Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 3 November 2006 at 21:31:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2006, Manchester_C vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      90.07     7.83    69.49    67.22    87.99    98.73    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.62     9.20    40.30    17.91    51.44    87.99    97.17     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      61.12    10.19     6.58     0.30     2.66    19.71    47.65     0.18R    0.01  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      70.51    10.10    30.65     3.46    14.86    55.80    81.56     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      76.90    10.16    42.72    10.16    36.30    77.61    92.53     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      62.73    10.18    19.09     0.59     3.52    25.68    57.02     0.15R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      55.91    10.14     6.85     0.14     0.92     9.48    29.34     0.58R    0.05  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.61    10.33     3.46     0.10     0.86     7.88    25.06     1.21R    0.12  
Fulham          10   13   -4      47.01    10.48   -14.14     0.00     0.13     2.26     9.39     6.93R    0.85  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.83    10.20   -11.06     0.01     0.12     2.37    11.40     4.34R    0.45  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.30    10.20   -13.22     0.01     0.09     1.24     6.54     8.64R    1.02  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      41.90     9.33   -13.96     0.00     0.01     0.39     2.90    12.03R    1.25  
Manchester_C    10   12   -6      40.73     9.45   -20.04     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.35    16.09R    2.06  
Wigan            9   11   +1      55.72    10.67     8.59     0.10     1.08     9.96    30.79     1.39R    0.14  
Middlesbrough   10   11   -5      43.07     9.99   -17.88     0.00     0.01     0.52     4.04    12.93R    1.83  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      30.90     8.80   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    54.99R   19.15  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      36.60     9.01   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.66    27.54R    5.83  
Watford         10    6   -6      36.48     9.83   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.97    30.40R    7.41  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      24.88     7.60   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    80.00R   46.93  
Charlton        10    5   -9      33.68     9.79   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.56    42.58R   12.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 November 2006, Derby vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          15   33  +16      95.46     9.45    50.65    58.05    76.70    97.02    82.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          15   29  +10      82.73    10.07    27.89     9.73    26.53    73.99    38.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          15   28  +11      81.33    10.49    28.45     9.41    23.93    68.67    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       15   27   +5      76.65    10.45    16.64     3.52    11.39    50.91    20.86P    0.04R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    15   26  +11      82.90    10.20    34.94    10.71    28.54    75.56    41.59P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         15   25   +6      75.71    10.33    19.13     2.75     9.97    48.43    19.43P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    15   23   -5      59.58    10.05   -11.61     0.04     0.24     5.21     1.18P    3.36R    0.25  
Southampton      15   22   +3      75.96    10.53    21.96     2.92     9.96    50.17    20.36P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            15   22   +1      65.40    10.45     1.97     0.29     1.49    14.97     4.38P    1.02R    0.09  
Coventry         15   22   +1      64.08    10.53     1.86     0.23     1.08    12.95     4.21P    1.36R    0.08  
Luton            15   22   -2      61.88    10.23    -7.53     0.13     0.52     8.82     1.86P    2.23R    0.14  
Colchester       15   21   +4      70.11    10.37    14.41     0.88     3.76    28.57     9.85P    0.32R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   21   +3      67.46    10.55     9.45     0.60     2.44    20.69     6.17P    0.71R    0.04  
Leicester        15   21   +0      61.97    10.27    -1.23     0.12     0.63     8.71     2.61P    2.04R    0.11  
Sunderland       15   19   -2      60.09    10.57    -5.01     0.09     0.43     7.29     1.71P    3.51R    0.33  
Norwich          15   19   -6      56.07     9.88   -17.42     0.01     0.12     2.51     0.41P    7.04R    0.61  
Stoke            15   18   +6      66.95    10.44    16.53     0.47     2.03    19.95     7.33P    0.68R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   15   18   -3      56.03    10.37   -10.44     0.04     0.17     3.11     0.89P    7.54R    0.80  
Sheffield_W      15   17   -5      47.78     9.72   -24.05     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P   25.07R    4.07  
Queens_PR        15   15   -4      52.22    10.56   -14.36     0.01     0.05     1.52     0.34P   14.40R    2.03  
Leeds            15   13  -16      36.50     9.10   -52.06     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01P   72.91R   32.59  
Hull             15   12   -9      41.47     9.27   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   50.13R   13.49  
Barnsley         15   12  -11      47.01    10.07   -26.81     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.09P   28.79R    6.71  
Southend         15   10  -14      34.72     8.80   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.64R   38.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      91.67     9.60    34.88    55.51    74.53    95.53    80.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.87    10.13    18.11     7.72    21.30    63.35    31.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.78     9.87    31.09    15.56    35.92    78.21    48.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.29    10.28    15.96     4.50    13.31    49.98    22.74P    0.35R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.48    10.15    15.36     3.60    10.08    43.55    17.52P    0.56R    0.01  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.33    10.19    16.22     3.56    10.87    46.65    21.09P    0.39R    0.00  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.91    10.01     5.41     0.73     3.27    23.30     7.79P    2.20R    0.06  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.91    10.42    19.68     3.53    10.74    46.14    20.55P    0.74R    0.01  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.07    10.21     2.12     0.42     2.00    16.32     5.25P    4.31R    0.12  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      64.86    10.18     1.45     0.53     2.31    18.25     5.72P    3.57R    0.19  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.48    10.39    -2.95     0.52     1.76    14.71     4.16P    5.50R    0.20  
