Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 October 2006 at 21:31:53 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2006, West_Ham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      90.21     7.87    69.86    68.70    88.83    98.80    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.09     9.24    39.07    16.91    48.58    86.22    96.84     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      61.61    10.18     7.43     0.30     3.33    20.27    48.19     0.11R    0.01  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      70.89     9.73    31.49     3.40    14.88    56.55    82.72     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      77.09     9.76    42.75     9.65    37.16    78.68    92.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      63.20    10.23    20.08     0.78     4.25    26.21    57.52     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      56.02    10.12     6.99     0.07     0.87     9.36    28.80     0.54R    0.06  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.58    10.12     3.51     0.05     0.55     6.93    24.18     0.98R    0.07  
Fulham          10   13   -4      46.03    10.29   -16.18     0.01     0.11     1.54     7.49     7.20R    0.79  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.77    10.11   -11.15     0.00     0.06     2.09    10.49     3.87R    0.30  
Blackburn       10   12   -3      45.99     9.70   -11.81     0.01     0.06     0.86     5.50     6.21R    0.67  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      41.80     9.37   -14.01     0.00     0.01     0.36     2.63    11.31R    1.32  
Wigan            9   11   +1      56.06    10.53     9.42     0.09     1.16    10.23    30.61     0.88R    0.06  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      46.07    10.73   -14.44     0.01     0.12     1.46     7.82     8.56R    1.25  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.62    10.46   -22.77     0.00     0.03     0.34     2.38    24.24R    5.08  
West_Ham        10    8   -6      30.61     8.76   -36.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    54.72R   19.14  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      36.96     9.03   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.67    25.40R    4.88  
Watford         10    6   -6      35.53     9.58   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65    31.82R    7.87  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.00     7.61   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    78.20R   44.09  
Charlton        10    5   -9      32.52     9.69   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.56    45.84R   14.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 October 2006, Ipswich vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   30  +15      94.96     9.89    51.73    53.55    74.97    95.91    81.31P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          14   26   +7      81.19    10.68    25.24     8.18    21.73    67.35    33.22P    0.03R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    14   25  +11      87.01    10.42    41.12    20.45    44.60    84.64    56.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          14   25   +9      76.65    11.05    21.66     4.66    13.09    51.88    22.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         14   24   +6      77.52    10.92    21.55     4.79    14.06    55.02    24.04P    0.05R    0.01  
Birmingham       14   24   +4      74.02    10.36    14.06     1.92     6.82    40.86    14.70P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    14   23   -3      62.76    10.25    -7.10     0.14     0.65     9.23     2.35P    1.29R    0.06  
Coventry         14   22   +2      66.72    10.76     4.53     0.57     2.37    18.66     6.55P    0.52R    0.02  
Luton            14   22   +0      65.89    10.85    -1.15     0.45     1.90    17.16     4.55P    0.93R    0.09  
Colchester       14   20   +4      70.71    10.73    14.76     1.25     4.20    30.36    10.77P    0.29R    0.01  
Ipswich          14   20   +3      66.40    11.02     6.09     0.53     2.25    19.34     5.78P    0.96R    0.07  
Southampton      14   19   +1      73.33    10.71    18.26     1.74     6.34    40.16    14.93P    0.17R    0.01  
Derby            14   19   +0      65.00    11.05     2.95     0.31     1.53    15.88     4.55P    1.32R    0.10  
Sunderland       14   19   -1      61.44    10.81    -4.19     0.14     0.63     9.23     2.31P    2.41R    0.20  
Stoke            14   18   +7      69.39    10.65    19.11     1.14     3.93    27.51    11.38P    0.20R    0.03  
Leicester        14   18   -1      58.06    10.72    -5.28     0.04     0.24     5.08     1.42P    4.36R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -2      58.53    10.91    -7.08     0.08     0.37     5.89     1.54P    4.38R    0.41  
Norwich          14   18   -6      57.43    10.52   -16.09     0.03     0.27     4.15     0.81P    5.33R    0.60  
Queens_PR        14   14   -4      48.55    10.48   -21.37     0.01     0.02     0.74     0.18P   21.32R    3.90  
Sheffield_W      14   14   -6      44.52     9.81   -26.79     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P   33.40R    7.26  
Leeds            14   13  -13      38.14     9.20   -48.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    62.80R   23.24  
Barnsley         14   12  -10      48.14    10.51   -26.98     0.01     0.03     0.68     0.14P   23.99R    5.06  
Southend         14   10  -13      36.46     9.33   -43.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.16R   29.04  
Hull             14    9  -10      36.34     9.37   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.95R   29.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      91.58     9.46    34.64    55.24    74.50    95.84    80.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.68    10.31    17.78     8.00    21.44    63.37    31.30P    0.18R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.70     9.80    30.99    14.88    35.41    78.04    48.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.64    10.06    16.43     4.91    14.01    51.59    24.08P    0.29R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.48    10.25    15.35     3.71    10.45    44.15    17.70P    0.62R    0.01  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.89    10.24    17.01     4.17    12.32    49.22    22.99P    0.39R    0.00  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.26    10.21     4.44     0.99     3.13    22.42     7.29P    2.48R    0.13  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.47    10.41    19.06     3.31    10.43    45.02    19.98P    0.69R    0.04  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.30     9.89     2.42     0.41     1.95    16.16     5.26P    3.66R    0.13  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.48    10.09     2.55     0.69     2.54    19.73     5.87P    3.36R    0.17  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.44    10.32    -3.03     0.48     1.72    14.77     4.15P    5.58R    0.26  
