Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 2 November 2006 at 21:31:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2006, Manchester_C vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      89.80     7.98    68.45    66.97    87.43    98.53    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.10     9.20    39.11    17.11    48.40    86.53    96.86     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      61.04     9.93     6.54     0.34     2.69    18.31    47.04     0.12R    0.01  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      70.92     9.93    31.54     3.90    16.31    57.09    82.72     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      77.13     9.89    43.21    10.75    37.73    79.03    93.38     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      63.08    10.09    19.63     0.61     4.54    26.40    57.12     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      55.82    10.28     6.90     0.06     0.70     9.18    29.52     0.71R    0.05  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.61    10.65     3.37     0.12     0.81     8.13    26.16     1.33R    0.10  
Fulham          10   13   -4      45.92    10.23   -15.85     0.00     0.07     1.57     7.37     7.63R    1.07  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.78    10.18   -11.21     0.01     0.07     2.25    11.21     4.41R    0.34  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.69     9.68   -12.39     0.01     0.05     0.84     5.46     6.98R    0.72  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      42.53     9.64   -13.03     0.00     0.02     0.57     3.02    11.95R    1.45  
Manchester_C    10   12   -6      41.32     9.50   -19.24     0.01     0.01     0.30     2.42    14.88R    1.82  
Wigan            9   11   +1      56.26    10.51     9.64     0.12     1.14    10.49    32.13     0.85R    0.09  
Middlesbrough   10   11   -5      42.89     9.82   -17.94     0.01     0.01     0.50     3.34    13.05R    1.75  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      31.27     8.90   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    53.42R   18.04  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      36.11     9.12   -20.61     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.66    30.38R    6.86  
Watford         10    6   -6      36.42     9.85   -17.67     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.02    30.34R    7.20  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.24     7.88   -38.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    78.00R   45.45  
Charlton        10    5   -9      32.84     9.73   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    45.82R   15.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 November 2006, Derby vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          15   33  +16      95.38     9.48    50.35    57.99    76.81    96.97    82.32P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          15   29  +10      82.80    10.19    28.10     9.96    27.16    73.86    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          15   28  +11      81.57    10.52    28.85     9.98    24.20    69.88    36.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham       15   27   +5      76.71    10.20    16.62     3.38    11.35    51.37    20.95P    0.05R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    15   26  +11      82.34    10.27    34.11     9.94    27.02    73.31    39.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         15   25   +6      75.77    10.38    19.21     2.79    10.07    48.37    19.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    15   23   -5      59.92    10.01   -11.12     0.06     0.36     5.67     1.41P    2.94R    0.22  
Southampton      15   22   +3      75.58    10.67    21.27     2.88    10.07    48.77    20.73P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby            15   22   +1      65.95    10.51     2.95     0.36     1.68    17.05     4.82P    0.84R    0.05  
Coventry         15   22   +1      63.76    10.45     1.33     0.22     1.14    12.02     3.75P    1.27R    0.04  
Luton            15   22   -2      62.68    10.27    -6.32     0.13     0.84     9.79     2.31P    1.69R    0.11  
Colchester       15   21   +4      69.71    10.53    13.81     0.98     3.48    27.20     9.23P    0.32R    0.03  
Ipswich          15   21   +3      67.57    10.68     9.52     0.61     2.56    21.57     6.53P    0.93R    0.07  
Leicester        15   21   +0      61.92    10.38    -1.28     0.17     0.71     9.11     2.57P    2.10R    0.10  
Sunderland       15   19   -2      59.83    10.39    -5.35     0.05     0.40     6.61     1.78P    3.19R    0.26  
Norwich          15   19   -6      56.60    10.02   -16.47     0.02     0.14     3.08     0.61P    6.37R    0.63  
Stoke            15   18   +6      66.71    10.36    16.10     0.41     1.74    19.46     7.01P    0.77R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   15   18   -3      56.22    10.41   -10.03     0.04     0.20     3.62     1.04P    6.78R    0.69  
Sheffield_W      15   17   -5      47.50     9.59   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P   25.94R    3.82  
Queens_PR        15   15   -4      52.12    10.48   -14.30     0.02     0.07     1.56     0.33P   14.46R    1.83  
Leeds            15   13  -16      36.29     8.89   -52.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.86R   32.73  
Hull             15   12   -9      41.47     9.36   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   50.58R   13.10  
Barnsley         15   12  -11      47.24    10.07   -26.49     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.04P   28.34R    6.14  
Southend         15   10  -14      34.40     8.84   -46.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.36R   40.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      91.32     9.66    34.21    55.13    73.69    95.34    79.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.62    10.16    17.85     8.15    21.38    62.71    31.43P    0.17R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.68     9.62    30.88    15.38    36.41    78.61    49.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.48    10.02    16.11     4.51    13.32    51.37    23.20P    0.31R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.85    10.10    15.96     3.96    11.03    45.43    18.38P    0.41R    0.01  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.28    10.28    16.16     3.75    11.29    47.18    21.41P    0.60R    0.01  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.62    10.20     4.96     0.90     3.26    23.38     7.75P    2.19R    0.03  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.20    10.43    18.60     3.04    10.04    43.78    19.15P    0.69R    0.02  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.14    10.10     2.26     0.47     2.03    16.30     5.51P    3.90R    0.12  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.28    10.13     2.11     0.61     2.57    19.55     6.07P    3.55R    0.17  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.41    10.45    -3.07     0.50     1.85    15.12     4.30P    5.75R    0.34  
