Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 October 2006 at 21:31:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2006, West_Ham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      89.49     8.15    68.46    64.21    86.11    98.03    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.99     9.07    40.57    19.36    51.80    88.55    97.56     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      60.66    10.20     5.97     0.30     2.47    17.74    45.62     0.15R    0.00  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      71.27     9.94    32.13     4.05    16.20    58.67    83.69     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      77.16     9.94    42.96    11.03    36.52    78.37    93.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      62.75    10.26    19.08     0.71     3.94    25.50    55.47     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      56.49    10.26     7.72     0.15     1.07     9.95    31.45     0.56R    0.07  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.54    10.42     3.40     0.09     0.84     7.39    24.98     1.24R    0.07  
Fulham          10   13   -4      46.21    10.13   -15.65     0.00     0.07     1.39     7.40     6.76R    0.87  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.92    10.28   -10.88     0.00     0.10     2.23    11.46     4.15R    0.41  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.60     9.74   -12.33     0.00     0.02     0.94     5.62     7.04R    0.69  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      41.31     9.45   -14.66     0.00     0.01     0.27     2.24    13.78R    1.83  
Wigan            9   11   +1      55.34    10.39     8.13     0.07     0.70     8.68    28.59     1.11R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      46.55    10.77   -13.38     0.02     0.11     1.59     8.71     8.06R    0.95  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      39.00    10.27   -22.16     0.00     0.01     0.43     2.40    23.36R    4.58  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      31.01     8.78   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    53.26R   18.38  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      36.49     8.92   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.66    27.23R    5.60  
Watford         10    6   -6      35.59     9.51   -18.96     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.69    31.85R    7.89  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.38     7.95   -37.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    76.80R   44.01  
Charlton        10    5   -9      32.71     9.44   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.30    44.55R   14.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2006, Ipswich vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   30  +15      94.37    10.05    50.73    50.52    72.40    95.30    79.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          14   26   +7      81.90    10.56    26.27     8.81    23.07    69.97    35.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    14   25  +11      87.38    10.46    41.82    21.38    45.73    85.08    57.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          14   25   +9      76.88    11.02    22.11     5.21    13.26    52.55    22.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         14   24   +6      76.98    10.89    20.66     4.59    13.10    52.56    22.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Birmingham       14   24   +4      73.94    10.65    13.95     2.19     7.43    40.87    15.32P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    14   23   -3      63.26    10.41    -6.29     0.17     0.75    10.34     2.65P    1.18R    0.07  
Coventry         14   22   +2      67.07    10.74     4.97     0.54     2.04    19.39     6.38P    0.68R    0.03  
Luton            14   22   +0      65.77    10.83    -1.38     0.47     1.71    17.04     4.38P    0.95R    0.06  
Colchester       14   20   +4      70.97    10.90    15.11     1.62     4.86    31.57    11.72P    0.29R    0.01  
Ipswich          14   20   +3      66.44    11.00     6.19     0.72     2.25    18.91     5.61P    1.04R    0.07  
Southampton      14   19   +1      73.15    10.89    17.86     2.04     6.54    39.34    14.73P    0.16R    0.00  
Derby            14   19   +0      64.75    10.96     2.50     0.35     1.49    15.06     4.29P    1.26R    0.10  
Sunderland       14   19   -1      61.69    10.90    -3.76     0.17     0.86     9.71     2.75P    2.16R    0.12  
Stoke            14   18   +7      69.47    10.86    19.19     1.07     3.81    27.52    11.45P    0.33R    0.01  
Leicester        14   18   -1      58.14    10.68    -5.10     0.06     0.28     4.75     1.30P    4.50R    0.41  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -2      57.88    10.60    -7.92     0.04     0.23     4.83     1.16P    4.67R    0.46  
Norwich          14   18   -6      56.84    10.46   -17.17     0.04     0.14     3.69     0.69P    5.83R    0.60  
Queens_PR        14   14   -4      47.95    10.44   -22.46     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.10P   23.44R    4.65  
Sheffield_W      14   14   -6      44.72     9.93   -26.59     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   33.31R    7.08  
Leeds            14   13  -13      37.66     9.10   -49.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    65.23R   25.02  
Barnsley         14   12  -10      48.34    10.37   -26.57     0.01     0.04     0.62     0.14P   22.94R    5.11  
Southend         14   10  -13      36.42     9.34   -43.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    68.11R   29.82  
Hull             14    9  -10      37.21     9.49   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.73R   26.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      91.32     9.75    34.23    55.16    73.65    95.15    79.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.68    10.01    17.88     7.86    21.23    63.71    31.22P    0.12R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.96     9.54    31.24    16.05    37.17    79.63    50.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.28    10.23    15.93     4.89    14.02    50.18    23.93P    0.34R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.52    10.11    15.32     3.43    10.51    44.38    17.64P    0.75R    0.04  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.10    10.20    15.99     3.50    10.89    46.52    21.33P    0.45R    0.01  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.37    10.19     4.52     0.90     3.23    22.66     7.66P    2.63R    0.07  
Oldham          16   23   +6      71.96    10.44    18.33     3.34    10.00    42.81    18.97P    0.95R    0.01  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.14    10.22     2.21     0.47     1.94    17.02     5.36P    3.97R    0.23  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.48     9.93     2.61     0.62     2.46    19.67     5.68P    3.17R    0.14  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.23    10.25    -3.26     0.34     1.60    14.33     4.01P    5.92R    0.20  
