Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 October 2006 at 20:31:46 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.69     9.16    52.20    37.91    63.67    89.50    97.60     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.40     9.63    37.90    21.02    43.28    79.61    94.27     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      70.32    10.15    22.54     5.66    15.69    48.67    77.65     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      79.99    10.23    49.97    27.82    53.36    82.25    94.11     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      69.63    10.14    30.47     5.61    15.12    47.81    76.95     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      58.37    10.56    11.51     0.77     2.88    13.68    35.33     0.42R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      60.74    10.86    15.15     0.73     3.42    18.05    44.65     0.23R    0.00  
Fulham           9   13   -3      50.76    11.37    -8.87     0.15     0.73     4.65    15.88     3.75R    0.42  
Reading          9   13   -3      48.85    10.61   -10.36     0.01     0.17     2.50    10.83     4.25R    0.42  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.65    10.88    -7.98     0.06     0.32     2.60    10.22     5.50R    0.69  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      47.89    11.07    -6.09     0.04     0.33     2.60    10.30     5.76R    0.70  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      47.28    11.06   -11.07     0.02     0.18     1.94     8.62     7.46R    0.98  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      42.08    10.30   -15.70     0.01     0.03     0.70     3.09    13.66R    2.01  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      37.59     9.99   -23.95     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.20    26.23R    4.78  
Wigan            8    8   +0      50.83    11.32     2.33     0.19     0.79     4.86    15.90     3.97R    0.61  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      37.56    10.00   -20.42     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.17    26.36R    5.69  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      27.06     8.35   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    69.15R   30.89  
Watford          9    5   -6      38.21    10.26   -15.78     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.39    23.21R    5.06  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      26.33     9.03   -41.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    71.44R   36.47  
Charlton         9    4   -9      34.28    10.32   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.72    38.57R   11.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 October 2006, Coventry vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15     100.18    10.03    60.55    61.45    83.08    98.44    88.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.50    11.21    27.26     7.05    22.93    74.56    36.56P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.72    10.72    48.87    22.78    54.90    92.14    67.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      75.32    11.59    21.02     2.31     8.68    49.02    19.09P    0.21R    0.01  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.81    11.80    16.39     1.42     6.38    43.63    14.35P    0.22R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.54    10.83    -5.86     0.10     0.67    12.72     3.32P    1.60R    0.08  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      74.46    11.45    18.48     1.50     6.92    46.46    16.43P    0.24R    0.01  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.29    11.20     5.70     0.40     2.23    24.81     7.43P    0.68R    0.02  
Southampton      13   19   +3      76.29    11.50    22.83     2.06     8.73    52.61    20.29P    0.12R    0.01  
Coventry         13   19   +1      63.24    11.07     0.81     0.08     0.58    13.15     3.66P    1.89R    0.13  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.25    11.47    -4.72     0.12     0.65    11.19     2.71P    3.31R    0.36  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.29    11.37    -2.33     0.12     0.75    14.13     3.13P    2.54R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.80    11.40    -1.66     0.03     0.65    13.06     3.44P    2.54R    0.18  
Colchester       13   17   +2      65.22    11.26     6.54     0.31     1.27    17.96     5.15P    1.28R    0.14  
Leicester        13   17   -1      57.96    11.00    -5.86     0.04     0.29     6.00     1.66P    4.92R    0.46  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      59.03    11.64   -10.77     0.05     0.30     8.16     1.70P    5.83R    0.81  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      57.29    11.17   -10.03     0.04     0.23     5.63     1.15P    6.71R    0.84  
Stoke            13   15   +2      62.63    11.24     6.40     0.12     0.65    12.46     3.81P    2.46R    0.23  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.34    10.79   -22.89     0.01     0.04     1.09     0.27P   23.79R    4.42  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      43.14     9.98   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   40.84R    9.71  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      52.59    11.23   -20.63     0.01     0.07     2.28     0.38P   15.02R    2.60  
Southend         13   10  -11      40.33    10.24   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   53.80R   18.36  
Leeds            13   10  -15      35.44    10.09   -53.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.00R   38.29  
Hull             13    9   -9      38.53    10.15   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   60.01R   23.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.74    10.11    30.77    43.63    62.70    90.78    70.45P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.50    10.62    17.28     7.22    16.66    52.52    26.41P    0.24R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      75.94    10.52    16.78     7.08    16.84    54.06    25.70P    0.26R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.22    10.08    31.22    16.43    34.16    74.38    46.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.91    10.58    10.47     3.04     8.09    35.51    14.04P    1.11R    0.04  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      73.29    10.46    16.52     4.43    11.09    45.55    18.45P    0.77R    0.03  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.06    10.88     7.77     1.93     5.47    27.23    10.56P    2.18R    0.06  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.10    10.90     5.03     1.92     4.99    24.36     9.04P    2.77R    0.15  
