Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 31 October 2006 at 21:31:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 October 2006, Manchester_C vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      90.69     7.81    70.34    70.94    89.89    98.84    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      79.77     9.24    38.79    15.65    47.83    86.19    96.69     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      61.38    10.02     7.02     0.38     3.17    19.91    48.62     0.09R    0.00  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      70.98     9.76    31.86     3.23    15.47    58.84    83.83     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      76.70     9.87    42.17     8.73    36.48    77.73    92.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      62.12    10.17    18.08     0.67     3.90    23.70    53.41     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      55.68    10.34     6.54     0.11     0.83     9.57    29.68     0.84R    0.12  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.47    10.49     3.15     0.10     0.81     7.86    25.31     1.24R    0.06  
Fulham          10   13   -4      46.36    10.25   -15.35     0.00     0.04     1.62     7.80     7.42R    1.02  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.72    10.10   -11.16     0.01     0.11     2.38    11.09     3.87R    0.33  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      46.50     9.73   -11.09     0.01     0.08     0.97     6.57     6.18R    0.62  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      42.49     9.57   -13.06     0.01     0.02     0.55     3.33    11.23R    1.36  
Manchester_C    10   12   -6      40.64     9.74   -20.58     0.01     0.03     0.29     2.40    17.50R    2.58  
Wigan            9   11   +1      56.44    10.63     9.95     0.14     1.32    10.82    32.73     1.13R    0.12  
Middlesbrough   10   11   -5      42.91     9.85   -17.92     0.01     0.03     0.46     3.54    12.50R    1.87  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      31.10     8.76   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    54.08R   18.58  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      36.22     8.98   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.62    29.38R    6.07  
Watford         10    6   -6      36.23     9.76   -17.88     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.96    30.57R    8.29  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.57     7.76   -37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.31R   43.64  
Charlton        10    5   -9      32.60     9.65   -27.18     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54    46.57R   15.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2006, Ipswich vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   30  +15      94.80     9.98    51.54    52.53    74.08    96.14    80.58P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          14   26   +7      80.65    10.62    24.32     7.17    20.17    65.94    31.23P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    14   25  +11      87.53    10.45    41.96    21.80    46.75    85.42    58.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          14   25   +9      76.84    10.88    21.89     4.96    12.82    52.90    22.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         14   24   +6      77.26    10.85    21.07     4.77    13.84    54.17    23.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Birmingham       14   24   +4      74.06    10.58    14.15     2.23     7.54    41.59    15.96P    0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    14   23   -3      63.42    10.40    -6.19     0.17     0.83    10.41     2.77P    1.23R    0.09  
Coventry         14   22   +2      66.91    10.76     4.78     0.66     2.26    19.25     6.55P    0.61R    0.01  
Luton            14   22   +0      66.49    10.93     0.06     0.55     2.23    19.23     5.37P    0.72R    0.06  
Colchester       14   20   +4      70.47    10.81    14.31     1.19     4.32    30.13    10.87P    0.31R    0.03  
Ipswich          14   20   +3      66.39    11.01     6.25     0.71     2.58    18.95     5.75P    1.01R    0.07  
Southampton      14   19   +1      72.72    10.92    17.08     1.57     5.86    37.99    13.81P    0.25R    0.01  
Derby            14   19   +0      64.89    10.94     2.69     0.40     1.49    15.36     4.44P    1.47R    0.12  
Sunderland       14   19   -1      61.71    10.95    -3.67     0.21     0.91     9.77     2.56P    2.28R    0.17  
Stoke            14   18   +7      69.11    10.69    18.65     0.90     3.38    26.61    10.38P    0.44R    0.04  
Leicester        14   18   -1      58.39    10.43    -4.78     0.07     0.32     5.10     1.56P    3.78R    0.26  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -2      58.67    10.82    -6.69     0.07     0.36     5.92     1.65P    4.20R    0.45  
Norwich          14   18   -6      56.87    10.40   -17.12     0.06     0.21     3.54     0.65P    5.94R    0.56  
Queens_PR        14   14   -4      47.95    10.29   -22.48     0.01     0.01     0.57     0.10P   22.82R    4.00  
Sheffield_W      14   14   -6      44.79     9.92   -26.22     0.01     0.01     0.32     0.09P   32.90R    6.88  
Leeds            14   13  -13      37.30     9.19   -50.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.65R   25.98  
Barnsley         14   12  -10      48.46    10.42   -26.45     0.00     0.03     0.58     0.12P   22.68R    4.86  
Southend         14   10  -13      36.39     9.41   -43.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    68.28R   29.96  
Hull             14    9  -10      37.17     9.48   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   64.25R   26.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      91.23     9.46    34.16    54.23    73.81    95.53    80.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.52    10.07    17.57     7.88    20.45    62.55    30.34P    0.18R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      82.10     9.74    31.58    16.83    38.40    79.61    51.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.51     9.95    16.27     4.74    13.54    51.49    23.61P    0.30R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.86     9.96    15.94     3.74    10.60    45.77    18.48P    0.46R    0.01  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      72.89    10.30    15.66     3.40    10.66    45.44    20.61P    0.61R    0.00  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.59    10.21     4.92     1.07     3.60    22.94     8.04P    2.50R    0.07  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.14    10.27    18.47     3.02     9.49    43.77    18.48P    0.78R    0.01  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      63.76    10.06     1.74     0.43     1.87    15.64     5.01P    4.38R    0.19  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.61    10.12     2.70     0.86     3.02    20.32     6.34P    3.17R    0.12  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.24    10.31    -3.27     0.41     1.88    14.49     4.22P    5.61R    0.27  
