Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 October 2006 at 20:31:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.42     8.92    51.75    35.77    62.20    89.77    97.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.66     9.51    38.53    21.36    43.72    79.94    94.75     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      69.73    10.34    21.73     5.70    14.63    46.10    76.19     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      80.19    10.32    50.21    29.11    54.47    82.97    94.07     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      70.75    10.13    32.64     6.43    17.41    52.20    79.97     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      58.41    10.61    11.50     0.57     2.30    13.55    36.18     0.40R    0.04  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      61.02    10.31    15.42     0.79     3.19    17.18    45.10     0.17R    0.01  
Fulham           9   13   -3      51.05    11.07    -8.48     0.07     0.51     4.07    15.51     3.48R    0.47  
Reading          9   13   -3      48.56    10.94   -11.06     0.03     0.23     2.81    10.96     5.03R    0.60  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.08    10.58    -8.79     0.03     0.23     1.95     8.88     5.53R    0.66  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      46.94    11.11    -7.73     0.05     0.29     1.94     8.87     7.33R    0.86  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      46.91    11.02   -11.87     0.03     0.24     1.91     8.39     7.67R    1.06  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      41.78    10.08   -16.15     0.01     0.03     0.36     2.60    14.03R    2.04  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      37.84    10.28   -23.67     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.61    26.75R    4.75  
Wigan            8    8   +0      50.92    11.09     2.67     0.06     0.52     4.62    15.78     3.77R    0.52  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      37.72     9.67   -20.34     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.96    24.93R    5.41  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      26.98     8.47   -34.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    69.64R   32.58  
Watford          9    5   -6      37.67    10.36   -16.56     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.32    25.79R    6.18  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      27.15     9.27   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    68.17R   33.55  
Charlton         9    4   -9      34.86    10.68   -25.30     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.91    37.31R   11.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, West_Bromwich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15     100.09     9.90    60.23    61.30    83.22    98.44    88.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.54    11.11    27.44     6.75    22.20    74.58    36.22P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.68    10.52    48.83    22.21    54.34    92.38    66.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      75.24    11.42    20.78     2.25     7.90    48.73    18.11P    0.14R    0.00  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.69    11.74    16.27     1.46     6.45    42.66    14.04P    0.23R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.30    10.80    -6.05     0.09     0.64    11.66     2.95P    1.43R    0.09  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      75.13    11.42    19.64     1.92     7.94    47.58    17.46P    0.17R    0.01  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.73    11.20     6.53     0.51     2.40    25.75     7.62P    0.59R    0.02  
Southampton      13   19   +3      75.75    11.24    22.11     1.98     7.62    50.51    18.89P    0.12R    0.01  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.33    11.51    -4.60     0.21     0.77    10.66     2.64P    3.48R    0.38  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.27    11.03    -2.31     0.12     0.84    12.79     3.02P    1.83R    0.13  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.32    11.37    -2.38     0.14     0.70    11.91     3.19P    2.65R    0.18  
Colchester       12   17   +3      68.54    11.97    10.65     0.66     2.79    26.84     8.78P    0.98R    0.11  
Leicester        13   17   -1      57.98    11.20    -5.74     0.04     0.20     6.12     1.54P    5.38R    0.48  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      58.86    11.54   -11.18     0.06     0.40     7.62     1.58P    5.87R    0.81  
Coventry         12   16   +0      61.07    12.00    -0.78     0.14     0.76    11.57     3.65P    4.03R    0.35  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      56.84    10.98   -10.92     0.02     0.17     5.00     1.08P    6.51R    0.73  
Stoke            13   15   +2      61.90    11.13     5.25     0.13     0.60    11.20     3.47P    2.48R    0.26  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.57    10.85   -22.44     0.01     0.03     1.12     0.17P   23.07R    4.55  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      43.47    10.13   -27.47     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   39.47R    9.21  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      51.86    11.44   -22.09     0.01     0.04     2.33     0.46P   16.95R    3.39  
Southend         13   10  -11      40.03    10.19   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   54.55R   19.91  
Leeds            13   10  -15      34.60     9.52   -54.60     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    75.62R   40.45  
Hull             13    9   -9      39.65    10.09   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   54.45R   18.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.50    10.36    30.46    42.87    62.09    89.79    69.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.64    10.62    17.39     7.33    17.04    53.38    26.57P    0.34R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      75.53    10.59    16.18     6.97    16.30    52.48    24.88P    0.30R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.51    10.17    31.51    17.92    35.48    75.38    47.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.70    10.49    10.10     2.65     7.32    35.13    13.61P    0.93R    0.03  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      73.14    10.59    16.36     4.61    12.00    45.08    18.94P    0.78R    0.03  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.11    10.63     7.89     1.74     4.97    27.00    10.12P    1.84R    0.08  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.48    10.78     5.67     1.89     5.10    25.25     9.23P    2.22R    0.06  