Bradford        15   22   +6      74.90    10.62    22.92     6.01    15.26    52.05    25.45P    0.45R    0.04  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      72.30    10.53    16.14     3.85    10.05    41.20    18.93P    0.82R    0.03  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.56    10.87    -1.88     1.02     2.92    17.47     5.66P    4.79R    0.25  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.03    10.93    10.32     1.34     4.49    25.34     9.59P    2.94R    0.17  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.63    10.89     5.32     0.96     3.04    18.95     6.29P    4.49R    0.26  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.43    10.32     1.70     0.29     1.17    10.34     3.61P    6.74R    0.55  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      60.76    10.38     3.33     0.34     1.23    10.27     3.69P    7.25R    0.48  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      58.97    10.66    -3.88     0.28     0.95     7.88     2.22P   11.09R    1.08  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.64    10.45    -8.31     0.09     0.39     4.41     1.36P   17.76R    1.84  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      54.73    10.30   -16.38     0.07     0.28     3.48     0.83P   20.70R    2.26  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.25    10.05   -22.67     0.01     0.07     1.33     0.23P   35.34R    5.62  
Brentford       15   17   -4      51.79     9.98   -14.92     0.04     0.14     1.71     0.54P   28.04R    3.70  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      48.17     9.94   -20.02     0.03     0.03     0.81     0.17P   42.63R    7.16  
Millwall        15   15   -9      42.10     9.09   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   68.37R   19.92  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      44.23     9.73   -29.74     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   58.66R   15.91  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.74     9.13   -46.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    82.54R   40.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     103.16     8.65    62.72    59.47    93.46    99.84    95.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      96.93     9.08    61.20    26.63    81.67    99.06    86.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      87.20     9.96    31.33     6.03    40.76    91.58    55.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.47    10.37    32.54     4.88    39.49    89.49    53.59P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.42    10.10    23.53     1.43    17.50    76.46    32.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.32    10.29     0.91     0.12     2.56    30.82     7.33P    0.12R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.88    10.57    -2.24     0.04     1.63    23.59     5.54P    0.28R    0.05  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.47    10.73    35.39     1.31    18.17    73.92    34.81P    0.02R    0.01  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.02    10.55    10.65     0.06     2.28    32.00     8.54P    0.19R    0.04  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.28    10.30    -4.17     0.01     0.53    11.10     2.59P    1.10R    0.23  
Chester          15   20   +0      61.25    10.48    -1.45     0.00     0.40    13.33     3.19P    0.94R    0.23  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.92    10.02    -8.80     0.01     0.28     7.49     1.54P    1.43R    0.18  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.29    10.51    -5.81     0.01     0.34     9.92     2.25P    1.45R    0.29  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.35    10.11   -17.80     0.01     0.07     2.98     0.54P    5.41R    1.03  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.06    10.29    -3.08     0.00     0.28    10.78     2.38P    1.02R    0.18  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.12    10.11   -14.99     0.00     0.04     2.88     0.57P    4.91R    1.13  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.75    10.57    -8.50     0.00     0.16     6.66     1.44P    2.64R    0.63  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      60.31    10.74    -0.19     0.01     0.28    12.23     2.92P    1.23R    0.24  
Torquay          15   17   -4      54.28    10.22   -11.20     0.00     0.09     3.94     0.88P    3.90R    0.89  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.52    10.43   -34.83     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.12P   18.48R    6.66  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.60     9.00   -45.81     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   41.45R   15.79  
Barnet           15   12   -9      47.00     9.96   -24.89     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.12P   15.19R    4.47  
Boston           15   12  -10      43.89     9.50   -29.01     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   23.07R    8.43  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.33     9.13   -45.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.17R   59.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     106.92     8.21    66.13    80.34    99.89    88.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.08     8.95    54.15    16.93    96.57    44.85P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      82.06     9.54    20.29     1.35    67.53    16.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.97     9.55    16.57     0.36    39.54     7.65P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.51     9.95    11.30     0.15    30.52     7.01P    0.09R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.80     9.59    -4.41     0.03    11.06     1.64P    0.77R    0.09  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.63     9.76    14.41     0.06    24.96     5.23P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.52     9.94     5.82     0.07    20.48     3.64P    0.36R    0.03  
Grays              17   25  +13      77.97     9.52    34.87     0.57    54.98    14.72P    0.03R    0.01  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      68.56     9.52    10.61     0.06    17.86     3.15P    0.36R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.40     9.58    12.31     0.06    20.07     4.30P    0.33R    0.03  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.01     9.37   -17.70     0.00     1.54     0.18P    7.99R    1.25  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.41     9.94     1.42     0.01     8.23     1.45P    1.86R    0.24  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.31     9.59   -17.54     0.00     1.74     0.21P    7.81R    1.42  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.82     9.34   -22.53     0.00     0.48     0.04P   19.27R    4.67  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.48     9.49   -12.25     0.00     1.30     0.15P   10.70R    2.15  
Halifax            17   19   -4      56.41     9.70    -7.64     0.00     2.03     0.36P    7.38R    1.21  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.29     9.51   -17.01     0.00     0.44     0.07P   18.05R    4.29  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.73     9.37   -15.20     0.00     0.27     0.07P   21.98R    6.30  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.16     8.76   -34.55     0.00     0.03     0.00    45.49R   16.71  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.90     9.39   -18.59     0.00     0.19     0.02P   25.29R    7.35  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.63     9.02   -23.83     0.00     0.07     0.00    37.58R   12.31  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.64     9.49   -27.22     0.00     0.15     0.03P   34.42R   11.68  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.47     8.84   -29.39     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.04R   30.22