Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 4 November 2006 at 21:31:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Newcastle vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    11   28  +21      93.10     6.86    76.91    80.55    95.69    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      79.94     9.24    39.09    11.68    51.30    88.81    96.81     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          11   20   +1      57.95     9.45     2.95     0.06     1.41    12.64    36.22     0.32R    0.01  
Portsmouth      11   19   +7      66.73     9.44    24.09     0.69     6.97    44.74    72.75     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      76.83     9.70    42.37     6.70    38.02    81.83    93.42     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         11   17   +6      59.83     9.47    15.17     0.10     1.77    18.72    46.63     0.24R    0.05  
Liverpool       11   17   +2      56.78     9.75     6.38     0.06     1.06    11.66    32.77     0.52R    0.04  
Fulham          11   16   -3      51.04     9.76    -7.68     0.00     0.21     4.12    15.36     2.60R    0.35  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      57.32    10.04     9.04     0.10     1.09    13.56    36.27     0.52R    0.06  
Wigan           10   14   +2      60.17     9.87    14.38     0.07     2.35    20.25    47.65     0.32R    0.02  
Reading         11   13   -7      46.65     9.57   -14.27     0.00     0.04     1.40     7.25     6.13R    0.78  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.04     9.73   -14.20     0.00     0.04     0.99     5.61     8.63R    1.55  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      43.27     9.62   -12.02     0.00     0.03     0.84     4.09    11.04R    1.82  
Manchester_C    11   12   -7      37.58     8.50   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.79    25.25R    5.18  
Middlesbrough   11   11   -7      38.23     9.01   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.22    24.65R    5.99  
Watford         11    9   -4      40.89     9.27   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.28     2.12    15.64R    3.46  
Sheffield_U     11    9   -9      29.19     7.75   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.04R   29.47  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      30.86     8.58   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15    56.41R   24.45  
Newcastle       11    8   -7      32.09     8.20   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    48.64R   16.55  
Charlton        11    8   -8      35.56     9.00   -23.56     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.71    34.02R   10.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Plymouth vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          16   33  +14      91.01     9.42    43.70    41.61    62.91    93.28    71.08P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   32  +13      85.81     9.70    33.08    19.75    40.48    83.03    51.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          16   31  +12      82.70     9.96    28.83    13.70    28.36    73.66    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       16   30   +6      80.04     9.88    20.16     8.23    19.29    64.31    30.09P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    16   26  +10      79.85     9.95    31.13     8.02    20.02    65.38    32.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    16   26   -3      62.99     9.81    -7.73     0.14     0.61     8.68     2.11P    1.70R    0.05  
Plymouth         16   25   +5      72.38     9.94    15.06     1.76     5.42    35.12    12.38P    0.16R    0.01  
Derby            16   25   +2      69.38    10.08     7.13     0.92     3.02    24.87     7.47P    0.38R    0.01  
Colchester       16   24   +6      74.10     9.78    20.34     2.27     7.04    42.38    15.63P    0.10R    0.01  
Southampton      16   23   +3      72.91    10.15    17.51     1.93     6.14    37.86    14.15P    0.15R    0.02  
Coventry         15   22   +1      63.13    10.25     0.64     0.30     0.97    10.43     3.37P    1.59R    0.06  
Luton            16   22   -5      60.20     9.98   -11.00     0.07     0.34     5.85     1.17P    3.46R    0.28  
Norwich          16   22   -5      58.20     9.63   -14.59     0.03     0.24     3.48     0.71P    4.62R    0.28  
Ipswich          16   21   +2      66.76    10.01     9.91     0.47     1.78    17.60     5.12P    0.89R    0.03  
Leicester        16   21   -1      58.80    10.02    -5.03     0.06     0.27     4.71     1.25P    4.29R    0.24  
Sheffield_W      16   20   -4      50.65     9.30   -21.05     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.14P   17.16R    1.73  
Sunderland       16   19   -3      57.17     9.81    -8.09     0.03     0.17     3.30     0.78P    5.69R    0.40  
