Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 May 2006 at 22:53:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 May 2006, Manchester_C vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         37   91  +51      92.92     1.24    51.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    37   80  +34      82.41     1.05    35.75     0.00    84.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   79  +30      81.03     1.21    30.90     0.00    15.04   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   65  +16      66.45     1.31    16.11     0.00     0.00    50.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   64  +35      66.33     1.09    36.51     0.00     0.00    49.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   60   +7      61.84     1.28     7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   55   +4      55.81     1.12     3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   53   +7      55.11     1.18     8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   52   -4      53.29     1.29    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   51   -5      51.48     0.92    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   49  -15      50.79     1.25   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        37   47  -10      47.43     0.89   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   45   -9      46.06     1.27    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   45  -11      46.72     1.32   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    37   43   -3      43.90     1.18    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   39  -14      41.18     1.17   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      37   38  -23      38.71     1.05   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   34  -21      34.65     1.01   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   37   29  -27      29.91     1.14   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      37   15  -42      15.61     1.01   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2006, Watford vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46  106  +67     106.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      46   90  +30      90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   81  +24      81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   75  +19      75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   62   -9      62.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            46   61   -1      61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   60   -1      60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   58   -1      58.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            46   58   -9      58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -13      56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   52   -6      52.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   50  -14      50.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   42  -29      42.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Millwall         46   40  -27      40.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Brighton         46   38  -32      38.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        45   79  +28      81.04     1.24    29.04    83.88   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   78  +18      79.51     1.29    18.20    16.12    88.50   100.00    91.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +20      76.44     1.30    20.12     0.00    11.50   100.00    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   72  +13      73.59     1.32    13.31     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   69  +17      70.69     1.29    17.44     0.00     0.00    89.42    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         45   68  +19      69.45     1.34    19.12     0.00     0.00    67.91    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      45   68  +15      69.28     1.28    14.89     0.00     0.00    38.59     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   66   +2      67.15     1.23     1.74     0.00     0.00     4.08     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   65   +5      65.75     1.12     3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   64   -2      65.72     1.33    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   60   +2      61.44     1.29     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   59   -5      60.06     1.27    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   59   -5      60.25     1.25    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   59  -14      60.02     1.22   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    45   56   -6      57.32     1.33    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   55   -8      56.20     1.26    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   54   +0      55.54     1.28     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   54   -4      55.28     1.28    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   52   -8      53.71     1.29    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   51  -10      52.80     1.29    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   49  -15      50.44     1.27   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R    1.29  
Milton_Keynes   45   49  -21      49.95     1.20   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.50R    5.00  
Swindon_Town    45   47  -19      48.17     1.28   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.48  
Walsall         45   47  -22      48.03     1.21   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 May 2006, Rochdale vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         45   85  +42      87.06     1.24    43.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   82  +26      83.26     1.25    25.89     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   78  +15      79.54     1.28    15.24     0.00    68.43   100.00    77.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +20      78.43     1.27    20.11     0.00    31.57   100.00    53.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   69   +7      70.27     1.30     6.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   68  +14      69.16     1.27    13.69     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   65  +12      66.90     1.29    12.81     0.00     0.00    93.17    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62  +10      63.57     1.31    10.31     0.00     0.00     6.69     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   62   +6      63.58     1.31     6.31     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60   -7      61.72     1.32    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boston           45   60  -10      61.17     1.27   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +7      59.15     1.26     6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   58   -1      59.20     1.26    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   55   -3      55.88     1.20    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   54   -2      55.48     1.32    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   54   -5      55.52     1.30    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   52  -12      53.14     1.23   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   51  -12      52.05     1.26   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -13      52.56     1.31   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Barnet           45   51  -14      52.33     1.28   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   51  -15      52.55     1.28   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.00  
Stockport        45   51  -21      51.74     1.13   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.13R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   49  -13      50.16     1.24   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.22R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D      45   45  -31      46.37     1.29   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, York vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      42   91  +31      91.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        42   80  +26      80.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           42   76  +39      76.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    28.49P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         42   75  +15      75.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       42   74  +27      74.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    23.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   69  +16      69.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          42   63  +17      63.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York            42   63  +15      63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          42   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       42   58   +4      58.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          42   56  +11      56.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     42   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       42   54  -13      54.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   42   51  -11      51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   42   50  -16      50.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       42   49  -12      49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         42   47   -7      47.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      42   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       42   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green    42   38  -13      38.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth        42   38  -31      38.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scarborough     42   37  -26      37.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00