Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 October 2006 at 20:31:46 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.72     9.11    51.79    36.24    63.16    89.69    97.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.18     9.50    37.87    20.02    41.63    78.89    94.34     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      69.87    10.25    21.81     5.38    14.90    46.50    76.53     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      80.90     9.78    51.84    30.56    56.20    85.23    95.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      70.53    10.16    32.29     6.25    16.93    51.23    79.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      59.20    10.69    13.14     0.68     2.93    15.31    39.09     0.41R    0.06  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      60.21    10.54    14.23     0.52     2.42    15.84    43.03     0.24R    0.01  
Fulham           9   13   -3      50.26    10.83   -10.17     0.05     0.35     3.05    13.44     3.74R    0.36  
Reading          9   13   -3      48.57    10.68   -11.30     0.03     0.14     2.39    10.18     4.80R    0.40  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.19    10.52    -8.69     0.04     0.27     2.12     8.78     5.46R    0.72  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      47.11    10.92    -7.69     0.03     0.21     2.12     8.96     6.36R    0.69  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      46.89    10.78   -11.75     0.06     0.25     1.57     7.75     7.49R    1.14  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      41.22    10.20   -17.00     0.01     0.03     0.46     2.75    15.72R    2.37  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.87    10.37   -21.91     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.81    23.28R    4.36  
Wigan            8    8   +0      50.76    11.36     2.38     0.12     0.53     4.77    16.20     4.01R    0.74  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      37.22    10.02   -21.19     0.01     0.03     0.14     1.09    27.16R    6.47  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      27.36     8.19   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.08R   29.00  
Watford          9    5   -6      38.24    10.39   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.56    23.97R    5.24  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      26.28     8.97   -41.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    71.74R   36.73  
Charlton         9    4   -9      35.04    11.06   -24.95     0.01     0.01     0.17     1.23    37.54R   11.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 October 2006, Coventry vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15     100.54     9.85    61.16    63.27    84.34    98.76    89.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.05    11.07    26.70     6.21    20.70    73.86    34.77P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.62    10.54    48.58    21.39    55.26    92.35    67.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      74.76    11.53    20.07     2.23     7.88    47.38    18.32P    0.11R    0.01  
Luton            13   22   +5      74.10    11.51    16.92     1.41     6.58    44.66    14.18P    0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.86    10.86    -5.37     0.12     0.82    13.03     3.27P    1.45R    0.07  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      74.45    11.74    18.53     2.02     7.79    46.09    17.31P    0.23R    0.03  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.24    11.32     5.77     0.58     2.55    25.06     7.90P    0.65R    0.07  
Southampton      13   19   +3      76.18    11.09    22.60     1.73     7.92    52.49    20.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Coventry         13   19   +1      64.37    11.40     2.34     0.17     1.13    16.38     5.07P    1.61R    0.13  
Derby            13   18   +0      60.93    11.36    -5.28     0.08     0.52    10.09     2.12P    3.66R    0.49  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.14    10.93    -2.44     0.09     0.80    12.73     2.86P    1.95R    0.14  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.81    11.62    -1.61     0.12     0.80    13.35     3.53P    2.90R    0.28  
Colchester       13   17   +2      65.63    11.18     7.07     0.31     1.29    18.47     5.29P    1.30R    0.12  
Leicester        13   17   -1      58.21    11.47    -5.29     0.06     0.33     7.08     1.76P    5.80R    0.49  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      59.57    11.50   -10.02     0.07     0.41     8.85     1.81P    5.03R    0.61  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      57.07    11.09   -10.62     0.01     0.17     5.22     1.22P    6.80R    0.95  
Stoke            13   15   +2      61.19    11.14     4.21     0.14     0.61    10.24     3.27P    2.93R    0.21  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.54    10.94   -22.41     0.01     0.03     1.15     0.17P   23.80R    4.50  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      43.02     9.80   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   41.55R   10.20  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      51.92    11.44   -21.81     0.01     0.08     2.40     0.39P   16.78R    3.35  
Southend         13   10  -11      39.77    10.24   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   55.72R   20.46  
Leeds            13   10  -15      35.39     9.92   -53.38     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   72.20R   38.02  
Hull             13    9   -9      39.69    10.19   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   55.22R   19.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.35    10.19    30.14    42.12    61.20    90.06    69.53P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.43    10.82    17.20     7.62    17.43    52.72    26.89P    0.28R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      76.01    10.70    16.77     7.59    17.70    54.91    26.86P    0.40R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.05    10.30    30.84    17.79    34.40    74.11    46.87P    0.11R    0.00  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.38    10.58     9.65     2.58     7.62    33.85    13.46P    1.25R    0.04  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      73.06    10.44    16.16     4.47    11.46    44.83    18.50P    0.70R    0.04  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.23    10.45     8.01     1.83     5.09    26.82    10.25P    1.61R    0.06  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.16    10.65     5.12     1.57     4.50    24.82     8.53P    2.46R    0.10  
