Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 October 2006 at 00:51:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aston_Villa vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +10      78.94     9.66    39.15    28.98    54.49    83.19    94.33     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U     8   19  +12      81.81     9.91    52.51    44.10    67.89    88.39    95.82     0.01R    0.01  
Bolton           8   17   +5      65.60    10.95    17.26     3.79    11.69    35.77    60.33     0.04R    0.01  
Portsmouth       9   16   +8      70.26    10.03    31.84     7.37    21.20    55.10    78.30     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          9   16   +7      59.59    10.63    14.10     1.34     4.75    19.04    40.17     0.32R    0.05  
Aston_Villa      9   15   +5      59.84    10.96    13.83     1.16     4.33    19.50    41.62     0.28R    0.03  
Arsenal          7   14   +7      71.27    11.93    31.81    11.74    28.26    58.17    77.39     0.09R    0.01  
Reading          8   13   +1      56.21    11.55     4.89     0.65     2.70    12.74    29.08     1.44R    0.10  
Fulham           9   13   -3      49.54    11.18   -10.72     0.12     0.67     4.25    13.18     4.75R    0.55  
Blackburn        8   12   -1      52.10    11.58    -2.53     0.33     1.49     7.46    18.81     3.19R    0.41  
Liverpool        8   11   +0      48.36    11.25    -6.49     0.07     0.51     3.54    11.34     6.16R    0.98  
Manchester_C     9    9   -7      38.27    10.39   -22.59     0.02     0.07     0.34     1.62    25.32R    5.21  
Wigan            8    8   +0      52.75    11.53     6.67     0.26     1.40     7.92    20.95     3.08R    0.44  
Middlesbrough    8    8   -5      46.38    12.12   -12.11     0.04     0.39     2.97     9.71    11.07R    2.23  
Tottenham        8    8   -5      40.52    11.06   -16.94     0.01     0.11     0.78     3.17    19.68R    4.33  
Newcastle        8    7   -5      39.66    10.66   -19.10     0.01     0.04     0.63     2.56    21.07R    4.91  
Sheffield_U      9    6   -8      28.22     8.48   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    63.53R   26.83  
Watford          9    5   -6      35.68    10.22   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.89    32.44R    8.55  
West_Ham         8    5   -6      28.74     9.66   -39.19     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18    60.95R   28.35  
Charlton         9    4   -9      32.34    10.46   -29.51     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.48    46.57R   17.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Norwich vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          13   29  +15      99.96     9.86    60.07    65.56    84.30    98.55    88.90P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          13   26   +8      83.23    11.02    26.89     7.50    24.44    73.57    37.10P    0.03R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    12   22  +10      86.93    11.70    39.81    15.15    39.62    82.00    52.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          13   22   +8      76.16    11.39    22.45     3.01    11.11    50.62    21.70P    0.09R    0.00  
Luton            13   22   +5      73.87    11.75    16.55     1.55     7.64    42.80    14.48P    0.30R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    12   22   +0      68.26    11.65     1.91     0.68     3.00    23.80     7.98P    0.73R    0.04  
Plymouth         13   21   +5      75.72    11.63    20.69     2.62    10.33    49.00    19.87P    0.15R    0.00  
Birmingham       13   21   +2      67.86    11.19     5.28     0.43     2.42    23.66     7.08P    0.66R    0.06  
Southampton      13   19   +3      75.81    11.02    22.13     1.83     8.24    50.00    18.98P    0.10R    0.00  
Derby            13   18   +0      61.98    11.66    -3.37     0.22     1.04    11.82     3.31P    3.06R    0.28  
Norwich          13   18   -1      63.51    11.21    -1.56     0.14     1.11    13.74     3.58P    2.00R    0.17  
Crystal_Palace   13   18   -1      61.54    11.20    -3.39     0.08     0.57    10.12     2.58P    2.94R    0.26  
Colchester       12   17   +3      68.83    11.84    11.36     0.79     3.33    27.07     9.30P    0.81R    0.06  
Leicester        13   17   -1      56.75    11.08    -7.32     0.03     0.31     4.89     1.40P    6.39R    0.60  
Ipswich          13   17   -2      58.45    11.44   -11.93     0.09     0.41     6.88     1.41P    5.89R    0.61  
Coventry         12   16   +0      60.39    11.81    -1.66     0.10     0.84     9.97     3.19P    4.05R    0.45  
Sunderland       13   16   -2      56.37    11.05   -11.51     0.04     0.21     4.55     1.07P    7.03R    0.74  
Stoke            13   15   +2      62.72    11.46     6.53     0.15     0.91    12.92     4.54P    2.41R    0.15  