Bradford        16   22   +3      69.11    10.41    13.05     1.68     5.88    33.04    12.64P    1.72R    0.09  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.17     9.83    13.14     0.90     3.65    25.32     9.28P    1.89R    0.05  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.78     9.77    -5.01     0.10     0.49     6.58     1.95P   10.47R    0.51  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.08    10.04   -10.82     0.07     0.48     6.34     1.51P   13.19R    0.99  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.73     9.95    -9.79     0.09     0.46     5.96     1.53P   13.11R    0.95  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.04    10.26    -6.72     0.18     0.71     8.07     2.13P   11.38R    1.16  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      60.79    10.35    -0.10     0.28     1.14    11.12     3.21P    8.36R    0.47  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      58.72     9.59    -1.11     0.10     0.45     5.97     1.85P    9.99R    0.73  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.39     9.40   -19.47     0.01     0.01     0.71     0.13P   39.47R    5.98  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.08     9.35   -20.55     0.01     0.01     0.46     0.12P   49.06R    8.39  
Millwall        16   16   -9      43.21     8.83   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   66.97R   16.45  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      41.29     9.14   -34.76     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   74.00R   24.90  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.46     9.03   -44.07     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   82.08R   38.63  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.30     8.57    65.48    44.97    92.34    99.80    94.69P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20     100.56     8.39    57.02    45.12    92.44    99.81    95.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      87.02     9.79    31.36     5.29    45.70    92.37    58.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.65     9.57    28.56     3.15    34.62    89.67    52.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.13     9.83    17.82     0.53    10.54    65.52    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.74    10.13     6.37     0.18     4.46    43.23    11.46P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.21    10.02    -6.24     0.01     0.76    17.84     3.69P    0.39R    0.06  
Hereford         16   23   +0      61.02     9.58    -4.57     0.01     0.46    12.35     2.72P    0.67R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.16    10.34    31.44     0.70    14.48    70.19    31.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.22    10.17    -4.79     0.01     0.44    10.93     2.54P    1.22R    0.15  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.67    10.06    -0.66     0.01     0.69    17.22     3.70P    0.56R    0.07  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.62     9.78    -8.74     0.01     0.18     7.24     1.55P    1.62R    0.27  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.02    10.14     8.63     0.01     1.55    27.77     6.99P    0.24R    0.06  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.20    10.26    -2.72     0.00     0.45    13.98     2.92P    1.09R    0.20  
Chester          16   20   -1      57.52    10.01    -5.56     0.00     0.29     7.62     2.00P    2.00R    0.33  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      59.04     9.94    -5.11     0.00     0.34     9.45     2.19P    1.33R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      48.09     9.37   -24.17     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.17P   12.13R    2.89  
Torquay          16   18   -4      54.28     9.50    -9.91     0.00     0.06     3.46     0.70P    3.41R    0.60  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.71    10.19   -27.38     0.00     0.07     2.38     0.46P   10.02R    2.88  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      55.82    10.19    -7.25     0.00     0.14     6.13     1.39P    2.94R    0.70  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.19     8.73   -44.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.98R   14.86  
Barnet           16   15   -8      50.10     9.84   -20.72     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.29P    9.73R    2.62  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.42     9.17   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   29.61R   10.64  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      30.04     8.76   -45.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.00R   63.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.23     8.00    66.82    82.08    99.91    89.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      94.92     8.82    53.94    14.97    96.49    42.93P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.80     9.73    20.00     1.32    65.83    16.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.46     9.78    17.36     0.41    41.44     8.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.65     9.85    11.58     0.17    30.49     6.55P    0.07R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.42     9.54    -5.03     0.01     9.90     1.26P    0.80R    0.10  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.70     9.69    14.50     0.12    24.36     5.51P    0.21R    0.00  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.17     9.91     5.32     0.07    19.05     3.40P    0.39R    0.04  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.74     9.50    36.22     0.73    57.18    16.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.17     9.70    11.62     0.04    19.67     3.50P    0.32R    0.02  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.58     9.48    12.62     0.07    20.27     4.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.47     9.37   -18.49     0.00     1.34     0.18P    8.79R    1.59  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.06     9.86     0.76     0.00     7.50     1.16P    1.80R    0.28  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.44     9.51   -17.51     0.00     1.75     0.20P    7.67R    1.53  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      51.13     9.21   -21.97     0.00     0.48     0.04P   18.32R    4.17  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      53.86     9.45   -13.58     0.00     0.99     0.09P   12.12R    2.50  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.05     9.94    -8.27     0.00     1.89     0.29P    8.43R    1.80  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.26     9.45   -16.95     0.00     0.55     0.09P   17.61R    3.79  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.33     9.29   -15.89     0.00     0.26     0.07P   22.86R    6.20  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      43.89     8.74   -35.19     0.00     0.03     0.00    46.67R   18.07  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.87     9.58   -18.66     0.00     0.35     0.06P   25.46R    7.24  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.58     9.03   -23.92     0.00     0.12     0.03P   37.23R   12.71  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.92     9.54   -26.66     0.00     0.12     0.01P   33.60R   11.49  
Southport          17   12  -11      41.02     9.03   -28.61     0.00     0.02     0.01P   57.48R   28.46