Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 April 2006 at 22:53:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 April 2006, West_Ham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.78     2.19    51.36    99.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.74     1.83    40.20     0.20    98.25   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   76  +28      80.35     1.61    30.30     0.00     1.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.17     1.86    15.61     0.00     0.00    57.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.22     2.06    33.14     0.00     0.00    42.30    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.85     2.18     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.08    41.52     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.38     1.72     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.66     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.24     2.10     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.53     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   51   -4      53.55     1.56    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   49   -5      51.85     1.87    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.85     1.58    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.64     1.75   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    35   43   +0      46.93     2.19    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.99     2.34   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   42  -11      46.36     2.25   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   39  -12      41.65     1.47   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.46     1.54   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.43R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.73     1.58   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.97R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.18     1.75   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.11     1.84   -43.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.61     0.89    68.29   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.76     1.30    29.58     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.07     1.22    25.09     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.03     1.15    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.62     1.24    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.00     1.23    19.42     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.33     1.27     6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.37     1.27    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.21     1.30     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.23     1.29    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.55     1.33    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.13     1.22   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.60     1.29    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.34     1.28   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.11     1.24    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.51     1.31    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.56     1.27    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.72     1.10    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.66     1.28   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.28     0.73   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.04     1.20   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.04     1.23   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.25  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.70     1.30   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.18  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.37     1.29   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.32     1.82    28.90    88.17    98.19   100.00    98.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.48     1.79    17.05     7.69    55.15   100.00    66.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.57     1.78    21.22     4.13    39.03   100.00    55.19P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.66     1.83    15.41     0.01     7.62    99.84    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.49     1.82    18.06     0.00     0.00    82.52    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.88     1.90    19.19     0.00     0.00    58.67    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.16     1.79    15.62     0.00     0.00    52.97    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.76     1.69     4.95     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.81     1.83    -0.85     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.82     1.81     1.16     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.33     1.73     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.76     1.80   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.50     1.85    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.75     1.84    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.86     1.82    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.12     1.73    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.80     1.83    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.96     1.71   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.00R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.93     1.82    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.53R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.60     1.70    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.60R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.23     1.76   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.20R    0.59  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.07     1.64   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R    0.86  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.91     1.73   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   19.52  
Walsall         44   44  -23      46.01     1.72   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.02  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Torquay vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.30     2.14    44.62    99.05   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.27     1.76    25.79     0.95    98.13   100.00    98.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.04     1.84    20.47     0.00    69.06   100.00    78.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.16     1.83    14.59     0.00    32.80   100.00    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.89     1.84    15.23     0.00     0.00    99.72    27.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.11     1.83     5.50     0.00     0.00    98.25    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.16     1.83    11.67     0.00     0.00    55.27    13.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.69     1.81    10.98     0.00     0.00    36.26     9.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.86     1.85    -4.88     0.00     0.00     7.23     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.59     1.80     4.75     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.62     1.83    -0.14     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.02     1.79     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.01     1.82   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.27     1.71    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.80     1.86    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   52   -3      55.53     2.23    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.56     1.80   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.45     1.76   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.14     1.79   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.26  
Barnet           44   50  -14      52.99     1.85   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34R    0.73  
Stockport        44   50  -21      51.84     1.70   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    0.69  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.02     1.70   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.38R    5.88  
Torquay          44   48  -14      50.01     1.61   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.44R    6.29  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.29     1.76   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   86.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Grays vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.96     1.24    33.85   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.33     1.27    23.98     0.00   100.00    28.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           41   76  +40      77.70     1.33    40.51     0.00   100.00    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         41   75  +17      77.03     1.21    17.94     0.00   100.00    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.09     1.28    25.49     0.00    76.79    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.67     1.31    18.43     0.00    23.21     4.24P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.36     1.27    17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          41   62  +17      64.25     1.14    18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          41   57   -3      58.30     1.28    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       41   55   +3      56.28     1.30     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.46     1.32    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          41   53   +9      55.15     1.18    10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.54     1.33   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       41   49  -11      50.42     1.29   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.72     1.07   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.80     1.12   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         41   46   -7      47.57     1.29    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.63     1.02   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       41   40  -31      41.22     1.30   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.01R    0.00  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.14     1.24   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.99R    4.87  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.55     0.98   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   38.80  
Forest_Green    41   35  -15      36.08     1.25   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.33