Queens_PR        13   13   -4      48.86    10.86   -21.59     0.01     0.04     1.03     0.24P   21.42R    3.77  
Sheffield_W      13   13   -6      43.63     9.96   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   37.99R    8.07  
Barnsley         13   12   -9      53.18    11.41   -19.03     0.01     0.10     2.59     0.56P   13.85R    2.46  
Southend         13   10  -11      39.15    10.30   -39.23     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   57.59R   21.08  
Leeds            13   10  -15      34.59     9.62   -55.20     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.01P   74.51R   39.67  
Hull             13    9   -9      38.79    10.21   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   57.99R   21.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Crewe vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      15   31   +8      88.81    10.21    30.78    44.18    63.59    90.95    71.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          15   26   +6      75.98    10.88    17.97     8.51    18.79    54.88    28.16P    0.33R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   26   +5      75.52    10.59    16.21     6.75    16.40    53.91    25.38P    0.35R    0.01  
Scunthorpe      15   25  +10      81.12    10.12    31.05    16.61    33.96    74.72    46.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield    15   23   +3      72.97    10.50    15.93     4.32    11.73    44.50    18.89P    0.78R    0.01  
Carlisle        15   23   +3      69.12    10.73     9.27     2.04     6.33    31.07    12.29P    1.60R    0.03  
Rotherham       15   23   +2      67.28    10.78     5.32     1.88     4.96    25.68     9.27P    2.76R    0.14  
Bradford        15   22   +6      74.20    10.56    21.76     5.66    14.31    49.99    24.06P    0.57R    0.02  
Tranmere        15   22   +4      71.84    10.68    15.55     3.66    10.09    40.53    18.46P    0.95R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   22   -2      64.03    10.94    -2.66     0.73     2.45    17.02     5.26P    5.91R    0.45  
Swansea         14   21   +1      67.81    10.97     6.23     1.96     5.28    26.77     9.80P    2.64R    0.13  
Oldham          15   20   +3      67.31    10.76    10.69     1.41     4.38    26.23    10.12P    2.62R    0.10  
Crewe           15   20   +2      64.13    11.00     4.42     1.01     2.94    18.61     6.04P    5.18R    0.47  
Doncaster       15   19   +0      61.37    10.39     1.73     0.33     1.24    10.61     3.71P    7.29R    0.72  
Blackpool       15   18   +2      61.37    10.43     4.16     0.34     1.39    11.53     3.93P    7.04R    0.49  
Chesterfield    15   18   -1      59.59    11.00    -2.78     0.40     1.18     9.92     2.91P   11.46R    1.07  
Northampton     15   18   -3      55.75    10.34    -8.07     0.11     0.40     4.33     1.26P   17.20R    1.92  
Gillingham      15   18   -5      54.41    10.44   -16.82     0.09     0.29     3.55     0.95P   22.54R    2.89  
Brighton        15   18   -6      50.48    10.12   -22.24     0.01     0.10     1.67     0.41P   35.91R    5.43  
Brentford       15   17   -4      51.78    10.19   -14.95     0.01     0.17     1.99     0.60P   30.18R    4.01  
Bournemouth     15   16   -5      48.33     9.71   -19.60     0.01     0.03     0.69     0.18P   41.93R    7.14  
Millwall        14   15   -7      44.59     9.81   -27.44     0.01     0.01     0.48     0.13P   58.51R   14.47  
Cheltenham      15   15  -10      44.24     9.83   -29.79     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.05P   60.41R   16.51  
Leyton_Orient   15   13  -12      37.49     9.04   -46.72     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   83.78R   43.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          15   34  +20     102.50     8.65    61.45    56.44    92.39    99.81    95.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        15   32  +19      97.35     9.19    62.52    29.12    82.22    99.06    87.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     15   31  +11      87.34     9.89    31.67     6.33    41.47    91.79    56.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          15   29   +9      86.51    10.24    32.46     5.00    39.60    89.42    54.55P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     15   27   +6      80.77    10.22    23.90     1.48    18.68    77.41    33.71P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    15   26   +2      68.02    10.28     0.49     0.12     2.21    30.21     6.64P    0.10R    0.02  
Peterborough     15   24   -1      65.72    10.54    -2.62     0.06     1.40    23.06     5.18P    0.21R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       14   20   +9      79.37    10.55    35.31     1.31    17.21    73.45    34.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington       15   20   +2      68.81    10.70    12.04     0.09     2.40    35.31     9.45P    0.21R    0.04  
