Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 26 October 2006 at 20:31:45 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 9 22 +14 82.22 9.30 50.98 35.10 61.16 88.03 97.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 9 22 +10 78.93 9.46 39.27 21.95 44.18 80.68 95.02 0.00 0.00 Bolton 9 20 +6 69.97 10.15 21.88 5.05 14.57 46.90 76.78 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 8 17 +11 80.69 9.90 51.56 29.71 55.23 84.14 95.39 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 9 16 +8 70.24 10.27 31.54 6.21 16.80 49.96 78.06 0.00 0.00 Everton 9 16 +7 58.73 10.84 11.89 0.84 3.11 14.35 36.91 0.47R 0.03 Aston_Villa 9 15 +5 60.67 10.69 14.97 0.73 2.98 17.57 44.62 0.30R 0.01 Fulham 9 13 -3 50.82 11.15 -9.08 0.08 0.36 4.00 15.29 3.19R 0.33 Reading 9 13 -3 48.38 10.90 -11.55 0.06 0.24 2.38 10.32 5.56R 0.67 Blackburn 9 12 -2 48.86 10.53 -7.64 0.06 0.20 2.11 9.89 4.45R 0.55 Liverpool 9 11 -2 47.66 10.94 -6.56 0.03 0.24 2.29 9.45 5.97R 0.66 Middlesbrough 9 11 -4 47.05 10.87 -11.39 0.04 0.18 1.75 7.97 7.17R 0.90 Tottenham 9 11 -4 40.71 9.96 -18.10 0.00 0.01 0.27 2.02 16.32R 2.48 Manchester_C 9 9 -7 38.71 10.08 -22.14 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.43 23.01R 4.78 Wigan 8 8 +0 51.09 11.29 2.86 0.13 0.70 4.84 16.64 3.72R 0.48 Newcastle 9 7 -6 37.44 9.52 -20.75 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.81 24.98R 4.87 Sheffield_U 9 6 -8 27.57 8.55 -32.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 66.14R 29.50 Watford 9 5 -6 37.40 10.43 -16.96 0.00 0.01 0.20 1.37 26.82R 6.24 West_Ham 9 5 -7 26.11 8.88 -42.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 72.78R 36.66 Charlton 9 4 -9 34.32 10.69 -25.90 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.95 39.12R 11.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 October 2006, Coventry vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 13 29 +15 100.39 9.74 60.92 62.73 84.36 98.69 89.06P 0.00 0.00 Preston 13 26 +8 83.20 11.09 26.68 6.15 20.86 73.61 35.15P 0.01R 0.00 West_Bromwich 13 25 +13 91.95 10.46 49.12 22.59 56.23 92.83 68.47P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 13 22 +8 74.86 11.68 20.25 2.05 7.50 48.26 17.86P 0.23R 0.01 Luton 13 22 +5 74.06 11.65 16.84 1.34 6.68 44.30 14.70P 0.20R 0.00 Wolverhampton 13 22 -3 63.50 10.71 -5.86 0.10 0.64 12.17 2.93P 1.53R 0.10 Plymouth 13 21 +5 74.80 11.27 18.95 1.71 7.04 46.51 16.57P 0.14R 0.00 Birmingham 13 21 +2 68.76 11.13 6.61 0.40 2.37 26.20 7.67P 0.53R 0.04 Southampton 13 19 +3 76.14 11.15 22.57 1.86 7.88 51.41 19.27P 0.11R 0.00 Coventry 13 19 +1 63.63 11.49 1.29 0.23 1.17 14.94 4.96P 1.79R 0.13 Derby 13 18 +0 61.75 11.44 -3.78 0.12 0.70 11.42 2.79P 3.04R 0.34 Norwich 13 18 -1 63.33 10.98 -2.12 0.10 0.74 13.04 2.87P 2.06R 0.16 Crystal_Palace 13 18 -1 62.82 11.56 -1.42 0.12 0.76 13.26 3.54P 2.40R 0.21 Colchester 13 17 +2 65.66 11.52 7.16 0.28 1.45 19.01 5.51P 1.34R 0.10 Leicester 13 17 -1 57.53 10.87 -6.37 0.02 0.18 5.14 1.34P 5.64R 0.48 Ipswich 13 17 -2 58.75 11.37 -11.61 0.05 0.30 7.25 1.32P 5.73R 0.67 Sunderland 13 16 -2 57.15 11.36 -10.48 0.06 0.24 5.94 1.36P 6.65R 0.80 Stoke 13 15 +2 