Bradford        16   22   +3      69.49    10.40    13.68     2.00     6.42    33.81    12.97P    1.52R    0.05  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.72    10.01    14.05     1.03     4.07    27.25    10.39P    1.83R    0.05  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.06     9.75    -6.07     0.12     0.44     5.48     1.49P   11.07R    0.83  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.20    10.13   -10.55     0.12     0.60     6.40     1.52P   12.41R    0.90  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.63     9.87   -10.07     0.07     0.34     5.22     1.18P   13.04R    0.85  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.35     9.96    -6.26     0.12     0.59     7.59     1.75P    9.95R    0.78  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      60.72    10.58    -0.24     0.24     0.97    11.06     2.99P    8.50R    0.69  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      58.47     9.78    -1.42     0.09     0.43     5.92     1.80P   10.60R    0.71  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.36     9.47   -19.69     0.01     0.04     0.71     0.13P   39.21R    5.42  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.03     9.48   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P   48.22R    8.47  
Millwall        16   16   -9      43.19     8.83   -28.69     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P   66.19R   15.48  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      40.54     8.84   -36.32     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.01P   75.92R   25.68  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      37.91     8.96   -45.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   83.77R   39.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.19     8.63    65.12    45.98    91.84    99.75    94.33P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20     100.01     8.42    56.18    43.19    91.65    99.77    94.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      86.86     9.92    31.17     5.68    45.79    91.97    59.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.69     9.48    28.63     3.46    34.66    89.73    51.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      75.99    10.14    17.66     0.62    10.69    64.66    24.16P    0.01R    0.01  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.69    10.14     6.36     0.18     4.45    43.10    11.25P    0.09R    0.01  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.25     9.93    -6.16     0.01     0.79    17.80     3.69P    0.38R    0.03  
Hereford         16   23   +0      60.48     9.52    -5.47     0.01     0.32    11.13     2.22P    0.80R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.59    10.25    31.97     0.83    15.27    71.66    33.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      60.09     9.92    -3.48     0.00     0.48    11.70     2.81P    1.04R    0.18  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.56    10.12    -0.79     0.00     0.69    17.28     3.77P    0.62R    0.06  
Stockport        16   21   -2      58.25     9.95    -8.01     0.00     0.24     8.47     1.84P    1.67R    0.23  
Accrington       16   20   +1      65.79    10.23     8.31     0.02     1.76    27.14     6.88P    0.38R    0.07  
Bury             15   20   -1      60.77    10.38    -3.46     0.02     0.59    13.31     3.04P    1.07R    0.27  
Chester          16   20   -1      57.19     9.92    -5.92     0.00     0.18     7.28     1.66P    2.04R    0.32  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      58.84     9.91    -5.54     0.00     0.27     9.42     2.06P    1.38R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      48.00     9.25   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.18P   12.59R    2.80  
Torquay          16   18   -4      54.50     9.59    -9.52     0.00     0.07     3.97     0.93P    3.67R    0.61  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.56    10.26   -27.52     0.00     0.05     2.25     0.35P   10.46R    2.77  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      55.95    10.30    -7.19     0.01     0.15     6.51     1.46P    3.36R    0.71  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.63     8.85   -43.19     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   39.82R   13.32  
Barnet           16   15   -8      50.40     9.77   -19.98     0.00     0.03     1.86     0.34P    9.46R    2.27  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.84     9.34   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   29.11R   10.37  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      29.63     8.75   -46.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   82.05R   65.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.22     8.07    66.59    81.19    99.83    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.30     8.94    54.73    16.12    96.66    44.30P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.82     9.69    19.95     1.35    66.16    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.81     9.74    16.38     0.35    38.80     7.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.75     9.88    11.65     0.14    31.15     6.75P    0.12R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.35     9.69    -5.12     0.01    10.66     1.42P    0.93R    0.09  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.09     9.50    13.63     0.03    22.35     4.68P    0.14R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.44     9.95     5.69     0.06    20.12     3.39P    0.31R    0.04  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.55     9.50    35.83     0.60    56.90    16.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.31     9.71    11.81     0.06    20.30     3.79P    0.35R    0.02  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.32     9.70    12.21     0.07    20.14     4.19P    0.32R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.98     9.23   -17.68     0.00     1.54     0.22P    7.54R    1.28  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.42    10.00     1.43     0.00     8.56     1.26P    1.79R    0.27  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.17     9.46   -17.79     0.00     1.65     0.19P    7.78R    1.44  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.57     9.27   -22.99     0.00     0.49     0.07P   20.44R    4.82  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.30     9.60   -12.65     0.00     1.22     0.14P   11.36R    2.27  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.10     9.83    -8.25     0.00     1.95     0.24P    8.24R    1.51  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.82     9.33   -16.13     0.00     0.57     0.07P   16.09R    3.40  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      48.85     9.22   -16.75     0.00     0.28     0.04P   24.66R    6.48  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      43.98     8.86   -34.91     0.00     0.05     0.00    46.59R   18.38  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.96     9.24   -18.56     0.00     0.26     0.04P   24.48R    6.66  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      46.07     8.99   -23.12     0.00     0.10     0.00    35.62R   11.73  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.00     9.53   -26.73     0.00     0.21     0.04P   33.78R   11.01  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.60     9.15   -29.20     0.00     0.04     0.00    59.41R   30.57