Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 April 2006 at 22:53:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Birmingham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.83     2.21    51.44    99.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.68     1.87    40.03     0.20    98.78   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.10     2.08    29.80     0.00     1.23   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   61  +15      64.98     2.17    14.76     0.00     0.00    40.63    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.25     2.43    34.12     0.00     0.00    59.33    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.81     2.18     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.04    53.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   51   +1      55.40     2.11     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.49     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.76     2.04    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   49   +5      55.95     2.52     7.22     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.76     2.25    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        35   47   -5      49.80     2.01    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   45  -16      49.38     2.17   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      47.05     2.37   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.13     2.56    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.19     1.97   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      44.96     2.66   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   32  -21      34.78     2.02   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.38R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   32  -25      35.35     1.98   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.82R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   35   29  -23      31.91     2.05   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.80R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   12  -39      14.88     2.18   -42.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Sheffield_U vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44  102  +66     106.86     1.43    69.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      44   86  +29      89.34     1.88    29.91     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   77  +23      80.75     1.82    24.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   76  +27      79.28     1.77    27.75     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   75  +20      78.33     1.60    21.14     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   72  +19      74.88     1.78    19.13     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   61   +6      64.38     1.77     6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +2      63.05     1.85     2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            44   59   -1      61.40     1.84    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   59   -9      61.28     1.78    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   57   -6      59.75     1.88    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   55   -2      57.47     1.73    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   55  -12      57.90     1.87   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   53   -7      55.98     1.84    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   53   -7      55.73     1.78    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   53  -14      55.68     1.81   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -7      53.63     1.77    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   50   -6      51.76     1.63    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   50  -10      52.90     1.82    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   50  -13      51.33     1.44   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   48  -15      49.53     1.53   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   39  -30      41.25     1.62   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   19.95  
Brighton         44   38  -27      40.07     1.68   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   28.77  
Millwall         44   37  -26      39.22     1.74   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Huddersfield vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        43   78  +29      83.49     2.19    31.07    98.65    99.92   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   72  +15      76.81     2.22    16.04     0.81    44.83    99.66    58.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +18      76.18     2.20    19.55     0.54    40.45    99.36    55.56P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   69  +12      74.24     2.28    13.70     0.00    10.14    93.94    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   67  +17      72.05     2.26    18.31     0.00     2.58    78.12    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      43   67  +16      71.77     2.24    16.95     0.00     1.73    72.25    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   66  +19      70.14     2.33    19.02     0.00     0.35    49.15    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   63   -1      67.34     2.30    -0.63     0.00     0.00     7.06     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   61   +2      64.70     2.11     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       43   60   +0      63.39     2.12    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   59  -12      62.78     2.19   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   56   +1      59.99     2.16     0.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    43   56   -3      60.57     2.28    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   56   -6      59.82     2.21    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   55   -6      58.85     2.27    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -3      56.46     2.15    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Tranmere        43   51   +2      55.80     2.27     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   51   -7      54.98     2.25    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   50   -8      54.30     2.18    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.01  
Yeovil          43   49  -10      52.69     2.17   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.42R    0.03  
Swindon_Town    43   46  -17      49.06     2.17   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.31R   11.91  
Milton_Keynes   43   46  -21      48.88     2.08   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.66R   18.64  
Hartlepool      43   45  -16      48.16     2.08   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   19.70  
Walsall         43   44  -21      47.15     2.17   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   49.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Shrewsbury vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         42   81  +41      89.24     2.49    45.56    99.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   76  +23      80.87     2.18    24.10     0.43    91.70   100.00    94.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   74  +14      78.31     2.24    14.29     0.02    54.80   100.00    67.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +19      77.83     2.29    20.08     0.00    53.33   100.00    68.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   66   +6      70.08     2.21     5.96     0.00     0.15    98.04    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   65  +13      69.61     2.27    13.74     0.00     0.03    94.64    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   61  +11      65.70     2.29    11.94     0.00     0.00    57.41    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   59  +10      63.60     2.25    10.75     0.00     0.00    20.36     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   +6      63.44     2.23     6.43     0.00     0.00    14.39     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   58   +2      62.13     2.28     2.02     0.00     0.00     6.00     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +8      61.61     2.24     8.70     0.00     0.00     5.12     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   57   -7      61.45     2.27    -6.56     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           43   57  -10      61.17     2.22    -9.93     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   53   -4      57.05     2.17    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   52   -2      55.79     2.24    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   50   -3      56.70     2.94    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   50  -11      53.02     2.15   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.04  
Notts_County     43   50  -13      53.87     2.21   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd       43   48  -11      51.04     2.07   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    1.08  
Bury             43   48  -13      51.40     2.16   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.52R    1.07  
Barnet           42   48  -14      52.79     2.57   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.06R    1.41  
Stockport        42   47  -19      51.28     2.55   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.16R    5.95  
Rushden_&_D      43   45  -27      48.34     2.18   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.67R   33.31  
Torquay          42   42  -19      46.69     2.46   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.05R   57.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Scarborough vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      40   88  +32      92.38     1.61    34.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        40   76  +24      79.74     1.66    25.50     0.00   100.00    29.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           39   72  +38      78.59     2.01    42.64     0.00    99.89    30.29P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         39   71  +15      76.43     2.20    16.85     0.00    98.41    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       40   68  +23      71.08     1.79    23.38     0.00    56.29    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   68  +18      71.29     1.87    18.79     0.00    45.26     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
York            40   62  +17      64.45     1.80    16.63     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          39   58  +13      63.66     2.18    15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          39   53   -4      57.49     2.29    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     40   52   -6      55.00     1.86    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       39   51   +0      55.33     2.29     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       40   50  -14      52.88     1.88   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          39   49   +8      54.60     2.22    10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       39   49   -6      52.05     2.06    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   40   47  -13      48.87     1.67   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   40   47  -15      48.75     1.66   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         39   45   -3      48.70     2.18    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      40   41  -28      42.25     1.49   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.01  
Southport       39   38  -31      39.86     1.74   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.66R    6.21  
Tamworth        40   37  -30      38.46     1.48   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.78R   22.25  
Scarborough     40   36  -25      37.82     1.65   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.80R   37.74  
Forest_Green    39   35  -13      37.89     2.13   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.22R   33.79