Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 October 2006 at 20:32:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Newcastle vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    10   25  +18      89.61     8.35    68.22    66.08    85.81    97.88    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         10   25  +12      80.32     9.39    39.37    18.04    49.04    86.50    96.24     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          10   20   +2      60.91    10.08     6.35     0.37     2.56    17.69    44.51     0.11R    0.01  
Portsmouth      10   19  +10      71.03     9.90    31.90     3.62    16.23    57.09    82.03     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          9   18  +11      77.42     9.73    43.11    10.61    38.55    78.93    92.94     0.00     0.00  
Everton         10   17   +7      63.36    10.48    20.10     0.92     4.79    26.84    56.90     0.20R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     10   15   +3      55.75    10.23     6.61     0.11     0.73     8.44    28.34     0.59R    0.02  
Liverpool       10   14   +0      54.57    10.56     3.51     0.07     0.80     7.83    24.48     0.96R    0.04  
Fulham          10   13   -4      46.31    10.40   -15.44     0.00     0.08     1.77     7.93     6.07R    0.66  
Reading         10   13   -5      48.61    10.09   -11.43     0.00     0.07     1.99     9.91     3.74R    0.33  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      49.36    10.82    -6.77     0.06     0.37     2.75    11.80     4.27R    0.38  
Tottenham       10   12   -4      41.93     9.46   -13.95     0.00     0.04     0.51     2.73    10.27R    0.96  
Wigan            9   11   +1      56.57    10.32    10.09     0.10     0.81     9.72    30.86     0.76R    0.06  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      46.39    10.75   -13.89     0.02     0.12     1.65     7.75     7.47R    0.93  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.62    10.36   -22.79     0.00     0.02     0.28     2.07    22.75R    3.96  
Newcastle       10    8   -6      35.78     8.88   -21.09     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.49    28.40R    5.38  
Watford         10    6   -6      35.59     9.60   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.70    29.46R    6.54  
Sheffield_U     10    6  -10      25.58     7.97   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    73.86R   36.95  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      27.17     9.00   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    67.47R   30.43  
Charlton        10    5   -9      32.52     9.68   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.55    43.59R   13.36  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Barnsley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          14   30  +15      95.48     9.65    52.76    55.31    75.99    96.61    82.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          14   26   +7      80.58    10.63    24.13     7.29    20.07    64.83    31.05P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    14   25  +11      86.42    10.66    40.20    18.14    41.35    82.09    53.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          14   25   +9      76.84    10.93    21.85     4.53    12.89    51.98    22.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         14   24   +6      77.90    10.71    22.28     4.72    14.06    55.62    24.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham       14   24   +4      73.58    10.86    13.51     2.12     7.17    39.32    15.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    14   23   -3      63.25    10.36    -6.38     0.19     0.81    10.07     2.71P    1.22R    0.05  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.69    11.61    16.09     2.85     8.79    40.73    15.67P    0.20R    0.01  
Coventry         14   22   +2      66.49    10.83     4.11     0.49     1.97    18.07     5.97P    0.69R    0.04  
Colchester       14   20   +4      70.57    11.10    14.58     1.27     4.48    30.20    10.93P    0.38R    0.01  
Southampton      14   19   +1      71.91    10.72    15.68     1.34     5.01    33.81    11.98P    0.24R    0.01  
Derby            14   19   +0      65.06    11.22     3.14     0.34     1.65    16.05     4.54P    1.30R    0.10  
Sunderland       14   19   -1      60.68    10.88    -5.46     0.10     0.56     8.24     2.04P    2.60R    0.18  
Stoke            14   18   +7      70.35    10.54    20.57     0.94     3.73    29.23    11.87P    0.28R    0.03  
Leicester        14   18   -1      57.87    10.65    -5.45     0.09     0.28     4.88     1.43P    4.75R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace   14   18   -2      58.31    10.94    -7.25     0.07     0.30     5.67     1.46P    4.68R    0.39  