Bradford        15   22   +6      75.24    10.53    23.33     6.13    15.81    54.06    26.32P    0.38R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      71.72    10.82    15.38     3.67     9.69    40.18    18.34P    1.20R    0.04  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.66    10.90    -1.76     0.85     2.65    18.16     5.41P    4.83R    0.25  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.25    10.70    10.71     1.54     4.56    25.03     9.58P    2.44R    0.12  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.38    10.94     4.84     1.09     3.25    18.61     6.38P    4.70R    0.39  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.38    10.12     1.58     0.31     1.18    10.15     3.65P    6.20R    0.45  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      60.86    10.49     3.47     0.26     1.34    10.66     3.55P    7.63R    0.44  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      59.30    10.70    -3.48     0.35     1.13     8.58     2.73P   11.17R    1.02  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.61    10.19    -8.28     0.07     0.30     3.84     1.05P   17.36R    1.89  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      55.03    10.49   -15.77     0.08     0.34     3.96     0.92P   20.05R    2.35  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.59    10.14   -22.13     0.03     0.10     1.47     0.32P   34.34R    5.29  
Brentford       15   17   -4      52.04    10.28   -14.49     0.02     0.17     1.96     0.56P   28.49R    3.83  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      48.34     9.98   -19.71     0.02     0.04     0.79     0.22P   41.62R    7.08  
Millwall        15   15   -9      42.04     9.23   -31.30     0.01     0.01     0.14     0.03P   68.88R   19.93  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      44.25     9.66   -29.66     0.01     0.01     0.28     0.06P   60.42R   14.85  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.57     9.00   -46.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   83.47R   41.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     103.31     8.69    62.95    59.45    93.28    99.86    95.80P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      96.99     9.27    61.70    26.65    80.52    98.99    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      87.34     9.87    31.60     5.62    40.48    91.95    55.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.94    10.31    33.36     5.25    40.48    90.27    54.88P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.85    10.24    24.08     1.54    18.29    77.45    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.06    10.38     0.57     0.12     2.52    30.11     7.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.40    10.32    -3.00     0.03     1.05    21.63     4.46P    0.26R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.68    10.64    35.86     1.21    18.31    74.33    35.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.66    10.55    11.69     0.07     2.31    33.72     8.46P    0.17R    0.06  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.25    10.39    -4.28     0.01     0.54    11.05     2.48P    0.94R    0.15  
Chester          15   20   +0      61.04    10.68    -1.79     0.02     0.55    13.27     3.38P    0.95R    0.17  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.79    10.26    -8.95     0.01     0.26     7.51     1.66P    1.63R    0.30  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.36    10.26    -5.67     0.01     0.29     9.39     1.95P    1.03R    0.16  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.15    10.23   -18.24     0.01     0.04     2.61     0.50P    5.71R    1.16  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.02    10.29    -3.27     0.00     0.28    10.12     2.19P    1.24R    0.23  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.26    10.07   -14.68     0.00     0.06     2.85     0.55P    4.51R    1.18  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.20    10.66    -9.39     0.01     0.11     6.16     1.20P    2.83R    0.59  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      61.48    10.55     1.53     0.01     0.52    13.76     3.29P    0.64R    0.12  
Torquay          15   17   -4      53.61     9.87   -11.89     0.00     0.10     2.88     0.60P    3.92R    0.76  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      47.04    10.43   -34.28     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.15P   16.17R    5.56  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.27     8.97   -46.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   42.76R   16.45  
Barnet           15   12   -9      46.92     9.93   -25.36     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.14P   14.86R    4.56  
Boston           15   12  -10      43.27     9.57   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   24.39R    8.85  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.07     8.86   -45.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.83R   59.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.16     8.10    66.55    80.99    99.91    89.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.43     8.90    54.82    16.40    96.89    45.22P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      82.05     9.63    20.28     1.33    67.38    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.70     9.57    16.11     0.28    38.85     7.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.06     9.85    10.67     0.13    28.27     5.83P    0.07R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.85     9.70    -4.40     0.01    11.29     1.69P    0.67R    0.07  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.48     9.72    14.14     0.07    24.28     5.13P    0.15R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.68     9.81     6.05     0.07    20.68     3.85P    0.38R    0.03  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.21     9.63    35.24     0.55    55.56    15.47P    0.03R    0.01  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.49     9.72    12.01     0.10    20.70     3.62P    0.34R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.24     9.59    12.02     0.04    19.91     3.87P    0.32R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.93     9.37   -17.89     0.00     1.53     0.20P    7.66R    1.17  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.51     9.91     1.50     0.01     8.23     1.31P    1.87R    0.27  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.34     9.56   -17.64     0.00     1.66     0.18P    7.80R    1.30  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.69     9.44   -22.65     0.00     0.47     0.06P   20.03R    4.67  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.36     9.47   -12.53     0.00     1.25     0.17P   10.94R    2.03  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.00     9.73    -8.34     0.00     1.84     0.34P    7.67R    1.41  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.77     9.51   -16.34     0.00     0.56     0.08P   16.73R    3.97  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.15     9.38   -16.15     0.00     0.26     0.04P   23.92R    6.79  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.59     8.94   -34.02     0.00     0.06     0.00    43.23R   15.93  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.35     9.34   -19.46     0.00     0.18     0.01P   26.95R    7.78  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.54     9.01   -23.91     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.34R   12.79  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.02     9.48   -26.44     0.00     0.14     0.01P   33.28R   10.71  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.29     9.02   -29.61     0.00     0.01     0.01P   60.55R   31.04