Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 April 2006 at 22:53:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 April 2006, Fulham vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.80     2.19    51.40    99.77   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.73     1.83    40.16     0.23    98.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.10     2.10    29.81     0.00     1.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.19     1.86    15.66     0.00     0.00    57.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.23     2.06    33.14     0.00     0.00    42.44    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.85     2.20     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.09    41.47     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.34     1.71     3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.46     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.21     2.10     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.15     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   51   -4      53.56     1.56    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.78     2.23    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.88     1.58    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.70     1.75   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.92     2.34   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   42  -11      46.46     2.25   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.06     2.56    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.25     1.98   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.45     1.53   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.66R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.76     1.59   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.73R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.16     1.74   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.06     1.84   -43.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.62     0.88    68.31   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.73     1.30    29.55     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.05     1.24    25.04     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.03     1.14    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.61     1.23    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.02     1.23    19.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.34     1.27     6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.36     1.28    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.20     1.29     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.24     1.29    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.56     1.33    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.12     1.22   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.62     1.28    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.38     1.29   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.09     1.22    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.51     1.32    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.56     1.27    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.74     1.12    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.68     1.28   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.27     0.71   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.03     1.20   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.02     1.23   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   16.86  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.72     1.30   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.84  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.33     1.28   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   58.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.31     1.83    28.87    88.06    98.18   100.00    98.72P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.48     1.79    17.05     7.89    55.09   100.00    67.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.59     1.77    21.26     4.04    39.43   100.00    56.12P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.63     1.84    15.39     0.01     7.30    99.79    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.52     1.81    18.10     0.00     0.00    82.83    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.84     1.89    19.13     0.00     0.00    57.42    14.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.19     1.82    15.66     0.00     0.00    53.82    13.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.82     1.70     5.07     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.85     1.83    -0.79     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.77     1.81     1.11     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.31     1.73     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.76     1.80   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.55     1.85    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.76     1.84    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.79     1.83    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.09     1.71    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.77     1.82    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.96     1.71   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.94     1.82    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.54R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.59     1.70    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.25     1.75   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.36R    0.56  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.11     1.66   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R    0.94  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.90     1.72   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   19.80  
Walsall         44   44  -23      46.01     1.74   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.33     2.11    44.67    99.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.25     1.76    25.76     0.86    98.21   100.00    98.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.06     1.84    20.50     0.00    69.12   100.00    79.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.17     1.83    14.61     0.00    32.67   100.00    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.91     1.83    15.26     0.00     0.00    99.66    27.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.08     1.82     5.47     0.00     0.00    98.19    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.17     1.86    11.68     0.00     0.00    55.30    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.68     1.82    10.96     0.00     0.00    36.30     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.85     1.84    -4.90     0.00     0.00     7.01     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.57     1.81     4.72     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.62     1.84    -0.14     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.05     1.79     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.08     1.80   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.26     1.70    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.80     1.87    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   51   -3      56.37     2.61    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.58     1.81   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.45     1.75   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.13     1.79   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.07  
Stockport        43   50  -17      53.10     2.18   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.32R    0.28  
Barnet           43   49  -14      52.83     2.24   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.13R    0.73  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      49.99     1.68   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.30R    3.15  
Torquay          43   45  -18      48.50     2.10   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.06R   24.80  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.30     1.74   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.23R   70.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Accrington vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.93     1.25    33.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.33     1.26    23.99     0.00   100.00    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           40   75  +40      79.33     1.62    43.07     0.00   100.00    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         40   72  +15      75.97     1.75    16.73     0.00    99.27    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.07     1.28    25.44     0.00    76.22    17.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.67     1.31    18.45     0.00    24.51     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.36     1.27    17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          40   59  +13      63.06     1.75    14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          40   56   -3      58.77     1.86    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.49     1.32    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       40   54   +3      56.52     1.85     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.59     1.33   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          40   50   +8      54.12     1.73    10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       40   49   -9      51.21     1.71    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.74     1.09   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.82     1.14   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         40   46   -3      48.52     1.77    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.63     1.03   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Southport       40   39  -31      40.46     1.51   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.30R    0.24  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.09     1.23   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.52R    8.30  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.59     1.02   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.76R   54.39  
Forest_Green    40   35  -14      36.88     1.70   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.19R   37.07