Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 November 2006 at 21:31:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2006, Manchester_C vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      89.84     8.04    68.64    65.89    86.93    98.31    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.69     9.35    40.17    18.56    49.65    87.69    97.10     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      61.00    10.12     6.33     0.34     2.60    18.20    47.06     0.14R    0.01  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      71.63     9.90    32.54     4.24    16.64    60.15    85.20     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      77.30     9.71    43.49     9.74    37.16    79.52    93.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      62.40    10.26    18.65     0.91     4.16    24.09    54.95     0.08R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      56.19    10.19     7.28     0.14     0.85     9.46    31.23     0.62R    0.04  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      53.84    10.46     2.20     0.06     0.68     6.68    23.43     1.64R    0.12  
Fulham          10   13   -4      46.29    10.32   -15.31     0.03     0.14     1.74     8.30     7.40R    0.75  
Reading         10   13   -5      49.21    10.16   -10.45     0.02     0.15     2.34    11.74     4.11R    0.35  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.46     9.94   -12.70     0.00     0.04     0.92     5.88     8.12R    1.01  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      42.11     9.35   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.36     2.46    12.03R    1.65  
Manchester_C    10   12   -6      41.29     9.55   -19.54     0.00     0.01     0.34     2.50    15.17R    2.00  
Wigan            9   11   +1      55.50    10.54     8.35     0.09     0.97     9.27    29.70     1.06R    0.11  
Middlesbrough   10   11   -5      43.61     9.95   -16.77     0.00     0.01     0.62     4.32    11.28R    1.71  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      31.16     8.75   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    53.15R   17.93  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      35.94     9.36   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.73    31.09R    7.28  
Watford         10    6   -6      35.87     9.81   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.03    32.05R    7.88  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.22     7.78   -37.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    78.18R   45.17  
Charlton        10    5   -9      33.21     9.77   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.52    43.88R   13.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 October 2006, Preston vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          15   33  +16      95.79     9.64    51.13    60.05    78.26    97.06    83.94P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          15   29  +10      82.86     9.98    28.16     9.65    27.48    74.89    38.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          15   28  +11      81.16    10.37    28.19     8.98    23.35    68.64    35.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       15   27   +5      76.87    10.42    17.00     3.69    12.22    52.17    21.71P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    15   26  +11      82.50    10.09    34.32     9.56    27.22    74.47    40.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         15   25   +6      75.59    10.39    18.96     2.73     9.77    48.76    19.51P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    14   23   -3      62.95    10.64    -6.96     0.23     1.06    10.49     3.01P    2.08R    0.13  
Coventry         15   22   +1      63.36    10.30     0.88     0.21     1.08    11.26     3.66P    1.32R    0.07  
Luton            15   22   -2      62.30    10.50    -6.91     0.14     0.78    10.29     2.54P    2.21R    0.14  
Colchester       15   21   +4      70.18    10.43    14.59     1.04     3.90    29.11    10.02P    0.26R    0.02  
Ipswich          15   21   +3      66.87    10.57     8.24     0.57     2.25    19.73     5.98P    0.91R    0.04  
Leicester        15   21   +0      61.63    10.51    -1.66     0.17     0.79     9.29     3.03P    2.19R    0.09  
Southampton      14   19   +1      72.75    10.97    17.21     1.77     6.80    39.22    15.36P    0.35R    0.03  
Derby            14   19   +0      65.97    11.37     4.79     0.61     2.48    19.41     6.07P    1.58R    0.17  
Sunderland       15   19   -2      59.73    10.35    -5.43     0.07     0.42     6.68     1.60P    3.56R    0.27  
Norwich          15   19   -6      56.36    10.31   -16.55     0.04     0.20     3.52     0.77P    7.33R    0.66  
Stoke            15   18   +6      66.72    10.04    16.11     0.43     1.68    18.95     6.74P    0.56R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   15   18   -3      55.89    10.40   -10.62     0.03     0.17     3.37     0.91P    7.46R    0.76  
Sheffield_W      15   17   -5      47.60     9.35   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   25.11R    3.54  
Queens_PR        15   15   -4      52.15    10.37   -14.45     0.01     0.06     1.49     0.31P   14.04R    1.91  
Leeds            15   13  -16      36.22     8.98   -52.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   74.11R   32.20  
Hull             15   12   -9      41.64     9.52   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.04R   12.70  
Barnsley         14   12  -10      48.22    10.73   -26.34     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.18P   27.02R    6.43  
Southend         15   10  -14      34.26     8.97   -46.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.73R   40.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      90.98     9.64    33.77    52.90    72.58    95.25    78.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      78.40    10.18    18.92     9.33    23.59    65.61    34.05P    0.12R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.45     9.85    30.60    15.95    35.70    77.66    48.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      73.97    10.16    15.49     4.71    13.13    49.70    22.38P    0.47R    0.02  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.43    10.08    15.25     3.71    10.42    43.92    17.84P    0.57R    0.01  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.05    10.28    15.88     3.75    11.34    46.76    21.45P    0.53R    0.01  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.61    10.18     4.96     1.00     3.48    23.43     8.01P    2.47R    0.06  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.47    10.45    18.92     3.54    10.63    45.03    20.27P    0.84R    0.01  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.26     9.95     2.42     0.58     2.20    16.43     5.71P    3.58R    0.17  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.34    10.16     2.39     0.86     3.01    19.46     6.44P    3.49R    0.14  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.36    10.43    -3.08     0.41     1.64    15.21     4.18P    5.96R    0.35  