Stoke            15   18   +6      67.18    10.60    17.03     0.69     2.73    21.07     8.44P    0.61R    0.03  
Queens_PR        16   18   -2      55.38    10.11    -9.91     0.04     0.15     2.69     0.70P    8.87R    0.84  
Crystal_Palace   16   18   -5      52.87     9.60   -15.83     0.01     0.04     1.18     0.24P   12.59R    1.23  
Barnsley         16   15  -10      48.11     9.69   -26.99     0.01     0.01     0.40     0.07P   27.04R    4.43  
Hull             16   13   -9      42.64     9.21   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.30R   10.81  
Leeds            16   13  -17      36.45     8.53   -50.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.67R   30.48  
Southend         16   10  -16      33.01     8.49   -49.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.69R   49.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Bradford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      17   37  +12      93.27     9.07    36.32    63.63    80.99    97.44    85.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          17   30   +7      76.98     9.58    18.36     5.86    18.51    61.46    29.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      17   29  +12      80.60     9.12    29.92    10.81    30.82    76.61    44.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    17   29   +5      75.77     9.79    15.98     4.54    15.16    56.63    24.84P    0.15R    0.00  
Tranmere        17   28   +7      75.47     9.85    18.92     4.71    15.32    55.84    26.75P    0.18R    0.00  
Rotherham       17   27   +6      72.47     9.71    15.86     2.91     9.74    43.41    17.29P    0.34R    0.01  
Swansea         17   27   +4      68.95     9.74     7.84     1.18     4.54    29.84     9.99P    0.99R    0.03  
Oldham          17   26   +7      73.72     9.94    19.48     3.44    11.56    49.23    21.87P    0.34R    0.01  
Carlisle        17   24   +1      64.07     9.38     2.56     0.26     1.42    14.51     4.36P    2.67R    0.08  
Huddersfield    17   24   +0      65.87     9.69     3.71     0.49     2.27    19.64     5.71P    2.29R    0.10  
Gillingham      17   24   -2      60.54     9.38    -8.22     0.12     0.72     8.06     2.11P    6.40R    0.21  
Brighton        17   24   -2      61.73     9.56    -5.24     0.22     0.88    10.20     2.51P    5.19R    0.20  
Crewe           17   23   -1      61.00     9.74    -5.05     0.15     0.79     9.32     2.22P    6.64R    0.38  
Port_Vale       17   23   -3      61.26     9.65    -5.14     0.12     0.61     9.22     2.33P    6.52R    0.23  
Blackpool       17   22   +5      67.03     9.67    13.43     0.81     3.25    24.27     9.06P    1.51R    0.03  
Bradford        17   22   +2      65.03    10.02     7.51     0.57     2.46    18.82     6.21P    3.21R    0.12  
Northampton     17   22   -2      58.38     9.44    -5.21     0.06     0.32     5.28     1.47P    9.82R    0.47  
Doncaster       17   20   -1      56.27     9.23    -3.47     0.02     0.15     3.12     0.90P   13.14R    0.88  
Chesterfield    17   19   -2      58.51     9.83    -2.61     0.10     0.47     6.41     1.89P   10.33R    0.75  
Brentford       17   17   -9      48.00     9.02   -21.66     0.01     0.03     0.41     0.11P   44.08R    6.36  
Bournemouth     17   16   -8      45.68     9.08   -23.68     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   53.90R    9.88  
Millwall        17   16  -11      42.05     8.43   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   71.16R   17.74  
Cheltenham      17   15  -13      39.64     8.45   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    79.54R   28.83  
Leyton_Orient   17   14  -14      38.83     8.80   -41.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   81.47R   33.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Shrewsbury vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          17   38  +21     101.16     8.16    56.52    61.30    95.62    99.89    97.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        17   35  +18      95.49     8.76    55.80    29.33    86.09    99.22    90.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          17   33  +10      86.22     9.45    30.17     6.09    50.09    91.87    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     17   31   +9      79.99     9.15    22.86     1.40    23.18    78.94    38.59P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    17   30   +4      72.71     9.73     9.04     0.27     8.07    49.30    15.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County     17   28   +5      74.92     9.28    16.58     0.42     9.76    60.45    21.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   28   +1      67.49     9.54    -0.19     0.10     2.60    28.43     7.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford         17   26   +1      64.89     9.43    -0.25     0.03     1.17    20.96     4.96P    0.17R    0.00  
