Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 April 2006 at 22:53:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 April 2006, West_Ham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.76     2.20    51.36    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.75     1.83    40.19     0.25    98.14   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   76  +28      80.32     1.62    30.25     0.00     1.85   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.21     1.86    15.67     0.00     0.00    58.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.21     2.06    33.14     0.00     0.00    41.74    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.88     2.19     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.09    42.33     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.40     1.73     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.19     2.12     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.98     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   51   -4      53.54     1.57    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   49   -5      51.81     1.86    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.83     1.58    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.67     1.75   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    35   43   +0      46.87     2.19    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.94     2.33   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   42  -11      46.47     2.24   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   39  -12      41.66     1.47   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.48     1.54   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.76     1.59   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.26R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.18     1.74   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.72R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.08     1.84   -43.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.62     0.88    68.30   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.77     1.30    29.60     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.07     1.23    25.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.02     1.14    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.63     1.23    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      75.99     1.22    19.40     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.34     1.27     6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.36     1.28    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.18     1.29     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.24     1.29    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.58     1.33    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.12     1.21   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.63     1.29    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.37     1.29   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.08     1.22    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.50     1.32    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.57     1.27    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.72     1.11    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.68     1.28   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.27     0.70   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.03     1.20   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.03     1.23   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.09  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.71     1.30   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.20  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.34     1.29   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.29     1.82    28.83    88.10    98.08   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.45     1.80    17.02     7.47    54.30   100.00    66.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.57     1.78    21.24     4.42    40.30   100.00    56.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.65     1.82    15.40     0.01     7.32    99.83    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.52     1.82    18.09     0.00     0.00    82.45    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.88     1.89    19.18     0.00     0.00    58.38    14.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.17     1.80    15.64     0.00     0.00    53.30    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.80     1.69     5.03     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.84     1.83    -0.81     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.80     1.81     1.14     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.32     1.75     1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.79     1.79   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.52     1.86    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.75     1.84    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.83     1.83    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.13     1.73    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.76     1.84    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.96     1.71   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.93R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.93     1.83    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.73R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.60     1.70    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.53R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.26     1.76   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.47R    0.53  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.08     1.66   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.00R    0.96  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.89     1.71   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   20.03  
Walsall         44   44  -23      45.99     1.73   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Torquay vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.34     2.12    44.69    99.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.24     1.75    25.74     0.81    98.11   100.00    98.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.07     1.84    20.51     0.00    69.64   100.00    79.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.15     1.84    14.59     0.00    32.26   100.00    51.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.90     1.83    15.23     0.00     0.00    99.69    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.07     1.82     5.46     0.00     0.00    98.22    19.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.17     1.83    11.70     0.00     0.00    55.78    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.69     1.81    10.97     0.00     0.00    35.73     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.84     1.86    -4.91     0.00     0.00     7.36     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.56     1.81     4.72     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.65     1.84    -0.11     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.05     1.79     7.44     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.03     1.82   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.27     1.71    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.83     1.84    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   52   -3      55.53     2.22    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.53     1.80   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.47     1.74   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.14     1.80   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82R    0.23  
Barnet           44   50  -14      52.97     1.85   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.83R    0.54  
Stockport        44   50  -21      51.81     1.69   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    0.69  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.00     1.69   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.23R    5.78  
Torquay          44   48  -14      50.00     1.60   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.17R    6.34  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.28     1.74   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.74R   86.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Grays vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.94     1.26    33.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.34     1.27    23.99     0.00   100.00    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           41   76  +40      77.70     1.33    40.51     0.00   100.00    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         41   75  +17      77.00     1.22    17.89     0.00   100.00    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.08     1.28    25.49     0.00    76.66    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.68     1.31    18.45     0.00    23.34     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.36     1.27    17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          41   62  +17      64.25     1.14    18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          41   57   -3      58.26     1.28    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       41   55   +3      56.26     1.30     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.49     1.32    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          41   53   +9      55.17     1.18    10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.53     1.33   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       41   49  -11      50.46     1.30   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.75     1.09   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.82     1.14   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         41   46   -7      47.59     1.28    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.62     1.03   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       41   40  -31      41.23     1.31   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.59R    0.00  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.11     1.23   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R    4.46  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.56     0.99   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.31  
Forest_Green    41   35  -15      36.07     1.25   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.23