Darlington       15   20   +0      60.05    10.30    -4.58     0.01     0.42    10.69     2.36P    1.02R    0.19  
Chester          15   20   +0      60.99    10.41    -1.90     0.02     0.41    12.65     3.13P    0.80R    0.12  
Hereford         15   20   -1      57.09    10.01   -10.01     0.00     0.10     6.47     1.26P    1.94R    0.36  
Hartlepool       15   19   -2      60.01    10.42    -4.64     0.00     0.42    10.67     2.21P    1.08R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers   15   19   -5      52.88    10.08   -17.34     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.42P    4.86R    1.03  
Mansfield        15   18   -2      60.18    10.40    -2.96     0.01     0.34    10.82     2.56P    1.17R    0.27  
Stockport        15   18   -4      53.06     9.86   -14.89     0.00     0.03     2.67     0.54P    4.37R    1.07  
Bury             14   17   -2      56.55    10.52    -8.79     0.01     0.15     6.23     1.28P    2.65R    0.58  
Rochdale         15   17   -2      60.29    10.78    -0.32     0.01     0.42    12.09     2.79P    1.20R    0.27  
Torquay          15   17   -4      54.50     9.96   -10.76     0.01     0.10     3.39     0.65P    3.71R    0.72  
Wrexham          13   15   -8      46.62    10.42   -34.93     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.16P   17.73R    6.42  
Grimsby          15   15  -12      39.32     8.80   -46.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.41R   15.92  
Barnet           15   12   -9      47.04     9.96   -24.93     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.14P   14.98R    4.32  
Boston           15   12  -10      43.76     9.76   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   23.43R    8.90  
Macclesfield     15    5  -16      30.23     8.90   -45.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.11R   59.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 October 2006, Aldershot vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   41  +24     107.06     8.22    66.36    80.60    99.88    89.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          17   36  +21      95.36     9.05    54.71    17.02    96.66    45.34P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           17   34   +8      81.41     9.61    19.36     1.13    64.86    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          17   29   +7      75.29     9.71    17.09     0.27    41.94     8.18P    0.02R    0.01  
Burton             17   28   +4      72.36     9.80    11.07     0.13    30.07     6.49P    0.08R    0.01  
York               17   28   -1      65.52     9.62    -4.88     0.03    10.78     1.42P    0.88R    0.11  
Exeter             17   26   +7      70.27     9.69    13.79     0.04    23.71     5.21P    0.20R    0.01  
Morecambe          17   26   +0      69.09     9.93     5.21     0.07    19.32     3.17P    0.49R    0.05  
Grays              17   25  +13      77.90     9.61    34.68     0.52    54.66    15.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot          17   25   +5      69.13     9.82    11.51     0.13    20.24     3.78P    0.30R    0.03  
Woking             17   25   +5      69.65     9.51    12.59     0.05    21.00     4.25P    0.20R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   17   23   -8      56.53     9.26   -16.92     0.00     1.61     0.21P    6.91R    1.09  
Crawley            17   22   -1      62.76    10.07     0.31     0.01     7.88     1.38P    2.32R    0.34  
Northwich          17   22   -8      56.31     9.65   -17.63     0.00     1.94     0.20P    8.48R    1.52  
Altrincham         17   20   -8      51.05     9.26   -22.06     0.00     0.43     0.09P   19.04R    4.45  
Stevenage          17   19   -2      54.88     9.56   -11.63     0.00     1.51     0.23P    9.97R    2.12  
Halifax            17   19   -4      55.74     9.99    -8.84     0.01     2.06     0.29P    9.06R    1.85  
Kidderminster      17   19   -7      50.98     9.23   -17.10     0.00     0.43     0.07P   18.41R    4.16  
Rushden_&_D        17   17   -4      49.54     9.16   -15.61     0.00     0.23     0.04P   22.29R    5.95  
Tamworth           17   17  -12      44.30     8.86   -34.33     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.55R   16.75  
Forest_Green       17   16   -8      49.07     9.57   -18.38     0.00     0.35     0.04P   24.82R    7.50  
Cambridge_U        17   16   -9      45.83     9.03   -23.64     0.00     0.16     0.03P   37.12R   12.16  
St_Albans          17   15  -11      47.13     9.55   -26.42     0.00     0.17     0.01P   33.14R   10.88  
Southport          17   12  -11      40.43     9.04   -29.25     0.00     0.03     0.00    60.69R   31.00