Norwich          14   18   -6      57.94    10.54   -14.92     0.07     0.28     4.40     1.02P    4.85R    0.51  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      58.03    11.51   -12.59     0.11     0.56     6.38     1.62P    6.63R    0.75  
Queens_PR        14   14   -4      48.25    10.45   -21.88     0.01     0.03     0.66     0.14P   21.84R    4.07  
Sheffield_W      14   14   -6      45.65     9.90   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   29.78R    5.94  
Leeds            14   13  -13      38.39     9.53   -48.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   61.62R   22.68  
Barnsley         14   12  -10      49.06    10.81   -25.06     0.00     0.03     0.82     0.14P   22.02R    4.82  
Southend         14   10  -13      35.67     9.25   -44.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   71.24R   32.44  
Hull             14    9  -10      36.81     9.53   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   65.51R   27.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Huddersfield vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      16   34  +10      90.95     9.77    33.70    53.26    72.49    94.72    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    16   29   +6      77.83    10.03    17.98     8.28    21.34    63.52    31.23P    0.14R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      16   28  +12      81.75     9.88    31.11    16.48    37.07    78.64    49.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          16   27   +6      74.71    10.09    16.56     5.07    14.28    52.52    24.67P    0.35R    0.01  
Rotherham       16   26   +6      72.04    10.02    14.59     3.40     9.55    42.34    16.38P    0.58R    0.02  
Tranmere        16   25   +5      73.32    10.08    16.23     3.82    11.49    47.17    21.41P    0.39R    0.00  
Swansea         16   24   +2      66.54    10.09     4.89     0.92     3.30    22.82     7.73P    2.34R    0.04  
Oldham          16   23   +6      72.29    10.50    18.75     3.71    10.60    44.35    20.21P    0.66R    0.01  
Carlisle        16   23   +1      64.22     9.84     2.35     0.42     1.87    16.07     5.04P    3.77R    0.14  
Huddersfield    16   23   +0      65.52    10.16     2.72     0.78     2.77    20.32     6.00P    3.60R    0.23  
Port_Vale       16   23   -2      63.16    10.24    -3.45     0.38     1.64    14.18     4.11P    5.78R    0.27  
Bradford        16   22   +3      68.75    10.32    12.51     1.50     5.50    30.93    11.77P    1.83R    0.08  
Blackpool       16   21   +5      67.31    10.01    13.41     0.96     4.03    26.16     9.89P    1.97R    0.09  
Northampton     16   21   -2      58.14     9.84    -5.94     0.07     0.41     6.04     1.66P   11.54R    0.82  
Gillingham      16   21   -3      58.65     9.98    -9.68     0.14     0.66     7.00     1.87P   11.41R    0.79  
Brighton        16   21   -3      57.50     9.91   -10.28     0.08     0.38     5.46     1.32P   13.54R    1.01  
Crewe           16   20   -2      59.49    10.23    -6.01     0.27     0.87     8.52     2.32P   10.81R    0.87  
Chesterfield    16   19   -1      60.44    10.42    -0.72     0.32     1.13    10.30     3.00P    9.32R    0.67  
Doncaster       16   19   -1      59.25     9.93    -0.30     0.16     0.59     7.30     2.36P    9.30R    0.68  
Brentford       16   17   -7      49.28     9.55   -19.77     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.17P   39.85R    6.01  
Bournemouth     16   16   -6      47.16     9.55   -20.34     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.15P   48.34R    8.60  
Millwall        16   16   -9      42.69     8.76   -29.43     0.01     0.01     0.12     0.03P   69.31R   17.35  
Cheltenham      16   15  -12      41.35     9.17   -34.90     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   73.17R   24.63  
Leyton_Orient   16   13  -14      38.56     9.11   -43.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.95R   37.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 October 2006, Rochdale vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Lincoln_C        16   35  +20     100.12     8.68    65.03    45.99    92.19    99.69    94.54P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          16   35  +20      99.95     8.51    56.25    43.30    91.43    99.78    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          16   32  +10      86.81     9.87    31.07     5.45    45.89    92.25    59.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     16   31  +10      84.32     9.69    28.06     3.54    34.16    88.94    50.34P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     16   27   +5      76.01     9.87    17.57     0.60    10.51    64.92    24.36P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    16   27   +2      70.88    10.06     6.60     0.12     4.50    43.72    11.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     16   25   -1      63.34     9.95    -6.03     0.01     0.79    18.18     3.82P    0.44R    0.07  