62.48 11.28 6.08 0.08 0.79 12.44 3.92P 2.37R 0.24 Queens_PR 13 13 -4 48.55 10.87 -22.64 0.01 0.03 0.90 0.17P 23.48R 4.31 Sheffield_W 13 13 -6 42.97 10.07 -28.28 0.01 0.01 0.28 0.07P 41.33R 9.73 Barnsley 13 12 -9 52.16 11.09 -21.47 0.01 0.07 2.08 0.40P 15.14R 2.83 Southend 13 10 -11 39.86 10.32 -38.04 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.06P 55.26R 20.00 Leeds 13 10 -15 35.20 9.85 -53.66 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 73.19R 37.75 Hull 13 9 -9 38.86 10.01 -30.72 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 57.84R 22.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Nottingham 15 31 +8 88.76 9.90 30.86 43.52 63.33 91.06 71.08P 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 15 26 +6 75.03 10.64 16.64 6.62 15.68 51.16 24.75P 0.30R 0.01 Bristol_City 15 26 +5 75.76 10.58 16.50 7.46 17.41 53.83 26.39P 0.28R 0.01 Scunthorpe 15 25 +10 81.06 10.11 30.86 16.48 34.23 74.14 46.64P 0.07R 0.01 Swansea 15 24 +3 70.36 10.51 9.69 2.71 7.04 34.03 12.99P 1.14R 0.04 Huddersfield 15 23 +3 73.20 10.60 16.42 4.76 12.10 44.83 18.98P 0.76R 0.04 Carlisle 15 23 +3 68.41 10.70 8.36 1.92 5.64 28.18 10.99P 1.79R 0.07 Rotherham 15 23 +2 67.25 10.63 5.38 1.79 4.50 24.45 8.66P 2.23R 0.12 Bradford 15 22 +6 74.84 10.47 22.76 6.28 15.16 52.07 25.73P 0.35R 0.01 Tranmere 15 22 +4 72.63 10.57 16.66 4.20 10.78 42.98 19.90P 0.72R 0.01 Port_Vale 15 22 -2 63.95 10.66 -2.74 0.61 2.12 15.49 4.54P 4.95R 0.31 Oldham 15 20 +3 67.61 10.90 11.16 1.56 4.99 27.05 10.58P 2.40R 0.12 Crewe 15 20 +2 64.20 10.72 4.55 0.80 2.54 17.38 5.32P 4.62R 0.32 Doncaster 15 19 +0 61.99 10.46 2.48 0.56 1.58 11.61 4.41P 6.14R 0.35 Blackpool 15 18 +2 61.38 10.32 4.08 0.32 1.11 11.08 3.85P 6.41R 0.48 Chesterfield 15 18 -1 59.10 10.74 -3.59 0.22 0.90 8.21 2.26P 11.30R 1.06 Northampton 15 18 -3 55.65 10.29 -8.13 0.07 0.34 4.00 1.05P 17.07R 1.72 Gillingham 15 18 -5 54.98 10.46 -15.79 0.07 0.29 4.00 0.92P 20.32R 2.29 Brighton 15 18 -6 50.58 10.03 -22.27 0.02 0.12 1.57 0.31P 34.23R 4.51 Brentford 15 17 -4 51.75 10.09 -15.06 0.02 0.10 1.58 0.36P 28.42R 3.79 Bournemouth 15 16 -5 48.38 9.86 -19.67 0.01 0.04 0.85 0.20P 41.51R 6.84 Millwall 15 15 -9 41.53 9.03 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 70.98R 21.22 Cheltenham 15 15 -10 43.93 9.70 -30.29 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 60.57R 15.76 Leyton_Orient 15 13 -12 37.56 8.98 -46.72 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 83.43R 40.92League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Walsall 15 34 +20 103.08 8.73 62.53 59.02 93.10 99.83 95.69P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 15 32 +19 97.24 9.14 62.10 27.59 81.92 99.03 86.99P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 15 31 +11 86.68 10.17 30.70 5.53 39.43 90.19 54.43P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 15 29 +9 86.18 10.37 32.06 4.63 38.44 88.80 52.77P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 15 27 +6 81.19 10.18 24.49 1.72 19.84 78.83 35.59P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 15 26 +2 68.37 10.41 1.01 0.14 2.82 30.93 7.55P 0.12R 0.01 Peterborough 15 