Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 October 2006 at 21:27:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Tottenham vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U     9   22  +14      82.59     9.18    51.85    37.02    62.98    88.92    97.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.67     9.38    38.38    21.43    43.53    79.90    94.71     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           9   20   +6      70.34    10.15    22.37     5.47    15.38    48.45    78.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          8   17  +11      80.08    10.05    49.83    28.06    53.15    82.25    94.42     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      70.25    10.35    31.64     5.96    16.91    50.38    77.96     0.04R    0.01  
Everton          9   16   +7      59.27    10.70    12.91     0.89     3.25    15.49    38.42     0.40R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      60.61    10.35    14.85     0.71     2.73    16.18    43.45     0.20R    0.00  
Fulham           9   13   -3      50.90    11.28    -8.70     0.08     0.40     4.21    15.80     3.77R    0.46  
Reading          9   13   -3      47.98    10.53   -12.25     0.04     0.17     2.04     9.10     5.01R    0.52  
Blackburn        9   12   -2      48.55    10.74    -8.11     0.11     0.36     2.29     9.57     5.12R    0.66  
Liverpool        9   11   -2      47.58    11.16    -6.78     0.05     0.28     2.57     9.73     6.13R    0.69  
Middlesbrough    9   11   -4      47.39    10.83   -10.87     0.04     0.20     2.02     8.74     6.50R    0.86  
Tottenham        9   11   -4      41.81    10.05   -16.09     0.00     0.04     0.47     2.59    13.69R    1.89  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      37.62    10.12   -23.69     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.20    26.72R    5.47  
Wigan            8    8   +0      50.57    11.10     2.12     0.14     0.59     4.13    14.95     3.60R    0.50  
Newcastle        9    7   -6      37.95     9.65   -20.12     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.00    23.94R    4.62  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      26.95     8.11   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    70.27R   31.28  
Watford          9    5   -6      37.89    10.36   -16.25     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.61    24.73R    5.22  
West_Ham         9    5   -7      26.57     8.99   -40.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    70.59R   35.09  
Charlton         9    4   -9      34.31    10.77   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.01    39.29R   12.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, West_Bromwich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15      99.92    10.03    59.97    60.70    82.17    98.43    87.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.41    11.04    27.18     6.53    21.79    74.08    35.86P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    13   25  +13      91.81    10.60    48.81    22.98    55.12    92.00    67.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      75.57    11.48    21.50     2.56     9.21    49.95    19.77P    0.15R    0.01  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.99    11.86    16.81     1.73     6.86    43.93    14.30P    0.27R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    13   22   -3      63.50    10.98    -5.77     0.17     0.70    12.40     3.10P    1.53R    0.06  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      75.37    11.43    20.06     2.12     8.14    48.38    17.82P    0.14R    0.02  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      68.50    11.00     6.14     0.37     2.04    24.59     7.03P    0.62R    0.01  
Southampton      13   19   +3      75.61    11.24    21.66     1.57     7.21    49.55    18.31P    0.12R    0.01  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.55    11.31    -4.25     0.14     0.64    10.63     2.52P    3.00R    0.35  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.91    11.14    -1.02     0.14     0.97    14.55     3.37P    1.76R    0.15  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      62.16    11.30    -2.47     0.06     0.60    11.51     2.83P    2.60R    0.20  
Colchester       12   17   +3      68.27    11.78    10.38     0.56     2.38    26.11     8.22P    0.89R    0.10  
Leicester        13   17   -1      57.99    11.15    -5.87     0.04     0.20     5.75     1.49P    5.47R    0.45  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      58.49    11.46   -11.71     0.06     0.33     7.10     1.47P    6.01R    0.71  
Coventry         12   16   +0      60.19    12.03    -2.06     0.12     0.69     9.93     3.06P    4.63R    0.44  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      56.78    11.11   -11.19     0.04     0.25     5.20     1.15P    6.89R    0.77  
Stoke            13   15   +2      62.52    11.33     6.22     0.11     0.61    12.43     4.00P    2.41R    0.35  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.59    11.10   -22.45     0.01     0.04     1.28     0.26P   23.40R    4.38  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      44.12    10.02   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   36.61R    7.84  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      52.01    11.03   -21.54     0.01     0.03     1.76     0.34P   15.61R    3.02  
Southend         13   10  -11      39.42    10.26   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   56.74R   21.17  
Leeds            13   10  -15      34.36     9.60   -55.48     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01P   75.89R   41.26  
Hull             13    9   -9      39.53     9.95   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   55.23R   18.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 October 2006, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      89.11    10.15    31.38    44.73    63.94    91.16    71.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.53    10.65    17.39     7.22    16.59    52.63    25.64P    0.26R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      76.16    10.59    16.99     7.44    17.60    55.49    26.86P    0.33R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.19     9.99    30.86    15.96    33.70    75.56    46.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Swansea         15   24   +3      70.45    10.47     9.71     2.62     7.33    33.93    13.28P    1.09R    0.04  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      72.80    10.62    15.68     4.20    11.06    43.74    18.33P    0.69R    0.01  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      68.01    10.63     7.77     1.81     5.03    26.77    10.20P    1.96R    0.04  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.37    10.70     5.49     1.65     4.75    25.09     8.94P    2.38R    0.12  
