Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 April 2006 at 22:53:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 April 2006, West_Ham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.80     2.20    51.41    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.74     1.83    40.18     0.20    98.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   76  +28      80.36     1.62    30.31     0.00     1.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.19     1.86    15.64     0.00     0.00    58.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.18     2.07    33.09     0.00     0.00    41.23    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.82     2.18     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.10    41.06     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.36     1.71     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.12     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.22     2.12     9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.50     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   51   -4      53.56     1.57    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   49   -5      51.80     1.86    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.86     1.58    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.65     1.75   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    35   43   +0      46.95     2.19    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.98     2.35   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   42  -11      46.40     2.25   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   39  -12      41.64     1.46   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.44     1.53   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.89R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.76     1.60   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.59R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.19     1.75   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.13     1.86   -43.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.62     0.87    68.32   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.74     1.31    29.55     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.08     1.22    25.10     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.02     1.14    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.62     1.23    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.02     1.24    19.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.34     1.27     6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.36     1.27    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.18     1.29     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.23     1.29    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.57     1.32    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.13     1.21   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.64     1.28    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.36     1.29   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.07     1.22    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.51     1.32    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.55     1.27    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.71     1.10    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.70     1.28   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.26     0.70   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.01     1.20   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.04     1.23   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   16.82  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.69     1.30   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.00  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.35     1.29   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.33     1.81    28.90    88.58    98.39   100.00    98.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.46     1.80    17.04     7.25    55.01   100.00    66.76P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.57     1.77    21.22     4.16    39.49   100.00    56.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.62     1.83    15.36     0.01     7.11    99.81    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.50     1.80    18.06     0.00     0.00    82.50    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.88     1.89    19.18     0.00     0.00    58.45    14.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.17     1.80    15.62     0.00     0.00    53.12    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.78     1.70     4.99     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.85     1.84    -0.79     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.79     1.81     1.12     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.35     1.75     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.78     1.79   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.52     1.87    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.75     1.85    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.79     1.82    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.10     1.72    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.77     1.83    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.99     1.72   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.93     1.83    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.93R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.59     1.71    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.79R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.27     1.77   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.83R    0.58  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.11     1.66   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.86R    0.92  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.90     1.72   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   19.61  
Walsall         44   44  -23      46.02     1.72   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Torquay vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.29     2.13    44.60    99.11   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.27     1.75    25.80     0.90    98.14   100.00    98.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.05     1.83    20.48     0.00    69.53   100.00    79.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.15     1.83    14.59     0.00    32.34   100.00    50.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.89     1.83    15.25     0.00     0.00    99.69    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.15     1.83     5.57     0.00     0.00    98.22    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.16     1.83    11.68     0.00     0.00    55.55    13.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.68     1.80    10.96     0.00     0.00    35.98     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.85     1.85    -4.90     0.00     0.00     7.36     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.57     1.81     4.72     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.64     1.83    -0.13     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.05     1.78     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.01     1.82   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.26     1.71    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.78     1.86    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   52   -3      55.52     2.21    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.56     1.80   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.42     1.76   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.12     1.77   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.04R    0.27  
Barnet           44   50  -14      52.93     1.85   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.70  
Stockport        44   50  -21      51.87     1.72   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    0.67  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.02     1.69   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.71R    5.96  
Torquay          44   48  -14      50.03     1.61   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.00R    6.27  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.30     1.75   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.89R   86.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Grays vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.95     1.25    33.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.35     1.27    24.00     0.00   100.00    28.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           41   76  +40      77.69     1.33    40.50     0.00   100.00    29.41P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         41   75  +17      77.03     1.21    17.93     0.00   100.00    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.09     1.28    25.50     0.00    76.39    17.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.68     1.31    18.45     0.00    23.61     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.35     1.27    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          41   62  +17      64.25     1.14    18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          41   57   -3      58.30     1.28    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       41   55   +3      56.29     1.31     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.47     1.32    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          41   53   +9      55.16     1.18    10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.54     1.33   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       41   49  -11      50.42     1.30   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.72     1.07   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.80     1.13   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         41   46   -7      47.57     1.29    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.63     1.04   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       41   40  -31      41.22     1.30   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.03R    0.00  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.13     1.24   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R    4.57  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.56     0.99   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.16  
Forest_Green    41   35  -15      36.07     1.25   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.27