Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 4 May 2006 at 23:08:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 4 May 2006, Manchester_C vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         37   91  +51      92.93     1.23    51.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    37   80  +34      82.39     1.06    35.71     0.00    84.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   79  +30      81.02     1.21    30.90     0.00    15.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   65  +16      66.46     1.31    16.12     0.00     0.00    50.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   64  +35      66.32     1.10    36.49     0.00     0.00    49.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   60   +7      61.86     1.27     7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   55   +4      55.80     1.10     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   53   +7      55.12     1.17     8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   52   -4      53.28     1.29    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   51   -5      51.49     0.93    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   49  -15      50.81     1.25   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        37   47  -10      47.45     0.90   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   45   -9      46.04     1.27    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   45  -11      46.74     1.33   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    37   43   -3      43.88     1.17    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   39  -14      41.16     1.17   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      37   38  -23      38.72     1.06   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   34  -21      34.64     1.01   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   37   29  -27      29.89     1.14   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      37   15  -42      15.62     1.02   -43.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2006, Watford vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46  106  +67     106.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      46   90  +30      90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   81  +24      81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   75  +19      75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   62   -9      62.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            46   61   -1      61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   60   -1      60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   58   -1      58.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            46   58   -9      58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -13      56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   52   -6      52.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   50  -14      50.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   42  -29      42.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Millwall         46   40  -27      40.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Brighton         46   38  -32      38.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        45   79  +28      81.03     1.25    29.02    83.58   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   78  +18      79.52     1.29    18.22    16.43    88.42   100.00    91.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +20      76.44     1.29    20.11     0.00    11.59   100.00    35.64P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   72  +13      73.59     1.32    13.32     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   69  +17      70.69     1.29    17.46     0.00     0.00    89.04    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         45   68  +19      69.46     1.34    19.12     0.00     0.00    68.52    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      45   68  +15      69.28     1.28    14.89     0.00     0.00    38.86     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   66   +2      67.12     1.22     1.72     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   65   +5      65.76     1.14     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   64   -2      65.72     1.32    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   60   +2      61.43     1.29     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   59   -5      60.05     1.27    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   59   -5      60.26     1.25    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   59  -14      60.02     1.23   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    45   56   -6      57.31     1.33    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   55   -8      56.19     1.25    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   54   +0      55.57     1.28     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   54   -4      55.27     1.27    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   52   -8      53.72     1.30    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   51  -10      52.77     1.29    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.72R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   49  -15      50.43     1.27   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.22R    1.24  
Milton_Keynes   45   49  -21      49.97     1.21   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.03R    5.17  
Swindon_Town    45   47  -19      48.16     1.28   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.66  
Walsall         45   47  -22      48.04     1.22   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 May 2006, Rochdale vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         45   85  +42      87.05     1.25    43.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   82  +26      83.28     1.25    25.91     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   78  +15      79.55     1.29    15.27     0.00    69.93   100.00    78.22P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +20      78.40     1.26    20.09     0.00    30.07   100.00    52.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   69   +7      70.25     1.30     6.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   68  +14      69.15     1.26    13.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   65  +12      66.88     1.29    12.80     0.00     0.00    92.74    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62  +10      63.59     1.31    10.32     0.00     0.00     7.12     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   62   +6      63.59     1.30     6.32     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60   -7      61.73     1.32    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boston           45   60  -10      61.13     1.27   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +7      59.14     1.26     6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   58   -1      59.18     1.26    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   55   -3      55.90     1.20    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   54   -2      55.49     1.32    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   54   -5      55.54     1.30    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   52  -12      53.17     1.24   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   51  -12      52.04     1.26   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -13      52.61     1.31   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.51R    0.00  
Barnet           45   51  -14      52.32     1.28   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.17R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   51  -15      52.52     1.28   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.14R    0.00  
Stockport        45   51  -21      51.76     1.14   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.09R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   49  -13      50.15     1.24   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.58R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D      45   45  -31      46.38     1.28   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, York vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      42   91  +31      91.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        42   80  +26      80.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           42   76  +39      76.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         42   75  +15      75.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       42   74  +27      74.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   69  +16      69.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          42   63  +17      63.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York            42   63  +15      63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          42   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       42   58   +4      58.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          42   56  +11      56.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     42   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       42   54  -13      54.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   42   51  -11      51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   42   50  -16      50.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       42   49  -12      49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         42   47   -7      47.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      42   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       42   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green    42   38  -13      38.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth        42   38  -31      38.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scarborough     42   37  -26      37.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00