Hereford         16   23   +0      60.41     9.63    -5.43     0.01     0.34    11.15     2.50P    0.91R    0.12  
Shrewsbury       15   21   +9      77.56    10.33    32.04     0.92    15.68    71.33    32.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington       16   21   +0      59.33     9.99    -4.65     0.01     0.47    10.54     2.46P    1.19R    0.15  
Mansfield        16   21   -1      62.15     9.92    -1.55     0.01     0.63    15.60     3.38P    0.57R    0.08  
Stockport        16   21   -2      57.66     9.79    -8.89     0.00     0.17     7.29     1.56P    1.86R    0.39  
Accrington       16   20   +1      66.30    10.04     9.15     0.01     1.68    28.77     7.67P    0.36R    0.07  
Bury             15   20   -1      61.06    10.35    -2.98     0.01     0.72    14.02     3.49P    0.93R    0.12  
Chester          16   20   -1      58.09     9.98    -4.65     0.01     0.25     8.43     2.21P    1.70R    0.28  
Hartlepool       16   20   -2      58.82     9.96    -5.37     0.00     0.33     9.74     2.11P    1.44R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -7      48.44     9.41   -23.70     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.16P   11.47R    2.69  
Torquay          16   18   -4      53.79     9.52   -10.54     0.00     0.04     3.23     0.73P    4.08R    0.75  
Wrexham          14   18   -6      50.83    10.24   -27.14     0.01     0.06     2.40     0.34P   10.04R    2.88  
Rochdale         16   17   -4      56.03    10.45    -6.92     0.00     0.11     6.84     1.48P    3.42R    0.80  
Grimsby          16   16  -12      40.49     8.82   -43.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   41.15R   14.29  
Barnet           16   15   -8      50.37     9.73   -20.08     0.00     0.05     1.70     0.36P    9.51R    2.48  
Boston           16   12  -11      42.92     9.26   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.90R    9.77  
Macclesfield     16    5  -17      29.94     8.74   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.98R   64.85  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.21     8.08    66.37    81.72    99.86    89.77P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.05     9.00    54.29    15.59    96.24    43.58P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.92     9.47    20.21     1.26    66.94    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.75     9.71    16.10     0.35    38.97     7.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.73     9.83    11.65     0.17    30.80     6.79P    0.08R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.34     9.60    -5.11     0.02    10.19     1.26P    0.86R    0.07  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.51     9.66    14.20     0.07    24.30     5.16P    0.19R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.44     9.76     5.76     0.07    19.60     3.56P    0.29R    0.04  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.33     9.51    35.50     0.59    56.24    15.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.45     9.79    12.00     0.10    20.77     3.96P    0.37R    0.04  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.28     9.45    12.13     0.03    19.30     3.91P    0.29R    0.03  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.10     9.38   -17.62     0.00     1.50     0.14P    7.29R    1.26  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.73    10.04     1.82     0.01     8.73     1.45P    1.80R    0.17  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.29     9.48   -17.69     0.00     1.49     0.13P    7.75R    1.46  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.48     9.25   -23.06     0.00     0.48     0.07P   19.85R    4.67  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.50     9.53   -12.19     0.01     1.41     0.17P   10.12R    2.12  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.38     9.75    -7.75     0.00     1.76     0.27P    7.50R    1.31  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.51     9.46   -16.71     0.00     0.56     0.06P   17.11R    4.01  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      48.89     9.39   -16.65     0.00     0.26     0.04P   24.95R    6.86  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.32     8.85   -34.34     0.00     0.07     0.01P   44.39R   16.11  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      49.06     9.55   -18.32     0.00     0.25     0.04P   24.68R    7.27  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.41     8.88   -24.09     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.83R   12.37  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.94     9.76   -26.77     0.00     0.20     0.03P   33.87R   11.45  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.24     8.93   -29.70     0.00     0.01     0.01P   60.71R   30.75