Bradford        16   22   +3      68.74    10.42    12.47     1.53     5.40    31.18    12.01P    2.04R    0.10  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.20    10.07    13.26     0.99     3.61    26.19     9.63P    2.12R    0.07  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.20     9.66    -5.76     0.12     0.47     5.58     1.50P   10.92R    0.64  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.22    10.00   -10.48     0.10     0.52     6.62     1.49P   12.66R    0.86  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.68     9.88    -9.94     0.07     0.39     5.58     1.36P   12.89R    0.94  
Crewe           16   20   -2      58.99    10.46    -6.80     0.23     0.87     8.45     2.08P   12.19R    1.12  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      60.42    10.34    -0.65     0.20     0.92    10.38     2.93P    8.88R    0.52  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      59.14     9.72    -0.57     0.12     0.42     6.78     2.07P    9.62R    0.68  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.60     9.68   -19.42     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.21P   38.98R    5.75  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.41     9.47   -20.12     0.00     0.06     0.53     0.14P   47.98R    7.67  
Millwall        16   16   -9      43.31     8.78   -28.54     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.01P   66.67R   16.22  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      41.07     8.95   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   74.80R   26.05  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.48     8.99   -43.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   82.23R   38.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.38     8.70    65.63    45.67    92.17    99.73    94.44P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20     100.44     8.32    56.83    44.52    92.08    99.83    95.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      86.84     9.82    31.12     5.03    45.57    91.95    59.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.62     9.64    28.54     3.22    34.54    89.71    51.83P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.31     9.87    18.00     0.47    10.27    66.14    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.65    10.15     6.28     0.11     4.18    42.83    10.64P    0.07R    0.01  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      62.86    10.01    -6.76     0.03     0.76    16.70     3.27P    0.42R    0.06  
Hereford         16   23   +0      60.77     9.60    -4.91     0.01     0.42    11.87     2.56P    0.64R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.93    10.28    32.57     0.91    15.84    72.39    34.06P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.54    10.09    -4.35     0.00     0.38    10.74     2.48P    1.16R    0.18  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.51     9.91    -0.96     0.00     0.62    16.29     3.33P    0.58R    0.08  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.76     9.89    -8.75     0.01     0.32     7.47     1.72P    1.78R    0.44  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.13    10.17     8.81     0.04     1.50    27.57     7.04P    0.38R    0.06  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.37    10.30    -2.63     0.01     0.66    14.26     3.14P    0.95R    0.12  
Chester          16   20   -1      57.93     9.96    -5.05     0.00     0.23     8.20     1.93P    1.76R    0.28  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      59.03    10.03    -5.05     0.00     0.29     9.79     2.18P    1.28R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      47.92     9.24   -24.44     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.17P   11.71R    2.67  
Torquay          16   18   -4      53.47     9.70   -10.99     0.00     0.04     3.33     0.68P    5.04R    0.92  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.71    10.26   -27.48     0.00     0.04     2.23     0.32P   10.04R    2.85  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      55.66    10.31    -7.63     0.00     0.10     5.92     1.15P    3.51R    0.81  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.68     8.80   -43.06     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   39.41R   13.02  
Barnet           16   15   -8      50.32     9.76   -20.19     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.30P    9.26R    2.13  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.49     9.27   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   29.59R   10.38  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      29.58     8.79   -46.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.42R   65.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.16     8.01    66.48    81.58    99.91    89.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.05     8.98    54.10    15.79    96.51    44.48P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.83     9.65    19.90     1.22    66.60    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.78     9.87    16.18     0.29    39.54     7.44P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      71.93    10.22    10.54     0.23    28.86     6.33P    0.20R    0.02  
York               17   28   -1      65.49     9.64    -4.92     0.01    10.56     1.32P    0.83R    0.10  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.48     9.67    14.15     0.08    23.84     5.29P    0.14R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.73     9.57     6.09     0.04    20.05     3.23P    0.31R    0.03  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.34     9.30    35.45     0.58    56.42    15.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      68.98     9.74    11.19     0.06    19.25     3.35P    0.42R    0.07  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.63     9.56    12.55     0.07    21.07     4.34P    0.27R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.15     9.32   -17.47     0.00     1.49     0.18P    7.30R    1.21  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.78    10.01     1.96     0.03     9.18     1.75P    1.77R    0.26  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.38     9.71   -17.48     0.01     1.99     0.23P    8.10R    1.62  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.55     9.34   -22.90     0.00     0.46     0.07P   20.32R    4.81  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.40     9.56   -12.31     0.00     1.29     0.12P   11.12R    2.13  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.75     9.82    -8.71     0.00     1.57     0.23P    8.79R    1.64  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.53     9.43   -16.56     0.00     0.60     0.09P   16.78R    3.69  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.68     9.36   -15.30     0.00     0.26     0.04P   22.27R    6.11  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.22     8.89   -34.71     0.00     0.04     0.00    44.85R   17.19  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.72     9.46   -18.84     0.00     0.22     0.04P   26.03R    7.71  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.42     8.96   -24.10     0.00     0.09     0.02P   38.55R   13.09  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.98     9.49   -26.52     0.00     0.17     0.03P   33.53R   10.73  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.84     9.11   -28.78     0.00     0.03     0.00    58.38R   29.54