Bradford        16   22   +3      68.64    10.16    12.27     1.42     5.03    30.45    10.96P    1.71R    0.08  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.22     9.75    13.25     0.86     3.32    25.27     9.03P    1.79R    0.07  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.99     9.97    -4.75     0.14     0.61     7.44     2.19P   10.36R    0.69  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.39    10.15   -10.19     0.17     0.64     7.04     1.89P   12.31R    1.03  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.19     9.79   -10.59     0.06     0.34     5.20     1.21P   14.12R    1.01  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.58    10.34    -5.82     0.26     0.97     8.74     2.23P   11.02R    0.91  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      59.93    10.29    -1.50     0.23     0.91     9.37     2.54P    9.51R    0.65  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      58.76     9.79    -0.95     0.10     0.42     6.37     2.02P   10.39R    0.65  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.31     9.66   -19.77     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.22P   40.38R    6.07  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.53     9.52   -19.87     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.12P   47.12R    8.00  
Millwall        16   16   -9      43.53     8.98   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   65.59R   15.84  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      40.97     9.01   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   74.81R   26.32  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.50     8.98   -43.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    82.80R   37.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.36     8.68    65.68    46.05    92.56    99.78    94.81P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20     100.32     8.41    56.63    44.12    92.44    99.86    95.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      87.01     9.90    31.36     5.42    47.58    92.06    60.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      83.86     9.60    27.40     3.00    31.91    88.18    48.95P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.12     9.76    17.72     0.38    10.01    65.64    24.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.93     9.96     6.82     0.15     4.84    43.24    11.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.38     9.97    -5.93     0.01     0.88    17.96     3.65P    0.31R    0.04  
Hereford         16   23   +0      61.29     9.57    -4.08     0.01     0.49    12.80     2.88P    0.53R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.09    10.22    31.33     0.79    14.39    69.24    30.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.48     9.83    -4.47     0.00     0.34    10.36     2.25P    1.01R    0.13  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.48    10.05    -0.98     0.02     0.78    16.84     3.83P    0.53R    0.07  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.66     9.84    -8.86     0.01     0.20     7.12     1.56P    1.90R    0.42  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.54    10.29     9.50     0.05     2.01    29.62     8.12P    0.25R    0.06  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.82    10.33    -1.73     0.01     0.74    15.53     3.77P    0.79R    0.14  
Chester          16   20   -1      57.85     9.87    -5.04     0.00     0.21     7.70     1.89P    1.52R    0.23  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      58.96    10.00    -5.28     0.00     0.36     9.67     2.27P    1.30R    0.24  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      47.57     9.17   -24.79     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.14P   12.56R    3.12  
Torquay          16   18   -4      54.35     9.62    -9.66     0.00     0.07     3.81     0.89P    3.77R    0.59  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.36    10.02   -28.08     0.00     0.01     2.04     0.30P    9.95R    2.88  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      55.85    10.27    -7.25     0.00     0.14     6.20     1.43P    3.15R    0.76  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.74     8.90   -43.18     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   39.41R   12.90  
Barnet           16   15   -8      49.81     9.79   -21.15     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.20P   10.53R    2.69  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.39     9.23   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   29.91R   10.35  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      29.46     8.74   -46.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.52R   65.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.66     8.00    67.45    82.89    99.92    90.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      94.98     8.98    54.14    14.77    96.21    42.89P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.82     9.73    19.96     1.12    66.48    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.11     9.60    16.74     0.24    40.70     7.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.66     9.90    11.48     0.14    30.89     6.89P    0.11R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.47     9.60    -4.93     0.03    10.60     1.57P    0.77R    0.07  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.19     9.83    13.72     0.09    23.78     5.06P    0.27R    0.03  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.14     9.82     5.21     0.04    19.45     3.54P    0.49R    0.04  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.17     9.54    35.24     0.58    55.75    15.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.08     9.79    11.37     0.04    19.87     3.56P    0.45R    0.04  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.05     9.58    11.72     0.06    19.18     4.00P    0.26R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.11     9.48   -17.56     0.00     1.61     0.25P    7.72R    1.41  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.54    10.04     1.53     0.01     8.80     1.54P    1.87R    0.23  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.54     9.50   -17.18     0.00     1.76     0.21P    7.69R    1.36  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.81     9.16   -22.42     0.00     0.46     0.07P   19.02R    4.21  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.18     9.53   -12.88     0.00     1.09     0.15P   11.38R    2.30  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.76     9.76    -8.68     0.00     1.91     0.30P    8.19R    1.43  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.35     9.28   -16.74     0.00     0.51     0.07P   17.33R    3.96  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.46     9.44   -15.78     0.00     0.35     0.06P   23.27R    6.08  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      43.92     8.77   -35.05     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.62R   17.77  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      49.13     9.43   -18.27     0.00     0.33     0.03P   24.31R    6.88  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      46.11     9.16   -23.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P   36.11R   12.03  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.01     9.49   -26.59     0.00     0.20     0.04P   33.60R   11.01  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.46     9.00   -29.43     0.00     0.01     0.01P   60.48R   31.12