Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 25 October 2006 at 20:31:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.30     9.01    51.06    34.72    61.84    88.80    97.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.46     9.77    38.70    21.57    43.24    79.06    93.94     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      70.41     9.99    22.53     5.40    15.34    48.66    78.34     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      80.64    10.19    51.28    30.59    55.59    83.76    94.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      69.98    10.29    31.42     5.72    15.71    49.16    77.89     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      59.18    10.69    12.92     0.88     3.04    15.30    38.74     0.40R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      60.56    10.42    14.86     0.72     3.04    17.07    42.99     0.14R    0.00  
Fulham           9   13   -3      50.62    11.32    -9.62     0.10     0.65     4.13    15.23     3.92R    0.40  
Reading          9   13   -3      48.35    10.66   -11.60     0.04     0.20     2.28     9.70     4.87R    0.53  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.50    10.76    -8.09     0.07     0.27     2.21     9.80     5.20R    0.63  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      47.31    10.83    -7.15     0.03     0.24     2.10     8.67     6.36R    0.73  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      47.43    10.84   -10.81     0.04     0.18     1.69     8.63     6.69R    0.81  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      41.13    10.37   -17.12     0.00     0.05     0.58     2.89    15.95R    2.67  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.24    10.32   -22.69     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.62    25.41R    4.79  
Wigan            8    8   +0      50.84    11.14     2.59     0.14     0.57     4.44    15.63     3.69R    0.57  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      36.99     9.90   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.01    27.59R    6.25  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      27.81     8.37   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    65.70R   27.59  
Watford          9    5   -6      38.00    10.49   -16.19     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.46    24.52R    5.69  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      26.27     9.08   -42.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    71.70R   37.27  
Charlton         9    4   -9      34.57    10.75   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.86    37.85R   12.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 October 2006, Coventry vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15     100.60     9.73    61.40    62.92    84.48    98.84    89.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.18    10.84    26.76     5.64    19.62    74.22    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.95    10.58    49.25    22.12    55.76    92.36    67.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      75.29    11.69    20.90     2.46     8.66    48.23    19.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.99    11.88    16.78     1.50     6.83    43.81    14.72P    0.30R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.84    10.98    -5.36     0.15     0.76    13.03     3.43P    1.44R    0.10  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      74.76    11.67    18.97     1.81     7.41    46.48    16.96P    0.23R    0.03  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.50    11.29     6.06     0.49     2.50    25.68     7.54P    0.68R    0.04  
Southampton      13   19   +3      76.38    11.29    22.94     1.82     8.38    52.27    19.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Coventry         13   19   +1      63.81    11.35     1.61     0.21     0.82    14.80     4.22P    1.72R    0.09  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.26    11.24    -4.78     0.10     0.59    10.31     2.54P    3.01R    0.24  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.60    11.33    -1.74     0.13     0.75    14.10     3.02P    2.28R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.48    11.34    -2.14     0.10     0.62    12.20     3.33P    2.35R    0.15  
Colchester       13   17   +2      65.64    11.30     7.03     0.23     1.20    18.88     5.33P    1.28R    0.10  
Leicester        13   17   -1      58.20    10.97    -5.52     0.04     0.24     5.96     1.60P    4.72R    0.37  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      59.08    11.38   -10.74     0.07     0.40     7.64     1.68P    5.26R    0.71  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      57.29    11.40   -10.19     0.03     0.25     5.93     1.26P    6.67R    0.69  
Stoke            13   15   +2      62.19    11.28     5.64     0.12     0.61    11.82     3.74P    2.31R    0.20  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.14    10.74   -23.19     0.00     0.02     0.87     0.17P   24.05R    4.72  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      42.71     9.68   -28.88     0.01     0.03     0.25     0.10P   41.34R    9.32  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      52.24    11.31   -21.14     0.01     0.05     2.13     0.33P   15.54R    3.15  
Southend         13   10  -11      39.69    10.14   -38.33     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   54.66R   19.88  
Leeds            13   10  -15      34.73     9.54   -54.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   74.39R   39.10  
Hull             13    9   -9      38.82    10.08   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   57.55R   20.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.40    10.14    30.18    41.83    61.62    90.17    69.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.43    10.38    17.21     6.87    16.09    52.85    25.55P    0.21R    0.00  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      75.50    10.49    16.14     6.83    15.83    52.42    24.54P    0.34R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.73    10.03    31.91    17.82    36.18    76.23    48.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.38    10.81     9.64     3.13     7.95    34.08    13.62P    1.26R    0.04  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      72.89    10.48    15.96     4.20    11.04    44.15    18.05P    0.74R    0.02  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.41    10.97     8.37     2.20     6.02    28.59    11.39P    2.04R    0.10  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      66.91    10.68     4.65     1.46     4.36    24.38     8.28P    2.79R    0.17  
