Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 April 2006 at 22:53:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         36   91  +52      94.84     1.76    53.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    36   79  +34      83.93     1.46    37.97     0.00    96.25   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   79  +30      81.01     1.21    30.88     0.00     3.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.16     1.87    15.60     0.00     0.00    56.15   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.30     2.05    33.26     0.00     0.00    43.66    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   57   +6      59.60     1.71     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.20    72.08     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   55   +4      55.80     1.11     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.26     2.11     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.96     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   51   -5      51.50     0.93    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   49   -5      51.83     1.87    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   49  -15      50.76     1.26   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        37   47  -10      47.42     0.88   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   45  -10      48.55     1.88    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    36   43   -1      45.01     1.73    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   43   -9      45.07     1.91   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   39  -14      41.17     1.17   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      37   38  -23      38.73     1.07   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   34  -21      34.60     0.99   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.16     1.74   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.09     1.84   -43.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.61     0.89    68.30   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.75     1.30    29.58     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.05     1.24    25.04     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.02     1.15    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.62     1.24    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.00     1.23    19.42     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.34     1.27     6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.35     1.27    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.20     1.30     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.23     1.29    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.56     1.33    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.12     1.22   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.64     1.28    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.37     1.29   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.07     1.21    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.52     1.32    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.56     1.27    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.74     1.12    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.71     1.28   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.27     0.72   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.00     1.20   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.03     1.22   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   16.97  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.70     1.29   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.52  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.35     1.29   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        45   79  +28      81.02     1.25    29.00    83.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   78  +18      79.50     1.29    18.19    16.20    88.37   100.00    91.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +20      76.45     1.30    20.13     0.00    11.63   100.00    35.64P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   72  +13      73.59     1.32    13.32     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   69  +17      70.68     1.29    17.43     0.00     0.00    89.12    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         45   68  +19      69.47     1.34    19.12     0.00     0.00    67.96    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      45   68  +15      69.29     1.27    14.92     0.00     0.00    39.06     9.54P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   66   +2      67.15     1.23     1.74     0.00     0.00     3.85     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   65   +5      65.77     1.14     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   64   -2      65.75     1.32    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   60   +2      61.42     1.29     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   59   -5      60.03     1.26    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   59   -5      60.26     1.25    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   59  -14      60.03     1.22   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    45   56   -6      57.31     1.33    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   55   -8      56.20     1.25    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   54   +0      55.54     1.28     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   54   -4      55.27     1.28    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   52   -8      53.70     1.29    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   51  -10      52.81     1.28    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.86R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   49  -15      50.43     1.27   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.55R    1.16  
Milton_Keynes   45   49  -21      49.94     1.19   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.58R    5.22  
Swindon_Town    45   47  -19      48.16     1.28   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.71  
Walsall         45   47  -22      48.04     1.22   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, Barnet vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         44   82  +40      85.85     1.83    41.77    92.77   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   82  +26      83.25     1.25    25.88     7.23   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   78  +15      79.54     1.28    15.26     0.00    69.33   100.00    77.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +20      78.43     1.27    20.12     0.00    30.66   100.00    52.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   69   +7      70.27     1.30     6.84     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          45   68  +14      69.15     1.27    13.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        45   65  +12      66.88     1.29    12.79     0.00     0.00    92.92    21.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62  +10      63.59     1.31    10.32     0.00     0.00     6.92     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       45   62   +6      63.58     1.30     6.32     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60   -7      61.72     1.32    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boston           45   60  -10      61.15     1.26   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +7      59.15     1.25     6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   58   -1      59.19     1.27    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   55   -1      56.88     1.74    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   54   -2      55.48     1.32    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   54   -5      55.53     1.30    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   52  -12      53.16     1.24   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Macclesfield     45   51  -12      52.05     1.26   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Torquay          45   51  -13      52.58     1.31   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.00  
Barnet           45   51  -14      52.31     1.28   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   51  -15      52.54     1.28   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.00R    0.00  
Stockport        45   51  -21      51.77     1.15   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.34R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   49  -13      50.16     1.24   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.56R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D      45   45  -31      46.40     1.29   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2006, York vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      42   91  +31      91.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        42   80  +26      80.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    28.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           42   76  +39      76.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         42   75  +15      75.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00    18.82P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       42   74  +27      74.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   69  +16      69.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          42   63  +17      63.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York            42   63  +15      63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          42   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       42   58   +4      58.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          42   56  +11      56.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     42   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       42   54  -13      54.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   42   51  -11      51.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   42   50  -16      50.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       42   49  -12      49.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         42   47   -7      47.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      42   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       42   40  -32      40.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green    42   38  -13      38.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth        42   38  -31      38.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scarborough     42   37  -26      37.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00