Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 May 2006 at 22:54:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 May 2006, Sunderland vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         36   91  +52      94.91     1.76    53.63   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    37   80  +34      82.40     1.06    35.71     0.00    85.05   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   79  +30      81.03     1.21    30.90     0.00    14.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   65  +16      66.45     1.32    16.11     0.00     0.00    69.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   61  +33      65.04     1.70    34.98     0.00     0.00    30.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   57   +6      59.56     1.72     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.03     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   55   +4      55.77     1.08     3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   52   +7      56.18     1.71     9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   52   -4      53.29     1.30    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   51   -5      51.48     0.92    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   49  -15      50.78     1.26   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        37   47  -10      47.44     0.89   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   45  -10      48.58     1.87    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   44   -9      45.78     1.72   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    36   43   -1      44.99     1.72    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   39  -14      41.21     1.15   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      37   38  -23      38.71     1.06   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   34  -21      34.61     1.00   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   37   29  -27      29.93     1.15   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      36   12  -43      13.51     1.56   -44.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2006, Watford vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46  106  +67     106.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      46   90  +30      90.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   81  +24      81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   78  +19      78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   75  +19      75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   62   -9      62.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            46   61   -1      61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   60   -1      60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   58   -1      58.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            46   58   -9      58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -13      56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   54   -8      54.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   52   -6      52.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   50  -14      50.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   42  -29      42.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Millwall         46   40  -27      40.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Brighton         46   38  -32      38.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        45   79  +28      81.03     1.24    29.01    83.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   78  +18      79.51     1.29    18.21    16.05    88.50   100.00    91.67P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +20      76.46     1.29    20.14     0.00    11.49   100.00    34.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   72  +13      73.60     1.33    13.33     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.81P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   69  +17      70.70     1.29    17.46     0.00     0.00    89.41    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         45   68  +19      69.49     1.34    19.15     0.00     0.00    68.83    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      45   68  +15      69.27     1.27    14.89     0.00     0.00    37.93     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   66   +2      67.14     1.23     1.73     0.00     0.00     3.83     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   65   +5      65.76     1.13     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   64   -2      65.72     1.33    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   60   +2      61.44     1.29     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   59   -5      60.06     1.27    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   59   -5      60.26     1.25    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   59  -14      60.02     1.22   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    45   56   -6      57.29     1.32    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   55   -8      56.20     1.25    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   54   +0      55.55     1.28     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   54   -4      55.25     1.27    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   52   -8      53.72     1.29    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   51  -10      52.81     1.28    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   49  -15      50.43     1.27   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41R    1.04  
Milton_Keynes   45   49  -21      49.93     1.19   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.89R    5.29  
Swindon_Town    45   47  -19      48.16     1.29   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.57  
Walsall         45   47  -22      48.03     1.22   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 May 2006, Rochdale vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         45   85  +42      87.06     1.24    43.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   82  +26      83.25     1.25    25.88     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   78  +15      79.53     1.28    15.23     0.00    68.89   100.00    77.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +20      78.44     1.27    20.12     0.00    31.11   100.00    53.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   69   +7      70.28     1.30     6.86     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   68  +14      69.15     1.26    13.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   65  +12      66.90     1.29    12.82     0.00     0.00    93.15    21.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62  +10      63.59     1.31    10.32     0.00     0.00     6.71     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   62   +6      63.58     1.30     6.32     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60   -7      61.73     1.32    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boston           45   60  -10      61.14     1.26   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +7      59.14     1.25     6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   58   -1      59.18     1.26    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   55   -3      55.89     1.20    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   54   -2      55.46     1.32    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   54   -5      55.54     1.30    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   52  -12      53.18     1.24   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   51  -12      52.04     1.25   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -13      52.59     1.31   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Barnet           45   51  -14      52.30     1.27   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   51  -15      52.51     1.28   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.00  
Stockport        45   51  -21      51.75     1.14   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.56R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   49  -13      50.16     1.23   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D      45   45  -31      46.40     1.28   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, York vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      42   91  +31      91.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        42   80  +26      80.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           42   76  +39      76.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         42   75  +15      75.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00    17.81P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       42   74  +27      74.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    23.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   69  +16      69.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          42   63  +17      63.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York            42   63  +15      63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          42   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       42   58   +4      58.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          42   56  +11      56.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     42   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       42   54  -13      54.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   42   51  -11      51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   42   50  -16      50.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       42   49  -12      49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         42   47   -7      47.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      42   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       42   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green    42   38  -13      38.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth        42   38  -31      38.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scarborough     42   37  -26      37.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00