Darlington       17   24   +1      62.24     9.53    -1.20     0.04     0.83    14.20     3.50P    0.46R    0.07  
Stockport        17   24   +0      63.42     9.63    -0.11     0.01     1.06    17.48     4.58P    0.33R    0.06  
Bury             16   23   +1      65.78     9.99     3.69     0.04     2.08    24.93     6.81P    0.23R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       16   22   +9      77.31     9.94    31.73     0.96    17.59    69.88    35.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   22   -6      51.17     9.11   -20.22     0.00     0.04     1.38     0.28P    6.18R    1.24  
Mansfield        17   21   -2      59.32     9.60    -4.99     0.01     0.34     9.12     2.02P    1.04R    0.22  
Accrington       17   20   -1      62.79     9.75     3.36     0.01     1.02    16.55     4.36P    0.59R    0.10  
Chester          17   20   -2      54.87     9.65    -7.96     0.00     0.13     4.16     1.06P    3.04R    0.62  
Hartlepool       17   20   -3      55.58     9.39    -9.10     0.00     0.13     4.24     0.89P    2.57R    0.43  
Wrexham          15   19   -6      48.17     9.69   -29.82     0.00     0.03     1.04     0.20P   13.65R    3.43  
Torquay          17   18   -5      53.05     9.57   -10.42     0.00     0.06     2.52     0.53P    4.96R    0.81  
Barnet           17   18   -7      53.79     9.43   -15.02     0.00     0.09     3.10     0.69P    4.29R    0.76  
Rochdale         17   17   -6      51.91     9.52   -13.40     0.00     0.03     2.12     0.43P    6.01R    1.58  
Grimsby          17   16  -14      38.99     8.33   -45.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   48.29R   17.64  
Boston           17   13  -11      43.74     9.12   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   25.61R    8.79  
Macclesfield     17    6  -17      30.02     8.46   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.50R   64.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 November 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         18   44  +26     109.22     7.42    69.02    88.10    99.97    93.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   39  +22      95.02     8.72    52.73    10.94    97.11    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           18   34   +6      77.46     9.53    13.80     0.30    51.09    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             18   31   +5      74.12     9.35    12.13     0.09    37.49     7.64P    0.06R    0.01  
Exeter             18   29   +9      74.44     9.17    19.57     0.16    40.37     9.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend          18   29   +6      72.18     9.16    13.30     0.08    29.99     5.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          18   29   +1      71.86     9.43     7.81     0.04    28.69     5.11P    0.14R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      66.13     9.55    -3.94     0.01    12.49     1.93P    0.72R    0.04  
Grays              18   26  +13      76.79     9.42    33.54     0.23    51.99    15.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   18   26   -6      60.15     9.33   -11.91     0.01     4.01     0.57P    3.10R    0.33  
Aldershot          18   25   +3      67.66     9.30     9.45     0.01    16.32     2.79P    0.35R    0.04  
Woking             18   25   +3      65.98     9.06     7.11     0.01    11.87     2.13P    0.55R    0.06  
Crawley            18   25   +0      65.33     9.44     2.91     0.01    11.54     2.00P    0.83R    0.09  
Northwich          18   25   -7      59.51     9.39   -14.09     0.01     3.50     0.40P    3.92R    0.57  
Kidderminster      18   20   -7      51.39     8.90   -16.64     0.00     0.45     0.07P   15.88R    3.28  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.43     9.14   -23.02     0.00     0.37     0.04P   20.43R    4.93  
Stevenage          18   19   -3      53.05     9.20   -13.55     0.00     0.84     0.07P   13.46R    3.08  
Halifax            18   19   -5      54.02     9.34   -10.61     0.00     1.18     0.17P   10.80R    2.04  
Rushden_&_D        18   17   -5      48.92     8.98   -15.63     0.00     0.20     0.04P   23.59R    6.61  
Forest_Green       18   17   -8      48.72     9.09   -18.85     0.00     0.26     0.05P   25.27R    6.99  
Cambridge_U        18   17   -9      46.88     8.68   -20.86     0.00     0.12     0.03P   31.55R    9.43  
Tamworth           18   17  -13      41.72     8.37   -37.02     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.15R   25.66  
Southport          18   15  -10      42.50     8.71   -27.22     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.85R   22.36  
St_Albans          18   15  -12      45.24     9.10   -28.02     0.00     0.10     0.01P   40.23R   14.47