Bradford        16   22   +3      68.70    10.28    12.44     1.53     5.38    30.61    11.34P    1.75R    0.04  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.36     9.99    13.50     1.14     3.91    26.10     9.95P    1.84R    0.10  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.09     9.97    -5.93     0.16     0.58     6.12     1.95P   11.89R    0.78  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.13     9.97   -10.71     0.12     0.54     6.14     1.39P   12.59R    0.92  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.44     9.73   -10.35     0.06     0.34     4.95     1.14P   13.40R    0.92  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.32    10.08    -6.14     0.19     0.76     7.79     2.03P   10.35R    0.81  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      61.02    10.22     0.39     0.23     1.02    10.88     3.00P    7.70R    0.51  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      59.18     9.92    -0.48     0.13     0.56     7.07     2.29P    9.97R    0.64  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.37     9.72   -19.54     0.02     0.04     0.86     0.18P   39.62R    6.21  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.59     9.50   -19.78     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P   46.44R    7.79  
Millwall        16   16   -9      42.90     8.74   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   68.37R   16.29  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      40.68     9.01   -35.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   75.63R   26.43  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.33     8.92   -44.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   82.84R   37.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.16     8.65    65.13    46.38    92.23    99.73    94.61P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20      99.99     8.44    56.19    43.84    92.03    99.79    95.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      86.89     9.77    31.31     5.39    46.36    91.94    59.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.38     9.48    28.14     2.96    33.96    88.75    50.43P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.01     9.71    17.60     0.45    10.28    65.25    24.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.57    10.29     6.14     0.12     4.41    42.55    11.05P    0.05R    0.01  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.38    10.24    -6.03     0.03     1.10    18.43     4.00P    0.47R    0.04  
Hereford         16   23   +0      61.17     9.50    -4.25     0.01     0.44    12.66     2.99P    0.65R    0.08  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.02    10.32    31.26     0.74    14.46    69.58    31.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.62    10.09    -4.13     0.01     0.39    11.22     2.53P    1.27R    0.23  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.26     9.93    -1.35     0.01     0.65    15.93     3.35P    0.53R    0.12  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.71     9.80    -8.74     0.01     0.28     7.25     1.68P    1.60R    0.29  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.15    10.25     8.82     0.06     1.89    28.41     7.45P    0.32R    0.07  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.04    10.50    -3.05     0.01     0.67    14.20     3.51P    1.07R    0.17  
Chester          16   20   -1      58.60    10.06    -3.99     0.00     0.26     9.41     2.33P    1.42R    0.21  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      58.46     9.89    -6.09     0.01     0.29     8.69     1.82P    1.64R    0.30  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      48.10     9.44   -23.97     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.21P   12.15R    2.94  
Torquay          16   18   -4      54.72     9.55    -9.26     0.00     0.04     3.63     0.78P    3.66R    0.68  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      51.05    10.28   -26.83     0.01     0.07     2.62     0.52P    9.09R    2.60  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      56.00    10.49    -7.04     0.00     0.17     6.99     1.77P    3.38R    0.78  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.17     8.66   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   41.63R   14.33  
Barnet           16   15   -8      49.80     9.69   -21.07     0.00     0.02     1.49     0.25P   10.26R    2.45  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.09     9.32   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   31.02R   12.31  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      30.25     8.90   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.77R   62.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.20     8.09    66.70    81.08    99.89    89.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.38     8.95    54.81    16.36    96.63    44.38P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.20     9.58    19.09     1.14    64.41    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.08     9.77    16.66     0.33    40.34     8.15P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.27    10.06    10.94     0.23    29.77     6.60P    0.17R    0.02  
York               17   28   -1      66.14     9.74    -4.01     0.01    11.80     1.68P    0.71R    0.07  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.80     9.66    14.67     0.07    25.02     5.67P    0.15R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.59     9.90     5.99     0.09    20.75     3.65P    0.40R    0.04  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.03     9.57    35.08     0.52    54.77    15.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.00     9.62    11.23     0.06    19.48     3.44P    0.26R    0.01  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.40     9.51    12.27     0.10    20.20     4.12P    0.25R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.45     9.39   -16.96     0.01     1.62     0.22P    7.11R    1.12  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.33    10.00     1.16     0.01     8.61     1.51P    1.80R    0.18  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.73     9.57   -16.85     0.00     2.05     0.23P    7.20R    1.28  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.74     9.35   -22.56     0.00     0.54     0.07P   19.73R    4.47  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.31     9.44   -12.75     0.00     1.29     0.17P   10.29R    2.12  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.62     9.63    -8.90     0.00     1.48     0.23P    8.49R    1.62  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.24     9.35   -16.95     0.00     0.51     0.07P   17.47R    4.00  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.51     9.49   -15.65     0.00     0.33     0.08P   23.15R    6.11  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.34     8.84   -34.46     0.00     0.07     0.01P   44.92R   16.82  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.54     9.30   -19.30     0.00     0.18     0.01P   26.30R    7.49  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.67     9.06   -23.69     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.34R   12.52  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.64     9.57   -27.19     0.00     0.17     0.02P   34.85R   11.78  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.56     9.00   -29.33     0.00     0.02     0.01P   59.34R   30.30