Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 April 2006 at 22:53:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Bolton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.78     2.21    51.34    99.79   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.72     1.83    40.13     0.21    98.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.06     2.09    29.76     0.00     1.02   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   62  +15      65.20     1.85    15.66     0.00     0.00    57.45   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   58  +30      64.23     2.06    33.16     0.00     0.00    42.47    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.87     2.18     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.07    41.42     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   54   +4      56.39     1.73     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.38     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   52   +8      57.17     2.11     9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.32     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.74     2.05    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.84     2.24    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        36   47   -8      48.86     1.59    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   46  -16      48.68     1.75   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      46.99     2.35   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.14     2.56    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.20     1.97   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      44.99     2.64   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   35  -24      36.43     1.52   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.57R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   33  -21      34.75     1.60   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.75R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   36   29  -26      31.14     1.73   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   12  -40      14.06     1.85   -43.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Leeds vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45  103  +66     105.63     0.87    68.32   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      45   87  +29      88.75     1.30    29.57     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   80  +24      82.06     1.23    25.07     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   78  +21      79.03     1.14    20.66     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   77  +27      78.61     1.23    27.34     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   75  +20      76.00     1.23    19.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   64   +7      65.36     1.27     7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          45   62   -8      63.34     1.27    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   60   +1      61.19     1.29     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            45   60   -1      61.25     1.30    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   60   -5      61.57     1.33    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56  -12      57.12     1.22   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   55   -3      56.62     1.28    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            45   55  -13      56.39     1.29   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   54   -6      55.09     1.22    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   53   -8      54.50     1.32    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   53   -8      54.57     1.27    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   51   -6      51.73     1.12    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   50  -12      51.69     1.28   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        45   50  -14      50.26     0.71   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      45   49  -15      50.02     1.21   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   40  -25      41.03     1.23   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   16.37  
Crewe            45   39  -31      40.70     1.30   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.41  
Brighton         45   38  -28      39.32     1.28   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   58.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        44   78  +28      81.32     1.82    28.88    88.10    98.11   100.00    98.79P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   75  +16      78.46     1.79    17.03     7.61    54.58   100.00    66.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   74  +20      77.59     1.77    21.26     4.29    39.85   100.00    56.16P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   72  +14      75.64     1.84    15.38     0.00     7.46    99.81    26.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   68  +17      71.51     1.81    18.08     0.00     0.00    83.11    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   67  +19      69.87     1.90    19.17     0.00     0.00    57.79    14.79P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      44   67  +15      70.17     1.80    15.64     0.00     0.00    53.27    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   64   +5      66.79     1.69     5.01     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   64   -1      66.85     1.81    -0.79     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       44   63   +1      65.81     1.81     1.15     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   59   +2      61.35     1.76     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   59  -13      61.77     1.77   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    44   56   -4      58.52     1.84    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   56   -6      58.72     1.86    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   56   -7      58.81     1.83    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   53   -4      55.09     1.74    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   52   -7      54.83     1.83    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.73R    0.00  
Yeovil          44   52   -9      53.98     1.72   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   51   -1      53.90     1.81    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.91R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   51   -8      53.58     1.72    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes   44   49  -20      51.28     1.76   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.50R    0.43  
Hartlepool      44   48  -15      50.09     1.66   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.99R    0.95  
Swindon_Town    44   46  -19      47.90     1.73   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   19.27  
Walsall         44   44  -23      45.97     1.72   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         43   82  +41      88.31     2.14    44.63    99.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   79  +25      82.25     1.75    25.76     0.94    98.23   100.00    98.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.07     1.85    20.51     0.00    69.73   100.00    79.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   75  +14      78.17     1.83    14.61     0.00    32.04   100.00    50.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          44   68  +15      70.92     1.84    15.27     0.00     0.00    99.68    27.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.10     1.82     5.50     0.00     0.00    98.20    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        44   62  +11      65.15     1.84    11.67     0.00     0.00    55.55    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   62  +11      64.67     1.82    10.95     0.00     0.00    36.03     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60   -5      62.83     1.85    -4.94     0.00     0.00     7.09     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       44   59   +5      61.56     1.81     4.70     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   58   +0      60.66     1.83    -0.10     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   57   +7      60.06     1.80     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           44   57  -12      60.07     1.82   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   54   -4      56.25     1.69    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   53   -2      55.79     1.87    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   51   -3      56.35     2.60    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury             44   51  -12      53.60     1.81   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   51  -13      53.42     1.75   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Macclesfield     44   50  -12      52.14     1.79   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.12  
Stockport        43   50  -17      53.08     2.18   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.22  
Barnet           43   49  -14      52.85     2.23   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.71  
Oxford_Utd       44   48  -13      50.00     1.69   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.61R    3.53  
Torquay          43   45  -18      48.53     2.10   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.10R   24.18  
Rushden_&_D      44   45  -29      47.32     1.76   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.72R   71.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2006, Accrington vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      41   91  +33      92.95     1.25    33.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        41   77  +24      78.31     1.26    23.95     0.00   100.00    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           40   75  +40      79.34     1.62    43.09     0.00   100.00    31.09P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         40   72  +15      75.95     1.75    16.70     0.00    99.28    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       41   71  +26      72.07     1.28    25.45     0.00    75.91    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   69  +18      70.67     1.31    18.45     0.00    24.82     4.41P    0.00     0.00  
York            41   63  +17      64.39     1.27    17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter          40   59  +13      63.05     1.75    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          40   56   -3      58.76     1.85    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     41   55   -5      56.48     1.32    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       40   54   +3      56.52     1.85     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       41   51  -14      52.58     1.32   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          40   50   +8      54.11     1.73    10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       40   49   -9      51.26     1.72    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   41   48  -13      48.74     1.09   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   41   47  -18      47.81     1.13   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         40   46   -3      48.51     1.75    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      41   41  -30      41.62     1.03   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Southport       40   39  -31      40.45     1.49   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.32R    0.23  
Tamworth        41   37  -31      38.09     1.22   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.81R    8.48  
Scarborough     41   36  -26      36.60     1.02   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.75R   53.98  
Forest_Green    40   35  -14      36.89     1.71   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.94R   37.31