Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 April 2006 at 22:53:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Bolton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.82     2.19    51.40    99.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.70     1.83    40.13     0.19    98.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.07     2.09    29.76     0.00     1.04   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.17     1.85    15.62     0.00     0.00    57.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.23     2.07    33.18     0.00     0.00    42.81    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.83     2.18     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.09    40.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.38     1.72     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.85     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.21     2.12     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.31     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.73     2.04    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.85     2.23    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.89     1.60    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.69     1.75   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.99     2.33   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.16     2.57    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.19     1.98   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      44.97     2.66   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.44     1.52   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.62R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.75     1.59   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.69R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.12     1.73   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.68R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.08     1.83   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.62     0.88    68.30   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.76     1.31    29.57     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.06     1.23    25.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.02     1.14    20.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.61     1.23    27.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.00     1.24    19.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.35     1.28     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.35     1.28    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.19     1.29     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.25     1.29    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.56     1.33    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.14     1.22   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.61     1.29    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.36     1.29   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.10     1.23    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.49     1.31    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.55     1.27    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.73     1.11    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.68     1.28   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.27     0.71   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.03     1.20   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.03     1.23   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.16  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.71     1.30   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.78  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.35     1.29   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.30     1.83    28.85    87.81    98.12   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.48     1.80    17.04     7.86    54.72   100.00    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.58     1.77    21.24     4.32    39.45   100.00    55.81P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.67     1.83    15.43     0.01     7.71    99.86    28.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.50     1.81    18.04     0.00     0.00    82.56    21.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.90     1.89    19.21     0.00     0.00    59.02    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.16     1.79    15.61     0.00     0.00    52.49    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.79     1.71     5.02     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.84     1.82    -0.79     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.80     1.79     1.14     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.34     1.74     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.78     1.79   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.50     1.85    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.71     1.85    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.79     1.82    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.14     1.74    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.80     1.83    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.96     1.70   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.22R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.93     1.82    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.57     1.72    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.16R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.27     1.75   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.87R    0.42  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.11     1.66   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.01R    0.85  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.88     1.70   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   20.11  
Walsall         44   44  -23      46.01     1.73   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.34     2.11    44.69    99.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.26     1.77    25.78     0.84    98.16   100.00    98.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.06     1.84    20.50     0.00    68.98   100.00    78.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.16     1.84    14.61     0.00    32.86   100.00    51.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.89     1.82    15.24     0.00     0.00    99.66    27.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.06     1.82     5.46     0.00     0.00    98.15    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.17     1.84    11.69     0.00     0.00    55.96    12.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.68     1.81    10.93     0.00     0.00    35.65     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.85     1.86    -4.90     0.00     0.00     7.29     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.60     1.81     4.75     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.61     1.83    -0.16     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.02     1.79     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.05     1.81   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.27     1.69    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.82     1.85    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   51   -3      56.35     2.60    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.59     1.81   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.44     1.75   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.13     1.79   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.09  
Stockport        43   50  -17      53.06     2.17   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.29  
Barnet           43   49  -14      52.89     2.24   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.38R    0.58  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.01     1.70   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.88R    3.27  
Torquay          43   45  -18      48.50     2.10   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.48R   24.90  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.32     1.76   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.03R   70.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Accrington vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.95     1.25    33.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.37     1.27    24.02     0.00   100.00    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           40   75  +40      79.37     1.61    43.11     0.00   100.00    30.88P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         40   72  +15      75.97     1.75    16.73     0.00    99.29    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.03     1.27    25.40     0.00    75.63    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.69     1.31    18.46     0.00    25.08     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.33     1.27    16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          40   59  +13      63.03     1.75    14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          40   56   -3      58.76     1.86    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.47     1.32    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       40   54   +3      56.53     1.85     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.56     1.34   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          40   50   +8      54.12     1.72    10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       40   49   -9      51.24     1.72    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.74     1.09   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.81     1.14   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         40   46   -3      48.53     1.76    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.62     1.02   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Southport       40   39  -31      40.50     1.52   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.68R    0.20  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.08     1.22   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R    8.57  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.61     1.03   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.03R   53.66  
Forest_Green    40   35  -14      36.87     1.69   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.27R   37.57