Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 April 2006 at 22:53:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 April 2006, Fulham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.75     2.21    51.34    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.73     1.84    40.13     0.26    98.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.06     2.10    29.76     0.00     1.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.21     1.86    15.68     0.00     0.00    57.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.24     2.07    33.17     0.00     0.00    41.95    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.89     2.21     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.08    42.10     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.37     1.72     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.93     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.20     2.10     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.89     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   51   -4      53.55     1.55    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.78     2.21    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.86     1.58    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.67     1.74   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.98     2.35   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   42  -11      46.39     2.26   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.08     2.57    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.22     1.98   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.45     1.52   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.54R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.75     1.59   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.87R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.18     1.74   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.11     1.85   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.61     0.88    68.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.78     1.30    29.59     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.07     1.23    25.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.01     1.14    20.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.63     1.24    27.36     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      75.98     1.22    19.41     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.36     1.27     7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.34     1.27    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.18     1.29     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.24     1.28    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.58     1.33    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.12     1.22   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.61     1.29    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.36     1.29   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.10     1.23    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.50     1.31    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.56     1.27    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.73     1.11    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.69     1.28   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.27     0.71   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.03     1.21   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.03     1.23   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.19  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.71     1.30   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.80  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.35     1.29   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.32     1.81    28.86    88.48    98.20   100.00    98.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.48     1.80    17.04     7.57    55.40   100.00    67.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.57     1.77    21.22     3.94    39.09   100.00    54.98P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.63     1.84    15.40     0.01     7.30    99.83    27.70P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.49     1.81    18.06     0.00     0.00    82.74    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.88     1.89    19.20     0.00     0.00    58.33    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.16     1.80    15.62     0.00     0.00    52.84    12.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.78     1.70     5.01     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.87     1.83    -0.77     0.00     0.00     2.97     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.79     1.79     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.36     1.75     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.81     1.80   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.50     1.84    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.73     1.84    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.83     1.82    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.13     1.74    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.77     1.82    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.97     1.71   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.95     1.81    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.29R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.61     1.70    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.16R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.22     1.75   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.96R    0.53  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.09     1.67   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.94R    0.90  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.90     1.72   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   19.62  
Walsall         44   44  -23      45.99     1.72   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Torquay vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.35     2.13    44.66    99.11   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.19     1.76    25.71     0.89    98.14   100.00    98.75P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.10     1.84    20.52     0.00    69.31   100.00    79.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.18     1.84    14.63     0.00    32.55   100.00    51.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.92     1.84    15.28     0.00     0.00    99.72    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.11     1.83     5.50     0.00     0.00    98.22    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.16     1.84    11.68     0.00     0.00    55.80    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.67     1.81    10.94     0.00     0.00    35.87     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.83     1.85    -4.93     0.00     0.00     7.07     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.55     1.81     4.69     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.64     1.83    -0.13     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.04     1.80     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.04     1.82   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.30     1.71    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.82     1.86    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   52   -3      55.55     2.21    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.52     1.80   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.46     1.74   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.14     1.78   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.25  
Barnet           44   50  -14      52.97     1.84   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.06R    0.61  
Stockport        44   50  -21      51.82     1.70   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.15R    0.64  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.00     1.68   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.99R    5.82  
Torquay          44   48  -14      49.99     1.60   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.27R    6.67  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.29     1.76   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.69R   86.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2006, Grays vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.94     1.25    33.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.33     1.27    23.98     0.00   100.00    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           41   76  +40      77.70     1.34    40.50     0.00   100.00    29.80P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         41   75  +17      77.03     1.21    17.93     0.00   100.00    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.09     1.29    25.50     0.00    76.31    18.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.68     1.31    18.45     0.00    23.69     4.35P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.36     1.27    17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          41   62  +17      64.26     1.13    18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          41   57   -3      58.28     1.27    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       41   55   +3      56.26     1.30     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.49     1.32    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          41   53   +9      55.17     1.18    10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.51     1.33   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       41   49  -11      50.43     1.29   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.72     1.07   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.82     1.14   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         41   46   -7      47.57     1.29    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.62     1.03   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport       41   40  -31      41.26     1.31   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.00  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.14     1.24   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.05R    4.29  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.54     0.98   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.41  
Forest_Green    41   35  -15      36.06     1.25   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.30