Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 April 2006 at 22:53:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Birmingham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.87     2.18    51.50    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.69     1.86    40.01     0.17    98.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.06     2.11    29.75     0.00     1.02   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   61  +15      64.94     2.17    14.74     0.00     0.00    40.00    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.27     2.43    34.12     0.00     0.00    59.98    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.82     2.18     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.03    52.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   51   +1      55.36     2.08     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.63     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.73     2.04    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   49   +5      56.03     2.50     7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.81     2.23    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        35   47   -5      49.75     1.99    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   45  -16      49.41     2.19   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      47.04     2.39   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.11     2.58    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.20     1.99   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      44.97     2.66   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   32  -21      34.75     2.00   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.47R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   32  -25      35.40     1.97   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.80R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   35   29  -23      31.89     2.06   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.74R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   12  -39      14.84     2.16   -42.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Sheffield_U vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44  102  +66     106.86     1.42    69.56   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      44   86  +29      89.36     1.89    29.93     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   77  +23      80.79     1.82    24.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   76  +27      79.29     1.76    27.75     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   75  +20      78.34     1.60    21.16     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   72  +19      74.86     1.77    19.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   61   +6      64.38     1.78     6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +2      63.03     1.86     2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            44   59   -1      61.37     1.83    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   59   -9      61.30     1.77    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   57   -6      59.76     1.87    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   55   -2      57.52     1.73    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   55  -12      57.91     1.87   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   53   -7      55.99     1.82    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   53   -7      55.71     1.76    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   53  -14      55.64     1.81   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -7      53.64     1.77    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   50   -6      51.73     1.62    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   50  -10      52.88     1.83    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   50  -13      51.31     1.44   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   48  -15      49.57     1.54   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   39  -30      41.25     1.61   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   19.44  
Brighton         44   38  -27      40.06     1.68   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   28.68  
Millwall         44   37  -26      39.21     1.74   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Huddersfield vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        43   78  +29      83.45     2.21    31.04    98.41    99.92   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   72  +15      76.85     2.23    16.11     0.95    45.59    99.75    59.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +18      76.17     2.22    19.54     0.64    40.18    99.24    55.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   69  +12      74.17     2.28    13.59     0.00     9.62    93.36    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   67  +17      72.00     2.26    18.24     0.00     2.44    77.44    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      43   67  +16      71.78     2.24    16.97     0.00     1.79    72.89    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   66  +19      70.19     2.35    19.08     0.00     0.46    50.13    13.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   63   -1      67.26     2.29    -0.74     0.00     0.00     6.78     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   61   +2      64.73     2.12     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       43   60   +0      63.42     2.12    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   59  -12      62.80     2.20   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   56   +1      59.97     2.18     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    43   56   -3      60.54     2.27    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   56   -6      59.85     2.19    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   55   -6      58.89     2.28    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -3      56.40     2.14    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere        43   51   +2      55.73     2.28     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   51   -7      55.01     2.25    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   50   -8      54.27     2.19    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.01  
Yeovil          43   49  -10      52.63     2.16   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.60R    0.06  
Swindon_Town    43   46  -17      49.14     2.17   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.09R   11.62  
Milton_Keynes   43   46  -21      48.96     2.11   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.77R   18.95  
Hartlepool      43   45  -16      48.19     2.08   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.41R   20.21  
Walsall         43   44  -21      47.19     2.17   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.76R   49.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 April 2006, Grimsby vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         42   81  +41      89.25     2.50    45.56    99.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   76  +23      80.86     2.19    24.09     0.39    89.73   100.00    93.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   76  +20      79.07     1.84    20.51     0.04    69.44   100.00    78.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   74  +14      78.27     2.26    14.23     0.01    40.82   100.00    56.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   66   +5      69.11     1.84     5.52     0.00     0.00    96.55    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   65  +13      69.59     2.28    13.72     0.00     0.00    94.09    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   61  +11      65.71     2.29    11.97     0.00     0.00    58.08    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   59  +10      63.64     2.25    10.81     0.00     0.00    21.02     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   +6      63.47     2.24     6.48     0.00     0.00    15.01     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   58   +2      62.13     2.29     2.04     0.00     0.00     6.39     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +8      61.57     2.24     8.65     0.00     0.00     4.88     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   57   -7      61.47     2.28    -6.54     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           43   57  -10      61.19     2.23    -9.89     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   53   -4      57.00     2.16    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   52   -2      55.77     2.22    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   50   -3      56.64     2.94    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   50  -11      52.99     2.15   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.02  
Notts_County     43   50  -13      53.92     2.23   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd       43   48  -11      51.09     2.07   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.79R    1.04  
Bury             43   48  -13      51.39     2.14   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    1.08  
Barnet           42   48  -14      52.87     2.58   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.00R    1.34  
Stockport        42   47  -19      51.34     2.55   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.91R    5.76  
Rushden_&_D      43   45  -27      48.30     2.18   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.94R   32.90  
Torquay          42   42  -19      46.64     2.49   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.33R   57.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Scarborough vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      40   88  +32      92.35     1.62    34.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        40   76  +24      79.73     1.67    25.52     0.00   100.00    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           39   72  +38      78.59     2.03    42.65     0.00    99.81    29.39P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         39   71  +15      76.39     2.19    16.81     0.00    98.42    19.53P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       40   68  +23      71.07     1.79    23.37     0.00    56.26    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   68  +18      71.29     1.86    18.79     0.00    45.38     8.33P    0.00     0.00  
York            40   62  +17      64.45     1.81    16.61     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          39   58  +13      63.68     2.22    15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          39   53   -4      57.47     2.28    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     40   52   -6      54.98     1.87    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       39   51   +0      55.35     2.27     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       40   50  -14      52.83     1.89   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          39   49   +8      54.65     2.22    10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       39   49   -6      52.05     2.06    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   40   47  -13      48.85     1.66   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   40   47  -15      48.73     1.65   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         39   45   -3      48.73     2.18    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      40   41  -28      42.22     1.50   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.00  
Southport       39   38  -31      39.91     1.75   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.88R    6.38  
Tamworth        40   37  -30      38.46     1.47   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.89R   23.18  
Scarborough     40   36  -25      37.84     1.64   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R   36.83  
Forest_Green    39   35  -13      37.92     2.15   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.92R   33.62