24 -1 65.73 10.52 -2.47 0.01 1.26 23.05 5.12P 0.23R 0.03 Shrewsbury 14 20 +9 79.29 10.58 35.15 1.18 17.52 73.68 34.20P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington 15 20 +2 68.71 10.62 11.94 0.14 2.87 34.30 9.09P 0.18R 0.04 Darlington 15 20 +0 59.57 10.43 -5.44 0.01 0.34 9.94 1.99P 1.06R 0.20 Chester 15 20 +0 61.28 10.42 -1.33 0.00 0.48 13.22 3.25P 0.80R 0.17 Hereford 15 20 -1 57.15 10.06 -9.95 0.00 0.21 6.43 1.38P 1.84R 0.43 Hartlepool 15 19 -2 59.13 10.21 -6.01 0.01 0.32 8.90 1.90P 1.23R 0.25 Bristol_Rovers 15 19 -5 52.49 10.19 -17.61 0.00 0.07 2.75 0.63P 5.54R 1.32 Mansfield 15 18 -2 59.81 10.62 -3.50 0.01 0.32 10.72 2.33P 1.49R 0.40 Stockport 15 18 -4 53.06 10.02 -15.01 0.00 0.07 2.86 0.59P 4.46R 1.18 Bury 14 17 -2 57.01 10.61 -8.01 0.01 0.29 6.64 1.46P 2.21R 0.48 Rochdale 15 17 -2 61.35 10.72 1.32 0.00 0.57 13.90 3.79P 1.05R 0.23 Torquay 15 17 -4 54.62 10.13 -10.55 0.00 0.10 3.92 0.91P 3.65R 0.83 Wrexham 13 15 -8 46.74 10.55 -34.86 0.00 0.02 1.07 0.18P 17.74R 6.91 Grimsby 15 15 -12 39.02 9.04 -47.01 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 43.78R 17.91 Barnet 15 12 -9 46.89 9.91 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.12P 14.81R 4.31 Boston 15 12 -10 43.08 9.59 -30.27 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 25.56R 10.00 Macclesfield 15 5 -16 31.12 9.37 -44.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.22R 55.30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 17 41 +24 107.58 8.07 67.15 82.08 99.88 89.94P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 17 36 +21 95.34 8.96 54.81 15.68 96.78 44.97P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 17 34 +8 81.90 9.69 20.10 1.29 66.41 15.81P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 17 29 +7 74.70 9.66 16.19 0.22 38.85 7.29P 0.02R 0.00 Burton 17 28 +4 72.64 9.95 11.55 0.08 31.20 6.80P 0.13R 0.00 York 17 28 -1 65.46 9.60 -4.99 0.03 10.86 1.49P 0.79R 0.10 Exeter 17 26 +7 70.47 9.65 14.13 0.05 24.50 5.25P 0.17R 0.01 Morecambe 17 26 +0 69.45 9.80 5.69 0.04 20.23 3.39P 0.36R 0.03 Grays 17 25 +13 78.07 9.48 34.93 0.42 55.18 15.34P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 17 25 +5 68.81 9.60 10.90 0.03 18.94 3.29P 0.34R 0.03 Woking 17 25 +5 69.43 9.50 12.35 0.04 20.62 3.90P 0.25R 0.04 Stafford_Rangers 17 23 -8 55.77 9.47 -18.07 0.00 1.67 0.20P 8.77R 1.51 Crawley 17 22 -1 63.01 9.98 0.81 0.03 7.92 1.36P 2.07R 0.27 Northwich 17 22 -8 56.47 9.52 -17.38 0.00 1.67 0.18P 7.70R 1.31 Altrincham 17 20 -8 50.80 9.19 -22.50 0.00 0.43 0.06P 18.67R 4.30 Stevenage 17 19 -2 53.99 9.39 -13.32 0.00 0.95 0.08P 11.32R 2.21 Halifax 17 19 -4 56.33 9.96 -7.80 0.00 2.27 0.34P 7.66R 1.33 Kidderminster 17 19 -7 51.64 9.61 -16.47 0.00 0.68 0.10P 17.37R 4.12 Rushden_&_D 17 17 -4 49.71 9.28 -15.28 0.00 0.34 0.10P 21.98R 5.70 Tamworth 17 17 -12 44.24 8.86 -34.60 0.00 0.06 0.01P 44.80R 17.05 Forest_Green 17 16 -8 48.98 9.55 -18.62 0.00 0.33 0.05P 25.45R 7.17 Cambridge_U 17 16 -9 45.51 9.12 -23.93 0.00 0.07 0.01P 38.89R 13.35 St_Albans 17 15 -11 47.01 9.54 -26.44 0.00 0.15 0.02P 33.67R 10.88 Southport 17 12 -11 40.62 9.14 -29.22 0.00 0.03 0.01P 59.58R 30.59