Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 April 2006 at 22:53:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Birmingham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   88  +49      93.83     2.19    51.43    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    35   79  +37      84.68     1.86    39.96     0.17    98.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   73  +27      79.07     2.10    29.76     0.00     1.30   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   61  +15      64.99     2.18    14.78     0.00     0.00    40.63    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   57  +30      65.23     2.43    34.08     0.00     0.00    59.34    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   54   +4      57.81     2.17     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.04    52.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   51   +1      55.40     2.09     1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   51   -3      54.75     2.06    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   49   +5      56.00     2.51     7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   49   -4      52.77     2.22    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        35   47   -5      49.76     1.99    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   45  -16      49.38     2.18   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   43   -8      47.03     2.34   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    34   40   -1      45.11     2.57    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   39  -11      43.20     1.99   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   39  -12      45.01     2.66   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   32  -21      34.78     2.01   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.30R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   32  -25      35.38     1.98   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.11R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   35   29  -23      31.90     2.08   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.58R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   12  -39      14.87     2.17   -42.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Sheffield_U vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44  102  +66     106.85     1.44    69.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      44   86  +29      89.38     1.89    29.94     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   77  +23      80.78     1.82    24.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   76  +27      79.29     1.78    27.76     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   75  +20      78.33     1.62    21.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   72  +19      74.84     1.77    19.10     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   61   +6      64.39     1.78     6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +2      63.06     1.86     2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton            44   59   -1      61.38     1.84    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   59   -9      61.29     1.78    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   57   -6      59.72     1.87    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   55   -2      57.53     1.74    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   55  -12      57.93     1.86   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   53   -7      55.97     1.83    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   53   -7      55.70     1.76    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   53  -14      55.67     1.81   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -7      53.64     1.77    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   50   -6      51.71     1.60    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   50  -10      52.92     1.83    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Queens_PR        44   50  -13      51.33     1.46   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      44   48  -15      49.52     1.53   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   39  -30      41.22     1.62   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.01  
Brighton         44   38  -27      40.04     1.68   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   28.84  
Millwall         44   37  -26      39.25     1.74   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Huddersfield vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        43   78  +29      83.46     2.19    31.07    98.53    99.92   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   72  +15      76.85     2.21    16.08     0.91    45.29    99.69    59.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +18      76.22     2.23    19.63     0.56    40.86    99.36    56.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   69  +12      74.22     2.28    13.65     0.00     9.71    93.65    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   67  +17      71.96     2.26    18.21     0.00     2.27    76.81    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      43   67  +16      71.79     2.24    17.00     0.00     1.61    73.26    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   66  +19      70.17     2.31    19.02     0.00     0.33    49.62    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   63   -1      67.29     2.30    -0.70     0.00     0.00     7.12     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   61   +2      64.72     2.11     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       43   60   +0      63.40     2.11    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   59  -12      62.84     2.20   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   56   +1      59.95     2.17     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    43   56   -3      60.59     2.29    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   56   -6      59.84     2.19    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   55   -6      58.86     2.27    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -3      56.41     2.15    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Tranmere        43   51   +2      55.76     2.27     2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   51   -7      55.02     2.25    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   50   -8      54.30     2.19    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.01  
Yeovil          43   49  -10      52.63     2.18   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.02R    0.07  
Swindon_Town    43   46  -17      49.08     2.17   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   11.57  
Milton_Keynes   43   46  -21      48.93     2.10   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.30R   18.59  
Hartlepool      43   45  -16      48.16     2.10   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   20.25  
Walsall         43   44  -21      47.17     2.17   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R   49.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2006, Shrewsbury vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         42   81  +41      89.23     2.49    45.52    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   76  +23      80.89     2.19    24.12     0.43    91.72   100.00    94.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   74  +14      78.32     2.25    14.31     0.01    54.19   100.00    66.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +19      77.87     2.26    20.09     0.01    53.97   100.00    68.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   66   +6      70.08     2.21     5.98     0.00     0.10    98.08    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          43   65  +13      69.59     2.28    13.72     0.00     0.02    94.25    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        43   61  +11      65.70     2.28    11.94     0.00     0.00    57.93    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   59  +10      63.60     2.23    10.76     0.00     0.00    19.95     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       43   59   +6      63.45     2.24     6.43     0.00     0.00    14.59     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   58   +2      62.11     2.28     2.02     0.00     0.00     6.01     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +8      61.60     2.24     8.69     0.00     0.00     4.95     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   57   -7      61.50     2.29    -6.49     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           43   57  -10      61.17     2.24    -9.92     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          43   53   -4      57.01     2.17    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   52   -2      55.75     2.25    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   50   -3      56.65     2.96    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield     43   50  -11      53.00     2.15   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.06  
Notts_County     43   50  -13      53.91     2.21   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd       43   48  -11      51.02     2.07   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    1.07  
Bury             43   48  -13      51.40     2.15   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.32R    1.08  
Barnet           42   48  -14      52.82     2.59   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25R    1.36  
Stockport        42   47  -19      51.35     2.57   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.36R    5.91  
Rushden_&_D      43   45  -27      48.35     2.17   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.64R   32.58  
Torquay          42   42  -19      46.68     2.48   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.78R   57.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 April 2006, Scarborough vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      40   88  +32      92.36     1.62    34.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        40   76  +24      79.76     1.66    25.56     0.00   100.00    29.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           39   72  +38      78.61     2.01    42.74     0.00    99.86    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         39   71  +15      76.42     2.19    16.85     0.00    98.56    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       40   68  +23      71.05     1.80    23.32     0.00    55.78    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   68  +18      71.30     1.88    18.82     0.00    45.65     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
York            40   62  +17      64.43     1.79    16.60     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          39   58  +13      63.67     2.20    15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton          39   53   -4      57.50     2.30    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_U     40   52   -6      54.99     1.89    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       39   51   +0      55.33     2.26     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot       40   50  -14      52.85     1.88   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking          39   49   +8      54.66     2.22    10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       39   49   -6      52.05     2.08    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Canvey_Island   40   47  -13      48.86     1.67   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster   40   47  -15      48.77     1.67   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley         39   45   -3      48.73     2.16    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham      40   41  -28      42.23     1.50   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.00  
Southport       39   38  -31      39.87     1.73   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.58R    6.42  
Tamworth        40   37  -30      38.44     1.46   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.80R   23.15  
Scarborough     40   36  -25      37.82     1.64   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.25R   37.37  
Forest_Green    39   35  -13      37.92     2.13   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.80R   33.05