Bradford        15   22   +6      75.23    10.58    23.46     6.76    16.13    53.68    26.66P    0.42R    0.03  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      72.56    10.61    16.50     4.34    10.80    42.22    19.64P    0.71R    0.03  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.00    10.97    -2.75     0.78     2.45    16.25     5.11P    5.73R    0.40  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.01    10.95    10.22     1.71     4.59    24.79     9.60P    2.80R    0.23  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.45    10.90     4.98     0.98     2.92    18.11     5.89P    4.72R    0.40  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.54    10.28     1.96     0.32     1.14    10.69     3.75P    6.62R    0.43  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      61.15    10.48     3.86     0.34     1.22    10.96     3.96P    7.25R    0.51  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      59.17    10.80    -3.60     0.21     0.83     8.57     2.52P   11.44R    1.02  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.26    10.21    -8.73     0.07     0.24     3.44     0.98P   17.89R    1.72  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      55.22    10.42   -15.36     0.10     0.31     4.11     0.99P   19.55R    2.32  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.31    10.02   -22.62     0.03     0.09     1.32     0.33P   34.69R    4.86  
Brentford       15   17   -4      52.22     9.95   -14.26     0.03     0.11     1.74     0.41P   26.91R    3.10  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      47.99     9.78   -20.31     0.01     0.05     0.76     0.20P   43.52R    7.41  
Millwall        15   15   -9      42.06     9.23   -31.27     0.01     0.01     0.12     0.03P   68.78R   20.00  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      44.39     9.96   -29.54     0.01     0.01     0.35     0.07P   58.95R   15.82  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.65     9.10   -46.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   82.56R   41.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     102.75     8.80    62.05    57.91    92.58    99.83    95.39P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      97.09     9.09    61.80    27.86    82.03    99.19    87.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      86.90     9.99    31.06     5.96    40.74    91.09    55.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.03    10.45    31.72     4.90    38.16    88.11    52.60P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.81    10.37    24.11     1.87    19.38    77.05    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.73    10.23     1.79     0.10     2.49    32.02     6.99P    0.08R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.48    10.36    -2.87     0.03     1.19    21.70     4.75P    0.24R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.43    10.60    35.37     1.20    17.80    73.61    34.84P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.88    10.53    12.07     0.10     2.69    34.84     9.46P    0.11R    0.03  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.10    10.45    -4.53     0.01     0.46    10.80     2.42P    1.15R    0.20  
Chester          15   20   +0      61.06    10.73    -1.82     0.03     0.67    13.09     3.46P    0.98R    0.17  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.57     9.95    -9.37     0.01     0.19     6.39     1.32P    1.57R    0.34  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.87    10.57    -4.88     0.01     0.53    10.89     2.48P    1.09R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.03    10.05   -18.45     0.00     0.04     2.54     0.53P    5.67R    1.41  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.45    10.22    -2.46     0.01     0.36    10.71     2.52P    0.93R    0.18  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.05    10.15   -15.12     0.00     0.04     3.10     0.69P    4.64R    1.08  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.87    10.49    -8.32     0.00     0.16     6.61     1.36P    2.31R    0.44  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      60.49    10.58     0.06     0.01     0.36    12.13     3.00P    0.96R    0.16  
Torquay          15   17   -4      54.49    10.24   -10.78     0.01     0.11     4.08     1.07P    3.74R    0.81  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.90    10.37   -34.49     0.01     0.02     1.11     0.20P   17.08R    5.72  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.14     9.00   -46.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    43.24R   17.00  
Barnet           15   12   -9      46.65     9.94   -25.58     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.14P   15.77R    5.05  
Boston           15   12  -10      43.78     9.74   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   23.07R    8.85  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.36     9.07   -45.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.34R   58.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.48     8.03    66.93    82.08    99.88    90.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.24     8.79    54.34    15.37    97.11    43.85P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      82.17     9.69    20.51     1.30    68.19    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.86     9.74    16.38     0.31    39.59     7.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.33     9.83    11.07     0.15    29.60     6.38P    0.17R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.23     9.76    -5.33     0.03    10.61     1.50P    1.06R    0.10  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.50     9.69    14.24     0.10    24.38     5.26P    0.20R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.13     9.71     5.11     0.06    19.00     3.14P    0.38R    0.02  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.07     9.47    35.10     0.51    55.41    15.29P    0.03R    0.01  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.03     9.71    11.35     0.04    19.66     3.58P    0.26R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      68.89     9.68    11.47     0.07    19.30     4.36P    0.48R    0.03  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.13     9.50   -17.57     0.00     1.56     0.20P    7.87R    1.36  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.57     9.95     1.67     0.00     8.49     1.49P    1.73R    0.26  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.76     9.61   -16.80     0.00     2.00     0.25P    7.66R    1.50  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.80     9.17   -22.47     0.00     0.40     0.06P   19.16R    3.83  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.45     9.54   -12.47     0.00     1.28     0.16P   10.67R    2.23  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.18     9.80    -8.06     0.00     2.13     0.32P    7.90R    1.47  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.55     9.49   -16.59     0.00     0.60     0.10P   17.54R    3.97  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.45     9.20   -15.81     0.00     0.26     0.05P   22.72R    5.88  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.19     8.83   -34.47     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.13R   17.24  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.79     9.24   -18.69     0.00     0.27     0.04P   25.30R    7.32  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      46.04     9.04   -23.19     0.00     0.09     0.01P   36.23R   11.94  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.65     9.56   -27.20     0.00     0.13     0.02P   35.02R   12.11  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.41     9.01   -29.51     0.00     0.03     0.00    60.45R   30.71