Bradford        16   22   +3      68.73    10.23    12.51     1.35     4.96    30.90    10.93P    1.77R    0.06  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.45    10.00    13.62     1.14     3.90    26.40    10.04P    1.75R    0.05  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.06     9.95    -5.98     0.04     0.33     5.83     1.57P   11.95R    1.01  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.04    10.04   -10.88     0.12     0.56     6.23     1.50P   12.90R    0.97  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.41     9.94   -10.44     0.07     0.41     5.54     1.30P   13.61R    1.07  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.13    10.16    -6.61     0.20     0.73     7.76     2.15P   10.98R    0.95  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      60.35    10.29    -0.78     0.17     0.74     9.84     2.56P    9.26R    0.71  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      58.41     9.72    -1.42     0.09     0.46     5.75     1.86P   10.90R    0.81  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.03     9.49   -20.17     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.13P   40.74R    5.96  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.55     9.35   -19.83     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   46.48R    7.89  
Millwall        16   16   -9      43.03     8.86   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   67.42R   16.93  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      41.48     9.06   -34.55     0.01     0.01     0.12     0.03P   72.30R   24.51  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.44     8.89   -44.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.72R   38.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.25     8.70    65.47    46.57    91.97    99.76    94.41P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20      99.93     8.50    56.13    42.91    91.32    99.84    94.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      87.19     9.72    31.64     5.72    47.38    92.42    60.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.35     9.50    28.12     3.17    33.59    89.23    50.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.17     9.87    17.81     0.50    10.43    65.11    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.97    10.17     6.85     0.17     4.54    43.98    11.46P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.09    10.10    -6.52     0.03     0.76    17.86     3.60P    0.56R    0.10  
Hereford         16   23   +0      60.87     9.84    -4.69     0.00     0.41    12.70     3.00P    0.57R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.41    10.38    31.68     0.85    15.34    70.03    32.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.43    10.00    -4.58     0.01     0.31    10.01     2.13P    1.31R    0.15  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.57     9.82    -0.90     0.00     0.68    16.23     3.23P    0.55R    0.07  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.69     9.71    -8.82     0.01     0.20     7.20     1.43P    1.61R    0.35  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.24    10.22     9.04     0.03     1.68    28.63     7.43P    0.42R    0.08  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.28    10.59    -2.63     0.01     0.62    14.75     3.41P    1.21R    0.24  
Chester          16   20   -1      57.52     9.94    -5.57     0.00     0.18     7.75     1.94P    1.83R    0.30  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      58.96     9.81    -5.16     0.00     0.30     9.37     1.92P    1.20R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      47.60     9.24   -25.15     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.14P   12.66R    2.90  
Torquay          16   18   -4      54.48     9.73    -9.48     0.01     0.06     3.79     0.73P    4.05R    0.88  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.77    10.00   -27.20     0.00     0.04     2.21     0.33P    9.33R    2.50  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      55.88    10.26    -7.06     0.00     0.14     6.00     1.46P    3.31R    0.85  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.25     8.85   -44.06     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   42.02R   14.55  
Barnet           16   15   -8      50.42     9.84   -20.08     0.00     0.05     1.85     0.38P    9.13R    2.33  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.69     9.25   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   28.53R   10.24  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      29.83     8.70   -46.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.62R   64.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.11     7.94    66.49    82.21    99.86    90.12P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      94.94     8.85    53.98    15.52    96.47    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.53     9.56    19.51     0.97    65.40    15.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.20     9.87    16.83     0.39    40.88     8.12P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.96     9.78    11.92     0.19    31.62     7.20P    0.09R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.86     9.58    -4.37     0.00    11.40     1.59P    0.75R    0.06  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.71     9.57    14.48     0.07    24.51     5.33P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      68.72     9.76     4.62     0.07    17.74     2.77P    0.48R    0.06  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.26     9.41    35.42     0.50    55.38    15.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.11     9.73    11.38     0.02    19.24     3.48P    0.34R    0.05  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.52     9.59    12.47     0.06    21.13     4.09P    0.29R    0.03  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.74     9.29   -18.13     0.00     1.41     0.13P    8.28R    1.40  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.36     9.99     1.38     0.00     8.38     1.44P    2.00R    0.27  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.40     9.53   -17.46     0.01     1.72     0.24P    7.83R    1.32  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      51.05     9.19   -22.19     0.01     0.42     0.07P   18.31R    4.03  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.16     9.50   -12.96     0.01     1.26     0.17P   11.14R    2.21  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.86     9.78    -8.68     0.00     1.62     0.27P    8.69R    1.79  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.89     9.46   -16.09     0.00     0.68     0.13P   16.36R    3.70  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.41     9.24   -15.73     0.00     0.33     0.04P   23.11R    5.76  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      43.82     8.81   -35.21     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.99R   18.96  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.75     9.34   -18.91     0.00     0.21     0.01P   25.88R    7.30  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.77     9.01   -23.65     0.00     0.14     0.01P   36.91R   12.60  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.03     9.58   -26.42     0.00     0.15     0.01P   33.94R   11.07  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.84     9.05   -28.69     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.41R   29.39