Bradford        15   22   +6      74.74    10.72    22.63     6.05    15.36    51.95    25.65P    0.39R    0.01  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      72.28    10.53    16.16     3.84     9.95    41.15    18.77P    0.76R    0.01  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.45    10.73    -2.06     0.72     2.42    16.81     5.08P    5.00R    0.26  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.29    11.04    10.64     1.68     5.17    26.04    10.62P    2.92R    0.19  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.00    10.79     4.21     0.86     2.84    17.02     5.62P    4.81R    0.34  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.50    10.25     1.72     0.30     1.10    10.64     3.38P    6.47R    0.48  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      61.56    10.36     4.46     0.38     1.27    11.45     3.94P    6.47R    0.38  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      59.16    10.90    -3.51     0.29     1.02     8.60     2.48P   11.74R    1.01  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.02    10.29    -8.96     0.10     0.30     3.54     0.94P   18.89R    1.99  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      54.79    10.38   -16.20     0.10     0.32     3.70     0.82P   20.60R    2.19  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.37    10.06   -22.56     0.03     0.12     1.42     0.39P   34.77R    5.07  
Brentford       15   17   -4      52.69    10.13   -13.57     0.01     0.10     2.22     0.54P   25.50R    2.88  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      48.47     9.89   -19.56     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.14P   40.94R    7.12  
Millwall        15   15   -9      42.27     9.20   -30.90     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   67.93R   18.70  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      43.35     9.46   -31.26     0.01     0.01     0.19     0.04P   62.88R   17.50  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.53     9.00   -46.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    83.17R   41.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     103.06     8.68    62.27    58.38    92.93    99.81    95.52P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      97.39     9.15    62.45    27.77    82.16    99.24    87.20P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      87.12    10.19    31.38     6.16    41.01    90.94    55.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.30    10.18    32.17     4.75    38.37    89.51    52.97P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.78    10.21    23.89     1.55    18.85    77.38    34.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.35    10.33     1.13     0.09     2.53    31.02     7.26P    0.06R    0.01  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.82    10.45    -2.39     0.03     1.60    22.74     5.46P    0.20R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.43    10.48    35.25     1.18    17.26    73.91    34.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.89    10.61    12.14     0.07     2.79    34.98     9.63P    0.14R    0.02  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.55    10.52    -3.83     0.01     0.47    12.04     2.67P    1.02R    0.15  
Chester          15   20   +0      60.26    10.53    -2.78     0.00     0.42    10.95     2.71P    0.89R    0.14  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.56     9.90    -9.22     0.00     0.13     6.47     1.22P    1.56R    0.26  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      59.31    10.42    -5.91     0.01     0.34    10.01     2.12P    1.12R    0.18  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      51.83     9.99   -18.67     0.00     0.04     2.33     0.43P    6.06R    1.41  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.28    10.45    -2.85     0.01     0.44    11.24     2.67P    1.12R    0.24  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.12    10.01   -15.05     0.00     0.01     2.76     0.44P    4.68R    1.19  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.64    10.45    -8.74     0.01     0.21     6.62     1.36P    2.33R    0.41  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      60.79    10.63     0.53     0.01     0.33    12.34     3.00P    1.10R    0.23  
Torquay          15   17   -4      53.75    10.02   -11.79     0.00     0.08     3.36     0.72P    4.23R    0.84  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.48    10.48   -34.94     0.00     0.02     0.98     0.10P   18.64R    6.32  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.19     9.20   -46.71     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   44.28R   17.34  
Barnet           15   12   -9      47.37     9.93   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.17P   13.63R    3.93  
Boston           15   12  -10      44.39     9.67   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   21.44R    7.83  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.14     9.06   -45.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.50R   59.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.14     8.00    66.34    82.28    99.89    90.18P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      94.74     8.89    53.77    15.12    96.28    42.52P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.29     9.86    19.21     1.11    64.54    15.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      74.96     9.72    16.69     0.44    39.53     7.97P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.90     9.75    11.84     0.17    31.23     6.81P    0.09R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.78     9.72    -4.40     0.02    11.31     1.66P    0.83R    0.06  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.78     9.46    14.54     0.09    24.43     5.45P    0.10R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.45     9.89     5.80     0.06    19.91     3.50P    0.33R    0.01  
Grays              17   25  +13      78.75     9.48    36.18     0.56    57.06    16.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.06     9.58    11.28     0.06    19.10     3.53P    0.34R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.37     9.54    12.29     0.10    19.98     3.98P    0.29R    0.03  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.13     9.45   -17.46     0.00     1.81     0.18P    7.64R    1.12  
Crawley            17   22   -1      63.50    10.00     1.46     0.01     8.56     1.49P    1.92R    0.23  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.52     9.69   -17.33     0.00     1.90     0.23P    7.96R    1.40  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      50.78     9.29   -22.40     0.00     0.47     0.09P   19.18R    4.65  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      53.89     9.44   -13.43     0.00     0.98     0.10P   11.55R    2.19  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.74     9.84    -8.71     0.00     1.56     0.27P    8.70R    1.72  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      51.79     9.50   -16.23     0.00     0.63     0.08P   16.87R    3.73  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.39     9.33   -15.73     0.00     0.24     0.03P   22.95R    5.86  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.27     8.82   -34.41     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.59R   16.51  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      48.64     9.43   -19.13     0.00     0.22     0.03P   25.71R    7.41  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.86     9.19   -23.35     0.00     0.13     0.01P   36.91R   12.09  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      46.74     9.52   -27.04     0.00     0.17     0.03P   34.19R   11.18  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.33     9.23   -29.79     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.78R   31.77