Bradford        15   22   +6      74.94    10.52    22.93     6.08    15.62    52.16    25.95P    0.45R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      72.33    10.42    16.15     3.53     9.56    41.45    18.61P    0.76R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.27    10.82    -2.24     0.74     2.55    16.77     4.98P    5.01R    0.28  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.75    10.88    11.35     1.60     5.18    26.82    11.07P    2.60R    0.18  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.14    10.97     4.47     0.94     2.73    18.05     5.79P    4.75R    0.43  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.39    10.30     1.63     0.39     1.26    10.31     3.74P    6.74R    0.53  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      60.79    10.28     3.38     0.34     1.21    10.08     3.35P    7.25R    0.48  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      58.96    10.87    -4.05     0.26     0.83     8.61     2.54P   12.02R    0.91  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.25    10.33    -8.86     0.04     0.27     3.71     1.08P   18.52R    2.04  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      54.94    10.59   -15.92     0.08     0.25     4.08     0.92P   20.86R    2.42  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.41    10.03   -22.29     0.02     0.10     1.50     0.38P   34.45R    4.97  
Brentford       15   17   -4      52.26     9.92   -14.20     0.01     0.10     1.88     0.48P   26.36R    3.10  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      47.80     9.74   -20.54     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.18P   43.78R    7.75  
Millwall        15   15   -9      42.26     9.19   -31.02     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.01P   67.81R   19.61  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      44.40     9.64   -29.61     0.01     0.01     0.27     0.06P   59.00R   14.31  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.49     9.09   -46.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    83.18R   42.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     103.47     8.57    63.06    61.62    93.82    99.84    96.22P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      96.79     9.16    61.15    25.10    81.19    99.02    86.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      87.07    10.03    31.25     6.08    41.12    91.08    56.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      85.89    10.37    31.74     4.28    37.52    88.57    51.74P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.79    10.13    23.92     1.47    18.94    77.91    34.34P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.11    10.58     0.62     0.12     2.68    31.05     7.24P    0.14R    0.03  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.79    10.39    -2.46     0.04     1.47    22.68     5.19P    0.29R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.09    10.80    34.88     1.14    17.50    72.69    33.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.69    10.46    11.75     0.10     2.68    34.48     9.04P    0.17R    0.04  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.19    10.66    -4.36     0.02     0.50    12.09     2.89P    1.13R    0.18  
Chester          15   20   +0      61.18    10.74    -1.56     0.01     0.76    13.70     3.66P    0.88R    0.15  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.20    10.00    -9.84     0.01     0.24     6.34     1.37P    1.82R    0.34  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.19    10.40    -6.03     0.01     0.28     9.80     2.15P    1.28R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.39    10.03   -17.79     0.00     0.03     2.40     0.46P    5.41R    1.16  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.37    10.30    -2.64     0.01     0.45    10.94     2.48P    1.06R    0.23  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.26     9.96   -14.86     0.00     0.04     2.88     0.51P    4.41R    1.06  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.65    10.48    -8.53     0.01     0.24     6.55     1.52P    2.56R    0.49  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      60.47    10.80     0.12     0.01     0.47    12.45     3.24P    1.30R    0.29  
Torquay          15   17   -4      53.93    10.11   -11.60     0.00     0.05     3.29     0.71P    4.76R    1.04  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.86    10.39   -34.21     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.14P   17.42R    6.21  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.54     9.08   -45.99     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   42.97R   16.21  
Barnet           15   12   -9      47.39     9.93   -24.40     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.14P   14.54R    4.28  
Boston           15   12  -10      44.00     9.71   -28.88     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   22.34R    8.80  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.41     9.14   -45.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.50R   59.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.15     8.14    66.56    82.38    99.86    90.32P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      94.70     8.94    53.64    15.21    96.11    42.52P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      82.00     9.71    20.21     1.23    66.43    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.19     9.82    16.87     0.31    41.20     8.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.56     9.84    11.43     0.15    29.89     6.51P    0.10R    0.00  
York               17   28   -1      65.77     9.76    -4.43     0.03    10.91     1.51P    0.94R    0.10  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.37     9.65    14.10     0.09    23.55     5.13P    0.22R    0.02  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.23     9.78     5.32     0.04    19.37     3.29P    0.39R    0.05  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.25     9.48    35.34     0.45    56.07    15.39P    0.03R    0.01  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      68.98     9.78    11.24     0.05    19.56     3.79P    0.39R    0.05  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.57     9.62    12.52     0.07    20.77     4.25P    0.22R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      55.60     9.39   -18.29     0.00     1.39     0.15P    8.60R    1.43  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.35     9.94     1.23     0.00     8.17     1.30P    1.74R    0.16  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.47     9.56   -17.21     0.01     1.77     0.25P    8.09R    1.38  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.88     9.32   -22.32     0.00     0.55     0.06P   19.00R    4.57  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.20     9.43   -12.77     0.00     1.07     0.15P   11.26R    2.38  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.85     9.87    -8.66     0.00     1.91     0.36P    8.49R    1.68  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.79     9.42   -16.30     0.00     0.49     0.06P   16.71R    3.44  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.52     9.28   -15.65     0.00     0.30     0.07P   22.20R    5.99  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.25     8.87   -34.46     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.09R   17.24  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.61     9.39   -19.11     0.00     0.23     0.02P   25.95R    7.62  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.62     9.15   -23.73     0.00     0.12     0.03P   38.02R   13.29  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.18     9.63   -26.29     0.00     0.21     0.03P   33.28R   10.90  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.68     8.95   -29.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.25R   29.68