Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 October 2006 at 20:31:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.22     9.30    50.98    35.10    61.16    88.03    97.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.93     9.46    39.27    21.95    44.18    80.68    95.02     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      69.97    10.15    21.88     5.05    14.57    46.90    76.78     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      80.69     9.90    51.56    29.71    55.23    84.14    95.39     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      70.24    10.27    31.54     6.21    16.80    49.96    78.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      58.73    10.84    11.89     0.84     3.11    14.35    36.91     0.47R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      60.67    10.69    14.97     0.73     2.98    17.57    44.62     0.30R    0.01  
Fulham           9   13   -3      50.82    11.15    -9.08     0.08     0.36     4.00    15.29     3.19R    0.33  
Reading          9   13   -3      48.38    10.90   -11.55     0.06     0.24     2.38    10.32     5.56R    0.67  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.86    10.53    -7.64     0.06     0.20     2.11     9.89     4.45R    0.55  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      47.66    10.94    -6.56     0.03     0.24     2.29     9.45     5.97R    0.66  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      47.05    10.87   -11.39     0.04     0.18     1.75     7.97     7.17R    0.90  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      40.71     9.96   -18.10     0.00     0.01     0.27     2.02    16.32R    2.48  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.71    10.08   -22.14     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.43    23.01R    4.78  
Wigan            8    8   +0      51.09    11.29     2.86     0.13     0.70     4.84    16.64     3.72R    0.48  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      37.44     9.52   -20.75     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.81    24.98R    4.87  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      27.57     8.55   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.14R   29.50  
Watford          9    5   -6      37.40    10.43   -16.96     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.37    26.82R    6.24  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      26.11     8.88   -42.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    72.78R   36.66  
Charlton         9    4   -9      34.32    10.69   -25.90     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.95    39.12R   11.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 October 2006, Coventry vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15     100.39     9.74    60.92    62.73    84.36    98.69    89.06P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.20    11.09    26.68     6.15    20.86    73.61    35.15P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.95    10.46    49.12    22.59    56.23    92.83    68.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      74.86    11.68    20.25     2.05     7.50    48.26    17.86P    0.23R    0.01  
Luton            13   22   +5      74.06    11.65    16.84     1.34     6.68    44.30    14.70P    0.20R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.50    10.71    -5.86     0.10     0.64    12.17     2.93P    1.53R    0.10  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      74.80    11.27    18.95     1.71     7.04    46.51    16.57P    0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.76    11.13     6.61     0.40     2.37    26.20     7.67P    0.53R    0.04  
Southampton      13   19   +3      76.14    11.15    22.57     1.86     7.88    51.41    19.27P    0.11R    0.00  
Coventry         13   19   +1      63.63    11.49     1.29     0.23     1.17    14.94     4.96P    1.79R    0.13  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.75    11.44    -3.78     0.12     0.70    11.42     2.79P    3.04R    0.34  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.33    10.98    -2.12     0.10     0.74    13.04     2.87P    2.06R    0.16  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.82    11.56    -1.42     0.12     0.76    13.26     3.54P    2.40R    0.21  
Colchester       13   17   +2      65.66    11.52     7.16     0.28     1.45    19.01     5.51P    1.34R    0.10  
Leicester        13   17   -1      57.53    10.87    -6.37     0.02     0.18     5.14     1.34P    5.64R    0.48  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      58.75    11.37   -11.61     0.05     0.30     7.25     1.32P    5.73R    0.67  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      57.15    11.36   -10.48     0.06     0.24     5.94     1.36P    6.65R    0.80  
Stoke            13   15   +2      62.48    11.28     6.08     0.08     0.79    12.44     3.92P    2.37R    0.24  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.55    10.87   -22.64     0.01     0.03     0.90     0.17P   23.48R    4.31  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      42.97    10.07   -28.28     0.01     0.01     0.28     0.07P   41.33R    9.73  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      52.16    11.09   -21.47     0.01     0.07     2.08     0.40P   15.14R    2.83  
Southend         13   10  -11      39.86    10.32   -38.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06P   55.26R   20.00  
Leeds            13   10  -15      35.20     9.85   -53.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   73.19R   37.75  
Hull             13    9   -9      38.86    10.01   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   57.84R   22.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.76     9.90    30.86    43.52    63.33    91.06    71.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.03    10.64    16.64     6.62    15.68    51.16    24.75P    0.30R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      75.76    10.58    16.50     7.46    17.41    53.83    26.39P    0.28R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.06    10.11    30.86    16.48    34.23    74.14    46.64P    0.07R    0.01  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.36    10.51     9.69     2.71     7.04    34.03    12.99P    1.14R    0.04  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      73.20    10.60    16.42     4.76    12.10    44.83    18.98P    0.76R    0.04  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.41    10.70     8.36     1.92     5.64    28.18    10.99P    1.79R    0.07  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.25    10.63     5.38     1.79     4.50    24.45     8.66P    2.23R    0.12  
