42.04     8.31   -36.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.02R   23.73  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.42     8.65   -27.19     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.32R   21.93  
St_Albans          18   15  -12      45.45     9.07   -27.71     0.00     0.07     0.00    38.89R   14.12