Bradford        15   22   +6      74.84    10.47    22.76     6.28    15.16    52.07    25.73P    0.35R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      72.63    10.57    16.66     4.20    10.78    42.98    19.90P    0.72R    0.01  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      63.95    10.66    -2.74     0.61     2.12    15.49     4.54P    4.95R    0.31  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.61    10.90    11.16     1.56     4.99    27.05    10.58P    2.40R    0.12  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.20    10.72     4.55     0.80     2.54    17.38     5.32P    4.62R    0.32  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.99    10.46     2.48     0.56     1.58    11.61     4.41P    6.14R    0.35  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      61.38    10.32     4.08     0.32     1.11    11.08     3.85P    6.41R    0.48  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      59.10    10.74    -3.59     0.22     0.90     8.21     2.26P   11.30R    1.06  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.65    10.29    -8.13     0.07     0.34     4.00     1.05P   17.07R    1.72  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      54.98    10.46   -15.79     0.07     0.29     4.00     0.92P   20.32R    2.29  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.58    10.03   -22.27     0.02     0.12     1.57     0.31P   34.23R    4.51  
Brentford       15   17   -4      51.75    10.09   -15.06     0.02     0.10     1.58     0.36P   28.42R    3.79  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      48.38     9.86   -19.67     0.01     0.04     0.85     0.20P   41.51R    6.84  
Millwall        15   15   -9      41.53     9.03   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   70.98R   21.22  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      43.93     9.70   -30.29     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   60.57R   15.76  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.56     8.98   -46.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   83.43R   40.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     103.08     8.73    62.53    59.02    93.10    99.83    95.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      97.24     9.14    62.10    27.59    81.92    99.03    86.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      86.68    10.17    30.70     5.53    39.43    90.19    54.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.18    10.37    32.06     4.63    38.44    88.80    52.77P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      81.19    10.18    24.49     1.72    19.84    78.83    35.59P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.37    10.41     1.01     0.14     2.82    30.93     7.55P    0.12R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.73    10.52    -2.47     0.01     1.26    23.05     5.12P    0.23R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.29    10.58    35.15     1.18    17.52    73.68    34.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.71    10.62    11.94     0.14     2.87    34.30     9.09P    0.18R    0.04  
Darlington       15   20   +0      59.57    10.43    -5.44     0.01     0.34     9.94     1.99P    1.06R    0.20  
Chester          15   20   +0      61.28    10.42    -1.33     0.00     0.48    13.22     3.25P    0.80R    0.17  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.15    10.06    -9.95     0.00     0.21     6.43     1.38P    1.84R    0.43  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.13    10.21    -6.01     0.01     0.32     8.90     1.90P    1.23R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.49    10.19   -17.61     0.00     0.07     2.75     0.63P    5.54R    1.32  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      59.81    10.62    -3.50     0.01     0.32    10.72     2.33P    1.49R    0.40  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.06    10.02   -15.01     0.00     0.07     2.86     0.59P    4.46R    1.18  
Bury             14   17   -2      57.01    10.61    -8.01     0.01     0.29     6.64     1.46P    2.21R    0.48  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      61.35    10.72     1.32     0.00     0.57    13.90     3.79P    1.05R    0.23  
Torquay          15   17   -4      54.62    10.13   -10.55     0.00     0.10     3.92     0.91P    3.65R    0.83  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.74    10.55   -34.86     0.00     0.02     1.07     0.18P   17.74R    6.91  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.02     9.04   -47.01     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   43.78R   17.91  
Barnet           15   12   -9      46.89     9.91   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P   14.81R    4.31  
Boston           15   12  -10      43.08     9.59   -30.27     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   25.56R   10.00  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      31.12     9.37   -44.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.22R   55.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.58     8.07    67.15    82.08    99.88    89.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.34     8.96    54.81    15.68    96.78    44.97P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.90     9.69    20.10     1.29    66.41    15.81P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.70     9.66    16.19     0.22    38.85     7.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.64     9.95    11.55     0.08    31.20     6.80P    0.13R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.46     9.60    -4.99     0.03    10.86     1.49P    0.79R    0.10  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.47     9.65    14.13     0.05    24.50     5.25P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.45     9.80     5.69     0.04    20.23     3.39P    0.36R    0.03  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.07     9.48    34.93     0.42    55.18    15.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      68.81     9.60    10.90     0.03    18.94     3.29P    0.34R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.43     9.50    12.35     0.04    20.62     3.90P    0.25R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.77     9.47   -18.07     0.00     1.67     0.20P    8.77R    1.51  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.01     9.98     0.81     0.03     7.92     1.36P    2.07R    0.27  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.47     9.52   -17.38     0.00     1.67     0.18P    7.70R    1.31  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.80     9.19   -22.50     0.00     0.43     0.06P   18.67R    4.30  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      53.99     9.39   -13.32     0.00     0.95     0.08P   11.32R    2.21  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.33     9.96    -7.80     0.00     2.27     0.34P    7.66R    1.33  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.64     9.61   -16.47     0.00     0.68     0.10P   17.37R    4.12  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.71     9.28   -15.28     0.00     0.34     0.10P   21.98R    5.70  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.24     8.86   -34.60     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.80R   17.05  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.98     9.55   -18.62     0.00     0.33     0.05P   25.45R    7.17  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.51     9.12   -23.93     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.89R   13.35  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.01     9.54   -26.44     0.00     0.15     0.02P   33.67R   10.88  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.62     9.14   -29.22     0.00     0.03     0.01P   59.58R   30.59